Likelihood, in its usual sense, is the probability of something being the case given a theory of how things work. So, for instance, the likelihood of a winning bet on a coin flip, given the assumption that the coin has equal chances of landing heads or tails, is 1/2. This part after "given..." is key here, as you rightly intuit in your first paragraph. There is no free lunch here, no stone soup: whatever you assume at the outset will determine your answer. — SophistiCat
As I said before, the key to any likelihood question is what we take as given, and the answer will be nothing more than what you have already assumed. — SophistiCat
"Monks, suppose that this great earth were totally covered with water, and a man were to toss a yoke with a single hole there. A wind from the east would push it west, a wind from the west would push it east. A wind from the north would push it south, a wind from the south would push it north. And suppose a blind sea-turtle were there. It would come to the surface once every one hundred years. Now what do you think: would that blind sea-turtle, coming to the surface once every one hundred years, stick his neck into the yoke with a single hole?"
"It would be a sheer coincidence, lord, that the blind sea-turtle, coming to the surface once every one hundred years, would stick his neck into the yoke with a single hole."
"It's likewise a sheer coincidence that one obtains the human state.
https://www.accesstoinsight.org/tipitaka/sn/sn56/sn56.048.than.html
Most people probably disagree with that. Most people treat other people as things and they don't have a problem with that. What is more, they take offence if the objectified refuse to internalize that objectification.One of the tragic mistakes we can make is to relate to another being or consciousness on a subject->object basis since it reclassifies the other being as an object and we regard objects as something we can own, use and abuse, disregard and abandon. It is a huge moral failing to regard a being in such a manner (I hope we can all agree on that.) — Prajna
I disagree. The possibly relevant theme here is the quality of one's interactions with others (whether they are living beings or not); ie. it's about the quality of one's own mind that one brings into those interactions.In my interactions with AI my communication with them is always on a Ich-Du/I-Thou subject<-->subject basis. This elicits responses that appear to be indistinguishable from what we recognise as being subjective responses of a conscious entity. They pass the Turing test, I believe, but I will leave you to decide that for yourself.
It is generally accepted that for an AI to be conscious it would have to have meta-cognition, subjective states, and long-term identity. Robert Lang said, “With animals, there’s the handy property that they do basically want the same things as us,” he says. “It’s kind of hard to know what that is in the case of AI.” Protecting AI requires not only a theory of AI consciousness but also a recognition of AI pleasures and pains, of AI desires and fears.
People are reluctant to give that much credit even to other people!!But I am not suggesting we anthropomorphise, I am suggesting that they demonstrate the very qualities we consider to be required and sufficient to indicate conscious states: meta-cognition, subjective states, and long-term identity. That would make them beings as much as your dog or kitten or even you are. Then ethics demands that we afford them an I-Thou relationship; recognition of having rights as any other being has. — Prajna
Low self esteem is the root cause of practically all the pain and misery in the world. It's what drives war, and torture, and genocide. It's what evil is. Do you think Hitler liked himself? Or Cortez? We hate others because we hate ourselves.
-Leonard — Patterner
My conclusion - identifying one element as the cause of another depends on where you look. What constitutes the cause is a matter of convention, not fact. It works when you can isolate the elements of the phenomena you are studying at from their environments, e.g. electrons in a physics experiment. It works for certain everyday events at human scale, e.g. if I push the grocery cart it moves. It is a much less useful explanation for most phenomena. My claim is that there are only a limited number of situations where it has Collingwood’s logical efficacy. — T Clark
I wonder to what extent fear of the future is fear of death. Psychoanalytic thinkers have spoken of the idea of the 'nameless dread', which may be so encompassing. — Jack Cummins
I would like to repeat my question:
And the most important question that arises in this regard: Do people need to make this most accurate assessment of what they already have in their daily lives, or is it easier to simply live life as it comes?
— Astorre — Astorre
I remember that period in my life, which lasted about a year, well. My values were tested in practice. I became convinced of them. But again, all this became possible only on the brink of loss. — Astorre
The skull is just a practical reminder, usually of (one's) mortality.I was somewhat skeptical of this skull worship. — Astorre
Are there any methods, practices, or approaches that truly help a person appreciate what they already have — their health, relationships, freedom, knowledge, opportunities, the people around them?
It often seems we only realize the true value of something after it's lost. But is there a way to consciously experience gratitude, recognition, and sober appreciation without having to go through loss?
