• Andrew M
    1.6k
    Per the https://www.endcoronavirus.org/countries reference that Banno linked and I also discussed here.

    Not a good reference actually.

    First of all, it's far too early to say that. This hasn't ended yet...at all.
    ssu

    See it as "currently winning" as opposed to "have won". The point of the reference is to show that some countries are dramatically bending their curves and gaining control over the virus, even from a large base of cases. That's important information.

    Secondly, when you really look at those countries it seems that what is only thing that has been looked at is the graph without any reference to the actual number. Is it REALLY so that Singapore has done worse than Iran and should take example from the Islamic Republic??? I don't think so, with 3/million deaths compared to 77/million, the obvious Trumpesque response of the mullahs plus totally unreliable stats I wouldn't say that Singapore has done it bad and Iran has made better response. What that site (perhaps unintentionally) paints as the picture is that the pandemic has been beaten. Several of those "covid-19 beating" countries are scaling back their quarantine measures, so that will have implications.ssu

    It's of course good that countries like Singapore have a comparatively low base of cases and deaths. But due to the outbreak there, it has to work to regain control.

    You can set aside Iran - it doesn't change the picture at all. The fact is that there are many countries that have the virus currently under control due to their effective action. As long as they continue to test and maintain strict border controls, they should be able to stay that way.

    The linked page also lists what actions countries should be taking: act quickly (even with many cases, it's not too late), isolate infected individuals, strict travel restrictions, massive testing, face masks, social distancing, and don't reopen too early.

    In my view, all the US states should be doing these things - the virus needs to be properly contained over the coming weeks before normality can return. Here are similar graphs for the US states:

    https://www.endcoronavirus.org/states

    Note that New York, from a large base of cases and a late lockdown, is now in a much better position. It's better late than never. As opposed to most other states, many of which imagine it's fine to be reopening even though the virus is still out of control there.
  • Baden
    16.3k


    I've been concentrating on the developed world. Lockdown in some parts of the developing world, such as India, seems to be being carried out in a way optimized to protect the interests of particular classes and ignore the interests of others. That is a clear problem. First I've heard of an issue with TB, so I can't comment on that as yet.
  • Hanover
    12.9k
    India, seems to be being carried out in a way optimized to protect the interests of particular classes and ignore the interests of others.Baden

    Yeah, the caste system creates far more injustices than just inequitable coronavirus treatment.
  • frank
    15.8k
    Famines of biblical proportions means we'll have to sell ourselves to the Egyptians as slaves. We'll eventually get restless and kill all their sons and go wandering in the desert.

    Sounds like fun.
  • Andrew M
    1.6k
    I just think the unintended consequences could be far greater with the lockdown approach, for instance they are predicting an extra 1.5 million TB deaths due to lockdown (https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/science-and-disease/coronavirus-lockdown-could-lead-nearly-15-million-extra-tb-deaths/), and famines of “ biblical proportions.NOS4A2

    It isn't the lockdowns that are causing disruptions to treatment programmes and food production, it's the virus. It's not legitimate to just compare how things are affected by a lockdown to an idealized normal time absent the virus.

    To make the point, consider how these programmes and other aspects of normal life would have fared during the 1918 flu epidemic.

    Avoiding lockdowns during a pandemic doesn't imply "business as usual".
  • NOS4A2
    9.2k


    Only human beings can shut down such services. I think it’s a grave error to blame a virus for the choices only human beings can make.
  • Andrew M
    1.6k
    Regions move to lockdown because of the potential downside consequences of not doing so. The consequences of not locking down need to be factored in as well.

    It's like a fire is tearing through your neighborhood and someone produces a study saying that leaving your home means your garden won't be watered or the floors vacuumed.
  • Banno
    25k
    Given that the victims of the virus are dominated by men who are over 60, there is a very important question that needs to be addressed:

    Does it pose an existential threat to these forums?
  • Baden
    16.3k


    You mean if all the old buggers popped their clogs, would we be screwed?

    I'll leave that one to the gallery.

    In the meantime, Piketty on the virus and social inequality.

  • Banno
    25k
    I find it very difficult to give serious consideration to any intellectual with a French accent. I find it hard to hear them over all my "bullshit" alarms.

    Are all those people cueing for a Rolling Stones concert?
  • Banno
    25k
    You mean if all the old buggers popped their clogs, would we be screwed?Baden

    Yep. Someone's gotta pay for all this.
  • Baden
    16.3k
    I find it very difficult to give serious consideration to any intellectual with a French accent.Banno

    Try turning down the sound, reading the captions, and mentally adding 'mate' to every second sentence.
  • Banno
    25k
    But the captions are in French...
  • Baden
    16.3k


    Durn. We'll never get you edumucated then.
  • Banno
    25k
    I guess so. It's a prejudice I might have developed by watching too many SBS documentaries in which a French archeologist digs up a stone tool and from it reconstructs a religion based on the worship of the moon, complete with ritual baguettes.
  • Hanover
    12.9k
    THE WAR IS OVER!!

    Return to work.
  • frank
    15.8k
    All the presidents in that video were democrats.
  • Hanover
    12.9k
    the presidents in that video were democrats.frank

    Don't politicize the end of the war! Just go out in the street and throw off your top hat beneath the ticker tape.
  • frank
    15.8k
    okey dokey
  • Benkei
    7.7k
    @Chester Look! The English are ahead of the curve!
  • frank
    15.8k
    NPR talks about the Chinese "whitewash"

    With Trump supporters (including Fox News) blaming China for the pandemic to deflect from America's mistakes, it gets hard to pick out the truth. We're left trying to apply logic and common sense to perceive the truth.
  • I like sushi
    4.8k
    What’s hard to pick out?
  • frank
    15.8k
    What’s hard to pick out?I like sushi

    It's that I'm programmed to be skeptical of everything Fox says, but reason states that the CCP did screw up.

    I would expect the CCP to lack transparency and I expect Fox to distort the facts.
  • unenlightened
    9.2k
    so... who's voting for Starmer in 4 years time?Professor Death
    Well personally I'd vote for Lord Buckethead if I thought he'd beat Boris the professional turnip, so wet dish-cloth Starmer will probably get my vote unless he does something, which seems very unlikely.

    Meanwhile, have some advice chaps.

    https://erinbromage.wixsite.com/covid19/post/the-risks-know-them-avoid-them?fbclid=IwAR1BO5HezHqJ43-QY8bSC5oE7ycNfHmgRUJ7vmEQMoSeXavYbHai9wHBb2g
  • I like sushi
    4.8k
    ALL US news channels are extremely poor places to go for information. They’re all there as entertainment services essentially - reporting actual news is clearly not a priority.
  • frank
    15.8k
    I cited NPR. Maybe they're different.
  • Changeling
    1.4k
    Bizarre that the article didn't mention air travel...
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