• Pierre-Normand
    2.7k
    I don't even have to be put to sleep and woken up to do this. I can just say before the experiment starts that I choose to place 6 bets that the die will land on a 6 instead of 1 bet that it won't.Michael

    I wonder why you are so insistent on this arbitrary payout structure. Why not make an even-money payout on each occasion where she is being awakened and offered the opportunity to bet on the coin toss outcome as it is already determined right now? Would not her expected value exactly mirror—and be governed only by—her credence regarding the hidden die having landed six right now? A six is the most likely outcome, so I'm betting on it. No word games. Immediately maximized expected profit (and guaranteed long term profit as well).
bold
italic
underline
strike
code
quote
ulist
image
url
mention
reveal
youtube
tweet
Add a Comment

Welcome to The Philosophy Forum!

Get involved in philosophical discussions about knowledge, truth, language, consciousness, science, politics, religion, logic and mathematics, art, history, and lots more. No ads, no clutter, and very little agreement — just fascinating conversations.