• Banno
    29k
    Another paper by Gillian Russell that I think worth some consideration. This one is of direct relevance, amongst other things, to discussions of induction, the is/ought barrier, temporal logic and modality.

    Hume’s Law and other Barriers to Entailment

    This is the 2013 paper that led to her book, Barriers to Entailment: Hume's Law and other Limits on Logical Consequence, 2023. I’ll stick to the paper here, since it is openly available.

    A barrier to entailment occurs when a set of premises that might on the face of it appear to be good reasons for some conclusion, can’t be made to formally perform as required. So, for instance, it can be argued that if every time one finds a poppy, it is purple, one might feel entitled to conclude that all poppies are purple. This is the familiar problem of induction - no sequence of individual statements, “Here is a purple poppy”, “There is a purple poppy”, can deductively justify the move to “All poppies are purple”.

    A couple of other such barriers have been mooted. Of particular interest are that no list of things that are the case can lead one to a conclusion as to what ought to be the case. And no list of things that have been the case can lead to a conclusion as to what will be the case in the future. And no sentence about what might be the case can lead to a conclusion as to what must be the case. There are others, but these will do for now.

    Now, each of these carries its own baggage of some considerable literature, and each has its arguments and answers. Part of what is special about the present paper is that it attempts to analyse their common logical structure, formally. And it attempts to do so using the machinery of first-order logic.

    Russell sets out her case quite formally, but finishes with a discussion of natural language examples. Informally, she identifies a group of satisfiable sentences that do not change their truth value if new objects are introduced into the conversation, and another set that can be made false by introducing new objects. So “That is a purple poppy” will remain true if we introduce more poppies, either purple or red; but “This is the only purple poppy” will change its truth value if another purple poppy is introduced. Russell calls sentences that do not change their truth value “particular” and those that must, “Universal”.

    It should be noted that the term “Universal” is not a reference to the quantifier. These are not, for instance, just those sentences beginning with a universal quantifier. It is also worthy of note that the categories “particular” and “universal” do not cover all sentences - there are sentences that are neither.

    We can form sets of particular sentences, such as {this is a purple poppy, that is a purple poppy}. These sets will themselves remain particular, in that adding more objects to the discussion - more purple poppies, or a white swan - will not change the particularity of the set.

    And here’s the point. From sets of particular sentences alone, we cannot derive a universal sentence. There is a barrier to entailment between particular and universal sentences such that the first cannot imply the second.

    That account is of course a mere outline, the devil is in the detail of the article. The relation to induction should, I hope, be apparent. Russell offers ways of understanding Hume’s Law, Temporality, and other instances of barriers to entailment using this frame. There are other approaches, notably some involving relevance logic, that seek a similar result. Russell’s approach seems to be more intuitive.

    Perhaps some will find this approach interesting.
  • Banno
    29k
    So what is Russell doing with the mooted counterexamples?

    In the Prior’s Dilemma example, on the one horn, if we call Fa v UxGx a universal sentence then Fa ⊢ Fa v UxGx is a counter-example; and on the other horn, if we call it not a universal sentence then Fa v UxGx ^ ~Fa ⊢ UxGx is a counter-example, so either way we are stuck.

    But that the answer, from Russell in 2.1 is that Fa v UxGx is neither universal nor particular (2.1, p. 9)
  • J
    2.2k
    Very interesting. I'll read Russell's paper.
  • Banno
    29k
    Cheers. I'm not expecting this thread to garner much interest, no more than a few comments, but will write on, taking my own advice. Setting out the arguments myself is a useful way to make sure I've understood it.

    If you are tempted to get the book, note that the Kindle edition suffers the inability of Kindle to render LaTeX, so badly that some of the equations are simply absent. Get the paperback, which is only a few dollars more.
  • J
    2.2k
    I've read the first section of Russell's paper. Do you find the putative counter-examples persuasive? They seem fishy to me, but I don't know how to give them a strictly logical refutation. Presumably Russell will go on to do this. In particular -- and this has come up in several previous threads on TPF -- we have the idea that, because p, it is necessarily the case that p. It evidently requires a temporal qualifier, though: It is necessarily the case now that p. P was not necessary until it became actual. Furthermore -- and this is the part I'm really dubious about -- it invokes an idea of necessity that seems at odds with how we think about necessity overall. I'm not saying that "Because p, therefore not not-p" is wrong. That is indeed a kind of necessity. But this "necessity of actuality," to coin a phrase, doesn't address the questions about what constitutes non-temporal, definitional or lawlike necessity. It's more of a weak sister, a glancing acknowledgment that yes, once something happens, it can't unhappen. Do we need to worry about this as a counter-example to the thesis that "you can't get claims about how the world must be from the claims that merely state how it is"?
  • frank
    18.2k

    So she's getting rigorous about the problem of induction?
  • Banno
    29k


    Much more than that. She is showing at a logical issue common to the problem of induction, the is/ough barrier, and to "nothing about what was the case tells us about what will be the case", amongst other things.

