Comments

  • Can we calculate whether any gods exist?
    ↪Frank Apisa
    Well, in my humble opinion you should reconsider the matter. In the theism-atheism debate we have arguments from both sides. Yes, none of these arguments are perfectly sound and so the problem. But people believe what they believe only based on a logical argument they connect with. For example problem of evil is quite convincing atheistic argument and the ontological argument is a ''sound'' theistic argument.

    All I'm saying is people believe based on logic and it's not just guesswork.
    TheMadFool

    We are in complete disagreement on this, MadFool.

    A "belief" in this area is NOTHING more than a blind guess...and the word "belief" is used just to disguise the fact that it is. A blind guess is not based on anything...although often arguments are invented to rationalize blind guesses. Rationalizing a blind guess that no gods exist because evil exists is FAR away from "a convincing atheistic argument"...and there are no ontological arguments that an assertion "there is at least one god" logical.

    Anyone who asserts that no gods exist is just guessing. Anyone who asserts there is at least one god is just guessing.

    Let's discuss that more...or just agree to disagree.
  • Can we calculate whether any gods exist?
    I use "god" because I believe that what I call the experience of god is closely related to a belief in god. There is an experience which many people have that influences them to believe in god. Not to start us off on a new tangent, but that can also be said of love, pain, anger, and celery. Which is not to say that, if you have the experience, you have to believe.T Clark

    You used forms of "believe" and "belief" four times in that short paragraph, T...and I truly am not sure of what you were trying to convey.

    Your first use is considerably different from your second and third use...and your third use seems different from the other three.

    You may refuse this next request and consider it a useless, waste-of-time exercise, but I would love to see you write that paragraph not using the words "believe" or "belief"...and give me an idea of what you actually were saying.

    Any chance?
  • Faith- It's not what you think
    The dictionary describes faith in two senses.
    Faith
    1. Complete trust or confidence in someone or something.
    "this restores one's faith in politicians"

    2. Strong belief in God or in the doctrines of a religion, based on spiritual apprehension rather than proof.
    -a system of religious belief.
    "the Christian faith"

    -a strongly held belief or theory.
    "An Atheists faith"
    I copied and pasted this directly from an online version of Merriam Webster's Dictionary.
    I said what I said based on this entry. If you care to disprove the dictionary, which is based on logic, go ahead. But you all put faith in your houses that they aren't going to fall over and crush you, because your house has never failed you before. You completely trust your house, therefore you have faith in it. You don't necessarily have faith in the second sense, but you definitely do have it in the first.
    OpinionsMatter

    Dictionaries primarily tell us how words are used...not what they mean.

    If you were to look up "curse" "profanity" "vulgarity" "swearing" in a dictionary...you might easily find that they are considered synonyms.

    They are not...each has a meaning which is rather specific...but they are used interchangeably.

    In any case, the words "belief" and "believe" are used in a religious discussion context as a disguise for blind guess.

    By both sides of the issue.

    A person saying, "I believe in God" (a form I detest) what they actually are saying is, "In the absence of any reliable, unambiguous evidence upon which to base a meaningful guess...I am blindly guessing that at least one god exists...and that god happens to be the God I worship."

    "Faith"...is insisting that that blind guess is correct.

    Same thing applies to the other side of the issue. A person saying, "I do not believe in God" (another form I detest) is actually saying one of two things. Either:

    a) In the absence of any reliable, unambiguous evidence upon which to base a meaningful guess...my blind guess is that the god being discussed does not exist...or...

    b) "In the absence of any reliable, unambiguous evidence upon which to base a meaningful guess...my blind guess is that no gods exist. (More often the latter than the former.)

    "Faith" for these people is the insistence that their blind guess is correct.


    Think about it. You'll see that I am correct.

    ↪TogetherTurtle
    ↪DingoJones
    ↪Wayfarer
    ↪Terrapin Station
    ↪TheMadFool
    ↪Frank Apisa
    ↪emancipate
    ↪S
    OpinionsMatter
  • Faith- It's not what you think
    Faith is often taken to be 'blind' belief, without proof or evidence. But in classical Greek pistis (faith) had significations 1: that which gives confidence/assurance 2: means of persuasion (such as an argument or proof).emancipate



    Not sure of what you were trying to say here, but, respectfully as possible, you missed.

