You need to make clear what you mean by 'live in' or by a simulation.We have 3 ontological options:
1) We do not live now in a computational Simulation, and in the future it will not happen.
... — Belter
That is not true by definition, and even if it was, it does not make even the odds of your three options. In fact, the physics we know are incapable of creation of such a self-simulation, so if we are in some sort of VR, it is being run in a universe of more computationally capable physics.then the three options have the same probability a priori of be true, due to by definition a higher intelligence system can occult its existence.
The definition says nothing of the sort. The definition is that it no longer requires humans for improvement.My claim is that Singularity is by definition unknown, such as God in religions, the player in video games, etc. A super IA is by definition, able to occult its existence. — Belter
Tegmark does say that time probably does not flow, but he described time as a 4th dimension in addition to the 3 of space (not the same way you are using 'dimension'), and not as being contained in a singularity any more than is space is thus contained. The big-bang singularity is just one point (event) in spacetime.Oh, and since you know who Max Tegmark is, perhaps this video will help a little. Pay particular attention to his remarks about how time probably doesn't move from one planck time to the next. If all of time is contained within a singularity of time, and the flow of time is just an illusion, there is no 'one planck time to the next' necessary. — StuartL
How is there this imaginary time if there is no change? You have a sole existent with zero difference from one moment to the next, which is indistinguishable from no time at all.A singularity of pure energy exists in a its own time dimension (imaginary time).
Nothing else exists within imaginary time. — StuartL
Then it isn't a singularity, which would be a dimensionless point. A sphere has a spatial radius.The singularity is spherical.
By infinite properties, you mean there are infinite way in which it could be struck, which would be true of any object, sphere or not. It would require a second existent with which to strike it, but you say that doesn't exist.Therefore; the singularity possesses potential future properties for each possible interaction upon its surface. Given that the properties of the surface of a sphere are infinite, the possible resultant potential futures for the singularity are also infinite.
Why do they cease to exist? Why propose that?A multiverse of potential futures for the singularity exists, but should any of them get “banged” into actual events, the singularity and its dimension of time would cease to exist.
I thought this one didn't exist, but was mere potential.If an infinite number of universes are possible, how come this one with us in it exists, if God didn't make it specifically for us? - Because they all exist, but we are only aware of this one with us in it.
The billiard ball is said to be a worldline in this example, not moving through spacetime, but existing in a path within it.In space-time the billiard ball always exists in a state of not having been placed upon the table yet, sitting on the table, being struck for the first time...Because space-time is set (predetermined) and the flow of time is an illusion. The billiard ball possesses properties for everything that ever happens to it in space-time.
Or it could still have exactly one determined future. All you've done is changed time from block to flowing, and that doesn't have an effect on determinism. Determinism can be true or false in both cases.Now if we take the billiard ball out of space-time, and place it in a dimension of time that is not set (predetermined), then we can either say that it has no future, or that it possesses an infinite number of potential futures
I do think that in the case of your singularity, since a singularity (or a sole-existant sphere for that matter) has no distinct locations, and thus can only be struck one way if the magnitude of the force is not a factor. There is only strike or not-strike. There is no strike differently, at least not the way I see it. OK, the billiard ball has distinct sides since it is perhaps on a table or something. It travels in a direction depending on the strike angle. Maybe the analogy is not applicable to the singularity.You may think that the velocity of the strike also comes into play here, but it doesn't, only the location of the initial strike is relevant. The velocity of the strike only becomes relevant in subsequently.
Pretty much how it goes, except 'you' are the one who gets heads, and yes, the one who gets heads gets heads every time the DVD is played. That's a tautology.I am not saying that the branching multiverse suggested by quantum mechanics isn't the case, it may well be. If I flip a coin, for me the result may be heads, but for an alternate me, created by that event, the result may be tails. However; for me, here, this me, the me that got heads, I will always get heads not matter how many times the DVD gets played.
The other me, the me that got tails, the me that came into existence when I got heads, will also always get tails, no matter how many times this DVD is played. — StuartL
Not exactly clear as to what is your theory. I mean, you say the flow of time is an illusion, but then you say that the universe is like a DVD being played, which would be a flow of time, would it not?And that may all prove to be BS, it makes no difference to my theory.
