• The US Economy and Inflation
    Stock companies try to make a profit for their owners. It's not a terrible investment, if they achieve doing that.ssu

    It’s not an investment in anything. And it’s a terrible practice. Terrible for businesses, in fact. To say nothing of the moral bankruptcy of the shareholder primacy view, which you seem to assume as a law of nature.

    Basically if the company makes a profit, then it's a healthy company.ssu

    Just more nonsense.

    Quarterly earnings tells you little about a company’s “health.” It only tells you it’s profitable this quarter.
  • The US Economy and Inflation
    Why would they be a terrible investment?ssu

    Because raising prices, which customers pay for, just to maintain profits, and then giving away 90% of those profits to shareholders is a terrible investment. It’s terrible for workers, customers, society, and, as has been studied, for businesses themselves.

    To even call it an investment is misleading. It’s not investing anything, really. It’s trying to keep the profits and stock prices high.

    It's really about just who can put this inflation into motion....ssu

    Yes. Companies can. Wal Mart chose to absorb extra cost, for example. Others don’t.

    The Fed printing money does inflate certain assets, yes. That’s only one part of overall inflation.
  • The US Economy and Inflation
    Companies that have the ability to put the highers costs into prices and protect their margins are actually quite good investments in this environment.ssu

    No they aren’t. They protect the profits, yes, which goes to shareholders. The consumers and workers get screwed, as always. It’s a terrible investment.

    But are they really the sources, the main culprit, for inflation?ssu

    It’s a major contributor and, often, the main culprit, yes. In the case of food, it’s the main culprit. In the case of cars…It’s partly that but partly supply disruptions. Etc.

    For example real estate doesn't have this abilityssu

    As I’ve said elsewhere, housing, stocks and bonds are all a different animal. The Fed is great at creating asset bubbles. Especially when moral hazard is factored in, which they’re exceptional at creating.
  • Guest Speaker: Noam Chomsky
    Does that mean that Noam Chomsky will only reply to questions which have been raised so far on this particular thread? I was coming from the angle that he would have more of a live presence like David Pearce did.Jack Cummins

    First part is correct. He will not be here live.

    I may be expecting too much from such an important figure, so it is useful for know whether he will only look at what has been raised on the thread as I am wondering whether it will be closed, and whether a new one will be started for when he engages on the site. I was hoping that the thread here would be a starting point and that questions could emerge in relation to points which he makes.Jack Cummins

    Questions are for this thread and he’ll respond to them. I’m sending them along soon. So if you have one, I’d put one forward within the week.
  • The Debt Ceiling Issue


    Ah…You want a medal or something?
  • The Debt Ceiling Issue
    Why was the bloated, redundant military budget off limits in the debt limit negotiations between the militaristic GOP and Joe Biden? That’s over half the federal operating budget. Untouchable. Full of contractor rip offs and corruption. — Ralph Nader

    God bless this man. Still plugging away.
  • Atheist Dogma.


    True. I’ve softened my stance on religion over the years— it’s too big a category to make generalizations. On the other hand, things like the Christian evangelical movement in the US still angers me. I was one of them, once upon a time.
  • Atheist Dogma.


    Among the Abrahamic religions, certainly. Not so sure about eastern religions.
  • Guest Speaker: Noam Chomsky
    Alright everyone— last call on questions. One more week.
  • Atheist Dogma.
    People seem to forget that religion is the reason LGBT people, who merely just exist, fear for their lives and rights.Darkneos

    Some religion, yes. I’d be reluctant to categorize all religion as anti-LGBT though.

    Here in the US, there’s a particularly vocal and powerful group of the evangelical persuasion that’s behind a lot of this— as well as being anti-abortion.

    But you see it elsewhere, too. Uganda just passed a highly restrictive law, for example.
  • The Debt Ceiling Issue
    Well that was fun.