    In classical Greek science...the Earth was a relatively flat disc in the center of the universe with the Sun, moon and stars circling it.
  • Can we calculate whether any gods exist?
    But both ARE JUST GUESSES. They are not "conclusions"...they are guesses. — Frank Apisa


    Not really. I do agree that evidence doesn't point either way of the issue. Not enough to say God exists and not enough to say God doesn't exist. Given so, any claim on either of the two positions appears like guesses but it isn't.
    TheMadFool

    But...but...but...any assertion that at least one god exists...or, no gods exist...IS a guess. A blind guess at that.

    We, depending on our worldview, choose one option based on the arguments that most convince us. Theism/atheism is based on some form of logic and so aren't simply guesses.

    ANY and EVERY assertion that at least one god exists...IS A BLIND GUESS.

    ANY and EVERY assertion that no gods exist...IS A BLIND GUESS.

    World view and choices notwithstanding.
  • Can we calculate whether any gods exist?
    ↪Frank Apisa
    Yes, it falls on both, I agree. What I find annoying is when a theist thinks that they can just wade into a discussion like this and start attacking strong atheists when they're just as bad if not worse. The only trick that the theist might exploit here is to withhold any assertion representative of their belief. That is intellectually dishonest. They don't want to face up to intellectual scrutiny, but they're more than happy to jump right in to scrutinising strong atheism, whilst conveniently setting aside the much more defendable types of atheism or agnosticism or whatever you want to call it.
    S

    Agreed!

    Hard line theism...and strong atheism share a significant characteristic. Both tend to share their "convictions" as though they are truths incarnate.
  • Can we calculate whether any gods exist?
    ↪Frank Apisa
    I agree with you on the significance of that distinction.
    S

    Thanks, S.
  • Faith- It's not what you think
    In conversations about the existence or non-existence of gods (or a god)...

    ...a "belief" is merely a blind guess disguised by the use of the word "belief." That is all it is...a blind guess that at least one god exists...or that no gods exist.

    "Faith" is merely INSISTING your blind guess is correct.

    Mostly that "insisting" is done on the theistic side of the question...which is why "faith" is more closely associated with theistic sentiments.

    BUT...if someone on the non-theistic side makes a blind guess that no gods exist...and insists that the blind guess is correct...then "faith" applies there also.
  • Can we calculate whether any gods exist?
    As far as I can tell, you don't believe science has any limitations.T Clark

    I just want to point out that "...you don't 'believe' science has any limitations." ...

    ...IS NOT THE SAME AS...

    ..."you believe science has no limitations."

    That may become important as the discussion goes on, because "I do not believe there are any gods" IS NOT THE SAME AS..."I believe there are no gods."

    And the difference mentioned is significant.
  • Can we calculate whether any gods exist?
    ↪Rank Amateur
    But that isn't the purpose of the analogy! I'm not even disputing what you're saying about space teapots and God, I'm disputing the logical relevance. My point has been from the beginning that there's a good analogy to get out of a space teapot and God in terms of the evidence, and in terms of the burden of proof. I don't give a fig about your bad analogy which misses the point. There is no reasonable basis to believe in either, which is very much the point. Saying so of God is like saying so of a space teapot. And that isn't to say that we know as much about teapots as we do about God, it is only to say that the evidence for a space teapot is about as severely lacking as it is for God, and that it is insufficient grounds for concluding in favour. And Russell's point with the teapot was about fallacious attempts to shift the burden of proof. The burden of proof is on the theist and the teapotist, not on me.
    S



    Correct...

    ...UNLESS a counter assertion is made.

    If a counter assertion is made...as in, "there are NO gods"...then the burden of proof falls on both parties.
  • Can we calculate whether any gods exist?


    ↪Frank Apisa
    Yes, they're all guesses but the value of these guesses come in degrees depending on what your worldview/philosophy is. For instance if you're an empiricist then you will agree that there is very little or even no evidence that godly beings exist. On the other hand if you're of spiritual bent then you'll lean towards believing in the divine.

