Not happening. Not at least as how an ordinary coup d'etat happens in the American continent.Our current president is so uniquely offensive that, judging from some of the recent headlines indicating that certain generals find him appalling, can it be possible we may join the group of nations which have experienced a military coup d'etat? — Ciceronianus the White



In fact that's actually what knowledge is I think, abstracting away from the world of particulars, to be able to make more general predictions.... or put in another way, we loose information at the level of detail, to gain knowledge on larger scales, i.e. to have a more holistic view. — ChatteringMonkey
From the questions themselves. Questions define what kind of information we look for. We create these complex things in order to explain complex phenomena. We can see a causal relationship from some specific vantage point going, but the questions aren't anymore answerable.Where does additional information come in then? — ChatteringMonkey
Because you lack the information needed to understand the question that needs more than the part.I agree that for obvious practical reasons this kind of reductionism is not feasable, but why do you think that it would be impossible in principle? — ChatteringMonkey
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Progressive enough for a lot of Republicans! Or at least they (the Republicans) are fearful of the people that then flock the seats of power along with him. But some may start be fed up with Trump.Sleepy Joe isn't a progressive anyway. — Marchesk
The Democrat Party was a bit different back then too, you know.From 1831 to 2003, Georgia never had an elected Republican Governor. During all of that history Georgia was overwhelmingly Democrat, both at the state and federal level. — Hanover
There's our champion of the Republic.the elections haven't done much at all. — fdrake
The issue is that they are made part of a culture war. Nobody is protesting for the release of the Minneapolis policemen (perhaps a police union, I don't know). But people can be against vandalizing the statues of Churchill and Gandhi. You have start from something, you know. Just look at how Fox News is depicting the events. There's an objective there.So I don't understand if you're criticising me or not, we agree on pretty much everything substantive. What part of our agreement is in the culture war again?
Seriously though. Really? You're willing to brand huge protests being blunted because they're part of a "culture war", that they're ultimately symbolic, and you're not wondering why their state isn't listening to them? — fdrake
In a representative democracy it's the elections that count. Demonstrations can influence elections. Demonstrations can make someone resign, but who is elected or appointed afterwards is the real change. Demonstrations just show that a lot of people are against something or for something. But those feelings can change if the objectives of a movement change.Are we in a democracy if "merely symbolic" huge protest doesn't do anything? If it isn't already enough? — fdrake
I think there is a great opportunity to reform the police and it can have positive long term effects.Tell me whether police reform is more likely now or before the uprising. — fdrake
Democracy works. If there is a will, there is a way. The real thing is about the will.What cynicism about the effectiveness of these protests shows, in the background, is that these people are taking to the streets because they know, like you know, they have no other voice; what political issues they care about cannot and will not be brought to the table. — fdrake
You wouldn't give a damn if MLK monument would be vandalized? Historico-political symbolism, you know.Personally? I don't give a damn if the statues stay up or not — fdrake
Like starting from a bit of realism and humility and have reachable goals: "systemic colonialism-racism" or "tthe global economy" won't change in a heartbeat, but what you can do is to demand and have better policing and end the militarization of the police.How do you expect the start of a mostly peaceful protest movement to make a targeted change regarding the systemic colonialism-racism of the global economy. — fdrake
If you want to move the Overton window any way or to do something to correct social injustices or problems, I think the way isn't to go full forward to a situation where idiotic culture wars discourse prevails. This is the way how to lose focus, how start eroding that consensus that would exist in condemning excessive use of force. To Put this in a different way, in order to erode the consensus of outrage and keep the status quo, anything that will divide people to the old lines we've seen will do the trick.If we care about the rightward shift of the Overton window, we should care about things that shift it left too. — fdrake
↪ernestm Data across counties for a single year doesn’t help, we need data over time, for anywhere besides the US, or for the world globally.
The point of all of this is that there is already a well-known explanation for violent crime dropping (in principle anywhere, but definitely in the US) since 1990, one independent of anything to do with police or guns. That is a counterpoint to your claim that it went down in that time period because of increased police in that period.
You claimed that is hasn’t gone down elsewhere. (Which it should, if it is all about atmosphere lead). I can’t find any data on trends over time elsewhere. You presumably have some, if you’re making a claim about it. I’d just like to see it. — Pfhorrest



I agree that retired generals primarily carried this message to avoid a formally "rogue" military. Possibly unprecedented, would be interesting to know if there are any parallels. — boethius
This is utterly false.And Denmark is at 0.34 deaths per million while Sweden is at 0.3. — NOS4A2
Same kind of places and all were in a very similar situation. They aren't the tourist hotspots like Northern Italy or New York. Just to give some reasons.so I’m not sure why we’d limit the comparison to Norway, Finland and Denmark. — NOS4A2
I would call that wager! Just that people likely will not now go to Northern Italy and other tourist placed would mean a lot just by itself. Just the slowdown in China would have effected dramatically the global economy even if the US and Europe would have avoided the pandemic.I wager there would be no such recession had everyone went the Swedish route. — NOS4A2


I think that now you start to see the differences with in the numbers, like here in the Nordic countries:All that social distancing....for what? — NOS4A2
The global economy is expected to shrink by about 5.2% in 2020 as a result of the coronavirus pandemic, making it one of the four most severe downturns in 150 years, the World Bank said Monday.
Never before have so many countries entered a recession at once, even during three more severe episodes—the Great Depression and the downturns following the two world wars, the bank said.
If you would say the same thing about national socialism, you would be banned.Of course there have been many terrible communist systems in the past and some that continue into he present. But if we can try to ignore those for a moment, is communism not an excellent form of government — TheDarkElf
Oh, so take out humans out of the picture? For whom are you making this thought experiment? If we talk about other species, there are a lot of obstacles there in portraying politics into their behavior.In this scenario human error and greed is removed. — TheDarkElf
Indeed. Yet toppling statues don't change or topple usually the institutions that put them up.A mob defacing statues is not the sign of a debate but of the perverted and illiberal use of violence and force to assert political expression. — NOS4A2


