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  • Ukraine Crisis
    Interview regarding Prigozhin:

    Ivan Prieobrazhensky: After Prigozhin's death, Putin may attack Shoigu (via google translate)
    — Tatiana Kolesnychenko, Ivan Prieobrazhensky · Wirtualna Polska · Aug 28, 2023

    Has themes from Game of Thrones or The Prince (like opportunism, heartlessness, meticulous calculation, assassination, ruthlessness, whatever means to justify ends, deniability, cynicism, all that).

    (stumbled upon Wirtualna Polska, thanks
    ↪neomac
    )

    Inventive...

    Ukraine gets paper drones from Australia
    — Daisuke Sato · Defence Blog · Mar 21, 2023
    Like a child's project, with profound impact: How cardboard drones can shape Ukraine war
    — Madeleine Wedesweiler · SBS+AAP · Sep 6, 2023

    Payload: 5 kg
    Wingspan: 2 m
    Speed: 60 km/h
    Range: 120 km
    Price: US$3,500

    If (half) a dozen of those can take out, say, a parked fighter plane, then it seems worthwhile for the defenders.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Russia-1 TV interview with colonel general Andrey Mordvichev sometime at the end of July 2023:

    TheKremlinYap · Sep 9, 2023 · 1m:12s

    — How long will the war last?
    — I think there's still plenty of time to spend. It is pointless to talk about a specified period. If we are talking about Eastern Europe, which we will have to... Of course, then it will be longer.
    — Ukraine is only a stepping stone?
    — Yes, absolutely. It is only the beginning. I think that all kinds of ideologists and instigators of this war will not stop here.
    — How long do you feel they'll have enough fervor for this offensive?
    — Until the end of August. Their fervor will last until the end of August, and then there will be a short break. They won't accomplish much in the winter. By spring, I think it will all be over. The question is that we will have to respond to their offensive at some point in time. We have to liberate our lands. Unequivocally. It must be done, and we will have to do it.


    Might have been mainly intended for the general Russian population?

    Either way, it goes well with earlier statements (The Guardian, AP, RIA) from Sergey Lavrov + team, and Oleksii Reznikov later echoed some of this (BI). What to make of Dmitry Medvedev's fiery rambling (AJ, The Hill, TASS) in this context? "Ideologist/instigator"? The Moldovans have been nervous for some time (RFE/RL, AP+VOA, WSJ, Reuters, Yahoo, WION, CNN). Incidentally, we've seen other expansive (and provocative) activities (ArcticToday, CNN, AJ, Reuters, CTV, NP) of the world's largest country.

    A Putinian vision at work or something? What's your take anyway?
  • Climate change denial
    As I said before, the west is stupid if they are not worried about green policies damaging their economy. — Agree-to-Disagree
    ↪ChatteringMonkey, nature isn't particularly fair (or unfair) — Sep 6, 2023

    ... and doesn't care about human economy.

    maybe fusion could be like a "magic bullet"? — Sep 6, 2023

    It's a collective problem and up to humans to decide whether to do something or not.
  • Climate change denial
    ↪ChatteringMonkey
    , well, if ...

    yes, damned if you do, and damned if you don't — ChatteringMonkey

    ... becomes a rationale for not doing anything, then it better be right.


    Elsewhere, unrelated, not directly anyway...

    Microsoft funding new approach for carbon removal
    — Nick Robertson · The Hill · Sep 7, 2023
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Have a war, and, quick, an "election", ... :D

    Moscow stages local elections in occupied parts of Ukraine
    — Felix Light, Felix Hoske, Philippa Fletcher · Reuters · Aug 31, 2023
    Russia holds elections in occupied Ukrainian regions in an effort to tighten its grip there
    — Yuras Karmanau, Dasha Litvinova · AP · Sep 8, 2023
    Ukraine and US condemn ‘sham elections’ in Crimea, Russia decries ‘meddling’
    — Vikrant Singh · WION · Sep 8, 2023

    Alternate headline: "The Kremlin looks to expand regressive Russia to grabbed land."
    I imagine they get lots of requests for comments from news agencies and others.
    An open session with them and journalists from all over would be nifty.