    In short, even if any and all claims about gods are guesses these guesses lead to strong conclusions depending on how you view reality is.
    TheMadFool

    I agree with part of what you said.

    A guess that "there is at least one god" or a guess that "there are no gods"...both emanate from predisposition.

    But both ARE JUST GUESSES. They are not "conclusions"...they are guesses.
  • Can we calculate whether any gods exist?
    Certainly a lot of "believing" going on here.

    Sounds like guessing to me.

    I wonder why you folk don't just call it guessing when it is guessing?
  • Why do we keep on kicking the can down the road?


    Sad to say (as an American) he does have a good chance to be re-elected.

    In fact, as an American, it is sad to say that he has any chance at all.

    We Americans have temporary custody of our Republic.

    We are disgusting custodians.
  • Can we calculate whether any gods exist?


    Think about what we are discussing here, Sam.

    We are discussing whether or not it is possible to calculate the existence or non existence of gods.

    If you want to suppose the answer to that can be "YES" because we can ask people around us what they blindly guess...

    ...by all means suppose that.

    I think it is an absurd notion.

    Okay?
  • "Skeptics," Science, Spirituality and Religion


    Ilya, some people guess that the REALITY of existence has a "god" (or gods) at its core. Some people guess that the REALITY of existence has no "gods" involved at all.

    They are merely guesses.

    For some, their guess makes them want to classify people who guess otherwise to be insane or stupid.

    Sorta that same thing happens in politics these days. People on one side of the political spectrum often classify people on the other side as "nuts" or stupid.

    So be it.

    No need to get excited about it. It just happens.
  • Presentism is Impossible
    In proposing a "first cause", you are acknowledging something can exist without a cause. It is a self-defeating argument which apparently you cannot acknowledge. — Frank Apisa


    I am proposing a timeless, eternal, first cause because that is the only model that fits the facts.
    Devans99

    No...it is not.



    We can't have time stretching back endlessly in an infinite regress; thats impossible. — Devans

    No...it is not.



    So how do you get out of the infinite regress? You could have 'time2' and have 'time2' create time. But then 'time2' is in an infinite regress. So at some point, you have to introduce something timeless (which means its beyond cause and effect so does not need causing) to escape from the infinite regress. — Devans

    I would do the ethical thing,Devans. I would acknowledge that I have no idea about the true nature of the REALITY of existence...and would not be ashamed to acknowledge that.

    I also would aver that the possibilities are probably endless...and may well be way beyond what any human can understand.

    What I would NOT do...is to offer scenarios pretending to be ultimate answers to the question.

    Thank you for asking.
  • Can we calculate whether any gods exist?


    Sam...there was a time when almost everyone alive on the planet...from every culture, context, and experience...would have "offered testimony" that the Earth was a pancake flat object in the center of the universe and that the sun, moon, and stars circled 'round it. There was a time, ONLY A HUNDRED YEARS AGO...when most scientists would have offered testimony that our galaxy was the entirety of the universe.

    If you are suggesting from such universality that ANYONE could KNOW either of those things to be so...you would be wrong.

    KNOWING that there are no gods...or KNOWING that there is at least one...

    ...is a guess, a blind guess at that. Totally blind.

    People who make the blind guess "there are no gods" and people who make the blind guess "there is at least one god"...apparently do not like to acknowledge that they are making blind guesses...so they do their best to disguise the fact that they are.

    Those who blindly guess there is at least one god mostly disguise their guesses by calling them "beliefs"...and actually ask that others give their blind guesses respect and honor, because they call them "beliefs."

    Those who blindly guess there are no gods mostly disguise their guesses by calling them the result of logic, reason, and science.

    Those who deal with the issue by saying, "I have no idea of whether there are any gods or not"...are the ones using reason, logic...and if I may, the "scientific method."

    Or, at least that is the way I see it.
  • Aquinas's Fifth Way


    We agree that Aquinas was looking to rationally justify (rationalize) his "faith." That was inherent in what I was suggesting with my remarks.

