It is twice as likely to occur to miss Beauty. Tails happens twice, and heads only once.Sure, but it doesn't mean that tails is twice as likely to occur as heads, — Michael
Ouch... Does miss Beauty know that she's getting fewer points on some of the bets. In that case the outcome is certain and she can win every bet. If not, she's not the one doing the gambling.So, I ran 100,000 games and gave 1 point for successfully guessing heads and 0.5 points for successfully guessing tails (because you get two opportunities). It doesn't matter if you always select heads, always select tails, select tails 1/2 the time, or select tails 2/3 of the time. The average score is 0.5 in every case. — Michael
Information about the toss can very much change that. If she is able to actually see the result of the toss, the odds become a certainty one way or another, not 50/50. So information does change the odds, and she has information beyond the simple fact that a coin was tossed.This one is begging a different answer. From Sleeper's perspective, this has not been established.
— noAxioms
She already knows that it was a fair coin toss and that a fair coin toss has a 50% chance of landing heads. Nothing can change that. — Michael
This one is begging a different answer. From Sleeper's perspective, this has not been established.I don't know what you mean by adding up to 33%.
P(Heads) = 50% — Michael
Yes, the Monday awakening is twice as likely as the Tuesday one. It doubles the weight of that awakening. So it adds up to 33% since there is a 50/50 shot on the heavier awakening, and a 0% shot on the Tuesday one.But one of those awakenings is twice as likely as each of the other two, which is why the halfer answer is correct. — Michael
I hate to say there is no conundrum about this one. I've not read most of the posts past this point in the thread.So we have:
H: A, S
T: A, A
So since there are three possible awakenings and only one is when the coin comes up heads, then won't that mean she has a 33% chance of it being heads? — Jeremiah
Well as I said, I think I am the wrong person to give answers to questions about a view that I do not hold.Before you are born is the period I am referring to. If I start to exist there is the question of how I start to exist as that person. — Andrew4Handel
Yes, that's the second guy I'm referring to. I say it doesn't exist. There is nothing that could have been somebody else until being born in this specific body. Mind you (pun intended), I am not asserting this. I'm just saying that the question you pose goes away with my answer. If this dualistic view is one you prefer, fine. As I said, religion has a lot of answers to how you got to be the fourth of six siblings, or how you got to be human at all for that matter.You could not be anyone else now but you could have been someone else and been born in another body or era or gender. — Andrew4Handel
My answer is that it would seem absurd for the 4th child to be conscious of being the second child. That's what monism says. I think a lot of people that claim to be monists actually don't understand it and cannot accept that simple answer. It sure took me a long time.I am one of 6 children I am conscious of being the fourth child but why not the first or sixth?
Fine. I have never heard of anybody that was somebody else. Why am I me? Well, who else could I be?There is no realistic way of taking the "I" out of any theory because that raises the question of who is talking and what they are talking about. — Andrew4Handel
'Inhabit'. OK, I see the path you want. Never mind at all what I say then. Religion has better answers to this one than I do.inhabit this conscious location of having experiences of a reality and how this subjective location arises — Andrew4Handel
Well, an objective viewpoint is a view from nowhere and thus not really a viewpoint, but an objective description need not be precluded, and it often yields answers that elude a subjective description. You're going to need it for answers like this one.As Thomas Nagel says "Objectivity is a view from nowhere" — Andrew4Handel
Well this is not my paradox, I didn't invent it. It is a well known paradox, and widely recognized as such. Also the mathematical proof is posted in the OP. — Jeremiah
Fair enough. The relevant definition of paradox that pops up says this:So you don't think is a paradox, OK fine, I don't really care. — Jeremiah
The funny cone seems to fall under definition 'a' since it seems opposed to common sense to many people. So yes, it makes sense to 'resolve' such paradoxes by showing that the seeming contradiction is something that is actually the case. The mathematics (a computation of the area and volume) is linked in the OP, but not sure what part of that is a 'proof' of something.a : a statement that is seemingly contradictory or opposed to common sense and yet is perhaps true
b : a self-contradictory statement that at first seems true
c : an argument that apparently derives self-contradictory conclusions by valid deduction from acceptable premises — Webster
I never contested the mathematics, which simply shows that the object indeed has infinite area but finite volume. I can think of more trivial objects that are finite in one way but infinite in another, and your cone did not strike me as a connundrum. But I retract my assertion that it is not a paradox. The definition above speaks.Saying there is no mathematical basis for this just tells me you can't read the math, as it is posted right there for you to review.