    Here, when you buy a SIM card for your phone, you immediately get an SMS from the Ministry of Internal Affairs and United Russia Party. [...] People are generally apolitical, inert, and know who will win anyways. — “Baska” · CNN · Sep 8, 2023
    It comes alongside an effort to force residents in the regions to accept Russian citizenship, according to a report released last month by the Yale Humanitarian Research Lab. — Rob Picheta, Yulia Kesaieva, Vasco Cotovio, Svitlana Vlasova, Andrew Carey · CNN · Sep 8, 2023
  • Climate change denial
    ↪ChatteringMonkey
    , nothing can be done is a fairly substantial claim, not something we'd want to get wrong, right?
  • The Sahel: An Ecological and Political Crisis
    Partially confirms earlier speculation:

    Russia’s African coup strategy
    — Clint Watts · Microsoft Threat Analysis Center · Sep 1, 2023
  • Climate change denial
    So, yes, damned if you do, and damned if you don't... — ChatteringMonkey

    Such certainty...?
    Well, unless sufficiently justified, the suppositions/scenarios above still apply to those "doomsayers", right?
    (I mean ... "Suppose [...] What's the worst that could happen?")
    Incidentally, I know someone, not a climatologist, that, with a big sigh, says we're too late, but still have to try.
    The Holocene extinction is another factor here; something that ought to be addressed.
  • Climate change denial
    ↪Agree-to-Disagree
    , there are two suppositions/scenarios listed, where we could be a majority or enough to make a difference, like actors deciding on a path forward. What matters is in/actions decided upon. Sort of implicit in the suppositions.
    (For completion, you're free to add the remaining couple or so scenarios/permutations — climate change or not × do something or not — they just didn't seem as interesting.)

    ↪ChatteringMonkey
    , damned if you do, damned if you don't?
    Hmm Didn't that come up earlier?
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Putin claims West made Zelenskyy Ukrainian leader to mask "glorification of Nazism"
    — Global News · Sep 5, 2023 · 1m:47s


    As far as the invasion goes, the concern (at least that I've commented on lately) is what Kyiv possibly could have done, is doing, to be deemed a Nazi rule — a Nazi rule is what the Putinistas have claimed, their public rationale, and it's bunk. I imagine Ukrainian Nazis are doing whatever such extremists do. Going by the report, those Azov folks ain't it (unless Mossad screwed up royally). — Dec 20, 2022

    And now "the West" "glorifies Nazism"?

    Give it up already. Got old some time ago.
  • Climate change denial
    ↪ChatteringMonkey
    , nature isn't particularly fair (or unfair). But maybe fusion could be like a "magic bullet"?

    The source used by
    ↪BC
    (I think, feel free to correct), briefly discusses strategies, solutions, consequences:

    When will we run out of fossil fuels?
    — Ama Lorenz · FairPlanet · Apr 30, 2023

    Just FYI, one of the numbers I was looking for was the net amount of available fossil fuels (over time). This would give an indication of net anthropogenic chemical/physical change of our shared environment, and then an assessment of net effects over time. ("Think we can burn all this accumulated stuff [...]".)

    Anyway, I think only a minority of radicals demand immediate drastic political/societal change of the sort that destroys civilization, e.g. Ama Lorenz doesn't. On the other hand, I'd personally prefer not being among the generations of which our children's children say "they knew, and did nothing".
  • Climate change denial
    lots of people [...] are bitterly opposed to the level of change that is required — BC
    I suspect that many people don't want to lower their standard of living despite the fact that there is evidence/consensus of anthropogenic climate change. — Agree-to-Disagree

    Right, hence the failure in the second supposition above.
    Ego-priorities — of those that will be gone soon enough, leaving our children's children...
    Just don't be surprised if such moral failure is met with scorn.
    But changing path doesn't mean everyone goes back to stoneage living.
  • Climate change denial
    Anyone have solid/reliable numbers for

    • amount of fossil fuel deposits (let's say oil and coal)
    • amount of fossil fuels burned by humans

    since (or shortly before) the industrial revolution, something in that range?

