• Ukraine Crisis
    I'll just note (again), that Europe isn't some monolithic entity.
    The EU is part of Europe, Norway (mature democracy), Hungary (mostly democratic), ..., are parts of thereof.
    Hungary argues with whoever else, Croatia and Serbia are arguing, Slovakia might argue with Germany and France, the UK now hangs out on the side, ... Then there are all kinds of bureaucracy.
    Unlike the US, the EU isn't a country, Europe isn't a country, and has a tediously long history.
    If one expects Europe to have centralized executive powers (like the US), then they have things to learn.
    This sort of "diversity" is exploitable, which is what the Kremlin does.

    A question:
    Is there an underlying assumption by some, that the US has a secretive organization (or the like), that more or less determines policy, across the various administrations?
    If not determines, then otherwise assert strong power to their end behind the scenes?
    Say, over the last three decades? Four? More?
  • Donald Trump (All General Trump Conversations Here)
    Let me just put on a tinfoil hat for a moment.

    The US Vice President, J D Vance, is a fan of Curtis Yarvin, who is anti-democracy, and coined "RAGE" (Retire All Government Employees), Dark Enlightenment, and all that. This coincides somewhat with Trump's Schedule F, and some of Musk/DOGE's heavy-handed activities. Vance is 2nd in line for the US Presidency.

    The US Speaker, Mike Johnson, is a young Earth creationist, holding that the Earth is about 6000 years old (actually the universe is about that age, too). The private/quiet Johnson can be described as a Christian nationalist, and has been working on a number of related projects. It's the Bible first (his reading thereof), plus whatever fringe, but he's not stupid. In most democracies, he wouldn't have much chance of such a high political position. Johnson is 3rd in line for the US Presidency.

    Maybe the Secret Service should take extra care to keep Trump safe?

    OK, tossing the tinfoil hat now. All better.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    , FYI, I updated an old post (Feb 15, 2025); the dictator (illegitimate president) thing originates at the Kremlin.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Clever. :)

    Zelenskyy says he would step down if Ukraine can join NATO, blasts Trump mineral pitch
    — Cybele Mayes-Osterman · USA TODAY · Feb 23, 2025
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Hill spoke at the Helsinki Commission 22 days before the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine:

    Why Putin Invaded Ukraine: A Crisis Manufactured to Rewrite the Global Order | Fiona Hill on 2/2/22
    — Helsinki Commission · Nov 13, 2024 · 13m:23s


    Hilton interviewed Hill in 2023:

    Why Trump befriended Putin | The life and philosophy of Fiona Hill
    — The Institute of Art and Ideas · Oct 19, 2023 · 11m:13s
  • Donald Trump (All General Trump Conversations Here)
    LIVE on the Senate Floor
    — Senator Bernie Sanders · Feb 20, 2025 · 21m:40s



    Sanders is the real deal, genuine. And he's fine with me disagreeing with whatever policy he'd like.

    A couple of thousand years ago, the first Roman emperor, Augustus, started turning the Republic into an empire. He told Romans he was the only one who could save Rome, and they believed him; he kicked off an imperial cult. A couple hundred years later, under Commodus, the Pax Romana ended, and the Republic had become an autocracy at the whims of the emperor.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    , if cooperating sufficiently, Europe can deal with Putin (keeping it out of NATO offices), including in Ukraine.

    Except:

    Europe can easily get it's conventional gear to defend itself, but what is lacking is the nuclear balancessu

    There's also a matter of US intelligence.

    Either way, European cooperation, sooner rather than later, seems the way to go.
  • European or Global Crisis?
    So has Vance.... It's easy to say no when your self-interest is not at stake.Vera Mont

    :up: Poilievre is susceptible enough
  • European or Global Crisis?
    , in campaigning and otherwise, Poilievre is too much into loud political mudslinging at others, and seeking applause.
    Like a primary modus operandi of dragging others/opponents down with it ("beating them with experience"); not exactly a role model, and he's seemingly not going that way.
    I'm not getting an impression of bona fides concern, trustworthiness, strength/ability to stand up to others, including foreign.
    The politics, which should be the topic I suppose, are the usual these days, some go "left", some go "right", ..., shopping at the political supermarket.
    Maybe "nuisance" wasn't the right word, apologies for that.
  • Donald Trump (All General Trump Conversations Here)
    hah I thought this was a joke, but apparently not :D