    Essentially he is starting with where he wants to end...that a GOD has to exist...and then shoehorning various ways to get to that point.

    His "proofs" all end up in a variation of... "This everyone calls GOD."

    If he were being real, all his situations would resolve to..."This may be because a GOD exists, but it also may be that one doesn't. We really do not know."

    I don't think we are that far apart, Aaron, but insofar as we are apart, the difference may be irreconcilable. I feel I am closer to the truth on this, but it certainly is possible you are.
  • If governments controlled disposable income of the .1 %, would poverty end?
    Some countries have a guaranteed minimum income, provided by the government whether or not the person works. The case has been made that it would be a good idea in the US, but it's a hard sale to make. It just rubs people the wrong way to give people money for doing nothing. I must admit I have some of those feelings myself.

    On the other hand, I like to think of myself as a pragmatist. The case has been made that providing everyone with a guaranteed minimum income would actually be cheaper than the current welfare system. It would certainly be less complicated. If that's true, I would consider supporting the idea.
    T Clark

    Yeah, it would be a very hard sell.

    BUT...I think it is doable.

    Fact is, the people "not working" and "doing nothing"...would actually be doing something important,...namely, staying the hell out of the way.

    Reluctant workers...lazy workers...inefficient workers...

    ...have a negative impact on productivity.

    I've written on this extensively...and will probably write more here.

    It is gonna be a tough sell!
  • Why isn't rationality everything? (in relation to using rationality as a means to refute religion)
    — Frank Apisa


    I think there are some areas of philosophy where we do act as though we're on the autistic spectrum and we don't quite know what to do with words, and there is value in that. I'm also a big fan of clarification.

    But there are other domains in which there is no merit in acting like there is some unsolvable mystery bound up in a word so that it's practically useless, when all you have to do is look at how it's being used.
    frank

    You seem reluctant to give a direct answer...and if you are not willing to do so for some reason...just tell me and I will drop it.

    As of the moment, when you use the word "atheist"...I do not know if you are denoting someone who asserts "there are no gods"...or if you are denoting someone who asserts, "I do not have a 'belief' in any gods."

    That difference is significant...and matters to someone trying to understand what you are saying.

    I have no problem, however, if you don't care whether I understand what you are saying or not.

    That happens.
  • Aquinas's Fifth Way
    To call the some other way" "god" is purely gratuitous — Frank Apisa


    I do not agree. Assuming, of course, that Aquinas has successfully argued his point, then there must exist an infinite mind that acts as the final cause of all that exists. In saying "this we call God", he's simply acknowledging what was widely considered to be an attribute of God within his milieu.
    Aaron R

    Okay...for his day and age...it was the kind of "conclusion" that would be drawn...which was the reason he proposed it.

    Today, though, is not "back then."

    Today, saying there are mysteries...and then gratuitously suggesting those mysteries demand a "creator" "prime mover" "reason for ends"...is inappropriate.

    This is NOT to say there is no prime mover or creator.

    I have no idea if there is or if there is not.

    But the supposed necessity for any of those things...or the assertion of their existence...

    ...is gratuitous.
  • Presentism is Impossible
    The "g" in gods (which would make more sense if you are meaning "nothing further by it"...is almost always in lower case unless it is the first word of a sentence. — Frank Apisa


    https://simple.m.wiktionary.org/wiki/god

    So 'God' is capitalised when used in the singular and lower case in the plural.
    Devans99

    That is not the point of what I said...and I suspect you know that.

    From Wikipedia: Jupiter also known as Jove was the god of the sky and thunder

    From Ancient History Encyclopedia: Among the many gods of the Romans, Jupiter, the son of Saturn, was the supreme god, associated with thunder, lightning, and storms.

    From Greek Mythology.com: Apollo was the son of Zeus and Leto, twin brother of Artemis. He was the god of music, and he is often depicted playing a golden lyre



    The "first cause" argument defeats itself...and makes no sense at all. If you are positing a "first cause" because everything requires a prior cause...what is the prior cause to the "first" cause. — Frank Apisa


    Nothing is prior to the first cause. It is beyond time (and cause and effect) so does not need creating. It just IS. That is the only way to avoid an infinite regress of time stretching back endlessly. — Devans

    In proposing a "first cause", you are acknowledging something can exist without a cause. It is a self-defeating argument which apparently you cannot acknowledge.

