Yes. I would emphasize more the tense political situation in Belarus. Remember the mass protests against Lukashenko? The last thing Belarus would need would be to participate in a war it has absolutely no appetite in participating in. That already quite openly Belarussians are volunteering to join the Ukrainian side tells something (and that the opposition leader is found outside the country).This seems unlikely for the simple fact that Belarus is not so stable internally and they add little firepower anyways compared to Russia — boethius
You are not afraid of giving them advice, and also to the Americans or the French, but you are afraid of advising the Russians. Strange that... :-) — Olivier5
It could be counterproductive for Putin to pressure Lukashenko to join the war even more. — ssu
I suspect the real reason is more prosaic. If it is not for him to give them advice, it might be that the opposite is the case: they give him 'advice'. — Olivier5
zero personal risk "advising" your Russian friends to "revolt" — boethius
You want a violent revolution in Russia with blood pouring in the streets.
If this then, in itself triggers WWIII and nuclear exchange, or then hundreds of nuclear warheads go missing on the black market in a chaotic unraveling of the Russian state, are you really owning those consequences? — boethius
Now that IS interesting. The current leadership has been saying again and again recently, in various official statements, that a desintegration of Russia or a threat on its regime could trigger a nuclear holocaust. And now you seem to be arguing the exact same talking point. — Olivier5
If I understand correctly, the idea is NOT that they could use nukes in Ukraine if things go south there, as CNN wrongly (IMO) concluded. — Olivier5
What I am hearing in all these recent pronouncements, including in yours, is a different message which says: If this particular regime goes down, e g. by a revolution, then the whole world might go down with it through a nuclear holocaust. — Olivier5
You have been morally condemning the Russians and advising the Ukrainians to fight the Russians, and advising NATO and EU to keep sending more arms. — boethius
We could still discover new sides of him, but yes, there might be some truth there. However, nobody is eternal, and no regime is eternal either. — Olivier5
I have not given advice to anyone. NATO, the EU, none of the actors you mentioned is reading TPFand they have not asked for our advice. — Olivier5
Advising people is a business. Amateurs don't advise professionals. We are all amateurs here, are we not? — Olivier5
You can of course write down the words: 'I advise Biden to do X'. That you can do. But chances are your 'advice' ain't going to get to him. Because he receives a lot of advice, from other people than you. He pays dear money and far more attention to their advice than to yours and mine. As good as it may be... — Olivier5
The damned mathematicians that brought us here, and not just the prerequisite theory for the Manhattan project: but all the way back to Babylon. A relatively short list of truly revolutionary mathematical minds. — boethius
All the demons from Dante's Hell perhaps... — Olivier5
Sure thing, as long as they don't pin it on me. — Olivier5
Look, I'm just "a guy" who found at around 12—after reading all the popular physics books I could find, the complete history of WWII and Hitch Hikers Guide to the Galaxy—and read Isaiah Berlin's "Power of Ideas" .... and thought to myself, "I can play this game, nothing they can do I can't do better." — boethius
You mean, you were smart once? — Olivier5
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