Estimates are updated every day, often more than once per day. The source for this estimate reports: “As of 9am on 17 March 2020, 50,442 people have been tested in the UK, of which 48,492 were confirmed negative and 1,950 were confirmed as positive.”
“As many as 80% of the population are expected to be infected with Covid-19 in the next 12 months, and up to 15% (7.9 million people) may require hospitalization” a secret Public Health England (PHE) briefing for senior NHS officials, seen by the Guardian, reveals
Have you been looking at all?I have not seen any data that would have ever led me to the response I see now — Hanover
The simple fact is that now in the 21st Century we simply don't tolerate vast amounts of people to die in epidemics. We take preventive steps even if there is just the possibility of vast amounts of people to die. That's it. Earlier we tolerated that people die from epidemic diseases. And you be the judge what is "vast amounts of people".I have not seen any data that would have ever led me to the response I see now, but what I instead see is an illness that is mild in the vast (>90%) number of cases and is fatal only among the already very compromised. The cure we've arrived at, to the extent it at all represents a cure, is far worse than the disease. — Hanover
what I instead see is an illness that is mild in the vast (>90%) — Hanover
Whether we admit it or not, we permit a certain number of deaths in order to maintain a certain why of life, which includes allowing our economy to operate the way it does. The worst case scenarios in the US if we were to allow the virus free reign would be between 200,000 and 1.7 million deaths. The estimate should make clear they simply don't know, since there's such a large range. But, let us assume we should expect 1,000,000 deaths, then that would put us at 250,000 less deaths than than the 1.25 million annual car accident deaths we deal with annually. We really have to keep these things in perspective here before we allow the entire world's economy to collapse — Hanover
is fatal only among the already very compromised — Hanover
They're not the bad guys with respect to this pandemic. — Benkei
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