    The general application is broad.
  • Banno
    29k

    Each of the examples has it's own context, and there is a difference between the modal instance and the temporal instance. They are not the same. However, the treatment given by Russell applies to all. And it does seem to set out why the mooted counterexamples are fishy. But the detail...

    I'd hope most folk would share the intuition that we can't logically get something in a conclusion that is not at least implicit in the presumptions. So if someone gets an ought from premises that contain only is, they have somewhere gone astray. Same if they get everything is thus-and-so from arguments that say only that this and this are thus-and-so, or that begin with "this is true" and end "necessarily, this is true".

    There are further problems with causation, seperate to the issue being addressed here. Ubiquitously, those who make most use of causality are unable to tell us what it is. It certainly is not that if A causes B then in every possible world in which A is true, B is also true. But this is how it is often mistakenly understood - that B follows necessarily from A

    The plan was to post on the proof strategy yesterday, but problems with lining a graphic had me baulk. Hopefully soon.
  • J
    2.2k
    there is a difference between the modal instance and the temporal instance. They are not the same.Banno

    True. But the alleged modal counter-example has to make use of a qualifier or caveat about time, doesn't it? "Because p, it is necessarily the case that p", expanded, means "It is necessarily the case now that p". Otherwise, the modal necessity is very weak; this is the "fishy" aspect of saying of absolutely anything that obtains, that it therefore must do so.

    I'll watch for your post on the proof strategy.
  • Banno
    29k
    "Because p, it is necessarily the case that p", expanded, means "It is necessarily the case now that p".J

    I don't see why.
  • J
    2.2k
    Maybe I'm not explaining it well. I guess it hinges on two different senses of "necessary." If I say "The squirrel is in the tree, therefore it must be the case that the squirrel is in the tree," surely that's wrong? It happens to be the case, and now that it is the case, it can't not be the case, but we want necessity to capture something else, don't we? Something more like "The squirrel is in the tree, and it is, and was, necessary that the squirrel be in the tree" -- which I take to be the same idea as "it must be the case that . . ." Neither of these formulations are true, or so it seems to me. That's all I meant.
  • Banno
    29k


    The natural language use of "necessary" is ambiguous. And "it must be the case that..." is not quite the same as "It is necessarily the case that..."

    That's one advantage of formal systems over natural languages. When necessity is defined in terms of access to possible worlds, these ambiguities dissipate.

    It is not the case that the possum is in the tree in every possible world. But if we so choose, we can limit ourselves to talking only about those worlds in which the possum is in the tree - which is just a way of saying, if the possum is in the tree, then it must be the case that the possum is in the tree... That "if" is understood as stipulating that we restrict ourselves only to those worlds in which the possum is in the tree.
  • Banno
    29k
    So to some detail on Section Two. Russell cites "you can’t get a universal sentence from particular ones" as the paradigmatic case, and sets about defining "Universal" and "Particular" with the counterexamples in mind. The question is, can these two terms be defined in such a way that the counterexamples are shown wanting int the way described above?

    She uses first-order logic, like Fa, where this means that a is one of the things that is in the group "F". The "a" roughly a proper name for a; it picks out a and only a..

    She also uses models. A model is just a group of things that are assigned to those proper names. The group of things is called the domain, D, and the mapping is called the interpretation, I. So the group of all the things, the domain, might be {a,b,c}, and the interpretation, that "a" stands for a, "b" stands for b, and so on. If a and b are both also members of F, then we can call {a,b} the extension of F

    ∀xFx is read as "for all x, x is f", or "everything is f".

    The novelty here is that we give consideration to what happens when the domain is extended - when more individuals and predicates are added.

    So see fig 1:
    Fig-1.png
    Extending the domain by adding something that is also F and something that is not F cannot change the truth value of Fa.

    And Fig 2:
    Fig-2.png
    Extending the domain by adding something that is also F and something that is not F can change the truth value of ∀xFx.

    I'll stop there for a bit. I keep getting distracted by other posts. And I should be moving a Passionfruit vine.
  • Banno
    29k
    And so to the central argument.

    Definition 1 sets out what is meant by extending a model. A model, again, is a bunch of individuals that have been assigned various predicates. The extension of a model adds some more individuals, and the predicates belonging to those individuals. Importantly, it does not change the individuals already in the model, nor their predicts.

    Definition 2 sets out that a sentence is particular if and only if it's truth value does not change when the model is extended.

    In contrast, Definition 3 sets out that a sentence is Universal if and only if its truth value can change when the model is extended.

    So, speaking roughly, we have a bunch of individuals, and their predicates, and if we add more individuals and predicates without changing any of the existing ones, we have extended the model. Those sentences who's truth value does not change are particular, and those sentences who's truth value can change are universal.