    Okay.

    ASIDE: The word "supernatural" sounds unnatural to me. If natural is anything/everything that exists...then EVERYTHING that exists is natural. If there is a GOD...then that GOD is a part of nature. If ghosts exist...they are a part of nature — Frank Apisa


    I agree you can regard God as part of the overall universe. It's just when we come to creation, it's helpful to separate God from the universe he created. So nature would be everything he created. So everything apart from the initial creation is natural; the initial creation being supernatural.
    — Devans

    What "God" are you talking about there?
  • Why isn't rationality everything? (in relation to using rationality as a means to refute religion)
    What do you mean when you use "atheism?" — Frank Apisa


    My intention was to be on the same page as the OP. If I failed, that can be worked out in conversation.
    frank

    I don't see the word "atheist" or "atheism" in the OP...so I am still not sure what YOU mean when you use those words.

    As you say, though, we can clear that up in conversation.


    I also question your assertion, "More educated, affluent people are more likely to be atheists."

    One Frank to another...where does that come from? — Frank Apisa


    This is the article Psychology Today used to justify the claim. Is it wrong?

    Not necessarily "wrong"...but dubious. I have a distrust of articles like that one. It contains "studies" and "statistics." I took "statistics" in college three times...once for a math requirement; once for an economics requirement; and once for a psychology requirement...

    ...and my professors all said (or alluded to) the notion that any of us pursuing polling or statistical analysis careers should ALWAYS attempt to divine the ends an employer or client is looking for BEFORE doing the research! A clever statistician can come up with "most seas are colored pink" if required.

    Anyway...I suspect that as many intelligent people would gravitate toward "agnostic"...as would choose "atheist."

    Albert Einstein, Carl Sagan, Neil deGrasse Tyson all described themselves as agnostic.
  • Why isn't rationality everything? (in relation to using rationality as a means to refute religion)
    ↪intrapersona

    Look at religion the way a sociologist might. More educated, affluent people are more likely to be atheists. I think the reason for this is related to what Marx said about religion: that it's like opium. At first glance, this sounds bad, as if believers are like junkies, deluded and wasting away in a back alley somewhere. In fact, opium is also medicine. Anesthesia can debilitate, but it can also return function to a person who would be curled up in a ball on the floor otherwise.

    The reason educated people are freed from the need for this anesthesia is that they're more like to be insulated from the things in life that cause pain. They have health care. Their children have access to antibiotics. They don't live where drive-by shootings happen regularly. They don't fear that attention from the police will lead to a catastrophe. They believe they can contribute meaningfully to their community.

    Uneducated people are more likely to be poor and disenfranchised. I'm not saying rich educated people don't feel pain, I'm just saying they receive it at a lower dose. So if you consider the options for a poor person who becomes overwhelmed by death and disease: which would you choose for them? Real opium? Or religion, which comes with a supportive community?

    I think if you look at it this way, you'll see that rational argumentation is going to be fairly impotent in regard to refuting religion. Spend your free time working to help poor families with sickness, community disintegration, and economic instability. That will actually advance atheism.
    frank

    "Atheism" is an almost useless word. One must give an explanation of what one means when using it. Some people intend to mean " a lack of belief in any deities." Some intend it to mean "a belief that no gods exist."

    What do you mean when you use "atheism?"

    I also question your assertion, "More educated, affluent people are more likely to be atheists."

    One Frank to another...where does that come from?
  • If governments controlled disposable income of the .1 %, would poverty end?
    By now, it is an outrage that we have not devised a system where every citizen has sufficient of the necessities of life...without resorting to working for it.

    Working should be reserved only for the most productive...which, these days, would most often be machines.

    No one should have to "work for a living"...the necessities of life should be guaranteed for all. Work should be for the excesses (luxuries) of life...and jobs should be reserved only for people willing to do them at peak efficiency.