    I wouldn't expect much added to the deposits in this (geologically short) timeframe, but haven't come across solid numbers on available deposits. Numbers for burned fossil fuels since then are easier to come by, or estimates at least (Our World in Data). Graphing them out over time, should more or less be "opposite", the former going down, the latter going up, and adding them should more or less be constant over time in this timeframe.

    There are cars, vehicles, machinery, houses, buildings, people, ..., all over the place, happily burning deposits in one way or other. Think we can burn all this accumulated stuff (geological timeframe) in a century or two without noticeable effects...? At least there's active research into fusion.

    l74g1ex6m856xk4t.jpg

    Suppose, for the sake of argument, that anthropogenic climate change, pollution and all that is a red herring, but we still do something about it. What's the worst that could happen? Longer oil supply? Less plastic in the oceans?
    Suppose that anthropogenic climate change, pollution and all that is quite impactful, with consequences for future generations, and we do nothing about it. What's the worst that could happen?
    We have not merely been given the world from our parents, we are also borrowing it from our children. — some African proverb I think
    Trolls would have us do nothing about it, despite evidence/consensus of anthropogenic climate change, pollution, etc.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    If Russia was truly fighting a defensive war, there would be large numbers of Russians expats going back to Russia. There wouldn't have been the brain drain that we saw happening when the mobilization was started. — ssu

    Recruitments from prisons have come up prior.

    We have no funding restrictions. The country and the government are providing everything that the army asks for. — Putin · Reuters · Dec 21, 2022

    But some officials said the goal of attracting 400,000 contract soldiers this year is likely to be unrealistic. That’s roughly equal to the total number of professional troops Russia had before the invasion was launched on Feb. 24, 2022. — Bloomberg · Mar 24, 2023

    As of late June 2023, Russia has been appealing to citizens of neighbouring countries with recruitment adverts for individuals to fight in Ukraine. [...] — UK Ministry of Defence · Sep 3, 2023

    DECLARATION OF THE MINISTRY OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS

    Cuba faces human trafficking operations for the purpose of military recruitment.

    The Ministry of the Interior detected and is working on the neutralization and dismantling of a human trafficking network that operates from Russia to incorporate Cuban citizens living there, and even some from Cuba, into the military forces participating in war operations in Ukraine. Attempts of this nature have been neutralized and criminal proceedings have been initiated against people involved in these activities.

    Cuba's enemies promote distorted information that seeks to tarnish the image of the country and present it as an accomplice to these actions, which we categorically reject.

    Cuba has a firm and clear historical position against mercenarism and plays an active role in the United Nations in repudiation of this practice, being the author of several of the initiatives approved in that forum.

    Cuba is not part of the war in Ukraine. It is acting and will act vigorously against anyone, from the national territory, who participates in any form of human trafficking for the purpose of recruitment or mercenarism for Cuban citizens to use arms against any country.

    Havana, September 4, 2023
    — Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Cuba · Sep 4, 2023
  • Ukraine Crisis
    At a checkpoint between Kolotilovka (Russia) and Pokrovka (Ukraine) north of Kharkiv:

    How Ukrainians are fleeing life in Russian-held territory
    — Aya Ibrahim · Deutsche Welle · Sep 1, 2023 · 3m:28s

    Ukrainians in the occupied Donbas area (maybe others) apparently make their way to such border crossings, away from the frontlines. Those kids may still not be out of harm's way, though. Bumpy, yet in contrast to relatively nearby warring. At first, I thought that soldier on the right, at the start of the footage, looked like wearing a bomb (:grin:).

    Such markedly different choices of words regarding governments (embedded links mine) ...

    Even if Russia can't be considered an empire in the same way the US is, obviously there's plenty wrong with Russian rule for people wanting to resist it. — Tzeentch
    "Dictator" is being kind. Absolute scum of the Earth, better? The fiery pit is too good for that man. — Tzeentch

    I'm sure you can see why some suspect(ed) you of ... ehh certain autocrat/anti-democratic sympathies (and an axe to grind). Hereby encouraging you to whip up a new thread.
  • Could we be living in a simulation?
    As far as Bostrom's argument goes ...

