Economic Downturn Oncoming?
  • Shawn
    13.2k
    I've been dealing with my own analysis of economic foresight and have come to the conclusion that we are likely to experience a new kind of economic downturn in the foreseeable future.

    The rationale hinges on two things happening in tandem;

    1. The advent of Generalized Artificial Intelligence.

    2. And, perhaps more importantly, than the slower onset of problems (that really can't be mitigated!) of number one, being, massive deflationary tendencies, of the culmination of technology being GAI.

    I'll let you play with those two premises, and let me know what you think?
    Shawn Options
  • Shawn
    13.2k
    I have a small solution to #1, being, the problem of GAI, but, #2, remains a sort of hidden variable working in the background.

    The problem with #1, is exacerbated by appealing, to perhaps, the most important facet of GAI, that we could possibly instill, being empathy. National boundaries cannot be imposed on an entity that treats all human beings as equal.

    The paradoxical economic foresight from this is that the poor, not the rich stand to benefit the most from such a GAI, which I think is Pareto optimal.
    Shawn Options
  • Nobeernolife
    556
    There is always an "economic downturn coming" since by its nature a money economy overexpands and then contracts and resets. In particular, the current world-wide debt bubble will have to be erased by a wide ranging currency reset. The question is when, not if.
    Nobeernolife Options
  • Shawn
    13.2k
    ↪Nobeernolife


    Look at what happened to Japan...
    Shawn Options
  • fishfry
    3.4k
    I've been dealing with my own analysis of economic foresight and have come to the conclusion that we are likely to experience a new kind of economic downturn in the foreseeable future. — Wallows

    Yes, well, this has been predicted for quite some time. The question is when the Fed is going to stop printing, or when the markets will simply stop responding to the Fed printing. And nobody knows the answers to those questions. John Maynard Keynes said: Markets can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.
    fishfry Options
bold
italic
underline
strike
code
quote
ulist
image
url
mention
reveal
youtube
tweet
Add a Comment

Welcome to The Philosophy Forum!

Get involved in philosophical discussions about knowledge, truth, language, consciousness, science, politics, religion, logic and mathematics, art, history, and lots more. No ads, no clutter, and very little agreement — just fascinating conversations.

Sign In Create Account

Categories