    Food, clothing, shelter, transportation, communication, healthcare, education...and a modicum of recreation should be guaranteed for all.

    Whatever it takes to achieve that end should be what we do. That does not mean that the rich should no longer be rich...or that they alone should bear the burden of providing.

    Fact is, we have more than enough for everyone to have all those necessities. If we were to increase our productivity by limiting jobs only to people and machines that are highly productive...we would have even more.

    The problem is distribution.

    We can work that out...and we insult ourselves by not having already done so.
  • The Complexities Behind The Act of Suicide
    My main thought about suicide is that it should be something a person can obtain help in doing in a decent way...perhaps even with final good-byes.

    It may be apocryphal, but supposedly poet/author Richard Brautigan left a suicide note that read, "Messy, isn't it." He died by a self-inflicted gunshot wound to the head.

    There has got to be better ways.
  • Can we calculate whether any gods exist?
    I am left to conclude that any AND ALL assertions that “at least one god exists”; “no gods exist”; “it is more likely that at least one god exists than that no gods exist; or “it is more likely that no gods exist than that at least one god exists”…

    …are nothing more than blind guesses. — Frank Apisa


    Your conclusion is not correct.

    I am not a follower of any specific religion nor believer in any particular god. On the other hand, I recognize that the experience of god is a common human experience. It's something I've felt and I know many others have. Intellectually, I won't say the concept of god is indispensable to an understanding of how the world works, but it seems to me that our prime example of a godless understanding of the nature of reality - science - often misses a lot of the story.
    T Clark

    If you had begun your comments with, "Your conclusion may not be correct"...I would have given it some respect.

    As it is...you are telling me that MANY PEOPLE guess at least one god exists...but that they are not guessing.

    I am less inclined toward respect than I am toward amusement at that.

    Perhaps you can tighten your argument up a bit?
  • Presentism is Impossible
    It's just a convention that the g in God is capitalised. I mean nothing further by it.Devans99

    The "g" in gods (which would make more sense if you are meaning "nothing further by it"...is almost always in lower case unless it is the first word of a sentence.

    Well the first cause argument is sound I think: Time has a start; was created, by something timeless. That in itself did not need creating (because it's timeless). It's the only way out of the infinite regress at the start of time.Devans99

    The "first cause" argument defeats itself...and makes no sense at all. If you are positing a "first cause" because everything requires a prior cause...what is the prior cause to the "first" cause.

    The "first cause" argument is an insult to logic.

    The BB is very unnatural. Starts with a very low entropy which is unnatural. The expansion of space looks very unnatural; no ordinary explosion. Plus natural events always come in pluralities; the BB is a singleton. Very unnatural. Supernatural you could say.Devans99

    Intuitively, the Big Bang looks very unnatural...and my blind guess would be that future scientists will probably do to it what 20th century scientists did to the idea that our galaxy is the entire universe.

    ASIDE: The word "supernatural" sounds unnatural to me. If natural is anything/everything that exists...then EVERYTHING that exists is natural. If there is a GOD...then that GOD is a part of nature. If ghosts exist...they are a part of nature.

    I acknowledge that it may be an idiosyncrasy, but I think the notion of "supernatural" is self-contradictory.
  • Presentism is Impossible
    If you are making some subtle distinction between "a creator" and (what you insist on describing as) God...what is that distinction? — Frank Apisa


    Well there is a tendency with traditional religion to assign unbelievable abilities to God (the 3 O's). That is not the sort of thing I am talking about when I talk about a creator. I mean purely something that created the universe. So you might call it God but that does not mean it has the 3 O's.
    Devans99

    Then why on Earth would you insist on using God...rather than a god or gods?

    Really?

    You have no problem using a lower case in your use of "creator"...but when you mention a god...you insist on using "God" which, in our culture, denotes something specific.

    If, however, it was not created...NOT ONE DAMNED THING IS EVIDENCE THAT IT WAS CREATED. — Frank Apisa


    - the prime mover argument
    - fine tuning for life of the universe

    Are both evidence and are both discussed above.