    Now maybe we can get back to the important things— like fighting wokeness, Disney…arming teachers, banning books, restricting unions, gutting environmental regulations, etc. You know— the normal Republican agenda.
  • The US Economy and Inflation
    From the front page of the Times:

    Companies Push Prices Higher, Protecting Profits but Adding to Inflation

    Glad to see some attention to this glaring contributor to inflation.
  • The US Economy and Inflation
    That big retailers exploit their financial control over suppliers to hobble smaller competitors is a different phenomenon.ssu

    Right, a phenomenon which explains the inflation that matters for most people. Not stocks and bonds.

    As I've said, prices can go up and down for many reasons that aren't related to inflation. And you can allways find new reasons to argue just why prices are up.ssu

    Prices going up over time is inflation.

    And you're right, you can always find new reasons -- which is only right, considering the world is complicated. Which is why clinging to obsolete generalizations from yore is silly.
  • The US Economy and Inflation
    If you give it to people, inflation will happen sooner or later. Just as the example of giving 100 million dollars to everybody shows.ssu

    Except that’s not what’s happening. The article on food shows why.

    It works in some cases, like housing and stocks. Those assets inflate, sure. You can see why. When attempting to explain the rise in food or gas, it just completely fails.

    What’s irritating is that this story is so very convenient for corporate America.
  • The US Economy and Inflation
    Corporate greed, not wages, is behind inflation. It’s time for price controls

    Food prices, gas prices, car prices…we now know why prices have gone up so much. Trying to fit it all nearly into “we’re printing too much money” is really a joke. I guess you have to be a Nobel winning economist to see it in such terms, and be so silly.

    The underlying economic problem is profit-price inflation. It’s caused by corporations raising their prices above their increasing costs.
    Corporations are using those increasing costs – of materials, components and labor – as excuses to increase their prices even higher, resulting in bigger profits. This is why corporate profits are close to levels not seen in over half a century.
    Corporations have the power to raise prices without losing customers because they face so little competition. Since the 1980s, two-thirds of all American industries have become more concentrated.
  • The US Economy and Inflation
    The desire to increase profit margin is the only cause of inflation.

    Wage increases are post hoc corrections for inflation. When the same goods and services cost far more than they used to, people cannot afford them any longer when and if they have the same earnings. To blame wage increases for inflation is to blame the bandaid for the bleeding cut.
    creativesoul

    :up: Well said.

    Some common folks got 1200 bucks three years ago, and some raises for working during the pandemic, and now they must pay dearly for that. That’s all that’s happening. Blame the people for raising prices. Meanwhile corporate profits continue to soar.

    A good example from the Times just today:

    https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/29/opinion/inflation-groceries-pricing-walmart.html?unlocked_article_code=WjEk23ZSH7lfiOdBi1KQHWDZJWW3ygSsdjnAEabZBgexPhuyctNH2Bedpk13aaO19LOlAek-DYIlX7OC40G6dJCpbe_XKBNJzHshEgnGq6VDYHyjTiRZoAickk5VsW9d7aS6vIfjCk5gR0RNvI5NXDOHoVJFqlU7QAJFTPyNHV_KjvDUgsYXWx8U1fxJvhEeqb-atbiTIruDlEBUHYTz9vVp2kqvtDHZlfnClEuIAJKhpe79NwcVWOwAyvQPfsayytXe8LTeTdJqlG_QX-oFtjjwxFF3stF7jg-aBZGhZSteeD4vWlmmXZskFFWuN4XlhRIIQvYOKWHrJseYCbPFz8s2CENJ10e9_4_KFok&smid=url-share
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)


    If you think his campaign is “DOA,” you’re not paying attention. He’ll be the Republican nominee. I’ll wager money on it.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)
    The rapidly ballooning field, combined with Mr. Trump’s seemingly unbreakable core of support, represents a grave threat to Mr. DeSantis, imperiling his ability to consolidate the non-Trump vote, and could mirror the dynamics that powered Mr. Trump’s takeover of the party in 2016.

    It’s a matter of math: Each new entrant threatens to steal a small piece of Mr. DeSantis’s potential coalition — whether it be Mr. Pence with Iowa evangelicals or Mr. Scott with college-educated suburbanites. And these new candidates are unlikely to eat into Mr. Trump’s votes. The former president’s base — more than 30 percent of Republicans — remains strongly devoted to him.