    ↪Zaneemia

    It seems to me that if Bostrum’s hypothesis applies to us, it must also apply to those running the simulation, and so on to infinity. It’s simulations all the way down.
    — NOS4A2
  • Ukraine Crisis
    ↪ssu
    , are those Molotov cocktails?

    As to the former (Ukraine), I'm thinking that hate, unity, nationalism, patriotism grow easy during invasion, ongoing bombing, interrupted while trying to shed the shackles of the dominating neighbor.

    As to the latter (Russia), those state-sanctioned, organized, systematic efforts carry a faint whiff of Hitlerjugend (and Soviet methods), which remains kind of ironic. Putin lashes out at West ‘cancelling’ Russian culture, says it reeks of Hitler’s Germany (TASS · Mar 25, 2022). If this is what the Kremlin means by "a multipolar world", then ... well, they're not particularly trying to go for a peaceful path forward. Regress. Looks like an indirect admission of lack of faith in the people. Hopefully, they'll see through it (and not get arrested).

    Anyway, such differences in (going back to) school. And different still in, say, Norway and Canada.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Reports from the ground:

    Ukraine's Kharkiv builds classrooms underground to protect students from missiles
    — Vitalii Hnidyi, Max Hunder, Angus MacSwan · Reuters · Aug 30, 2023
    Media: Education Minister says 76% of institutions in Ukraine have bomb shelters
    — Dinara Khalilova · The Kyiv Independent · Aug 31, 2023
    In wartime Ukraine, going back to school means preparing for air raids and huddling in shelters
    — Olga Voitovych, Ivana Kottasová · CNN · Sep 1, 2023

    Not like when I went to school, fortunately. Kind of a testament to Kremlin efforts I suppose. Hopefully, some of those rooms will become tourist attractions instead, the sooner the better.

    Meanwhile:

    Russian students are returning to school, where they face new lessons to boost their patriotism
    — Dasha Litvinova · AP · Sep 1, 2023
    Inside Putin's push to rewrite Russian history in favor of his war in Ukraine
    — Yuliya Talmazan, Artem Grudinin · NBC · Sep 3, 2023

    Wow.
  • Defendant: Saudi Arabia
    ↪ssu
    , yeah. It's when it turns dangerous/dehumanizing/detrimental that it becomes everyone's problem. For the time being, I'm not all that optimistic.
  • Defendant: Saudi Arabia
    ↪ssu
    , well, crazy is easy enough to come by. :)

    • Gypsy curse- my friend might be cursed by a rock? (Yahoo, ≈ 2009) (other archive)

    • Nigeria police hold 'robber' goat (BBC, 2009)

    Yeah, watch out for those evil rocks. And goats.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Felshtinsky speculates:

    Putin's days numbered as FSB in process of choosing next Russian president
    — Joel Day · Daily Express · Aug 30, 2023

    The FSB controls and rules Russia. The entire process of the Russian Presidential election and the election computer which calculates the vote is by law controlled by the FSB.
    In 2021, Russia passed a law allowing remote voting. It might be good in most countries but not for Russia: it will lead to a situation where the FSB will have the ability to add votes of the people who didn't come to vote in order to choose their favourite candidate.
    My point is that it will be the FSB who choose the next president of Russia.
    They did it with Putin in 1999. When [Boris] Yeltsin resigned, by law, the Prime Minister became President of Russia. He has technically been in that position ever since.
    If we see suddenly that the Prime Minister is changed to somebody else, let's say Nikolai Patrushev (the secretary of the Security Council of Russia), this will be an indication that they're making Patrushev the President.
    I think they may try and create this tradition of using these FSB officials. They did it in 2000 with Putin and have held power for 23 years, and I believe they will try to keep it for as long as possible — they will try to keep it forever.
    — Yuri Felshtinsky

    Whatever the case, I doubt Putin is out for the time being. Looking for a successor is plausible enough, though. Ough Patrushev.
  • List of Definitions (An Exercise)
    (all subject to change, incomplete, ...)