You're saying that our own big bang made itself nonexistent? Or just asking us to suppose this? If the latter, for what purpose? If the answer is nonsensical, perhaps it is an invalid thing to suppose.No rule says that any of it must be the case, it just may be the case. It's a bizarre concept. What I am saying is that it's possible that the singularity that supposedly "Banged" never actually "Banged". For us to exist it never had to, and that if it did "Bang" that it would cease to exist.
That's not a paradox unless you insist that the DVD must be played for there to be a DVD. Harry Potter on the DVD does not change a single bit by the playing of the DVD. Harry is aware of how the DVD begins, but not that is is playing, or was ever played. I find that most logical. The playing of the DVD on the other hand is not, since it implies something outside playing it, and then is their DVD being played? That would be infinite regress. So why posit that it needs playing?What I am saying is that our existence, and the place in which we perceive ourselves to exist, are in actuality merely potential futures (time singularities), for the singularity that never actually "Banged". DVDs in a DVD player with nobody about to press play.
This bit gives me a clue as to you usage of the term 'dimension'. You seem to picture them as different universes with different rules, sort of what you get with eternal inflation theory with each 'spacetime' being a bubble in the inflation material.Different 'potential universes/ time dimensions' would have their own physical laws in the same way that different 'actual universes/time dimensions' would. Each 'potential universes/time dimension' could vary very little from another, or could vary vastly from each other. — StuartL
OK, this seems to be a single-world hard determinism view. Quantum Mechanics suggests this is not the case (all events are probabilistic, not predictable at all), but there is no proof one way or another. The view is not invalid.What I'm referring to in the billiard ball example is, that in the Space-Time dimension, the fact that the billiard ball is on the table at all, and any interactions that I may have with the billiard ball, are already determined. The instant the “Big Bang” occurred and our universe's time dimension came into existence, all of Space-Time was determined. The “where/when” of everything within the Universe was determined instantaneously. So the billiard ball never exists in a state of “Maybe I'll be interacted with” instead, it always exists in a state of “I will be interacted with, in this manner, at this time”.
I agree with all of this. To 'change' the future is an incoherent concept. Change means to alter state from some prior state to some different later state, say a candle changing from tall to short as it burns. The future is not something that is one way until you 'change' it to something else. It was never the first way then, so there is no difference that is the 'change'. This is an arguable point, since the first state could be expressed in a 'would have been had I not ...' sort of manner. My choice 'changed' it from this abstract would-otherwise-have-been state. But that state is completely abstract and nowhere real.My views on determinism vs. indeterminism are, that although Space-Time is set (determined), it is set by the choices that you made/make/will make. Ergo, you cannot change your future, but you wouldn't anyway, because your future was set by your choices, and you are you, so you would never have made different choices. An alternate you in an alternate universe may have made alternate choices, but you here in this universe made the choices that you made, and will make the choices that you will make. The moment of your conception and the moment of your death still/already exist. The flow of time is an illusion.
A completely determined DVD need not be played for there to be subjective reality to the inhabitants of the DVD. Harry Potter hates Snape regardless of the DVD being played. The playing only serves a purpose to whoever initiates the playing of it, an outside entity that wants to observe the story. That observer is completely undetectable to the inhabitants of the universe/DVD, so Harry cannot detect when his DVD is being played.For me the Space-Time dimension is analogous to a DVD. When the DVD is played, you make an appearance on screen at some point, but you are already/still on the DVD whether you are on screen at the time or not, or whether the DVD is being played or not.
Here you really lose me again, mostly because I cannot figure out what this set of 'time dimensions' is. Perhaps I could understand the paradox if these terms were spelled out a little more clearly.What the paradox is saying is, that if every possible time dimension exists, and it is possible for a time dimension to exist that cannot exist in a multiverse of time dimensions, then such a time dimension must also exist. Ergo, a paradox, both a multiverse of time dimensions, and a time dimension that cannot exist in a multiverse of time dimensions, cannot exist at the same time.
Not a digression at all. If physicists actually do this (it is a philosophical topic, not a physics one), then there would be a link somewhere describing the issue and some of the sides taken.What I am saying is “Yes they can, and here's how...”. (Apparently physicists hold symposiums and seminars to discuss this paradox and cannot figure out how to resolve it. But anyway...I digress.)