Indeed, it is only a mathematical object. A real one could not be implemented, growing too thin to insert ice cream particles after a while.You can say, well it is not in the real world — Jeremiah
This assertion is exactly that: just an assertion, and a false one at that. There is no mathematical basis for this. The paradox apparently comes from your assumption of this nonexistent law.Any container or solid object that has an endless surface area, but a finite volume is paradoxical, abstractly or otherwise.
Volume is the amount of space it takes up, so if it has endless surface area it should have endless volume. — Jeremiah
A paradox is usually of the form of "If A is true, then A can be shown to be false". Your original 25 25 50 60 thingy would have been paradoxical had the 60 entry read 0%. What you seem to be reaching for here is not a paradox, but rather a violation of the law of non-contradiction, that a thing cannot be both X and not-X at the same time in the same way. I don't see the violation due to the 'in the same way' part.The horn both converges and diverges, so it fits your personal take on what is needed for a paradox. — Jeremiah
that paints an infinite surface. 'goes on forever' is not what I said, and seems a sort of undefined wording.So you are suggesting a finite amount of paint that goes on forever.
No, the volume is finite. You said that. There is finite (convergent as you put it) volume of ice cream, which could be paint.So in your suggestion the volume of the paint both converges and diverges?
I think you just can't admit that you were wrong. — Jeremiah
That is not philosophy, not by a long shot and if that is the standard that passes on these forums, then I have to question if I belong here at all. — Jeremiah
Because my arumgent is sound, besides I hate it when everyone sits around agreeing with each other, it is incredibly unproductive. — Jeremiah
In what way is this in need of 'resolution'? You haven't stated a problem with this scenario.This one is a bit trickier and as far as I know it has not been resolved. — Jeremiah
Clearly the paint would not run out, as it hasn't in your example. It covers the entire surface, and doesn't even need to be spread out to do so, since it has finite thickness (all the way to the center line) at any point being painted.So you are suggesting if it was filled with paint, you could use a finite amount of paint to paint an endless surface.
It seems to me, that you'd run out of paint, and even if you could stretch the paint infinitely thinner, that still does not resolve the paradox. As abstractly what you have is a cone with a converging volume and a diverging surface area. — Jeremiah
A simple example to the contrary suffices in proving wrong an assertion that all A is B, or in this case, the only valid interpretation (A) is one of a sample space of 4 (B). Many of us have produced that alternate interpretation of a sample space of three (~B).So what would constitute a proof that your first assertion is wrong, what kind of proof would we need to present, and what standards would be assessing that proof by to see if it held? — Pseudonym
Not so. You just refuse to slice it the way some others are.33% is not a valid answer no matter how you slice it. It completely ingores the distribution. — Jeremiah
The people saying 33% are demonstrating a fundamental misunderstanding of basic probability. — Jeremiah
????There is only one purposed chance event. It does not loop back on itself, it is not a circle and, as long as you don't say C), then you are not wrong until after the chance event, only then can you be wrong. — Jeremiah
Of course it is circular. Perhaps there is a paradox that is not, but I cannot think of one offhand.The problem as I see is that the outcome changes the solution and I not sure if I would consider that truly circular. — Jeremiah
If none of the choices is correct, then the correct answer is simply not among the choices. 0% is the answer since it cannot be chosen. This itself is not paradoxical. Hence my comment that (C) should have been 0%, not 60. That forces the paradox.0% is not a possible outcome, which means there is a 0% chance of it being 0%. — Jeremiah
of correctly guessing the answer giving the correct odds.Guessing what correctly though? — StreetlightX
But there is. It asks about the odds of guessing correctly.There's no criterion for correctness, so there's no possible answer. — StreetlightX
I agree, and the consistency of this makes it not a paradox. Choice C should probably have been 0% instead of 60%. Then it would be a paradox I think.Therefore, the correct answer is 0% which is correct because it is not a choice on offer. — unenlightened
Non-relational use of 'existence', so no . We can converse partly because of our existence in relation to each other. That is not a sufficient condition. It also requires the relation of 'can interact'. I have only the former relation with Napoleon, and thus cannot converse with him. I have questionable existence in relation to Napoleon. I was presuming (as I stated many posts back) a mono-world deterministic interpretation of QM. If not, even that relation goes away.Is your existence dependent upon the existence of our conversation? — Harry Hindu
Not much difference. There is the additional relationship of 'can experience' that I have with the moon.What is the difference between the relationship of the Moon and a mailbox and the moon and yourself? Doesn't the differences lie in the attributes that make up the objects of those relationships?