    Being
    • a being often refers to a (possibly supposed) sentient lifeform
    • being in general can more or less be synonymous with existence, whatever is, real or imaginary/fictional alike, known or unknown alike, has no complement

    Awareness
    • self-awareness is included in awareness, meta-cognition, awareness of something
    • usage overlaps with consciousness

    Consciousness
    • self-conscious and self-aware differ in usage, the former is about how one thinks others perceive oneself
    • part of some minds, sometimes (I think it might be a necessary part, in some uses anyway)

    Thinking
    • mulling things over, contemplating, reasoning, peripherally or concentrating, recalling something
    • part of some minds, sometimes (rarely in certain cases :grin:)

    Time
    • Time and such (Nov 11, 2017), might need an update

    Mind
    Body
    5fc1zqfr0c0zu73a.png
    ↑ known cases, exemplifiable

    Perception
    • "if anything significant differentiates dreams hallucinations etc, and perception, then it's the perceived"
    • the self part of interaction with the perceived
    • part of some minds, sometimes
    • also related to phenomenology

    (...)
  • Donald Trump (All General Trump Conversations Here)
    The Western world needs Trump to be saved:

    Hungary’s Orbán urges US to ‘call back Trump’ to end Ukraine war in Tucker Carlson interview
    — Bela Szandelszky · AP · Aug 30, 2023
    Call back Trump. … Trump is the man who can save the Western world. — Viktor Orbán

    So there. :wink:
  • Ukraine Crisis
    You know who put the Taliban in charge? I'm sure you do. — Tzeentch

    But that didn't answer the query. You just took an opportunity to point fingers at your favorite enemy instead. :shrug: (How about you ask a sizeable percentage of the Afghan population?)

    [...] the US [...] — Tzeentch

    You know, that's why I asked @yebiga (on a few occasions) to fire up a fresh thread on that:

    ↪yebiga, did you ever get to whipping up a fresh thread on that stuff?
    (I didn't notice if you did anyway. But please keep the p0m0 at a tolerable level. :smile:)
    May 18, 2023, May 24, 2023, May 26, 2023
    — Jun 21, 2023

    Too bad they never did. What about you? After all, there's so much to say (as you've shown), so much discussion-worthy, yes? (you won't have to look over your shoulders, be interesting :up: like an exposition)
  • Defendant: Saudi Arabia
    Fvcksakes, it's 2023.

    Saudi man receives death penalty for posts online, latest case in wide-ranging crackdown on dissent
    — Jon Gambrell · AP · Aug 30, 2023
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Ironically enough, some air has been breathed into NATO with the moves against Ukraine.

    Same old in Moscow:

    'I stand by my opinion': Russian on trial for critical Ukraine interview
    — AFP and RFE/RL · Aug 30, 2023
    I stand by my opinion. Nothing has changed. — Yuri Kokhovets (37)
    I did not like it so I contacted the Investigative Committee. — Radik Gabitov
    But the following month, charges against him were requalified into "spreading fakes against the army" under a law adopted shortly after the Kremlin launched the offensive. The case against Kokhovets comes as thousands of Russians have been detained while troops battle in Ukraine. According to OVD-Info, some 20,000 people across the country have been detained since February 2022 for protesting the offensive. Almost all Russian opposition figures have fled the country since the start of the offensive. Most of those who stayed are in prison. This week alone, Russian courts are examining 59 political cases, the monitor said.

    Obviously not, both for the Afgani's sake and [...] — Tzeentch

    What Afghans? The Taliban you mean? Check this Aug 27, 2023 comment. (Hmm Might be better to move any further comments on this to the/some other thread.)

    The US is [...] — Tzeentch

    In all honesty, I tend to be more concerned about an "authoritarian empire" than a "democratic empire" :D (also see "Same old in Moscow" above and, well, more comments in this thread than I care to dig out).
  • Ukraine Crisis
    ↪Tzeentch
    :D Well, it's been a while since the US grabbed land. (I'm wondering if they should have stayed in Afghanistan, what do you think?) By the way, some 3% of the US' annual defense budget has been spent on helping Ukraine against the Krempire. Oddly enough, the Ukrainians have strongly gone with the US "empire" and the EU, rejecting the Kremlinian "non-empire". What gives?
  • List of Definitions (An Exercise)
    Can you define a word without just using more words...?
    You can find "stampede" and "elephant" in a dictionary, which, in turn, uses more words.
    Yet, there are no stampeding elephants in the dictionary.
    Dictionaries (and their definitions) have circularities.
    Board games on the other hand... :)
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Are those organized hackers Russian these days?

