Anyone who thinks Republicans will nominate a "moderate" Republican like Flake or Kasich in 2024, after voting in Trump and nearly nominating Cruz is light-years removed from the current state of the GOP.

Anyway, the who-will-be-nominated game that's been played in the last few elections have nearly always been wrong, so I personally don't see the point. I would like the Democrats to nominate Warren, personally. Trump need to lose to a women, or a person of color, or both.

Not sure the population size of "red necks", but Obama was nevertheless voted in twice. Flake is popular with no one.

Anyway the last week, the previous two days in particular, has been utterly draining. Curious to see how next week will play out considering the FBI investigation appears to be a go.

Flake v. Elizabeth Warren. That would be interesting, although likely a Flake win. — tim wood

hahahahaha

Pretty amazed at the fact that Kavanaugh asked a senator if she had ever gotten black out drunk, not just once...but twice.

Watched the majority of both testimonies. Absolute shit show for Kavanaugh and the GOP. No doubt though that they'll try to "plow through" the nomination and may very well have the vote in to confirm Kavanaugh. They do so at the expense of a midterm bloodbath, which they are probably expecting anyway, so they are just doubling down on it.

I don't think lie detector tests are all that trust-worthy. Willingly taking a lie detector test is probably more noteworthy though.

Yes, I think the general Trump thread should be in politics to avoid multiple threads on Trump

Ha you admit your sister is hot, great self-own

Hey Baden is your sister single between the ages of 23-28 and moving to NYC?

Hey mods there are several threads on Trump on the front page. Recommend removing the Trump thread from the lounge-only section.

lol HRC isn't going to run again

And if Trump does get reelected, the result would be even more devastating than his first election (assuming the Dems don't take Congress)

At a high level, Trump's approval rating has been constantly low, despite a (again, high level) growing economy and unemployment rate. Trump also lost the popular vote to a much despised candidate.

Trump will not be reelected.

We only know what the respective parties said. — Hanover

But you demonstrably don't...

Corroborating yourself with your own prior comments seems a bit flimsy doesn't it? There was a supposed attempted rape at a party, yet exactly one person has any recollection of it. Am I to believe that a there was a party filled with sociopaths, some of whom were aware of the goings on at the party, but none of whom were at all alarmed by the behavior? No one recalls what would have been an extremely distraught young woman literally running from the party? What have her parents said or her best friends said of that night? Wouldn't someone somewhere have seen or heard something or would have been a confidant at the time of the incident?

So, could there have been a woman silently almost raped in the midst of a party filled with people, with the only witnesses being extremely loyal to the rapist and refusing to turn him in? Yes, could be, I guess, but this approach I'm taking is the flip side of the coin you're taking, where you try to make the other person's story seem incredible.

It's no more crazy to question why Ford would tell her therapist about an incident decades prior that didn't happen than it is to ask how a violent crime occurred in a crowd of people where no did anything, said anything, or can remember anything. — Hanover

You clearly didn't even read Ford's account of what occurred. The rape attempt didn't take place in the middle of a crowded fucking room.

I also don't really trust Avenatti that much.

Only liquor and math require proof. Here corroborative credibility will suffice, and there is sufficient credibility to justify an independent investigation. Otherwise, if the GOP had a sense of propriety they would drop Kavanaugh and replace him with clone.

lol it's "annoying" that women are speaking out about credible allegations to make sure a repeat sexual miscreant, an attempted rapist at worst, isn't sitting on the Supreme Court of the United States for a lifetime position where he will be upholding/overturning laws that will affect 300 millions of Americans.

What we are supposed to do is to go through an independent investigation (which shouldn't be problematic since the GOP didn't give Garland a hearing for months upon month), or the GOP, or Kavanaugh himself, should withdraw the nomination and they can just choose another cardboard cutout Originalist shitbag that will uphold the laws they want upheld, or strike down the laws they dislike. Otherwise, every decision Kavanaugh makes on his lifetime position will have a very large asterisk next to his name.

Story broke two hours ago

https://www.newyorker.com/news/news-desk/senate-democrats-investigate-a-new-allegation-of-sexual-misconduct-from-the-supreme-court-nominee-brett-kavanaughs-college-years-deborah-ramirez

Even if Feinstein did withhold the allegations until they could have the greatest impact, for purely political purposes, the Republicans only have themselves to blame. They didn't even give Garland a hearing.

Y'all just ignoring this second allegation that I just posted?