Is somebody here saying that to you?Well it doesn't matter, I'm just an over-privileged white animal with a despicable education at a useless shithole called Oxford, where I was taught, according to Rousseau's theory of truth by consensus, it must all be true. I dont really have anything more constructive to offer than that currently. — ernestm
Sorry to hear about your rough time and of the typical tone deaf response you get. Guess you haven't lived in the nicest neighborhoods.And that is not the least criticism I hear. the most common criticisms are
(1) I am a white privileged motherfucker who is no better than an animal and deserves to suffer (66%) and
(2) I made it all up because I hate black people (20%) — ernestm
Perhaps the inability to engage in the racial problems of the present and having a discourse that goes in circles?Aside from the vicious cycle of poverty, driven by capitalism, what real factors are there? The most obvious seem to be: slavery, Jim Crow, segregation, housing policy. Policies that kept wealth out of the hands of black people, imposed on the basis of race. — Echarmion
I hope that this is a 'figure of speech' and not an idea taken literally that the police is a separate race. That would sound as sinister racism to me.The idea that the police are institutionally a separate race, with a particular history of trauma is particularly interesting and relevant to current affairs. — unenlightened
His warcrime, apart being part of commander in the war in Afghanistan and Iraq and ending up commanding the whole lot, was that there was a case of collateral damage? Right. Lots of war criminals then starting from all the US Presidents, Clinton and Obama included.Mattis is also a war criminal who is trying to brand himself as a resistance Republican — Maw
In his memoirs, Leon Panetta – Obama’s defence secretary between 2011 and 2013 – states that Mattis and the Obama administration didn’t always see eye-to-eye, especially when it came to Mattis wanting to increase the US presence in Syria.
This is the scary part.What is also clear is that Trump wants this conflict between the people and the state, and, even if there is a lull in the conflict today, it is likely the president of the United States can get what he wants.
And there is still the pandemic happening. — boethius
Never had one?But I was asking how China deals with recessions, or are they like Australia and they've never actually had one? — frank
Australia suffered badly during the period of the Great Depression of the 1930s. The Depression began with the Wall Street Crash of 1929 and rapidly spread worldwide. As in other nations, Australia suffered years of high unemployment, poverty, low profits, deflation, plunging incomes, and lost opportunities for economic growth and personal advancement.
The Australian economy and foreign policy largely rested upon its place as a primary producer within the British Empire, and Australia's important export industries, particularly primary products such as wool and wheat, suffered significantly from the collapse in international demand. Unemployment reached a record high of around 30% in 1932, and gross domestic product declined by 10% between 1929 and 1931. There were also incidents of civil unrest, particularly in Australia's largest city, Sydney.
(See article China Abandons Economic Growth Targets Amid Pandemic)China is scrapping its annual economic growth targets for the first time since 1990, when it started announcing such economic figures, as its leaders grapple with the economic fallout of the novel coronavirus pandemic.
In China's centrally planned economy, Beijing's GDP target serves as an all-important touchstone on which local governments and state enterprises fix their annual policies and investments.
China's economy shrank 6.8% in the first quarter this year, the first recorded contraction in more than 40 years. Official unemployment figures have risen to 6.2%, though independent analysts estimate the actual rate to hover around 20%. About 460,000 businesses have gone bankrupt, according to the South China Morning Post.
So this year, leaders are stressing economic stability and poverty alleviation rather than growth.

Hear hear.I hear ya, but there is a turning back. We can simply cut out the tribalism and superiority poses etc. Again, I'm not making a moral point, but a tactical one. It's not in our interest to play Trump's game with him. Here's the bumper sticker slogan. :-)
Ignore Trump, and embrace his base. — Nuke

Let's see how the elections will go. Biden has a lead.I completely agree. But saying it over and over and over again is unlikely to accomplish anything. The fact that we already know that, and keep doing it anyway, illustrates where Trump is smart. He knows we're not serious people, even if we don't. Trump is a realist, that's his gift. — Nuke
Why is there not universal denunciation, from police departments all across the US, and promises to do better? Why are police seemingly not holding themselves to high standards? If these are bad cops - where are the good cops? Why are they not speaking? — StreetlightX
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Mansfield Police Chief Ron Sellon released a statement denouncing the actions of the Minneapolis police officers involved in the death of George Floyd as he assured town residents that his department is "commitment to the fair and equal treatment for every person."
Four days after the death of George Floyd, Vallejo Police Chief Shawny Williams issued a statement denouncing the events which led to the man’s death in Minneapolis police custody. “This tragic incident, committed under the color of authority, is a violation of what we stand for,” Williams said in a statement released Friday night. “We acknowledge that communities nationally and locally are angry, and we are emphatic to how communities may feel about these devastating events.”
Indianapolis police Chief Randal Taylor on Thursday denounced the actions of the Minneapolis officer shown on video kneeling on the neck of George Floyd before Floyd died in their custody. "As a 30-year law enforcement veteran, I cannot understand or justify the actions captured on video in Minneapolis," Taylor said on Twitter Thursday night. "Police officers swear an oath to protect the lives of our community members — including those in our custody."