    Even more briefly, if a sentence is true in M and in any extension M' then it is particular. If it is true in M and false in at least one extension of M' then it is Universal.

    Now comes the proof. What is to be shown is that from any true collection consisting only of particular sentences, we cannot derive a universal sentence. The proof works by considering the only two possibilities: Either the universal sentences is true, or it is false. Now if it is false, then it cannot follow from a true collection of particular sentences, since no collection of true sentences can imply a falsehood. And if it is true, then by definition 3, there is some model in which that universal sentence is false. But in that model we would again have the collection of true particular sentences implying a falsehood, which again cannot happen.

    Too quick? Let's break it down. We have a collection of true particular sentences, Γ. We want to show that this collection cannot imply a true universal sentence, .

    Now either is true, or it is false.

    If it is false, then it cannot be implied by any collection of true sentences, and so cannot be implied by Γ.

    And since is a universal sentence, there is an extension of our modal in which it is false. So even if in our model it is true, there must be a model in which it is false. And in that model, our particular sentences would still be true, and we would again have an instance of true sentences implying a falsehood.

    So in neither case can a collection of particular sentences imply a universal sentence.

    How's that? I'll look for a good analogue as well.

    It should be noted that here I've skipped over the whole extensional mechanism of satisfaction, preferring to talk just of truth - on the presumption that truth is a bit more intuitive. Russell uses satisfaction, making her case both more robust and tighter.

    What remains to be seen is how this account is to be generalised.

    But first, a few important notes.
  • J
    2.2k
    How's that? I'll look for a good analogue as well.Banno

    Pretty sure I get it, thanks. An example with English nouns and predicates would help too, I think. Or maybe this is what you mean by a good analogue. (The most counter-intuitive aspect, for me, is the very first step, in which Fa remains true even though ¬F has been added to the domain.)

    Good luck with your vine. :smile:
  • Banno
    29k
    It'd been in the greenhouse for a few years, with some success, but it proved ungainly and unmanageable, so I've found it a place on a north wall. I doubt it will do as well, it's in a bit of a wind trap.

    Yes, I wondered about the diagram. It's both clear and misleading. The circle is the domain, each dot is an item, an individual in the domain. Only one is labeled - given an interpretation. That's the dot at top left. In the left circle there are two other individuals, both of which satisfy F; that is, both of which belong to the collection of things that are F. In the right circle, the domain has been extended, with one thing that satisfies F and another that does not - the one labeled "¬F". In both domains, a is F. indeed, by the rule for forming extensions, we can't construct an extension in which a is not F, because extending a model by definition does not change what is there already. So Fa is particular. But ∀xFx, while true for the circle on the left, is not true for the circle on the right, since we can add an item that does not satisfy F, without changing what's there already. That is, ∀xFx is universal.
  • J
    2.2k
    Ah, OK, much clearer, and now I understand why the 1st diagram seemed counter-intuitive. I hadn't understood that only the single, designated F was a. So of course the addition of something that is ¬F can't change anything with respect to a.

    Carry on.
  • Banno
    29k
    One analogue might be knitting. John starts with green wool, so the first row is green, and so is the second, and the third. So far all the rows are green. At some point John may decide to change wool to yellow, and continue adding rows. Suppose we don't know what John decides to do.

    Now regardless of what John decides, the first row remains green. "The first row is green" is true and particular. It will not change, regardless of what John does. Generally, any statement that if true does not become false when more rows are added is particular.

    In contrast, "All the rows are green" is true unless John changes wool; and then false. So "All the rows are green", whether true or not, is universal. Generally, any statement that can change its truth value as rows are added is universal.

    Now the proof seeks to show that no set of particular statements can logically entail a universal statement. That is, that a set of statements that cannot change when we add rows cannot logically entail one that can change it's truth value as rows are added.

    Let's look at the universal statement "All the rows are green". Either all the rows are green, or they are not. The collection "Row one is green, row two is green, row three is green" is not enough to tell us that all the rows are green, since John may have decided to change to yellow at some subsequent row.

    Now to be sure, "Row three is green, row four is yellow" does entitle us to conclude that not all rows are green. But "not all rows are green", if it is true, cannot be changed by adding new rows - if there are yellow rows, adding more rows will not change that. So "not all rows are green" is not a universal statement but a particular one.

    No matter what we do, no set of particular statements can entail a universal one.


    The knitting analogy is a bit clunky, but it might be of use when we get to temporality. It amounts to, no set of statements about what John has already knitted logically entails what he will knit next, which I hope has an intuitive appeal.
  • Banno
    29k
    A review of the book in Philosophy Now:

    Barriers to Entailment by Gillian Russell

    This book’s proof of the Strong General Barrier Theorem is a landmark achievement in twenty-first century philosophy. Not since Ludwig Wittgenstein’s Tractatus (1921) has such an important contribution been made to philosophical logic. — Christopher John Searle
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