Yes, it would need a relationship with something else in order for it to exist, and then only in relation to said other thing, degrading the 'no-longer-universe' to a component within a larger structure. For example, for there to be a way for a non-deterministic interpretation of QM to work, there would need to be a relationship between the physical sub-structure and whatever is rolling the dice for it.And you keep cherry-picking my post, ignoring the point I keep making about the universal structure itself needing a relationship with something else in order for it to exist. How do you prevent yourself from falling into an infinite regress?
I am using 'universe' as 'the whole structure'. Multiverse is another term for this, with multiple universes. I would alternatively call the complete structure 'the universe' with multiple worlds. The difference is just choice of terminology. For example, distant (say 30BLY away) stars do not exist in relation to our solar system. There is no direct relation between us. So the natural QM fit is the relational interpretation where the state of one thing is defined strictly in terms of specific other states. Such and such is true in relation to Alice, but a different state of affairs is the case for Bob or Bob a minute hence or the cat in the box. Other worlds do not exist in relation to any of them...or a multiverse.
Haven't watched it yet. The summary you give seems true of realism as well, so not sure if it is what I'm seeking.It must have a name and maybe an article somewhere.
— noAxioms
Process philosophy?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Q6cDp0C-I8
"The universe is a set of relationships between relationships, between relationships - all of which change over time. None of these relationships is ever static."
Ah yes, so I did. And we're not using the word to mean physical objects.I used the word, "object", as you did. I said nothing of physical objects. — Sapientia
I admit that the word has connotations of being a member of something bigger. Earth is an object, but the universe isn't really thought of that way, unless in context of something larger like a god and his creation-object that he puts on the shelf next to his five other ones. So I suppose it was careless language use since those connotations are not intended. A side of a square is an object of sorts more than is the structure that is the square that is not in a larger context like a coordinate system.You said that you want to explore this point about objects needing to be real for them to have properties and relations, and, in relation to this, you seemed to be taking the Mandelbrot set as an example of an object. You are also calling it a mathematical structure. But, is the latter what you're saying it is specifically, or is it what you're saying it is instead of an object?
Well the OP mentioned that it removes the perplexing question of how existence comes to exist. I can't say how it was created since that puts existence inside the larger context of time, reducing it to an 'object'. Objects in our universe get created. The concept is confined to the rules here.Anyway, what I'm interested in, is what the consequences of committing to the alternative stance would be. That is, if objects don't need to be real to have properties and relations, then what does that entail? Anything of significance?
Well thank you for giving it fair consideration. Most of the responses have been knee-jerk protests based on assumptions of realist views. And hey, I identified as a realist for some time, but I'm learning not to identify as anything, because that just closes you off to further exploration. There are few stances I've not given fair consideration. I don't think idealism is incompatible with physicalism. Both are relational views, but relative to different things. Mine is sort of a generalization, but minus a fundamental core of reality.On the face of it, it seems to be right to say, for example, that a property of a unicorn is that it has a horn, or that a property of the Mandelbrot set is that it is complex or contains numbers. But you ask how it is that things like unicorns, which are not real, can have properties. That's a good question. There does seem to be something counterintuitive about that. I'm going to give this encyclopaedia entry on nonexistent objects a read, as I think that it relates.