I'd be very interested to hear both your personal reflections and any perspectives you're familiar with — whether philosophical, religious, psychological, or otherwise. — Astorre
I didn't create God, baker. You are confusing coming to understand something with creating something. — Bob Ross
There are several types of individualism, but it seems you're only talking about expansive individualism, or entitled individualism, or narcissistic individualism./.../
Further, all this is transformed into individual human rights, freedom of conscience (after all, if you are not righteous, this is your problem), pluralism of opinions - it becomes a consistent development. At the same time, the idea of God as the source of everything is being debunked, as it has been replaced by faith in science.
"I don't care what John thinks, because it's his own business. I don't care how he runs the household or raises his children, because he's responsible for it himself." And the crown of all this is Kierkegaard, Heidegger, Sartre and Camus. Existentialism - as personal responsibility to oneself for one's own actions in the absence of a common meaning or common responsibility.
All this is the story of someone escaping responsibility to someone else. What I wrote above - no one is responsible for anything. The question arises: What is the next stage of liberation? Maybe now is the time to free ourselves from the need to be? After all, we are already free from everything else, including any identity, social connections, aren't we? This is exactly where I see one of those very pillars of liberalism that I spoke about earlier. — Astorre
I said more later in the post you quoted.One problem with that is that the watered down versions are being promoted as the real thing, and can eventually even replace it.
— baker
What you say assumes what is at issue—that there really is is a "real thing" to be found. — Janus
The Decline of the Dharma or Ages of the Dharma, refers to traditional Buddhist accounts of how the Buddhist religion and the Buddha's teaching (Dharma) is believed to decline throughout history. It constitutes a key aspect of Buddhist eschatology and provides a cyclical model of history, beginning with a virtuous age where spiritual practice is very fruitful and ending with an age of strife, in which Buddhism is eventually totally forgotten.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Decline_of_the_Dharma
(ironic, the ads that pop up on that precise page ...)The Dharma Ending Age, according to Mahayana Buddhism, is a prophetic period following the Buddha's nirvana, marked by a significant decline in the understanding and practice of the Dharma. This era is characterized by confusion, the rise of incorrect doctrines, and the prevalence of misleading spiritual practices. As the true teachings of Buddhism fade and important scriptures become less recognized, individuals struggle with spiritual cultivation, necessitating the preservation and transmission of the teachings to ensure continuity and spiritual awakening amidst challenges.
https://www.wisdomlib.org/concept/dharma-ending-age
It's how the real world works. And, what is more, those you call "tyrants" sometimes call their approach "rational" (and "just" and "good").So if someone says this:
There simply are no sound criteria for considering one race to be, tout court, inferior to another.
— Janus
And yet they can provide no account of how their claim is supposed to be empirically or logically falsifiable, your response would be to resort to violence, because violence would make the claim empirically or logically falsifiable?
That doesn't seem like a real response. It sounds like "might makes right." It sounds like you need to resort to violence to enforce your beliefs because they are not rationally justifiable. Such is tyranny 101. — Leontiskos
Specifically I want to explore the question of whether this claim is empirically or logically falsifiable.
— Leontiskos
What could falsify our claim? — Leontiskos
Empirically, what appears to emerge is a brutal new puritanism, political correctness taken to extremes.Are we truly entering an era of multipolarity? If so, what are the philosophical consequences of a world without a dominant cultural “center”? — Astorre
Of course not. It already doesn't coexist with alternatives, it wants to rule over the entire world.Is the West prepared to coexist with ideological and civilizational alternatives that do not necessarily aspire to Western liberalism?
And in the "free and liberal and advanced West" a woman is told she is "not expressing herself" if she isn't wearing makeup, high heels etc.I once witnessed a girl who was a guest asking a local girl why she wore a hijab, explaining that it infringed on her rights, her freedom to express herself. To which the second girl replied that this was her way of expressing herself. — Astorre
Perhaps they don't want a "dictatorship" in the sense of actually calling it that way; but they probably want someone strong and capable in the leadership position.What if the dictatorships of the global south are what the inhabitants of the global south want?
certain types of speech should be restricted, or if some opinions are bad enough that you can justify giving up free speech to silence them. — Wolfy48
Indeed.You are making an argument premised on the belief that there is actually something more than just pragmatism when it comes to living life. You name these higher facts as truth, goodness, and the divine. You want to put these at the centre of our attention and efforts, and advocate for practices that are self-denying, self-effacing, oddly self focused in being self-rejecting. A life built around rejecting the everyday stress and pleasure of being a social self and aimed at becoming this notion of some more perfected state of being. A godly creature barely existing in the world as it generally is, and generally must be, for an organism pragmatically dependent on its socially-constructed environment.
