"Despite the morbidity and mortality with influenza, there's a certainty … of seasonal flu," Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said in a White House press conference on Jan. 31. "I can tell you all, guaranteed, that as we get into March and April, the flu cases are going to go down. You could predict pretty accurately what the range of the mortality is and the hospitalizations [will be]," Fauci said. "The issue now with [COVID-19] is that there's a lot of unknowns."
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So far this flu season, about 0.05% of people who caught the flu have died from the virus in the U.S., according to CDC data.
The death rate for COVID-19 appears to be higher than that of the flu.
In the study published Feb. 18 in the China CDC Weekly, researchers found a death rate from COVID-19 to be around 2.3% in mainland China. That's much higher than the death rate linked to flu, which is typically around 0.1% in the U.S., according to The New York Times.
Even so, the death rate for COVID-19 varied by location and an individual’s age, among other factors. For instance, in Hubei Province, the epicenter of the outbreak, the death rate reached 2.9%; in other provinces of China, that rate was just 0.4%. In addition, older adults have been hit the hardest. The death rate soars to 14.8% in those 80 and older; among those ages 70 to 79, the COVID-19 death rate in China seems to be about 8%; it’s 3.6% for those ages 60 to 69; 1.3% for 50 to 59; 0.4% for the age group 40 to 49; and just 0.2% for people ages 10 to 39. Nobody 9 and under has died of this coronavirus to date.
Reported tentative mortality rates range from 2 - 15%, with the caveat that the methodology at this point cannot yield an accurate figure. By comparison, the rate in the US for the flu is under one percent. But also, the rate for untreated rabies is 100%. We live with dangers. And we also have cutting edge science at work. What I do not know is if the virus itself kills people, or if it just weakens people so that they die of other things, like pneumonia.Or is this the beginning of a deadly pandemic? — Punshhh
Should we be worried, or should we just wait until a vaccination is developed so that we can irradicate it through a vaccination programme?
Or is this the beginning of a deadly pandemic? — Punshhh
due to fear — Mayor of Simpleton
My concern is that when the virus becomes endemic in the Middle East, that it will become a breeding ground and a more deadly strain would develop. Unfortunately I don't have sufficient knowledge to make an educated guess as to the likelihood of such a development.Reported tentative mortality rates range from 2 - 15%, with the caveat that the methodology at this point cannot yield an accurate figure.
An interesting scenario would be a world wide pandemic with a mortality of between 1and 2%. Presumably before this point, some countries would shut their borders. We would have massive economic disruption. The stock markets are having a hissy fit already. — Punshhh
That is a rather naive view, has it occurred to you that capitalism requires endless growth and expansion? You are advocating economic decline, or at least shrinkage. — Punshhh
I think you are confusing short term and long term trends. A correction in overheated economy is a good thing, that is what the Corona thing brings, that is a good thing.Economic shrinkage = economic decline, in our current capitalist system. — Punshhh
The bubble is still there, and will eventually need to be deflated..[/quote]The wealth we had been enjoying before the sub prime mortgage crash was built on a vast bubble. — Punshhh
The much maligned (by the so-called mainstream media) populism is a reaction the elitist globalism that has been sweeping the world and is a healthy reaction. Do you seriously want to live in the globalist world envisioned by the likes of George Soros?The world economy has been staggering along since and the chaos of populism sweeping the world at the moment — Punshhh
A much-needed correction, not a decline, if you talk about economics. You can not have continuous expansion without corrections.oh and not to mention the pandemic, economic decline is pretty much inevitable at the moment. — Punshhh
Are you writing from an alternative universe? Your government budgets have expanded over the last 10 years, that is certainly not "fierce austerity". And "local and district councils and public services" can never go "bankrupt", since they are funded by tax money. Maybe what you want to say is you wish taxes here higher.Well our country is still reeling from the correction in 2008. Following 10 years of fierce austerity, most of our local and district councils and public services are teetering on the edge of bankruptcy. — Punshhh
Stock markets are too high, and need a correction. However, a stock market fall is not the same as an "economic collapse".If we get, or need any other correction now, we will begin to feel widespread economic collapse. — Punshhh
I don´t know what you mean by "bash the poor", and I certainly do not see how "Brexit is driving us of a cliff". It is not the end of the world, when a country leaves the undemocratic EU project. In fact, the best countries in Europe are not members of the EU.We really don't need a rightwing populist government right now. Who are going to bash the poor some more. Not to mention one which is going to drive us of a cliff with Brexit. — Punshhh
Not to mention one which is going to drive us of a cliff with Brexit. — Punshhh
You realise do you not, that the pandemic you are in favour of could kill 1-2% of the population before a sufficient vaccination plan is in operation?
I suppose you are also in favour of a correction in population. — Punshhh
Even worse than the decrepit logic and unnecessary rhetorical flourishes is pretending you don't do it on purpose. — Benkei
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