    FBI and European partners seize major malware network in blow to global cybercrime
    — Frank Bajak, Stefanie Dazio · AP · Aug 29, 2023
    Cybersecurity researchers say they are believed to be in Russia and/or other former Soviet states
    the far-flung mostly Russian-speaking criminals

    Who are Anonymous Sudan? Hacker group behind behind Twitter outage mocks Elon Musk’s rebrand
    — Saqib Shah · Evening Standard · Aug 29, 2023
    cybersecurity experts have traced its roots to a murky ecosystem of Russian cybercriminals
    the experts said the group appeared to belong to a coterie of Russian hacktivist collectives with names such as KillNet and UserSec

    Well, the Anonymous hacker group has attacked Russia and taken credit.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    What would we ever do without a good conspiracy theory :)

    Body-Double? Wagner Group Leader Yevgeny Prigozhin May Not Have Been on Plane That Crashed, Says Aviation Expert
    — Joshua Wilburn · Knewz · Aug 23, 2023
    Yevgeny Prigozhin is alive and plotting his revenge on Putin after body double was killed in plane assassination plot, Russian analyst claims
    — Will Stewart · Daily Mail · Aug 29, 2023
    Wagner Boss Yevgeny Prigozhin is Still Alive and Plotting His Revenge on Vladimir Putin, Russian Analyst Claims
    — Connor Surmonte · RadarOnline · Aug 29, 2023
  • Ukraine Crisis
    As an aside, the Ukrainian counteroffensive have been propped up considerably by the press (and others), resulting in expectations (timewise in particular), and perhaps pressure, without consulting involved tacticians on the ground, relevant facts, etc. It's not entertainment; it's people fighting to free themselves from crap that's come up in the thread, struggling to go EU, whatever it all is. In some ways, the propping-up might work against the defense efforts. I suppose we might ask what a general (deaf to that press) would do in the current situation, with our limited facts.

    ↪ssu
    , yeah, high cost of being friends with Prigozhin (or sharing some of his ideas), including for the Kremlin, but it seems they took Surovikin off the board.

    ↪Tzeentch
    , 28 times the country size and 4 times the population are reliable; 4 times the troops in Ukraine is rather doubtful. Also, Wagner loss. Russia has (surely had) a comprehensive stock of artillery and rockets (GlobalFirepower). They've used (some of) it generously. Lots of rockets and drones downed. Ukraine is getting some help. ← hardly hopium
  • Ukraine Crisis
    ↪Tzeentch
    , I was commenting on these, mostly the former (emphasis mine by the way):

    The Russian forces now outnumber the Ukrainians significantly. That should tell you enough about the current balance of power. — Tzeentch
    vastly larger manpower pool — Tzeentch

    How many Russian and Ukrainian troops do you think there are in Ukraine at the moment?

    There's that vastly again, though about firepower this time:

    the Russians have vastly more firepower than the Ukrainians — Tzeentch
  • Ukraine Crisis
    The Russian forces now outnumber the Ukrainians significantly. That should tell you enough about the current balance of power. — Tzeentch
    vastly larger manpower pool — Tzeentch

    Well, some more numbers... Russia (largest country in the world) is about 28 times the size of Ukraine, GDP is about a factor 15 (not per capita), population is about 4 times larger. Ukraine has been and is receiving a good deal of help: civil, arms. It's unclear exactly what, but, likely, Russia has been / is receiving some stuff from China, Iran, North Korea, maybe others. In terms of home production, unlike Russia, Ukraine hasn't really had that much (though they've been inventive with drones and such, including old stuff), but are reportedly working with Rheinmetall, Baykar, and others to set up Ukrainian production. Sanctions has some effects on Russia's arms production.