Not a physical object. I didn't use the word. It is a mathematical structure, one that can be referenced but not really instantiated. Again, I'm not talking about our awareness of the structure (it's concept), but about the structure. Only the latter has that property of being connected. The concept only has an awareness of that property.Well, it seems to me that it would make sense to start by questioning what kind of thing the mandelbrot set is. You seem to suggest above that it's an object. But is it? What makes it an object, rather than anything else? — Sapientia
That is exactly what 'existential quantification' means. It is not an assertion of the realism of the thing in question. But in the relational view, perhaps that is all there is.The wording ("there exists", "such that") is associated with first-order logic — Sapientia
Not following this. Are you talking about temporal existence? For that, the conversation requires sufficient proximity and simultaneous overlap of existence in spacetime to allow interaction. The square isn't a temporal structure, so I don't think this is what you mean.But each of us existed prior to our conversation. In order for our relationship to exist, we must exist prior to our conversation. Our conversation is a relationship, but not one that is necessary for each of our existence. — Harry Hindu
Going to need more time with this one. I think the question is important, but most of Platonic views are ones of realism, not relativism. Nothing exists as an external object, so no 'is real', but only 'is real to...'.Wait a minute, what are you talking about, "a square" or "any square". The former is a particular square, the latter is a general idea allowing for the possibility of a particular. Am I correct that you are assuming a Platonic Form, "the mathematical form itself"? Doesn't this mathematical form exist as an eternal object? — Metaphysician Undercover
Not talking about a square in my mind. Talking about any square, the mathematical form itself, and not merely the concept of it, which would require a relation with a conceiver.OK, I'll see if I can make sense of this. You are assuming "a square", that is your premise. Now you are talking about the sides of that square. It is all in your mind, the square and the sides, so you say that it has no objective existence — Metaphysician Undercover
Not a consciousness thing. The moon stands in relation to my mailbox, so each exists to the other, despite neither having awareness of each other.Really, when it comes down to it, all of these conscious machinations are doing nothing to address the 'hard problem' -- i.e. what is consciousness? — snowleopard
We are having this conversation since we stand in relation to each other, through this forum as well as other means. That is what ontology is in the relational view. The question is not "does A exist?", but rather "does A exist to B". You among others are reaching for non-relational assumptions. So the universe exists to me and you, and that means we can have this conversation.If you are not claiming the ontological existence of anything, then what are you actually saying? You are not saying anything interesting or meaningful.
Are you describing a state-of-affairs that exists, or no? Are we actually having this conversation or no? — Harry Hindu
It not worded that way in the relational view, and I've never seen in worded that way anywhere. It seems weak, since there are no actual squares (since there are no actual line segments or planar objects for that matter. There can be no truth to the statement above, lacking anything real to give any weight to the right side of the statement. I might have well said that if there exists a square, then it is round. That isn't false since there are no squares outside of platonism. Hence my comment that platonism would be necessarily true, but nobody uses this line of reasoning to prove platonism.That can be better put logically, as folows: if there exists a square, then it is such that its opposite sides are parallel. — Sapientia
Similar, the moon and I stand in relation to each other, and so I say it exists in relation to me, but that is not a declaration of absolute ontology. Yes, the view is a form of ontological nihilism, but I've read up on nihilism, and it is something else. — noAxioms
I just quoted what I just posted above. I am not being careful with my wording. I say the moon exists, but formally I say it exists only in relation to me. We're part of the same structure.I think I'm also saying that existence of things is not necessary for the experience of those things. Only a relationship between the experiencer and the experienced.
— noAxioms
This is confusing. Are you sure you mean what you just said? How can the experience be of those things, if those things don't exist? If a unicorn doesn't exist, then I can't experience it. I can experience something resembling a unicorn, but I can't experience a unicorn. — Sapientia
I am going to fall back to my square again. I seem to be on my own. The view must be faulty if nobody seems to grasp what I'm trying to describe.<These:> Wat? — Sapientia
The sides of a square are parallel, a relation. That relation does not make the square exist. I'm not claiming relation prior to existence. But one side of a square exists (existential quantification, not a designation of ontology) in relation to the other sides and to the angles. This doesn't mean any of it has objective existence.I think a relation requires things that are related, and the recognition of the things is prior to the recognition of the relations. — Metaphysician Undercover
A different premise, not fact.Assuming that you must exist in order to argue, is not 'begging anything' and is not 'bias'. It's a simple statement of fact and not a matter for debate. — Wayfarer
If things need other things to exist and those things are defined by their relationships with other things, why would relationships themselves be excempt from this rule? Wouldn't relationships need the existence of non-relationships to exist as relationships?
— — Harry Hindu
They don't need other things to exist since they don't exist. The structure simply has these relations, and those relations are independent of the existence of the structure. — noAxioms