    ‘LONG LIVE THE KING’: Trump increasingly embraces monarchical imagery
    — Danny Nguyen · POLITICO · Feb 19, 2025

    "CONGESTION PRICING IS DEAD. Manhattan, and all of New York, is SAVED. LONG LIVE THE KING!" –President Donald J. Trump (— The White House · twitter/x · Feb 19, 2025)

    Think he'll declare himself Jesus returned, too?
  • What should the EU do when Trump wins the next election?
    Not a chancefrank

    I'm Jutlandian and have lived in Canuckia for a couple of decades.
    I can tell you with some confidence that Trump has, in my experience, insignificant support.
    Granted, that's not so much about the US in general, it's about Trump, applying as he's doing his thing.
    Lists of what you might not want to buy have been distributed, which isn't something I've seen before.
    Chance? Yep. Redirecting to Europe has already been discussed. But we'll see.

    Trump calls Canada “serious contender” to become 51st US state (— Global News · Feb 13, 2025 · 1m:40s)

    In general, the Canucks have been growing tired of the noise and crap for some time.

    e9znrru022h5x7k0.png
  • European or Global Crisis?
    , even though he's a nuisance, hasn't Poilievre expressed a "No" to Trump?
  • European or Global Crisis?
    So do I. But they also have to take a broader view and team up with pro-democratic factions in Asia, Africa and South America.Vera Mont

    And North America (Canada). ;)

    I'm guessing things would have to keep up pace with Trumpistan, though, at least in some respects.
  • Donald Trump (All General Trump Conversations Here)
    Elon Musk says journalists 'deserve a long prison sentence' as spat with CBS 60 Minutes continues
    — Reanna Smith · Irish Star · Feb 18, 2025

    Discredit, take over, or remove? More Putinism?
    Well, all critique is "TDS", "fake news", "woke" or whatever cultural trend they dislike today, right?
  • Ukraine Crisis
    (from an earlier comment, Sep 10, 2024, evidence-collection and observations continue)

    NATO was an excuse

    Ukraine’s independence, sovereignty, and status as a country, was established in 1991 more or less throughout the world. That was a couple of years after the Berlin Wall came down. Changes were in the air.

    The relationship between Ukraine and NATO goes back to Ukraine’s independence: increased cooperation in 1994, 1997, 2002, 2005; decreased 2010; increased 2014, 2018; U-turn 2022; back again 2022; …

    Sometime before 2009, the Kremlin circle (ex-KGB and the like) decided that it would be intolerable to lose control over Crimea, and perhaps lose empowering influence on Ukraine, something along those lines, and that they would need a land bridge to whatever they hence might have to grab. A new or extended Kharkiv Pact wouldn’t do, for example. Couldn’t be left to an independent country to decide.

    And that uncompromising decision marked, and set, the — henceforth seemingly inevitable — collision course of which we’ve seen the results. Likely not an overnight decision, more like an irredentist, “entitled”, “ownership”, or revanchist sentiment, possibly since the Cold War in those circles.

    It’s a thread throughout (elsewhere, 2013, 2018, 2021, 2024).

    Ukraine wrestling free from the dominating, northern neighbor, wouldn’t be easy — isn’t easy. And their NATO aspirations were, perhaps predictably (2022, 2022), a useful excuse for the Kremlin to attack/invade, (pseudo-)annex (2014, 2022), assimilate, regardless of Ukraine’s sovereignty. If their rationale was merely NATO, then what was all this about, and what was accomplished? Besides, something similar would apply to any strong defence that Ukraine would seek membership of. NATO was the most likely around to get in the way of unimpeded Russian military (or Russification) actions, and the Kremlin had years to prepare. We can now conclude that the aspirations were justified.

    Quoting Wikipedia, which has the requisite references, here’s what the Ukrainians want(ed):

    Protesters opposed what they saw as widespread government corruption, abuse of power, human rights violations, and the influence of oligarchs.Euromaidan (2013-2014)
    Protesters opposed what they saw as widespread government corruption and abuse of power, the influence of Russia and oligarchs, police brutality, human rights violations, and repressive anti-protest laws.Revolution of Dignity (2014)

