We'll see. They keep saying this invasion is imminent, for like the 5th time.
Again, I don't particularly like Putin - but we all more than know about his crimes, that doesn't really produce much thought.
But I don't think he's a moron. I don't think he will invade Ukraine to face off against NATO. That's suicide. Not just for him, maybe the world - and I wish I were exaggerating.
They can impose sanctions, but they'll have to be very careful. They can turn off energy supplies to Europe, which would be a big problem.
From a Russian perspective, ever since NATO's continued expanding to the East, after having been promised it would not move an "inch" to the East, they have reason to be warry. No powerful state would want a hostile military alliance, much less NATO, at the border.
If Russia does go in and invade Ukraine, it's over. NATO can't step back given the rhetoric its using. And Russia actually invades, then they indeed will look like fools for having done so, due to the repeated Western warnings of such an event.
It could happen, of course, world events are very complex and multi-faceted. We will see.
It was part of the quite disastrous disintegration of the USSR - which could have proceeded in a much better direction, with less suffering involved for all, as we are now seeing.
It's funny that Crimea is mentioned so frequently - and fine to mention it, fair - but Guantanamo is not. Yet Guantanamo has nothing to do with the US - there are no Americans living there, minus the base. But people don't like to hear this.
Agree that a peaceful co-management of the territories would be best. Maybe hard to carry out, but, worth a shot. Now it's a bit late for that.
No, they can't call out Turkey, they have too much to lose by getting into a political row with them. China isn't going anywhere. Those cases you mention can be multiplied probably dozens of times over. But, if they're Allie$, it's all fine.