Perhaps for Dick Cheney and Haliburton, but not for the North Vietnamese soldier fighting the Americans. Or the young Afghan men that we called the Taleban. For them it's not the military industrial complex or profits, it's a war to defend your country against an outside aggressor. The simple fact is that in war the enemy is has different objectives than you and you cannot assume that he has similar aspirations and objectives as you do.The value of those policies is monetary, in service to the military industrial complex (MIC). The fantasy held by people not directly involved in the service to MIC is a result of successful propaganda disguised, among other things, as nationalism or patriotism. — DingoJones
Obviously, this (the U.S. setback) is a temporary phenomenon. America will continue its involvement in this conflict, in fact direct involvement. But we have repeatedly said before that according to our forecasts fatigue from this conflict, fatigue from the completely absurd sponsorship of the Kyiv regime, will grow in various countries, including the United States. And this fatigue will lead to the fragmentation of the political establishment and the growth of contradictions. — Dmitry Peskov · via Reuters · Oct 2, 2023
This is what distinguishes a true world leader from the people we call temporary caretakers, who come for five minutes to show off on the international platform, and then disappear just as quietly. — Vladimir Putin · via Newsweek · Oct 17, 2023
This is the line that has been discussed again and again especially the Ukraine war thread (which btw started before the large scale Russian invasion started).One thing I have thought about a lot, starting in the early 1990s - Gorbachev gave us the gift of a new eastern Europe and western Asia. How did we handle it? Even knowing Russia's historical paranoia about being surrounded and invaded, we immediately started expanding NATO right up to it's borders. Now it's enclosed by hostile countries backed by the US and western European militaries. No wonder Putin is furious. We blew it. — T Clark
Bob Ross likely wanted to stir up a heated debate, luckily didn't get banned. Yet I don't think there's a US superpower mania. The last true excess were the neocons, who didn't themselves believe at first they got the power. They themselves were encouraged by the last war that the US won: the liberation of Kuwait back from Iraq. That is now the time that I see as the pinnacle of US power, which lead the neocons to go crazy later. Trump actually destroyed them (the neocons) in my view, although he can appoint them into his administration. He simply walked over Jeb Bush and nobody still goes with the line that President Bush "just got bad intel with Iraq". That is something thanks to Trump.The OP brings to mind the ongoing discussion here on the forum - "In Support of Western Supremacy, Nationalism, and Imperialism." That thread displays the US's superpower mania at a scale that dwarfs even our past adventures. The fact that that kind of fantasy still holds power always confounds me. The worst part is that the desire for military solutions to political problems is still strong in mainstream political leadership. — T Clark
The attitude of Putin towards democracy and democratic leadership with term limits is shown perfectly clearly in this comment. — ssu
I can look at this from a different angle as my summer cottage is very close to the Russian border. — ssu
Please understand that the US isn't almighty, it's just one actor in Europe. The World doesn't circle around the US. Russia itself is the really big actor here. The Soviet leadership avoided the largest wars when the USSR collapsed, but the problem was that Russia knew just one thing, that it was an Empire. It has all these minorities, — ssu
If there was a theoretical window of opportunity to link Russia into Europe, it would have been immediately when the Soviet Union collapsed. Yet that would have needed larger than life politicians both in Moscow and Washington DC, but those political Houdini's didn't exist. — ssu
NATO enlargement is one of Putin's lines, but so is the artificiality of the state of Ukraine and it being natural of Ukraine being part of Russia. — ssu
Also please understand that key players in the NATO enlargement were the new countries themselves. — ssu
Hence it was for the "near abroad" countries this brief opportunity to get out of Russia's stranglehold. — ssu
Bob Ross likely wanted to stir up a heated debate, luckily didn't get banned. — ssu
The last true excess were the neocons, who didn't themselves believe at first they got the power. — ssu
A Dolchstoss given to Ukraine with Europe just watching from the side just what the hell happened is the worst outcome. But that hasn't happened. — ssu
Even knowing Russia's historical paranoia about being surrounded and invaded, we immediately started expanding NATO right up to it's borders. Now it's enclosed by hostile countries backed by the US and western European militaries. No wonder Putin is furious. We blew it. — T Clark
Russians and Ukrainians will live exactly as befits brothers and good neighbors after the implementation of the goals of the special operation. — Sergey Lavrov · Jan 22, 2024
NATO enlargement is one of Putin's lines, but so is the artificiality of the state of Ukraine and it being natural of Ukraine being part of Russia. — ssu
NATO isn't seeking to take over countries. Countries seek to be part of NATO for defense and have to qualify (which can take some years). — jorndoe
For a country the size and geography of Russia it might be easy enough to list all kinds of "hostile countries" in the vicinity. — jorndoe
The World definetly doesn't need an Emperor. Centralized powers have their weaknesses. Far better is that there's simply countries that tolerate each other and don't start wars, even if they disagree on matters. That would be the ideal.He's right though, isn't he? The US makes a schizoid global leader when there's no existential threat to keep things on track. The world needs an emperor. Not exactly like a Dune emperor, but similar. — frank
