As you're no doubt aware - having spent so much time on the forums - it's a rare thing for a mind to be ahubristic and circumspect enough to draw a distinction between its truths and its beliefs. — ZzzoneiroCosm
Or, put another way, the cat being on the mat causes (or strongly probabilistically promotes) my belief that the cat is on the mat. — fdrake
Statements are still true or false simpliciter. "The cat is on the mat" is either true or false. Nevertheless, belief must come in degrees of probability. — fdrake
A logic of belief in Ramsey's would look like Bayesian computation. — fdrake
It looks to me that the best bet would be "There are more than 3 bodies currently in orbit around Saturn", but I don't have an explicit probability assigned to the statement. — fdrake
why would my predisposition towards any of the statements in the list be necessary for there to be a given number of bodies in orbit around Saturn? — fdrake
Which makes the all referents of such perception-talk and model-dependent realism socially mediated... doesn't it? — creativesoul
But in Bayesian terms you do. — Isaac
Simple version - 'Saturn', 'number', 'bodies', and 'orbit' are all themselves models of something, but are not necessary models of that something, they could be other than they are. What they are is a property of your mind and so any adjustment to that model (say by observing a fourth body orbiting Saturn) that would impact on whether it is the case ('is true') that only three bodies orbit Saturn, is a property of your belief. — Isaac
They think that truth is relative to conceptual schemes, and hence hope to save things like Chinese medicine from being wrong. — Banno
Further, if your objection is re-worked using statements, it seems to me to dissipate. There are statements that are not believed and yet true. — Banno
Getting rid of conceptual schemes reintroduces being wrong. — Banno
Which makes the all referents of such perception-talk and model-dependent realism socially mediated... doesn't it?
— creativesoul
Not with inderect reference it doesn't. We can (and do) refer to 'hidden states' without directly identifying objects within them. — Isaac
There are statements that are not believed and yet true — Banno
Meaningful disagreement, by my lights, is the sort of disagreement you have with someone while understanding the words they say. So we do not share the same belief. But I understand the statement the belief is about — Moliere
If outputs of whatever system of belief formation we have actually were probability statements, rather than being realisations of probability models, we'd have an easier time eliciting our own priors. This is a distinction between sampling from what is most probable in realising an active perception from a model and those samples being probability statements. — fdrake
The model says look left (disposition) and then we look left (event). — fdrake
Upon what basis do you believe that necessity is relevant at all for vouchsafing a representative connection between external stimuli and output states of active perception models? — fdrake
how can it necessarily be the case that "Saturn" is a model of something when we cannot imbue necessity into any model output? — fdrake
Does a stimulus constrain perceptual features associated with it? If it did not constrain perceptual features associated with it, where does all this accord come from? — fdrake
Yeah, fair point. I'd have to dial back my use of the term, not sure how it affects the argument though? Surely without that necessity, you still cannot go from there to reify 'Saturn', simply on the grounds that it is not necessarily a model? — Isaac
Take phantom limb. They're not 'really' moving their arm, but their perception is telling them they are, and without contrary input, that's exactly the 'event' they'll perceive. Not what we'd want to call the real event at all, simply what they were expecting to perceive without any contrary evidence to deal with. Faced with conflicting contrary evidence the brain will make up all kinds of stories to marry the two sources, any or none of which may actually reflect reality. — Isaac
I don't. But necessity is relevant for theories of truth based on the objects thereby referred to. To consider sense objects as simples is fine in most cases and the necessity of those simples is irrelevant. But to claim (as Davidson seems to) that those simples are all there is, universally shared... That seems to me to be making a claim for their to be necessarily that way, and that claim I think, can be refuted. — Isaac
Does this seem about right? — fdrake
What about adopting the view that what counts as a simple depends on what one is doing? That something can be simple in one way, complex in others? — Banno
(N1) In order for an output of a model to be real for certain, the connection between the model output (model results) and model input (what is modelled) must be necessary. — fdrake
Yes, I think so. I sense there's a commitment resulting from this that I'm not going to like, so I'm wary of the fact that it's not exactly how I would word it (laying out my escape route early on!), but yes,. It's related to the same answer I would give to Banno, so I've put them in the same post. — Isaac
we can find defeater contexts for every model, we can clearly revise our knowledge. — fdrake
It isn't necessary that I believe the cat is on the mat if and only if the cat is on the mat in order for the cat to be on the mat (the cat could be on the mat and I could be out of the house and believing the cat is outside) — fdrake
That which my perceptual features aggregate into "my cat" counts as the cat, but the represented entity also counts as my cat. This "counting as" works both ways - it's relational. — fdrake
What I'd replace the notion of necessity with is (fallible) accord of (fallible) perceptual features; then treat the perceptual features as real objects with regularities that (fallibly, contextually) ensure the (fallible) accord. — fdrake
Yes, I think I'd agree with that, but is it commensurable? Is it impossible for someone else to have a different set of hidden states combine to make a slightly different entity? If so, their entities (and relations) may be incommensurable with yours because, despite the fact that we're happy to accept whatever aggregate we perceive as real, we cannot refer to the simples constituting it (they're hidden). So if someone did have a different aggregate it would not be possible to translate it by reference to shared simples. — Isaac
Why would it need to be impossible? What's the reasoning behind (N1)? — fdrake
I'm with you so far, but it seems unwarranted to extend this to literally all cases, just on principle. And 'fleshing out the contexts' in which differences might be actualized, is a good aim, but again seems unwarranted to assume will be possible in all cases. That essentially back to where necessity matters in your N1.. — Isaac
An analysis of the duck/rabbit experience reveals ideas and uninterpreted stuff (matter in the old sense of the word). — frank
Notice that we don't disagree where the lines are drawn even as it shifts from duck to rabbit. — fdrake
Another way of saying this is that propositional content occurs in the same way as perceptual features; they are of the same ontological order/stratum/regional ontology. They're all events under some representation that tracks some generating conditions, so long as the conditions which generate the propositional content are tracking (strongly informationally constrain or are accurately modelled by) the conditions which generate the perceptual features; differences in one track differences in another, content in one track content in another, changes in hidden states in one track changes in hidden states in another, we're in a relative accord whereby we can state truths of what is modelled by counting it as a model output. — fdrake
The rabbit wears a black band on its neck if and only if the duck wears a black band on its neck. — fdrake
It's constantly in your field of vision, your brain just refuses to see it. In some unfortunate cases of brain injury, this effect gets shifted an the patient can't see any noses at all! — Isaac
Not if you're 'black-band-blind'. — Isaac
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