    Abandoning the Ukrainians would have the faint whiff of cowardice, broken promises, appeasement and encouragement of the attacker, more so if echoing their lines (2022, 2022) — free expansion of non-democracy.
  • European or Global Crisis?
    I said it on behalf of my country, to Trump. In semi-jocular response to jorndoe's suggestion that we vote in their elections. Which, as a single state, would only give us 50 seats in Congress - 20-30 of them likely conservative - and two in the Senate. Not much of a bargain in return for our human rights, legal system, foreign policy, health care, oil, bauxite, water and lumber.Vera Mont

    Sorry, I just meant in that one election, and, given the campaign trails, and evidence that has since come about, I'd expect most Canucks (by far) to not vote P01135809. I was sort of joking, too. (Each province might be represented as a state?)
  • European or Global Crisis?
    Pistorius wasn't so happy with Vance:

    I am incandescent with rage right now. I feel sick to the stomach. A US Vice President stood today on the soil of where so many Americans gave their lives to defeat fascism in Europe. He delivered a disgraceful speech that spat on their graves. [...]Truth Matters · Feb 14, 2025 · 3m:39s

    Orlins is worried:

    Trump’s post is a direct threat to the rule of law. This is a constitutional crisis in the making. Stay vigilant.Eliza Orlins · Feb 16, 2025 · 1m:10s
  • Donald Trump (All General Trump Conversations Here)
    , I'll just go ahead and add some observations.

    In 1939, Stalin and Hitler made a deal.
    In 2025, Lavrov and Rubio met, and Putin and Trump made a deal. (← but I'm no prophet, so let's see)

    (More plain lying to everyone's faces, and no US politicians/leaders call'em out, except so-called "fake news"?)

    Meanwhile, Putin and Trump's chummy dealings don't mention/address Russian ships roaming northern waters, so Canada and Greenland need US protection from them.

    Many sellouts, much spinelessness, cowardice, hypocrisy, all that.

    , you just want all of them/it to go away, right? Countries, states, laws, ... And any tidbit that can somehow be cast negatively (an exercise in rhetoric) is hence aired to that end? :D
  • European or Global Crisis?
    If P01135809 keeps bullying Canada to become part of the US, then I suggest Canadian voters first be allowed to vote on the US candidates from the last US election, even though it's late. ;) Add the new votes to those previously found, determine election winner, done. Think the current administration would accept?

    Trump Says He’s Serious About Wanting Canada to Become 51st U.S. State
    — Jill Colvin, Darlene Superville · TIME, AP · Feb 9, 2025
  • European or Global Crisis?
    European leaders gather for an emergency meeting after Trump snub
    — Raf Casert, Sylvie Corbet, Dusan Stojanovic, Vanessa Gera, Justin Spike · AP via Defense News · Feb 17, 2025

    Looks like what they don't say out loud (and shouldn't), is that P01135809 + team first alienated friends and allies, then virtually stabbed them in the back, befriended authoritarians that P01135809 can't handle anyway (Putin is smarter, unfortunately). I'm sure P01135809 and Musk (rich folks) will be fine, whereas other Americans might find eggs pricey, while rambling on about "wokeness" or whatever cultural trend they dislike.

    I'd suggest Canada, and maybe others, also are invited to a subsequent meeting (following the above I mean). But don't wait too long. P01135809 (and Putin) apparently ain't.

    , can GPT combine more factors? In a way that's meaningful?
  • European or Global Crisis?
    Brought up in jest earlier (Feb 13, 2025) and by

    I think that we should ditch the geographical locations and look more towards national values. Like a EU but globally, for stable democracies who operate on human rights.Christoffer

    Like a defense alliance of democracies or something? Hey, I'm warming to the idea.

    In terms of defense, it could be modeled somewhat after NATO, and otherwise maybe somewhat after the EU (also 1789, 1948). Ehh or whatever.

    From a military-strategic perspective, it's harder to secure scattered regions, though reconnaissance/observation would be good, yet, surely the values are worth standing up for, human rights, civil liberties, various freedoms and protections, so this stuff would be prerequisites. Things like (nuclear) deterrence would be needed.