    Ny Times

    I agree with this. It benefits Trump.

    Maybe the RNC takes a page from the DNC playbook and consolidate around one person once it’s clear that the non-Trumps are splitting the votes.
  • The Debt Ceiling Issue
    And that’s that. Now let’s see what the deal is, and if the MAGA Republicans will accept it. I imagine McCarthy could get some democrats to help, but he seems to have said that’s out of the question…so who knows.
  • The US Economy and Inflation
    Paul Volcker, where are you? The current feds are too timid, IMO.jgill

    I don’t buy that this is mostly a monetary issue. Apologies to Friedman. So Vockler’s methods wouldn’t be appropriate here anyway.
  • The Debt Ceiling Issue
    We should abolish the debt ceiling.GRWelsh

    Yeah, it’s silly. The spending has already been made. If they want to cut the debt, then reject the budget.

    Republicans don’t really care if shutdowns or debt gimmicks cause chaos and pain— they’re interested solely in making people as miserable as possible so they can blame the person in office.

    Notice the language from McCarthy: “If president Biden allows a default…” It’s laughable.
  • The Debt Ceiling Issue


    Cutting it in half would be a good start. Cut it down to 100 billion, I say. Still too much. Now the deficit is 700 billion, which can easily be made up for by taxing the wealthy and corporations. Fairly easy, just not “politically viable” thanks to both parties— but mostly Republicans.

    It’s also worth remembering that no one seemed to give a damn about the debt during Trump’s four years. Now the Republicans have to scream about it and cause a ruckus, which trickles down to us talking about it. Which is annoying, but unavoidable when it’s something this important (the debt ceiling that is).
  • The Debt Ceiling Issue


    No I agree. I was speaking specifically about military spending.
  • The Debt Ceiling Issue


    What’s frustrating is the obduracy of both parties on this matter. There’s some sounds coming from Bernie and others, but it’s ignored or treated as impossible.

    There’s no reason we should be spending 858 billion dollars, a year, on the “military” - ie, Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Raytheon, etc. None.
  • The Debt Ceiling Issue
    Military Spending Emerges as Big Dispute in Debt-Limit Talks
    President Biden has offered to freeze discretionary spending, including for defense. Republicans want to spend more for the military, and cut more elsewhere.

    What a shocker. Can republicans make it any more obvious who they represent? It’s a joke.
  • Incels. Why is this online group becoming so popular?
    From what I have heard of incels, I am reasonably comfortable to write them off - the way I would virulent racists or any other vile bigotry.Tom Storm

    :up:

    Likewise. Very comfortable.
  • Two envelopes problem
    Given that the expected value of the unchosen envelope is greater than the value of the chosen envelope, it is rational to switch.Michael

    Seems like nonsense to me. There’s a 50% chance of choosing the envelope with the greater money. That’s it. That’s all we’re given. If we were given any other information, as in the Monty Hall problem, then perhaps switching is correct. But in that problem you start with a 1/3 chance of choosing the prize, and another option is revealed afterwards. In this case, however, nothing has changed.

    So what we’re left with is the claim that going through the motion of picking one envelope and then — with absolutely nothing else changing— switching and picking up the other envelope is somehow rational. That’s simply wrong.

    Is it worth doing? Yes. But we have no way of improving our choice by switching, any more than switching our call of “heads” to “tails”.

    The expected value doesn’t matter. That just tells you it’s profitable to take the bet, especially in the long run. It doesn’t change the probability of choice. If I offer $1,000,000 if it comes up heads and you pay me $100 if it comes up tails, that’s a very profitable bet to take — especially if run many times. But it tells us nothing whatsoever about whether to switch our call, because the probability of choosing correctly is still 50/50. The simple act of changing our minds doesn’t magically change that.
  • Two envelopes problem
    Having chosen an envelope at will, but before inspecting it, you are given the chance to switch envelopes. Should you switch?

    It’s like the Monty Hall problem. But in this case, there’s a 50/50 chance of choosing the envelope with the larger amount of money, so switching makes no sense. You’re not given any more information, so I really don’t follow the rest of the calculations.

