Why couldn't we just not assign probability in that case? Leave it as an unknown probability.The very best I can do, without the facts, is split the difference — Mww
Why .5?Sure we can; he is lying or he isn’t lying. No such thing as a partial lie. The probability is exactly .5. — Mww
I suppose you can say that this isn't the relevant probability. The relevant probability is the probability that your friend won the jackpot given that he told you that he won.The probability that your friend won the the Powerball jackpot is 1 in 292,201,338. — Wheatley
I guess so. *Now back to Netflix*To each their own, I suppose. — Wallows
I've been diagnosed with schizophrenia by my old psychiatrist. New one just thinks I have anxiety and depression. My mood has been pretty stable for the past few months, I rarely feel any depression. I just signed up for a peer specialist and he's helping me. He even helped me readmit to community college for the spring semester.Sounds like anxiety. I know you mentioned that you have another diagnosis in another thread. Hows coming to terms with it? — Wallows
My illness is disabling for me. But I remember doing well in college despite it, and I had some really good experiences, so I'm going to try it again (for the third time).For me, it ended up being on disability, and contrary to what other people might say, it's the easiest life possible, and I'd do it again, as now I get to indulge in exclusively all my interests online (posting and reading and interacting with other people on this forum being the primary one), haha. — Wallows
I think philosophy is great, I personally don't think it should be the sole focus of someone's life. Also, I'm not really addicted to philosophy, it's the forum I'm addicted to. I also have another online addiction (no, it's not porn). I found this website where you can create and upload memes. I'm just spending way too much time online, and it isn't fun constantly checking notifications, or checking if someone responded.So, try and find something that negates the premise in your mind that philosophy isn't a good thing, because this cannot be so. — Wallows
Funny thing is I don't even know if I have schizophrenia. I've recently changed psychiatrists and the new psychiatrist has removed that diagnoses.Because you have schizophrenia you’ll probably appreciate that you have difficulty focusing because you have numerous distractions affecting your ability to deal with ‘the everyday’ others do. — I like sushi
Yes, and some of those items are completely useless at the moment. For example, I often am extremely focused on the movement of the lips and the facial expression when I should really focus on what the person is actually saying! I can't help it, and it sometimes gets me into deep trouble. :fear:Effectively you’re juggling several different ‘mental’ items at once while most others are only trying to handle one or two at once. — I like sushi
It's not only that, when I get stressed out my mind goes completely blank and I get stuck, which stresses me out even further. It's like vicious cycle.The key difference is you have a higher load to deal with than most people. — I like sushi
I don't know about my IQ, but your boyfriend sounds a lot like me. :grin:My boyfriend was also diagnosed with schizophrenia and he scored high on an IQ test, even though he has really bad concentration problems. He can't follow plots of movies and he has to re-read passages constantly when he is reading a book. He also needs to edit everything he writes for a long time. — Dora
It is odd. I had many people, including professors, tell me that I am really bright, yet I can be a complete idiot sometimes.So, I wouldn't say that there's a strong connection there. Besides, from what you are writing, it doesn't sound like you have any intellectual deficiencies. — Dora
I haven't really tried those supplements. Do they work?Have you tried any supplements like Omega3, ginko, ginseng... that could improve concentration? Or do you feel more focused when you rest more or are less stressed? Or is it always the same? — Dora
It's not a good feeling. I feel like I'm missing out on a lot of things because of my problems concentrating. I get little to no enjoyment out of movie or TV shows, sometimes I even feel worse watching.I wonder what it feels like to not be able to follow a plot of the movie; my boyfriend looks like he's following, then it turns out he has no idea what is going on. — Dora
I have the same thing. I used to think that it made me all special and creative that I see the world a little differently than everybody else, but now I don't think it's like an amazing gift. (I can't speak for your boyfriend.)I think his mind can be very active and creative and he has many associations so he is constantly getting distracted. Everything reminds him of something else, so his trains of thoughts are very fast and branch out in all directions. — Dora
I'm exactly the opposite. I always get overwhelmed by the endless variety of options in the sandbox genre of games. I like structure and linearity where the game tells me what to do. I can't stomach games like Minecraft and Super Mario Maker. Also, with a few exceptions, I never really cared much for story telling in video games.I love big, sprawling sandbox games where you can spend a lot of time being entertained by just experimenting/dicking around to see what various things will do. But also because I like the long, convoluted stories, the characters, etc. — Terrapin Station
I played a bit of all that was mentioned. I feel like there's too much going on these games. My brain can't handle all the overloaded information.Huge fan of the Grand Theft Auto series, the Saints Row series, the two recent Red Dead games (and the zombie offshoot), etc. — Terrapin Station
I can't really imagine that. Perhaps you should ask someone who's entered a sensory deprivation chamber because that's the closest you can get to being conscious in an empty universe.Imagine you are born as adult, fully intelligent, in a completely empty universe. — Zelebg
I don't think there can be an intelligent being who literally doesn't know anything.What does it even mean to be intelligent without having no any information about anything? — Zelebg
It's an old philosophical problem. Some philosophers believe we are born with a blank slate. I'm thinking of empiricists such as Locke and Hume.Or do we get born with some kind of basic information with which we could then derive some basic concepts and eventually geometry and math? — Zelebg
what's with the turnover rate, can we do something about guiding newbies into phil 101 threads and then having them graduate into higher abstractions? — Wallows
Not in this case because the program can loop.Doesn't "initial probability" mean irrespective of all later factors? In which case I don't see how it could be anything but 1/3. — Echarmion
I'm not saying this is incorrect, but some people try to explain the Monty Hall problem in terms of what the host knows and has to reveal.The issue isn't the foreknowledge of the host, but of the knowledge of the contestant as revealed by the host. — Hanover