    Some candidates alphabetically: maybe Argentina, Australia, maybe Botswana, Canada, maybe Chile, maybe Costa Rica, some European countries, Iceland, maybe India, Japan, New Zealand, maybe Singapore, maybe South Africa, South Korea, Taiwan, maybe Ukraine after some further reforms, Uruguay, some US states, some ocean countries, ... (wicked cooperative)

    In absence of "an outside threat", it's going to be difficult to get those together. What about mutual economic support, close to free trade, close to free migration (or visas), ...?
  • Donald Trump (All General Trump Conversations Here)
    Misinformation and “false beliefs” is not a threat, never has beenNOS4A2

    History tells a different story.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    The conflict seems fairly far removed from us here in the US.BitconnectCarlos

    According to google, the distance between ...
    Washington DC and Moscow    = 7817 km (4857 mi)
    Washington DC and Kyiv      = 7828 km (4864 mi)
    Washington DC and Jerusalem = 9490 km (5897 mi)
    
  • Donald Trump (All General Trump Conversations Here)
    Hm. Weird. Canada and Greenland need protection by P01135809 from P01135809's friend.

    Something did look familiar...

    Trump’s Schedule F plan, explained
    — Alex Tausanovitch, Michael Angeloni, Erica Newland, William Ford · Protect Democracy · Jun 11, 2024

    RFK Jr in, Presidential Executive Order signed:

    (a) study the scope of the childhood chronic disease crisis and any potential contributing causes, including the American diet, absorption of toxic material, medical treatments, lifestyle, environmental factors, Government policies, food production techniques, electromagnetic radiation, and corporate influence or cronyism;ESTABLISHING THE PRESIDENT’S MAKE AMERICA HEALTHY AGAIN COMMISSION · The White House · Feb 13, 2025

    There are already all kinds of studies (+ ongoing). Some of these areas are heavily studied. Are they fishing for different results in medical treatments (vaccines), food production techniques (GMO), electromagnetic radiation (5G), ...?

    4mgao9zagk75afmm.jpg
  • Donald Trump (All General Trump Conversations Here)
    In diplomacy you engage the sides, not leave them out and decide on yourself. And the attempts on war-profiteering are made by Trump.ssu
    Sides have been engaged, which is a far cry from what Europe and NATO has done.NOS4A2

    Trump starts Ukraine peace talks as he and Putin plan Saudi meet
    — Francesca Chambers · USA TODAY · Feb 12, 2025
    Ukraine wasn't invited.

    Ukraine balks at signing Trump deal to hand over its mineral wealth
    — Veronika Melkozerova, Joe Gould, Jamie Dettmer · POLITICO · Feb 15, 2025

    Should we expect the Putin excuse-makers and apologists soon?

    Hmm... Arrest Putin while he's in the Middle East, get him on a Tulip fertilizer transport to The Hague, trial. No big deal; he'll get a slap on the wrist. I don't think there's anything out on P01135809 at this time (except at home).
  • Donald Trump (All General Trump Conversations Here)
    , , maybe it's about power, like you snap your finger and something happens?
    In days gone by, he didn't have the power to summon Putin-the-powerful.
    Now he does, both, and revels in it?
    (Just conjecture on my part, I'm no telepath.)

    Trump Names El Chapo Ambassador to Mexico :D
    — The Borowitz Report · Dec 1, 2024
  • Donald Trump (All General Trump Conversations Here)
    :D

    Nearly 10,000 fired as Trump and Musk step up government purge
    — Timothy Gardner, Leah Douglas, Nathan Layne et al · Reuters · Feb 14, 2025
    Trump Admin fires nuclear staff—Oops, they were in charge of US weapons stockpile
    — ET Online · Feb 15, 2025

    No way. Trump and Musk tried to fire 300 nuclear officials—then realized they were the ones overseeing the U.S. nuclear arsenal and scrambled to rehire them?

    You can’t make this level of incompetence up. These are the people who claim they’ll “restore order.”
    Brian Allen · Feb 14, 2025


    EDIT: Wait a second, did I miss an opportunity to steal some nuclear stuff...? Dang.
  • Donald Trump (All General Trump Conversations Here)
    So far, P01135809 has followed Putin in some respects:

    • (pre-emptive) strong appeal to nationalism
    • gathered/appeased/rallied religious conservatives (+ extremists + disillusioned)
    threatened other countries
    • efforts to sideline (or remove most) non-loyalists, merits less relevant
    • moves to ditch some protection of minorities (or vulnerable)
    lied
    parroted Putin regarding Zelenskyy
    • some initial steps to suppress free media (Putin is ahead)
    • "our country has a sickness and I'm the cure", or whatever (campaign trails)

    (Did I miss any?)

    For some reason, I can picture him going "If Putin can, watch me".