    [Edit — I see this has been gone over quite a bit, so forgive the late interjection.]
  • Climate change denial
    Where I personally differ is the assumption humans will be able to deflect the consequences to any substantial degree.jgill

    Okay. And that’s worth talking about. But it’s a different animal from what I was responding to.

    The Earth's movement in our galaxy is beyond our present abilities to alter.jgill

    Yes— and how is this relevant to climate change?

    Lowering CO2 emissions is well within our abilities.
  • Climate change denial


    What’s childish is being an 80-year-old coming to a philosophy forum and declaring that climate change is only “natural,” then chastising people for being “woke” and emotional for believing otherwise.

    If you don’t want to be insulted, then stop insulting peoples intelligence. Next time take 10 minutes to learn something about the science of climate change.
  • Climate change denial
    Unlike you I have zero interest in convincing anyone of anything.Varnaj42

    So you just like announcing your unbiased skepticism about a topic you don’t understand. Cool. Maybe I’ll start one about how I think quantum mechanics are woke. I’m equally qualified to judge that field.
  • Climate change denial
    Sure the climate is changing. I disagree about the causes though.Varnaj42

    Several of these, in their normal movements, affect the atmosphere which, in turn, causes changes.Varnaj42

    Yeah, I’m sure the world’s climate scientists haven’t considered “normal movements” or natural variance. You’ve cracked the case.

    We humans are a fear based species.Varnaj42

    We’re also a denial-based species, as you demonstrate well.
  • Selective Skepticism
    Many are echoes from the echo-chamber of partisanship and would evaporate if they were ever examined in the light of honest reflection. Which is why the partisan propaganda-machine so strenuously opposes reading, critical thinking and contemplation.Vera Mont

    A good point. Education and media seem to work in lockstep when it comes to certain aspects of society.

    I cannot empathise with people who become aligned to one set of doctrines and cannot defend any other position or question their own.Andrew4Handel

    That’s probably part of the problem, but I agree it’s difficult.
  • Climate change denial
    Alot of climate denialism often boils down to dumb politics. Oh, and rich oil lobbyists who profit off nothing being done (for very obvious reasons) who manage to dupe the former into fighting for their interests.Mr Bee

    :clap:

    Yes indeed.
  • Climate change denial


    Yeah, you just have no clue what you’re talking about. Take your denialism elsewhere.
  • Selective Skepticism
    You think maybe short term self-interest plays a part?Vera Mont

    Sure, but also that mostly these things involve deep beliefs tied into a persons sense of self— their values, their life narrative and social persona, etc.

    Hard to examine and harder to change.

    All your examples are from a left point of view. There should be some from both sides.noAxioms

    I don’t consider the trans example to be left wing.

    the abortion issuenoAxioms

    Another example, yes. Been around a while, but has gotten even more extreme. Believe it or not, I don’t have strong views about it myself, so it didn’t stand out to me. Plus it’s not as obvious — the question on when life begins, when a human is fully human, and so on. I’m much more pro choice, but I’m not unsympathetic to those who don’t want to see what they consider babies killed. Mostly it’s just legislating Christian dogma.



    Definitely describes what I’m getting at. However, I’m being more specific. Selective skepticism is definitely a kind of motivated reasoning though.
  • Climate change denial
    it's pretty darn bad, which is why the links I provided, contribute to such damning conclusions, that we are in very deep shit.Manuel

    :up:
  • The Debt Ceiling Issue
    No US Default -– come hell or highwater! – is my prediction.180 Proof

    Hope you’re right. Whatever happens, I can’t imagine the powers that be will allow a default.
  • The Debt Ceiling Issue
    You can't negotiate with extortionists without emboldening them to keep doing it.Wayfarer

    Yes. I almost want to say: you want to blow up the global financial system? Go for it. Call their bluff. If they’re not bluffing, then they really are insane.

    What’s hilarious is that McCarthy talks as if this is Biden’s doing — as if he’s not manufacturing this entire thing. The whole thing is quite pathetic.