Close, but no cigar. I live in Finland.Do you live in the Baltics? — T Clark
The fact is that if the applicant countries themselves wouldn't have been active, NATO enlargement wouldn't have happened. That's the reality which the anti-US narrative (that it was totally Clinton's idea) totally forgets. In fact, behind closed doors the US asked if for example in the case of the Baltic States Finland and Sweden could give them security guarantees. Totally horrified about the prospect, Finland (and likely Sweden) refused and urged the countries to be accepted into NATO. For the applicants their reason to join NATO was Russia. But for NATO especially the 90's were the time when the organization tried to find a purpose (something on the lines that Trump later has talked). One also should understand that in NATO there's Article 1, that member countries refrain from using violence at each other, which is important. Hence for example Greece and Turkey haven't had a border war. NATO is an European security arrangement and there simply is no counterpart for it in the EU realm.Living where you do, you may know more about this than I do. I remember back in the early 1990s when Bill Clinton and the rest of NATO started expanding NATO. Even back then I thought it was a graceless response to a world changing action. — T Clark
You do understand then that many other countries, like the Baltic States, would have been treated the same way as Ukraine and Georgia by Russia and likely Russian military bases would be back in the Baltic states, if these countries wouldn't have used the window of opportunity they had. Just look at Moldova. It has a frozen conflict with Russian "peacekeepers" the example how Russia has meddled also in Georgia:I don't necessarily think we should have "linked Russia into Europe." I just think it was a big mistake to move NATO right up to Russia's borders. We reacted very aggressively to Russian weapons in Cuba back in the 1960s. Why would we expect to Russia to feel differently? What benefit did the west get out of it? — T Clark
The Russian Federation maintains an unknown number of soldiers in Transnistria, an unrecognized breakaway state internationally recognized as part of Moldova. This Russian military presence dates back to 1992, when the 14th Guards Army intervened in the Transnistria War in support of the Transnistrian separatist forces. Following the end of the war, which ended in a Russian-backed Transnistrian victory and in the de facto independence of the region, the Russian forces stayed in a purportedly peacekeeping mission
Just look at what the Russians actually do in the occupied territories. Russification of the population is no joke. That they have now publicly annexed territories that they (Russians) even don't control yet. That tells about their objectives quite clearly. It's not just words, it's the actions.It always seemed to me that was just a rationalization for political and propaganda purposes. Maybe I'm wrong. — T Clark
Let's see what Trump does. When it comes to Israel, it feels like the US is the ally of Israel, not the other way around. I personally view the reason for this is the large pro-Israeli Evangelist vote in the US. It's not the American Jewish (who can also oppose the policies of Israel), it those waiting for Armageddon and the rapture.There are a lot of hawks still around. I kept expecting Israel to attack Iran with strong US military support. — T Clark
Hate to be the pessimist here, but you are correct. It is a fantasy. Poland is already doing it, and Germany and other Western countries can happily assume that Polish rearmament will be enough. Remember that during the Cold War WW3 was going to be fought out in Germany and very close to the border of France etc. Now there's Poland there, so I don't think that a real turnaround will happen. Here I accept that I'm a bit of a pessimist, as I said.I have a fantasy that Europe will step up to take a bigger military and political role in the world, especially in Europe. — T Clark
The difference between an organization that is voluntary to join and an organization that you are forced to join (like the Warsaw Pact) should be obvious. But the way many talk of NATO enlargement is if it has been just a plan of the US (or in US, the objective of the Foreign Policy blob) with the applicants being passive "victims". It's always puzzled me, but I think it's the idea that the US treats all countries the same way. That how the US treats and has treated Panama, Guatemala or Haiti is similar how it treats Ireland, Belgium or France. The obvious fact that it doesn't in a similar fashion, just as France has treated differently former colonies in the Sahel and member states in the EU. Another example is how China treats West European countries and compare it to how the act towards the Philippines.Something's a bit off ↑ here.
NATO isn't seeking to take over countries. Countries seek to be part of NATO for defense and have to qualify (which can take some years). — jorndoe
Well, you could also have a long list of when Russia has attacked it's neighbors. After all, it was Catherine the Great who said "I have no way to defend my borders but to extend them.”As I noted, Russia is historically paranoid about invasion, but as they say, just because you're paranoid, doesn't mean they aren't out to get you. — T Clark
The last US win, the Gulf War, is very telling here. First, the US created a huge coalition, which had as it's members countries like Syria (one armoured division), Morocco and Pakistan. The US worked in the UN (something that now it doesn't do) and got an OK from the Soviet Union. The US took really seriously the Iraqi army and massed a huge army, that still was around from the Cold War. The huge Reagan build up of an Army intended to fight in Central Europe then liberated Kuwait. Secondly, the objective was clear (liberation of Kuwait) and the US did listen to it's Arab allies. Just listen what Dick Cheney said in 1994:What made these different?