Why? What rule says this must be the case?If we return to my analogy of Space-Time being like a DVD, what I am saying is that 'Imaginary Time' is like a massive DVD player, containing every possible DVD. However; none of the DVDs are actually playing, and if someone did come along, select a DVD and start playing it, all of the other DVDs and the DVD player itself, would cease to exist.
The first paragraph seems to describe a sort of eternal 4D block universe, vs. the second case which has a 3D spatial state that is 'the present'. OK, either view can be translated to the other. Both can be deterministic or not, so it is possible to have a future that already is, yet has multiple possible futures. On the other hand, presentism doesn't imply a set of multiple possible futures. The ball may not yet have been struck, but it is perhaps inevitable anyway.If I have a billiard ball sitting on a billiard table, the ball is said to contain potential energy, that can be converted to kinetic energy if I strike it with another ball. Let us assume that tomorrow I am going to do just that. Because the ‘flow of time’ is an illusion, and space-time is set, the ball already contains properties for any and all interactions that I'm going to have with it tomorrow (its future is set).
Now, if I have another ball, on another table, in another dimension where the 'flow of time' is infinite, and time is not set: Does that ball have no future, or an infinite number of 'possible futures'? — StuartL
You are going to have to define 'dimension' here because you are using it in a bizarre way. To me, dimension is the mathematical one: A square has two dimensions, a cube has three, and spacetime has four. You really rely on this word below, and I have no idea what you're asking.To me, although it may sound a little bizarre, the ball now contains an infinite number of 'potential future properties', one for every possible interaction in the dimension. Because, isn't saying that the ball no longer possesses 'potential future properties', that could be converted into actual futures, akin to saying that the ball no longer possesses potential energy, that could be converted into kinetic energy?
???? Like maybe longitude exists but not latitude? I have no idea how 'dimension' is being used in this context. It is in quotes, so perhaps it is the definition being defined by somebody else.'If all possible dimensions exist, and a dimension for which a multiverse is impossible, is a possibility, shouldn't at least one such dimension exist?'
Sorry. Don't remember reading that. I brought up the issue before.It says right in the OP, " Sleeping Beauty volunteers to undergo the following experiment and is told all of the following details." That is the first line of the problem. — Jeremiah
Oh good. I thought the OP didn't make this clear. The halvers would have it right if she went into this thing blind.She is never told it is Monday, there is no relevant self-locating information, and she knew there were only three possible awake periods before the experiment. Everything we know is everything she knows before the experiment therefore 1/3 is a prior. We don't have any privy information here. — Jeremiah
You're doing it wrong. You are mixing probabilities from different times, different points of view, or from positions with different information.I’ve showed the reasoning multiple times. It’s the Kolmogorov definition of conditional probability. — Michael
Oh crap. OK then. I really don't know how to read this stuff then. '|' means 'or' in my world, but they have that intersection symbol to mean that here. Union for 'and'.P(Monday|Heads) means "the probability that it's Monday given the fact that it's heads" — Michael
As you see, the quote is getting altered. Sorry.So what's the condition? P(Heads|Awake)? Well, let's apply the Kolmogorov definition again:
P(Heads|Awake)=P(Heads∩Awake)/P(Awake)
P(Heads|Awake)=0.5/1=0.5 — Michael
I don't see how you are applying the additional information of 'it isn't Tuesday/heads' into your computation.
— noAxioms
That's the P(Monday|Heads) = 1. — Michael
Respond then to my post about her getting to wake up on Tuesday.Heads as well. It spells that out.But it doesn't follow from that that each of the other three outcomes are equally likely. — Michael
OK, I didn't know that's what that was. I'm actually not much up on the notation of it all, so I have a helluva time following it.I've done so multiple times:
Kolmogorov definition:
<sorry, the formatting rendered the quote unreadable> — Michael
Perhaps quote the axiom in question. I suspect it applies to something not known, such as a coin toss that has not yet been made, or which has been put under a cup without observation. Beauty has been given information about the toss, and that cannot leave the odds unaltered. She has been informed that the combination of Tuesday and Heads is not the case. That information could not have been conveyed if the coin toss was still under the cup. If she had full information ("it was tails"), then the odds would change to 100% tails, axiom of probability not withstanding.Why? If the flip had a 50% chance of being heads and if heads guarantees Monday then there's a 50% chance that today is heads and Monday. You seem to just be asserting these probabilities without adequately explaining how you got there. I get to my probabilities by applying an axiom of probability. — Michael
'will happen' implies the coin has not yet been tossed. It has, and today has happened, which yields information that changes the credence. That changes the odds of B and D to 66%, 33% each.There's a 50% chance that both B and D will happen, but there's a 25% chance that today is B. — Michael
This is a different scenario. When do I find out that I get a second guess? You would have to either tell me before the first guess, or after it. If after, odds are 50% on the first bet and 100% on the 2nd. If before, then 100% on both.And if you tell me that I'll get £1 for guessing correctly, and that you'll let me guess twice if it's tails, — Michael
This is not the situation faced by Beauty. She is offered one bet that wins or loses one ticket. There is no double payout during any of here wakings.If I offer you one free lottery ticket if you correctly guess heads and two free lottery tickets if you correctly guess tails then tails is the better bet even though equally likely.