Not too long ago drunk driving was pretty much a joke. Now, of course, it's no joke at all. — tim wood

I'm not really understanding this line of reasoning. I'm also not discounting or downplaying the fact that he openly lied before, which would be enough to disqualify him. Anyway, I thought Ben Wittes had a good article in The Atlantic several days ago, in which he outlined why the burden of proof is arguably on Kavanaugh to confirm his innocence.

Well, outside of the fact that getting rid of a politician who has had a history of sexual misconduct is simply the right thing to do, Dems also tossed out a tu quoque liability.

The Dems tossing Franken out was incredibly smart.

So Senate Republicans became aware of new allegations last week, and nevertheless still tried to "plow through" to nominate Kavanaugh. They could literally pick any cardboard cutout Originalist swine, but they, for whatever reason, have to nominate this Originalist, who is a sexual miscreant.

Btw, another sexual misconduct accusation was just reported by the New Yorker:

As Senate Republicans press for a swift vote to confirm Brett Kavanaugh, President Trump’s nominee to the Supreme Court, Senate Democrats are investigating a new allegation of sexual misconduct against Kavanaugh. The claim dates to the 1983-84 academic school year, when Kavanaugh was a freshman at Yale University.

One of the biggest standouts of the article:

Senior Republican staffers also learned of the allegation last week and, in conversations with The New Yorker, expressed concern about its potential impact on Kavanaugh’s nomination. Soon after, Senate Republicans issued renewed calls to accelerate the timing of a committee vote.

He was drunk and jumped a girl - that's according to the girl. It's not very nice, and these days it's a serious crime, though not so much then. But it's nothing to wreck a life over, and that seems to have been the judgment of the girl and the woman she grew to be. — tim wood

In any day it's a serious crime. It's gravity isn't diminished simply because it occurred during a time when people didn't take women seriously (at least, less than they do now). Brett Kavanaugh's life isn't "over". His life isn't "wrecked". He merely shouldn't be nominated to the Supreme Court of the United States, just like 99.99% of all Americans. He should withdraw his nomination as quickly as possible, and I guarantee he will be offered other lucrative, entitled positions.

Kavanaugh would have been a minor at the time, that is true, but calling him a "child" incorrectly assumes he was merely morally clueless, or inept, despite having been 17 years old at the time, and was a year away from attending one of the most most prestigious universities in the world (Yale).

There have been a lot of comments from conservative media essentially saying, well he didn't do it, but if he did do it, he was only 17! Imagine telling a teenage girl today that one of her peers could rape or attempt to rape her, and could still potentially sit on the highest court in America.

:up: for Cioran and AF

Capital V2 by Marx

I am not familiar with that charge but if you have a link I would be interested in reading it. — ArguingWAristotleTiff

I've been fairly busy with work, so it's not a digression I really have bandwidth to get into, but it's easy to google and read up on for yourself

Looking at you quizickly... how many decades ago, were they both underage or consenting of age? Have you ever personally been involved with or a friend who was with a partner who is making allegations like these? — ArguingWAristotleTiff

I don't see why how long ago it occurred matters. It's grotesque regardless of when it occurred, or whether they were of age, or underage. Her account is clear: he attempted to rape her. And to my knowledge I don't know anyone who was raped or almost raped, although I've no doubt that it has happened to someone I know.

That and the knowledge that a man or woman should be judged on a totality of their actions not on one alone. — ArguingWAristotleTiff

Generally this is true, but someone who attempted to rape someone else should not sit on the highest court in America.

I mean he sucks for multiple reasons including openly lying to the senate in 2006, opposing allowing a minor immigrant an abortion, etc. but regarding the sexual assault allegation, I do think there is enough credibility to the claim to justify stalling the vote and holding an investigation.

A large portion of conservatives have expressed...interesting positions on it, but I'll hold my tongue on that until I hear your response.

So we just gonna not talk about the Kavanaugh accusation or what

Big day for NY politics tomorrow

The op-ed was awful for multiple reasons. Should never have been published

Streetlight's reference

Consult Nietzsche

Elizabeth Warren may likely run for president in 2020. The Boston Globe just published this exceptionally excellent report on how little, if any, effect, her native American ancestry claims had on her professional career. In fact, she never made any such claim until after he professional career was established.

Good riddance, fuck that guy

What are inequalities of natural endowment, @gurugeorge? Say them.

And just say it @gurugeorge. Just say that you think black people are, inherently, intellectually inferior to whites. Just fucking say it. We all know you think it.