    Anyway, I haven't seen indications that there are significantly more Russian than Ukrainian fighters in Ukraine at the moment. But the Kremlin has spent a significant amount of shells and rockets (and troops) in 17 or 18 months of warring. Reports suggest much more unity among Ukrainians (and hate towards the invaders).

    ↑ I think most of this stuff is repetition
  • Ukraine Crisis
    The media you keep linking — Tzeentch

    FMI, do you mean GlobalFirepower? ISW? FOCUS online? Another one?

    Some rough estimates of troop sizes ...

    Russia
    Pre-invasion at border: 169,000 - 190,000 military + paramilitary + 34,000 separatist militias, 4, 5
    Pre-invasion total: 900,000 military 6, 554,000 paramilitary 6
    In February 2023: + 200,000 newly mobilised soldiers 7
    In May 2023: 300,000+ active personnel in Ukraine 8

    Ukraine
    Pre-invasion total: 196,600 military 9, 102,000 paramilitary 9
    July 2022 total: up to 700,000 10
  • Donald Trump (All General Trump Conversations Here)
    ↪Hailey
    , if you have access to Wikipedia, you can check False or misleading statements by Donald Trump. It's one angle anyway.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Axe writes:

    As Ukraine’s Counteroffensive Gains Momentum, Russia Is Deploying Some Of Its Last Good Reserves
    — David Axe · Forbes · Aug 27, 2023

    There was some chatter among Russian military bloggers echoing Axe, but who knows what's going on. There have also been rumors of TOS-1A MLRS deployments and of Russian command abandoning troops around Dnipro. I guess time will (or might) tell.

    Russian Neo-Nazi Paramilitary Group Issues Putin an Ultimatum: ISW (also ↑ Aug 26, 2023)
    — Andrew Stanton · Newsweek · Aug 27, 2023
    Rusich Group
    — Wikipedia

    The spiraling cost of war means growing economic pain for Russia
    — Clare Sebastian, Hanna Ziady, Anna Cooban, Tim Lister, Olesya Dmitracova · CNN · Aug 28, 2023

    Hard to tell what's going on with Capo dei capi.

    In follow-up to this Aug 23, 2023 comment:

    The Ukraine war, propaganda-style, is coming to Russian movie screens. Will people watch?
    — Dasha Litvinova, Jake Coyle · AP · Aug 28, 2023

    On cue.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    FYI, GlobalFirepower has various military metrics giving some indications of relative strengths/weaknesses for different countries.

    Russia ranks high (worldwide) on tanks, self-propelled artillery, towed artillery, rocket projectors, and also aircraft fleet, attack aircraft, attack helicopter fleet, which is, apart from population size, pretty much what Ukraine is fighting (with help from others). However, Ukraine's helpers could probably establish air superiority relatively easily (also Jul 27, 2023; Jul 24, 2023; Jul 5, 2023).

    2023 Military Strength Ranking is an overall assessment based on 60 factors.
  • How do we know there is a behind us?
    How do we know there is a behind us? — Darkneos

    :D Might just turn around and take a look. Has this ever failed you? (Would you expect something more than that?)
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Frontlines move here then there.

    Ukrainian forces now appear within striking distance of the next series of prepared Russian defensive positions, which may be weaker than the previous set of Russian defenses but still pose a significant challenge. (ISW · Aug 26, 2023)

    Jetzt kämpft sich die Ukraine durch den schwierigsten Teil der Front (via google translate)
    — FOCUS online · Aug 27, 2023
  • Climate change denial
    Not all of the something-industrial complex are purely evil. ;)

    Are electric vehicles definitely better for the climate than gas-powered cars?
    — Andrew Moseman, Sergey Paltsev · MIT Climate Portal · Oct 13, 2022
    Yes: although electric cars' batteries make them more carbon-intensive to manufacture than gas cars, they more than make up for it by driving much cleaner under nearly any conditions.

    BMW To Construct $108 Million Battery Logistics Facility
    — Andrew Lambrecht · InsideEVs · Aug 27, 2023
    BMW says that by 2026, a third of its vehicles sold will be fully electric.
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