If you toss a coin 100 times, would you predict:
- All heads
- All tails
- 50/50
It's the 3rd. The question 'was the universe created?' is of the same nature - boolean answer, no reason to suspect a non-normal distribution in the answer, so 50/50 is the correct probability to assign. — Devans99
But what if the coin was six dimensional, had four faces, magic powers, ate cornflakes for breakfast, but also not conflakes for breakfast, and was made of rubber and also cake, but was also a hippopotamus? Why can't we just admit we don't know what side it will land on? — StreetlightX
But what if the coin was six dimensional, had four faces, magic powers, ate cornflakes for breakfast, but also not conflakes for breakfast, and was made of rubber and also cake, but was also a hippopotamus? Why can't we just admit we don't know what side it will land on? — StreetlightX
I have. It is correct, in the presence of no evidence either way, to start at 50/50 for an estimate of an unknown boolean proposition with normally distributed answers. — Devans99
All that "believing" nonsense. You just cannot call your blind guesses...blind guesses. You have to call them "believing."
You ought to figure out why you do that.
Anyway...you do make sense...providing, of course, that you logic out the window. — Frank Apisa
Also, you are not correct in claiming to know that there are no Gods if there are indeed Gods in spite of the absence of evidence. I — Maureen
You know how many hands you have. It's probably two, barring special circumstances. You know you don't have three hands. You can search up and down your body and not find a third hand. You have zero proof of a third hand. But you do have a lot of lack of evidence in favor of a third hand. You're perfectly justified in claiming you KNOW you have two hands and no third. — NKBJ
Anyone who tells you (or me) it's illogical to know you don't have a third hand has very simply lost touch with reality. — NKBJ
I would not say that I don't know if there is a refrigerator in my kitchen, because I do know this — Maureen
You can present all of the evidence you want to support your claim, but at the end of the day you may as well just admit that you don t know if God does or does not exist, because that is the actual truth. — Maureen
S
9k
Correct...which is why I would not make it.
I merely say that I do not know. — Frank Apisa
Ah, okay, so you've changed your stance. You've scrapped the 50/50 thing. :up:
(By the way, I would strongly warn you against spamming the forum. If you keep that up, I predict you'll end up being banned). — S
Devans99
1.2k
Ah, okay, so you've changed your stance. You've scrapped the 50/50 thing — S
I think the question 'is there a God?' is not a 50/50 proposition.
But the question 'was the universe created?' is a 50/50 proposition. — Devans99
NKBJ
718
what you are saying makes sense — Frank Apisa
Good! — NKBJ
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