Since the answer would seem to be obvious (Someone who believes what is true and makes judgments based on those beliefs) and since there would be little point in asking a question with a very obvious answer, I assume there is something lurking that is not obvious. — Bitter Crank
Ceteris paribus, people make bad judgement calls all the time regardless of what they know for sure, and whether what they know is true or not sure. — Bitter Crank
There is nothing lurking, and that is the issue. It is a simple straight forward truth that is too often over looked because we work hard to convince ourselves there are no consequence to being wrong. — Jeremiah
Ceteris paribus, who is more likely to make a poor judgment call?
Someone who believes what is not true and makes judgments based on those beliefs.
Or
Someone who believe what is true and makes judgments based on those beliefs. — Jeremiah
Not enough information in my opinion. There are way too many variables that factor into this. — Terrapin Station
I don't believe there's any plausible way to estimate likelihood for this — Terrapin Station
If it's some major decision--career, where to live, whether/who to marry, etc., sure. I prefer to be informed about the aspects that are important to me. — Terrapin Station
Jerry, would you mind responding to my post? — Bitter Crank
Personally I believe truth and good decisions are linked, and it is one of the reasons I strive so hard to be as accurate as I can. Is it possible for me to reach a poor conclusion while being well informed? Yes, but I am far more likely to reach a poor conclusion when I am poorly informed, or when I believe what is not true. — Jeremiah
Now, how much more likely are good decisions based on good information, when we are paying attention and when we are trying to make a good decision? — Bitter Crank
And for these decisions why do you prefer to be informed? — Jeremiah
picking out films — Terrapin Station
Oddly, I have made choices that were a good deal more likely to have had life-and-death implications with a good deal less information than I had for deciding to watch XYZ movie or reading XYZ paperback. — Bitter Crank
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