Oh I think it can recover. Every year brings a fresh new batch of conscripts and the Russian military industrial complex can chug out a limited number of tanks, guns and ammo. It will be likely more than the West provides Ukraine.
I think Russia could make an offensive let's say next year spring/summer. — ssu
The Russian losses at Avdiivka are grim. And yet another "deadline" has been set to secure the Donbas. I don't see how Russia's ability for offensive operations can recover, and yet clearly the calculus is that "more must be taken to make it worth it." — Count Timothy von Icarus
This is what distinguishes a true world leader from the people we call temporary caretakers, who come for five minutes to show off on the international platform, and then disappear just as quietly. — Putin
One wonders about a lot of the support. But the support is given by politician who illogically see one or another weapon system as "escalatory" or something, then only give few. Which then drags the war on.one wonders how much better it would have gone if these were provided earlier. — Count Timothy von Icarus
What can I say?If these had all been brought in before the summer, maybe with modern attack helicopters too, the war would very likely be over, or at least largely no longer in Ukraine's borders. — Count Timothy von Icarus
a direct railway connection with Mariupol, Volnovakha and Donetsk — Petro Andriushchenko · Sep 27, 2023
The new rail link that Russia is building to Mariupol—a Black Sea port on the land bridge—would, if successful, relieve pressure on supplies coming from Crimea, said an assistant to Mariupol’s exiled mayor, and so poses a threat to Ukrainian troops. — Daniel Michaels
Russia is unable to widen the war without jumping up a nuclear option. — Count Timothy von Icarus
Yes. That's what worries a lot of people. — RogueAI
While the possibility remains that the Russian regime turns into some kind of death cult and tries to burn it all down, it doesn't seem to make sense to base any decisions on this possibility. — Echarmion
It doesn't have to be a death cult. The Regime just has to be very desperate, to the point where they start thinking, "a few tactical nukes, strategically placed..." If it looks like Ukraine starts pushing Russia back to their border, or Putin thinks he's about to be overthrown, why not roll the dice, from his point of view? If he thinks it's likely he's going to be deposed and killed, what would he have to lose? — RogueAI
Once the ammo and armor are in short in supply, then suddenly it's back to a nearly frozen conflict. Nearly. And time for that wonderful trench warfare.The documented armor losses do not suggest blew production capabilities. A lot of hardware is stuff that hasn't been produced in 50-60+ years. — Count Timothy von Icarus
In this part we disagree because the United States... no matter what world order they talk about, they mean an American-centricworld order of democracies, that is, a world that revolves aroundthe United Statesdemocracy transparency freedom. It won't be that way any more.
We have a huge deficit of ammunition not just in Ukraine but all over the world. We understand we should produce this here in Ukraine because all around the world it’s finished, it’s depleted. All the warehouses are empty. — Denys Shmyhal
This does not cause us concern, our relations are an advanced strategic partnership, we have the most advanced stage of political dialogue, economic interaction. And in this case, China, which faces very serious challenges for its own security in the region, is taking steps that it considers appropriate. This is the absolute sovereign right of this country. — Pesky
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