    The prime mover argument is nonsense. It was nonsense when Aquinas used it...for certain it is nonsense in your arguments. Once you posit ANYTHING that starts movement...you negate any thought that there has to be a "prime mover."

    The Big Bang is also evidence of creation.

    The Big Bang may be evidence of creation of what we human now consider "the universe." Current humans may be as wrong about what "the universe" is as cave men were of what "the universe" means.
  • Can we calculate whether any gods exist?

    Okay...my position is that I do not know if the REALITY is that at least one god exists...or if the REALITY is that no gods exist.

    Are you saying that you do know one way or the other?

    If you are not...

    ...we are in agreement that neither of us knows.

    I have no problem with you making a blind guess that no gods exist...just as I have no problem with Devans making a blind guess that at least one (creator) does...nor do I mind that Devans says his blind guess is based on logic or reason or probability analysis...or that you say yours is a function of logic and reason.

    I often make guesses myself. It has cost me at times...at the track or at the tables.
    Echarmion
  • Presentism is Impossible
    ↪Frank Apisa
    I think there is quite a difference between giving a probability that a creator exists and saying categorically that God exists.
    Devans99

    Okay, let's say you are correct there.

    But the title of your thread here is "Presentism IS IMPOSSIBLE...and the implications of that are that, a "creator" must exist.

    If you are making some subtle distinction between "a creator" and (what you insist on describing as) God...what is that distinction?

    This should not be a cat-and-mouse game.

    So I am actually agnostic.

    If you say so.

    It honestly does not sound that way to me...although a reasonable case can be made that EVERYONE is agnostic...although some do not acknowledge that they are.

    But its better to use more precise language (IE probability) when possible.

    Yeah, and you should use "nuclear physics" when possible...or "football strategy" when possible. But the arguments you are using, Devans, is no more "probability" than it is nuclear physics or football strategy.

    As I see it, you are doing a combination of guessing and rationalizations...and trying to pass it off as probability analysis.


    And yes there is plenty of evidence that the universe was created.

    IF...(make that as large an "IF" as possible) the universe was created...THEN EVERYTHING IN EXISTENCE IS EVIDENCE THAT IT WAS CREATED.

    If, however, it was not created...NOT ONE DAMNED THING IS EVIDENCE THAT IT WAS CREATED.

    We just do not know...so your assertion that "there is plenty" is nothing but a blind guess.
  • Presentism is Impossible
    I am not rationalising. No-one can be sure if there is a creator or not. A step removed from that is a probability analysis. This is a more refined view of not knowing. You may disagree with the numbers I used but the general approach is sound and better than guessing.Devans99

    I'm not trying to be a wise-ass here, Devans...and I appreciate your point of view and willingness to defend it.

    But what you see as a "probability analysis"...I see as a rationalization for a blind guess that you do not want to acknowledge as being a blind guess. Not sure of why you want to rationalize it...there are all sorts of things that go into blind guesses about whether or not any gods exist.

    I take a non-guessing route. Here is my position on the question:

    I do not know if gods exist or not;
    I see no reason to suspect gods CANNOT EXIST...that the existence of gods is impossible;
    I see no reason to suspect that gods MUST EXIST...that gods are needed to explain existence;
    I do not see enough unambiguous evidence upon which to base a meaningful guess in either direction...

    ...so I don't.


    It seems to me that you do.

    You are guessing that there is at least one god...and I am going to blindly guess that you think that one god is the same god Aquinas guessed exists...and, sorta like Aquinas, you are looking to make your guess seem to be the product of logic and reason.

    It isn't, Devans. Truly it isn't.
  • Presentism is Impossible
    A probability analysis that comes up with a 97% chance for the existence of "Creator"...is zero steps away from being a blind guess that the blind guesser just cannot kick — Frank Apisa


    Well at least I'm systematic about it, unlike you - you are just using gut instinct / taking a wild guess. I am calculating.
    Devans99

    C'mon, Devans. What do you suppose I am guessing about?

    I am not making guesses in this area.

