Never said it was. — Jeremiah
The OP never called for a solution based on expected gains — Jeremiah
The filling of the envelopes and the selecting of the envelopes are two separate events. — Jeremiah
It absolutely can be ignored. — Jeremiah
I think we are safe, I doubt anything will blow up. — Jeremiah
I have two envelopes, one with amount A and one with amount B. I flip a fair coin to choose one. What is my chance of getting B? — Jeremiah
See that was easy. — Jeremiah
And I am saying that doesn't really matter because it will always be amount A and amount B. — Jeremiah
That is what I just did. The envelopes cannot be in both cases at once, therefore it makes no sense to hedge your expections that both cases are possible. — Jeremiah
Never said any thing about both being actual at once. — Jeremiah
Do you the the point or not? — Jeremiah
The 1.25X come from considering expected gains over both cases, the larger and smaller. However when one case is true the other cannot be true, so it makes no sense to consider expected gains in this fashion. They should to be considered separately. — Jeremiah
Actually only one case is true, while the other one does not exist. So they can't both be possible outcomes, not objectively. You are modeling your assumption of what you think is possible. However, just because you can think of something that doesn't mean it is objectively a possible outcome. — Jeremiah
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