Certainly not the comparative military strength of the opponents. Saddam had a million men under arms, a military with a wealth of relatively recent combat experience, and Iraq had spent lavishly on high the Soviet and French equipment (and this was before the huge technological/qualitative gap between NATO and Russian equipment widened). But the result was an out and out rout. 147 Coalition servicemen were killed while Iraqi casualties were somewhere between 200,000-300,000, with perhaps 50,000 killed in action. — Count Timothy von Icarus
Yet Korea finally did become a democracy in the 1980's and thanks to the Koreans themselves. And if some Americans are quick to say that now the US and Vietnam have good relations, how better would it be if there would be a South-Vietnam? Who knows.A clear difference with the GWOT is the goal of state building and a transition to liberal democracy, but this wasn't the case in Vietnam (where the US backed a coup and the state was far from a liberal democracy) nor in Korea (an authoritarian dictatorship at the time of the war; also, militarily, a draw). — Count Timothy von Icarus
Ok, but several of those "invasions," are counter invasions in wars Russia started. Particularly, they are former colonies/conquests of Russia fighting for independence or fighting off Russian attempts to recolonize them, and in some cases Russia had carried out sizable genocides against those peoples in living memory. In WWI, Russia mobilized first (Germany last), and invaded Germany first, they just lost. The "Continuation War," is the continuation of the Russian attempt to reconquer Finland, as it reconquered Poland and other lands with its military ally... Nazi Germany. Crimean War? Also kicked off by Russia invading its neighbor. — Count Timothy von Icarus
Second, you could probably generate lists of equal or
even longer length for Germany or France, on which Russia's name would appear as "invader." — Count Timothy von Icarus
Close, but no cigar. I live in Finland. — ssu
The fact is that if the applicant countries themselves wouldn't have been active, NATO enlargement wouldn't have happened...For the applicants their reason to join NATO was Russia. — ssu
One also should understand that in NATO there's Article 1, that member countries refrain from using violence at each other, which is important. Hence for example Greece and Turkey haven't had a border war. — ssu
You do understand then that many other countries, like the Baltic States, would have been treated the same way as Ukraine and Georgia by Russia and likely Russian military bases would be back in the Baltic states, if these countries wouldn't have used the window of opportunity they had. — ssu
The Baltic States wouldn't be independent and so charming that they now are if it wasn't for NATO memership. And is that for you think irrelevant? — ssu
I personally view the reason for this is the large pro-Israeli Evangelist vote in the US. — ssu
Is that true? I doubt it. I'll let you do the homework.
Sure, look up how WWI started and how WWII ended. If starting a war, losing it, and getting invaded counts as "being invaded," then Germany was certainly invaded by Russia (twice in the 20th century), not to mentioned partitioned by it and turned into a puppet state for half a century. — Count Timothy von Icarus
I didn't claim Russia was an innocent victim, only that they had a well justified fear of invasion. It wasn't a secret. US and NATO policy makers knew about it. — T Clark
Ever heard of the UN? Something like the Security Council is what humans can possibly do.We'd need a global government for that. — frank
It wasn't. Finland is seen as part of the Nordic countries. Scandinavian countries are Sweden, Norway and Denmark. Something similar to all the different names for the British Isles.. I thought Finland was considered one of the Baltic states. Pardon if that is considered an insult. It wasn't intended to be. — T Clark
And this really is the crux of my argument.From your point of view, I can see this is important, but from the perspective of US national security it shouldn't have been the main consideration. — T Clark
@T Clark, no you didn't know it. This is pure hindsight. Please read what hubris filled ideas were in the US during the Yeltsin era. It wasn't triumphalism, it was the idea that the Cold War had ended. Then you focused on 9/11 and the global war on Terror. All things were looked at from that prism. Hence when Russia occupied Crimea, this came out from nowhere to the US intelligence agencies. There were no assets in the region, the system was focused on hunting muslim terrorists. The denialism can be seen from the many times that the US wanted to "reboot" the relationship with Russia, even if Russia had attacked Georgia with it's "breakaway regions with peacekeepers" masquerade. The attempted reboots are also forgotten in the "US actions did it" narrative.After the dissolution of the USSR, any expectation that Russia would give up it's influence, even hegemony, in the region was unrealistic. We knew this, but American triumphalism won out over common sense. — T Clark
You get my reasoning, great! But then the next question. Why then thumb your noses at China?Again, I don't fault the various countries for making the decisions they did. I just think that thumbing our noses at Russia was a dangerous idea. — T Clark
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