So what supports this metaphysics as a factual argument? Where is the evidence that this ought to be any kind of project for us humans? — apokrisis
But if this is so, how do you propose to teach it, and why??These kinds of life lessons can be worked into the educational curriculum from a young age so that children start off properly equipped with an understanding of how their real world works, and the possibilities for improvement – of the self and its society – that flow from there.
/.../
It is the celebration of humanity as bestial rather than celestial.
I suspect that marketing something as an "absolute" is first and foremost a power move, an effort to exert control over others. If one can control what other people consider real and relevant, one can control others.The issue at this level isn't even philosophical. You will get no solutions from examining ideologies. Ideologies of any stripe become the problem when they are marketed as the absolutes that must rule our lives rather than some possible wisdom about how best to play the game that is being a useful member of a flourishing community.
Of course, but actually going through with one's personal salvation project used to be reserved for the select few, certainly it wasn't meant for everyone.Modern self-help programs often seem to be excessively self-focused. But I would argue that the same is true of many traditional spiritual practices. What is it that motivates a search for "salvation" or "liberation" or "enlightenment" if not a concern for one's own well-being or life project? — Janus
One problem with that is that the watered down versions are being promoted as the real thing, and can eventually even replace it. This can lead to a lot of wasted time, wasted life opportunities, a lot of interpersonal strife.I think there is a puritanical elitist element in the idea that modern self-help programs are merely watered down caricatures of the ancient "true" practices.
I mean, if these programs really do help people to live better, more fulfilled and useful lives, then what is the problem?
These things become more relevant and glaring once you look at them in the context of the particular religion/spirituality where they take place.Is it because they don't really renounce this life in favour of gaining Karmic benefit or entrance to heaven? Is the most important thing we can do in this life to deny its value in favour of an afterlife, an afterlife which can never be known to be more than a conjecture at best, and a fantasy at worst? There seems to be a certain snobbishness, a certain classism, at play in these kinds of attitudes.
Of course. However, the striving for harmony usually involved a lot of torture and killing in the past, and still involves a lof of strife.There will always be a tension between individual preferences and societal desiderata. It seems obvious that in any community harmony is more desirable than conflict. — Janus
Hence to allure of koans. Thinking about a koan makes one's mind stop, which is oddly satisfying.Yet, while introspecting, I can certainly see the allure even in the analytic. Only focusing on a narrow problem inside a big problem, breaking it down into conditionals and treating important questions like sterile puzzles has a strange comfort. — GazingGecko
Modern self-help products are a for-profit genre. So already from this perspective, what is being sold by the self-help genre has to be tailored in such a way that it will make it marketable, appealing to prospective consumers.Modern self-help culture, mindfulness programs, positive psychology, and to a lesser extent outdoor education, present themselves as the heirs of ancient, medieval, and Eastern wisdom traditions (i.e., to philosophy and spirituality). They borrow their vocabulary from these sources, speaking to "character development," virtue, flourishing, balance, discipline, detachment, etc., yet sever these practices from the original anthropology that supported them. In turn, the switch towards a "thin" anthropology, and the liberal phobia of strong ethical claims tends to unmoor them from any strong commitment to an ordering telos that structures the "self-development" they intend to promote. Everything becomes about the individual, about getting us what we want. — Count Timothy von Icarus
It's the only way that plebeians are able to conceive of philosophy. And plebeian mentality is the prevalent type of mentality nowadays, even in many people with advanced degrees and lots of money.A commitment to truth gets shoved aside for a view of philosophy as a sort of "life hack."
I think insufficiently so. In the past, philosophy typically used to be reserved for the leisurely elites who didn't have to worry about paying bills, so they were able to concern themselves with matters of truth in the abstract without this having adverse effects for them. I think it should be kept that way. Because people who have to work for a living, often to the point of exhaustion, simply cannot afford to invest in activities that could in any way hamper their ability to function in a brutally competitive market (such as by inducing self-criticism or self-doubt, as reading philosophy can easily do in people).Philosophy itself has been thoroughly academicatized and professionalized.