    And as for your "calculating"...ummm...you might consider using "rationalizing" instead. Whatever you are doing...it is MUCH closer to rationalizing than calculating.

    Nothing wrong with that. Many people do it. But best to be aware when doing it.
  • Can we calculate whether any gods exist?
    Maybe not, but maybe so.Rank Amateur

    Yup...maybe not...maybe so.
  • Can we calculate whether any gods exist?
    Fair enough, I should have specified "on earth, currently". But the point is that the scientific method does provide a "closed system". It always has a clear answer on whether or not something exists. It's either part of our predictions or it isn't.Echarmion

    Okay...but we have to allow for an inability to do something via the "scientific method" at the current time. Right now...it is not possible for us to determine how existence came to be...or if in fact, it always has been. Our limited abilities in this regard to not require that we have a default of "then it cannot be" because we cannot determine that it does.


    .
    What I was getting at is that there is an argument that belief in God is reasonable, even if it's just a blind guess. Bitter Crank hinted at that argument: Perhaps God is a necessary concept in human civilization.Echarmion

    Make no mistake about it...I have absolutely no problem with anyone guessing that gods exist...or that "God" exists.

    I also have absolutely no problem with anyone guessing that no gods exist.

    I do have a small problem with people using the words "believe" or "belief" to describe their blind guess, though.
  • Presentism is Impossible
    ↪Frank Apisa
    I did not say a 97% chance of God. I said a 97% chance of a creator. There is a difference. The chances of that creator also complying with the traditional religious attributes of a deity is then somewhat lower depending upon how much 3O mayonnaise is added to the deity.
    Devans99

    My apologies...you did not use "God." I screwed up there.

    Allow me to change my earlier response.

    A probability analysis that comes up with a 97% chance for the existence of "Creator"...is zero steps away from being a blind guess that the blind guesser just cannot kick.

    There...that's better.
  • Can we calculate whether any gods exist?


    Lots of good points there...but whether a blind guess is made as a result of culturally engineering or not...it is still a blind guess.
  • Can we calculate whether any gods exist?
    We can establish whether or not a god, or gods exist empirically through science. Empirically, whatever is not part of the current best explanation doesn't exist. So unicorns, invisible teapots and gods all do not exist, except as purely mental concepts.Echarmion

    I'm thinking we cannot establish whether unicorns exist or not...using logic, reason, science, or math. Big universe. An equine with a single horn sticking out of a forehead is not that unreasonable.



    This, of course, doesn't tell us anything about whether or not a god or gods exist outside of empirical reality. As a metaphysical question, the existence of god can indeed not be established by either logic or maths, which includes probability theory.

    Agreed.


    Whether or not reason compels us to believe in a god is a tricky question and depends on your understanding of what reason is.

    It also depends on one's understanding of what "belief" is.

    In the area of religion...as in "I believe God exists" or "I believe no gods exist"...

    ...the words "I believe" seems to be used in place of "It is my blind guess."

    Nothing wrong with guessing.
  • Presentism is Impossible
    I must reject this because everyone knows for certain that 87.6% of all statistics are made up on the spot. — Frank Apisa


    A probability analysis is one step away from being made up on the spot.
    Devans99

    A probability analysis that comes up with a 97% chance for the existence of "God"...is zero steps away from being a blind guess that the blind guesser just cannot kick. .
  • Presentism is Impossible
    It is every bit as "probable" that there was (is) no "directing intelligence" involved...as that there was (is). (Fact is, the "probability" of both is beyond human abilities to calculate.) — Frank Apisa"

    Here you would be resorting to the Weak or Strong Anthropic Principle?
    Devans99

    I am not resorting to anything. I am merely stating a fact.


    BTW, it is possible to estimate the chance of the existence of a 'creator of the universe':

    - Start at 50% / 50% for a unknown boolean proposition
    - Allow for evidence of the Prime Mover argument: 50% + 50% * 75% = 87.5%
    - Allow for evidence of the Fine tuning of the universe 87.5% + 12.5% * 75% = 96.875%

    So 97% chance of God’s existence.

    I must reject this because everyone knows for certain that 87.6% of all statistics are made up on the spot.