Tails isn't the better bet because it's more likely but because it has a better payout. — Michael
Yes, it is about credence. Beauty has information about the coin toss, and that alters the credence from the 50/50 credence that exists to nobody in the scenario.It's not. It's about her credence. — Michael
Yes, because I've been given no more information, so the odds remain 50%.If you tell me that you flipped a coin ten minutes ago I'm going to say that there's a 50% chance that it landed heads. — Michael
You say it is 50% odds, but tails is the better bet. This seems contradictory to me.That doesn't mean it's more likely to be tails. It just means that tails is the better bet. — Michael
And in what way is that not happening twice to her? She gets to bet twice in that case, despite the fact that she is unaware of which times she's betting twice.It doesn't happen twice to her. It only happens once to her, given that it was only tossed once. She just wakes up to it twice. — Michael
It is twice as likely to occur to miss Beauty. Tails happens twice, and heads only once.Sure, but it doesn't mean that tails is twice as likely to occur as heads, — Michael
Ouch... Does miss Beauty know that she's getting fewer points on some of the bets. In that case the outcome is certain and she can win every bet. If not, she's not the one doing the gambling.So, I ran 100,000 games and gave 1 point for successfully guessing heads and 0.5 points for successfully guessing tails (because you get two opportunities). It doesn't matter if you always select heads, always select tails, select tails 1/2 the time, or select tails 2/3 of the time. The average score is 0.5 in every case. — Michael
Information about the toss can very much change that. If she is able to actually see the result of the toss, the odds become a certainty one way or another, not 50/50. So information does change the odds, and she has information beyond the simple fact that a coin was tossed.This one is begging a different answer. From Sleeper's perspective, this has not been established.
— noAxioms
She already knows that it was a fair coin toss and that a fair coin toss has a 50% chance of landing heads. Nothing can change that. — Michael
This one is begging a different answer. From Sleeper's perspective, this has not been established.I don't know what you mean by adding up to 33%.
P(Heads) = 50% — Michael
Yes, the Monday awakening is twice as likely as the Tuesday one. It doubles the weight of that awakening. So it adds up to 33% since there is a 50/50 shot on the heavier awakening, and a 0% shot on the Tuesday one.But one of those awakenings is twice as likely as each of the other two, which is why the halfer answer is correct. — Michael
I hate to say there is no conundrum about this one. I've not read most of the posts past this point in the thread.So we have:
H: A, S
T: A, A
So since there are three possible awakenings and only one is when the coin comes up heads, then won't that mean she has a 33% chance of it being heads? — Jeremiah
Well as I said, I think I am the wrong person to give answers to questions about a view that I do not hold.Before you are born is the period I am referring to. If I start to exist there is the question of how I start to exist as that person. — Andrew4Handel
Yes, that's the second guy I'm referring to. I say it doesn't exist. There is nothing that could have been somebody else until being born in this specific body. Mind you (pun intended), I am not asserting this. I'm just saying that the question you pose goes away with my answer. If this dualistic view is one you prefer, fine. As I said, religion has a lot of answers to how you got to be the fourth of six siblings, or how you got to be human at all for that matter.You could not be anyone else now but you could have been someone else and been born in another body or era or gender. — Andrew4Handel
My answer is that it would seem absurd for the 4th child to be conscious of being the second child. That's what monism says. I think a lot of people that claim to be monists actually don't understand it and cannot accept that simple answer. It sure took me a long time.I am one of 6 children I am conscious of being the fourth child but why not the first or sixth?
