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There will soon be 8 billion people. Let's say 6 billion of them will need -- not a safe haven, but permanent relocation -- to what great location do you propose to move 6 billion people? France? North Dakota? The new arctic circle Shangrl Las? Tibet? It isn't that there is not enough land. There is space enough. What there will not be enough of
on any continent is food, fresh water, raw material (for housing, for example), and energy for massive increases in heating and cooling. (The north will still get cold in the winter.)
Why will moving 6 billion people into Canada and Siberia not work??
Because, as the zone of tolerable temperature moves north (in the Northern Hemisphere), the thawing and warming soils in much of Canada and Siberia will be wholly unsuitable for agriculture. That soil has been in a deep freeze for eons and has not turned into even poor soil, and it takes thousands of years for good soil to form. Also, as "the zone" moves north, more and more areas south of the zone (prime agricultural land now) will become unsuitable for intensive, extensive agriculture.
Global warming is a long term problem. The turn-around in climate may not occur for the proverbial ten thousand years, or as far as our species is concerned, ever.
What I am saying is this: The unfolding crisis will be implacable. It will be like the Black Plague was for medieval people: Equal opportunity doom.
So whomever has the best cards geographically/financially is going to get to decide the fate of the rest of humanity? — Mark Dennis
That is the way contingency works in this world. The fleas on the infected rats didn't have any preferential options for one group or another. Those that were bitten by the plague-carrying fleas tended to get sick and die. Some people were able to survive the infection. A few were able to actually resist the infection. The descendants of those lucky people were lucky again several hundred years later when it turned out that that the same gene that resisted the plague also resisted HIV. Most people in the world are susceptible to HIV, regardless of their race, religious affiliation, portfolio, or degree of virtue.
Anyway, not to get too far afield, Yes: Whoever has the best cards geographically and/or financially MAY get to decIde the fate of the rest of humanity. To what degree depends on two things: how organized the rest of humanity is, and how determined those with the best cards are. People with great cards sometimes lose.
A highly organized association of 6 billion people determined not to do the slow burn in India, Africa, Indochina, the Middle East, and much of the Western Hemisphere can probably dictate who will go where. The likelihood of 6 billion people being well enough organized to decide ANYTHING seems quite remote. Not only must they decide, they have to figure out how. Don't expect a swift or effective solution.
The 2 billion people retreating to the cooler, not very fertile northern reaches of Canada, Alaska, Europe, and Siberia will not be home free. They will have plenty of problems providing for themselves, let alone 6 billion more.
The upshot? A major die off, and human beings will not have to organize it. We are already on the outskirts of the planet's carrying capacity for our species, and Mother Nature has proven and reliable methods of reducing populations.
Mother's methods are so hard.
By the luck of the dealers card
Mother Nature selects the dead
from White, Yellow, Black, and Red
Mother has no favorites.