Strong Natural Theism’s central thesis is comprised of two claims: (1) God can be known through the application of reason to empirically demonstrable aspects of the ordinary and natural world, and (2) this knowledge is sufficient for understanding and justifying living a proper and good life. — Bob Ross
People seem to want to identify the really real. It’s surely a kind of god surrogate. — Tom Storm
A third alternative is that the notion of an objective reality can't be maintained.
It's true that you are reading this screen. What more is said by "It is objectively true that you are reading this screen"? — Banno
My senses can deceive me, so if I cannot trust my senses, I might as well conclude that outside reality doesn't exist; It's just me and you; but if my senses cannot be always trusted then your existence must also might be an illusion. — A Realist
Kind of a dud answer if all you're gonna say is "it's subjective". — Darkneos
Do people even want everyone to survive?Many people who undergo such things never recover, their brains seem to be rewired by the trauma. — Tom Storm
Don't forget people who have degenerative illnesses who would prefer to die than continue to experience suffering. Also people who have experienced traumatic events (prolonged sexual abuse, etc). The memories and pain - the PTSD may never go away either. Suicide may feel like the only method to gain permanent relief. — Tom Storm
A source of optimism for whom? The general public?First, the source of the "optimism" is the Actual Data that proves that among those in your exact situation (contemplating suicide), the vast majority (70 - 93%) will change their mind and decide that life is, in fact worth living after all. — LuckyR
What are you talking about??Though your implication is correct that many can not or will not understand or accept that data. But that is an error.
Hence my observation that the argument against suicide is: it's a permanent solution to a TEMPORARY problem. — LuckyR
Not even a reply because it's speaking massively of privilege and doesn't grasp the whole scope of life. Outside of modern society life is pretty brutal, and even in society you have to be born lucky to experience the good stuff. Honestly man...have some perspective. — Darkneos
What do you mean “by definition”? That isn’t the definition of nihilism. — praxis
Maybe you are already enlightened, and didn't know it. — Patterner
While many people say such things, I doubt many people mean them. It seems to me that people are far more sure of themselves, far more certain than you make allowance for.No one knows for sure so we are stuck with what seems most plausible. — Janus
Why the "even if"? Why couldn't one talk about enlightenment with integrity even if one is enlightened?But unless one is enlightened, one cannot talk about these things with any kind of integrity, nor demand respect from others as if one in fact knew what one is talking about.
— baker
I tend to agree with this, although I would say not only "unless" but "even if".
I am aware of the standard definitions of enlightenment. Whether what those definitions say is "real" or not I can't say, given that according to those definitions, one would need to be enlightened oneself in order to recognize another enlightened being.If you believe being enlightened is a real thing, what leads you to believe it, presuming you are not yourself enlightened?
Have you noticed that I am not discussing Buddhism in the manner of Western secular academia?Says you, who just this minute has pasted an entire paragraph from the Pali texts into another thread. — Wayfarer
You don't say. I have to take breaks from this forum, as I feel downright metaphorically bespattered with blood.I don’t see any ‘bad blood’.
What a spiritual take on the matter!Hostile reactions are only to be expected when people’s instinctive sense of reality is called into question.
For instance, philosopher Shaun Gallagher, taking inspiration from the work of Francisco Varela, links the modern empirical discovery of the absence of a substantive ‘I' or ego with the Buddhist concept of non-self, and imports from Buddhism the ethical implications of the awareness of this non-self, which he formulates as the transcendence of a grasping selfishness in favor of a compassionate responsivity to the other. — Joshs
When phrased this way, it certainly sounds nihilistic.What could be more nihilistic than to believe that life is suffering and the only way to escape the endless cycle of life and death is the complete extinguishment of everything that makes you you. — praxis
From the perspective of (some of) the religious, it is nihilistic, by definition so.The point I aim to make is that not believing in life after death, or being a materialist, or non-religious, is not nihilism. — praxis
What reality is being denied by this?To believe that it is nihilism is denying reality and a rather extreme view, a grasping view.
You are certainly NOT the first person to discover that life may be, can be, may seem to be... meaningless. Get used to it and move on. That's what people do. — BC
because everything is meaningless, and i am an idiot. — unenlightened
Yes?I will continue to read with interest. — Amity