Fine. I have never heard of anybody that was somebody else. Why am I me? Well, who else could I be?There is no realistic way of taking the "I" out of any theory because that raises the question of who is talking and what they are talking about. — Andrew4Handel
'Inhabit'. OK, I see the path you want. Never mind at all what I say then. Religion has better answers to this one than I do.inhabit this conscious location of having experiences of a reality and how this subjective location arises — Andrew4Handel
Well, an objective viewpoint is a view from nowhere and thus not really a viewpoint, but an objective description need not be precluded, and it often yields answers that elude a subjective description. You're going to need it for answers like this one.As Thomas Nagel says "Objectivity is a view from nowhere" — Andrew4Handel
Well this is not my paradox, I didn't invent it. It is a well known paradox, and widely recognized as such. Also the mathematical proof is posted in the OP. — Jeremiah
Fair enough. The relevant definition of paradox that pops up says this:So you don't think is a paradox, OK fine, I don't really care. — Jeremiah
The funny cone seems to fall under definition 'a' since it seems opposed to common sense to many people. So yes, it makes sense to 'resolve' such paradoxes by showing that the seeming contradiction is something that is actually the case. The mathematics (a computation of the area and volume) is linked in the OP, but not sure what part of that is a 'proof' of something.a : a statement that is seemingly contradictory or opposed to common sense and yet is perhaps true
b : a self-contradictory statement that at first seems true
c : an argument that apparently derives self-contradictory conclusions by valid deduction from acceptable premises — Webster
I never contested the mathematics, which simply shows that the object indeed has infinite area but finite volume. I can think of more trivial objects that are finite in one way but infinite in another, and your cone did not strike me as a connundrum. But I retract my assertion that it is not a paradox. The definition above speaks.Saying there is no mathematical basis for this just tells me you can't read the math, as it is posted right there for you to review.
Indeed, it is only a mathematical object. A real one could not be implemented, growing too thin to insert ice cream particles after a while.You can say, well it is not in the real world — Jeremiah
This assertion is exactly that: just an assertion, and a false one at that. There is no mathematical basis for this. The paradox apparently comes from your assumption of this nonexistent law.Any container or solid object that has an endless surface area, but a finite volume is paradoxical, abstractly or otherwise.
Volume is the amount of space it takes up, so if it has endless surface area it should have endless volume. — Jeremiah
A paradox is usually of the form of "If A is true, then A can be shown to be false". Your original 25 25 50 60 thingy would have been paradoxical had the 60 entry read 0%. What you seem to be reaching for here is not a paradox, but rather a violation of the law of non-contradiction, that a thing cannot be both X and not-X at the same time in the same way. I don't see the violation due to the 'in the same way' part.The horn both converges and diverges, so it fits your personal take on what is needed for a paradox. — Jeremiah
that paints an infinite surface. 'goes on forever' is not what I said, and seems a sort of undefined wording.So you are suggesting a finite amount of paint that goes on forever.
No, the volume is finite. You said that. There is finite (convergent as you put it) volume of ice cream, which could be paint.So in your suggestion the volume of the paint both converges and diverges?
I think you just can't admit that you were wrong. — Jeremiah
That is not philosophy, not by a long shot and if that is the standard that passes on these forums, then I have to question if I belong here at all. — Jeremiah
Because my arumgent is sound, besides I hate it when everyone sits around agreeing with each other, it is incredibly unproductive. — Jeremiah
In what way is this in need of 'resolution'? You haven't stated a problem with this scenario.This one is a bit trickier and as far as I know it has not been resolved. — Jeremiah
Clearly the paint would not run out, as it hasn't in your example. It covers the entire surface, and doesn't even need to be spread out to do so, since it has finite thickness (all the way to the center line) at any point being painted.So you are suggesting if it was filled with paint, you could use a finite amount of paint to paint an endless surface.
It seems to me, that you'd run out of paint, and even if you could stretch the paint infinitely thinner, that still does not resolve the paradox. As abstractly what you have is a cone with a converging volume and a diverging surface area. — Jeremiah
A simple example to the contrary suffices in proving wrong an assertion that all A is B, or in this case, the only valid interpretation (A) is one of a sample space of 4 (B). Many of us have produced that alternate interpretation of a sample space of three (~B).So what would constitute a proof that your first assertion is wrong, what kind of proof would we need to present, and what standards would be assessing that proof by to see if it held? — Pseudonym