    EDITED links
  • Donald Trump (All General Trump Conversations Here)
    There’s a Term for What Trump and Musk Are Doing (archive, archive)
    — Anne Applebaum · The Atlantic · Feb 13, 2025
    Already, the Post reports, candidates for national-security posts in the new administration are being asked whether they accept Trump’s false claim to have won the 2020 election. At least two candidates for higher positions at the FBI were also asked to state who the “real patriots” were on January 6, 2021.
    In some government departments, minority employees have set up affinity groups, purely voluntary forums for conversation or social events. A number of government agencies are shutting these down; others are being disbanded by organizers who fear that membership lists will be used to target people.

    Ouch. Is that confirmed? The article paints a glooming picture.

    Trump’s assault on USAID leaves China soft power opening in Southeast Asia (— Erin Hale · Al Jazeera · Feb 13, 2025)
    China rights monitors suspend work, lay off staff after U.S. aid freeze (— Laurie Chen, Antoni Slodkowski, Clarence Fernandez · Reuters · Feb 14, 2025)
    Lawmakers worry China could take over after Trump pauses foreign aid (— Chris Boccia · ABC · Feb 14, 2025)

    US out, China in.
  • The Musk Plutocracy
    , yep, and furthermore

    Democracy has always contained the possibility of its own undoing, it just takes a majority vote of someone non- or anti-democratic.Dec 27, 2023
  • The Musk Plutocracy
    , check the likes of the Unabomber, Torquemada, Capone, Escobar, Mogilevich, the Pagans, neo-Nazis, jihadists, ...
  • The Musk Plutocracy
    You don’t think people wanted DOGE?NOS4A2

    Sure they did, or at least they wanted...something. :) (bulldozing education, research, information sources, are among the things they seem to be getting)

    So it doesn't make any difference to you if you live in a democracy or a dictatorship. It's the same thing either way.frank

    I'm guessing @NOS4A2 doesn't want either, wants there to be nothing, just people doing...their thing.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    :D

    Canada, Japan, South Korea, Ukraine, to join extended EU, and form defense alliance which includes Greenland (and California) — now the largest democratic cooperative around — hypothetical news headline
  • Donald Trump (All General Trump Conversations Here)
    Every illegal alien has committed a crime. That’s a 100% crime rate.NOS4A2

    Sure, though the accusations have been drugs murder rape ... that's a few dealers murderers rapists (according to P01135809) ... (and cat eaters or something :grin:) ... Some of this stuff brings up memories, ah never mind, you wouldn't understand anyway.
  • The Musk Plutocracy
    the president of the United States

    Are we talking plain dictatorship now?
  • Climate change denial
    , why don't you just answer fοo?

    Anyway, I took their references and their concluding summary seriously enough to think that we better prepare. Unless otherwise meeting an early end, that applies to everyone.
    Haven't sifted through the references and examples in detail though, maybe if time permits. Some mentioned samples are down to Karachi, Paris, Vancouver, Mecca, Lagos, Chicago, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Al Hudaydah, New York, Ahmedabad, other perspectives are broader. Preparing for wider temperature swings is justified.

    On another note, plastic bags (old style) have been out for a while around here. In stores, you bring your own reusable bags or buy them there. Plastic straws have been out for a while as well. Anthropogenic pollution at large has become ridiculous.
  • The Musk Plutocracy
    Do peruse that article linked in the OP.Wayfarer

    Mr. Musk, who leads a cost-cutting initiative the administration calls the Department of Government Efficiency, boasted on Saturday that his willingness to work weekends was a “superpower” that gave him an advantage over his adversary. The adversary he was referring to was the federal work force.

    :D Propaganda has worked.

    If a bunch of tools barge into an office, would the office not require a warrant?
    (Presumably, these are government offices, I have no idea about the legal details.)
  • Climate change denial
    , that was your takeaway from the paper? (telling)
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Democracy in Eastern Europe Faces Another Crisis (archived)
    — Anthony Borden · The Atlantic · Feb 4, 2025

    Not really all the surprising, is it?

    Looks like P01135809 won't stand up to Putin after all, I guess we'll see.

    The new Trump administration could herald a remaking of the international order. How should the world respond?
    — Leslie Vinjamuri · Chatham House · Feb 5, 2025
    US defence chief signals major shift in Ukraine support in first NATO meet
    — Al Jazeera · Feb 12, 2025

    On another note... When someone pushes for peace, not by stopping the attacker, but by stopping the defender, then something's amiss.