The real threat isn't that AI would become somehow conscious (or whatever).In theory, at least, there is a real and significant threat from unconstrained AIs, and from Skynet too, under the right (wrong?) circumstances. As people place their homes and lives under over-the-internet control, all kinds of unpleasantness become possible, if not likely. — Pattern-chaser
They have quite a time following their extremely insecure leader. Have just few right wing talking heads saying that he "chickened out" and "gave everything away "to the democrats" and you have the debacle of a tragicomedy that is the shutdown.It's interesting/amusing/depressing how Trump supporters' proclamations about Trump's wall have changed. — Arkady
Right on. How the World actually is doesn't give an answer how it should be. Or how you should live your life and what is good and what is bad.If that were the case, then religion would no longer exist, yet it persists. Science provides all sorts of information about how the world works but provides us little guidance on how we ought to live in the world. Even if all religious thought is factually incorrect, it might still have utility. — Hanover
This is something relative to the UK, where the electoral system differs from ours. Here we use a proportional representation, namely the D'Hondt method. In the UK you have actually various systems, but the notable one is the "winner-takes-it-all" system, the single member plurality system. I assume this system gives you the "safe-seats". Correct me if I'm wrong.In the UK, have a huge number of 'safe-seats', well over 350, in a parliament of about 615, this is the cause of the so-called disconnection between parties establishment and their voters. — romanv
Umm...how?we discuss the 'Iron Law of Oligarchy' this is a well established political theory, that is backed up by studies of large organisations that shows that all organisations are shaped by an oligarchy at the top, as they reward loyalty. The only way to prevent it is by a NOTA option on the ballot, as that reduces the power of the oligarchy at the top significantly. — romanv
Oligarchy means a bit different thing. Besides, if the voters are passive and go along with the candidates and parties that they have, it's basically up to them. The root cause of the problem likely is that people don't hold political parties accountable, far too easy to believe the lies over and over again and pick the least worst candidate there is.What we call democracy is really an elected oligarchy, and the characteristics it has are a result of having an elected oligarchy, rather than a democracy. — romanv
Please critique. — romanv
Well, you asked for critique, but I'm not so sure how willing you are to hear it...Happy to talk further, but only if you are willing to engage honestly, not like Herge. — romanv
Is it incredible, really?What you are stating here is that political parties are disconnected from their voters. Their job is to represent voters, if they can't know why people chose NOTA over them, then that means they are not doing their job. Its a pretty incredible claim you are making there. — romanv
Actually it isn't.Let's assume its true. How do parties find out? Well, they engage with the voting base, knocking on doors, gauging opinions, gathering feedback, conducting surveys, and utilising focus groups; there are plenty of tried and tested methods of finding out why people chose NOTA. And it's their job to do so. It's literally crazy if they don't know. — romanv
Ah, the idea that the "sleeping party", those who don't vote, especially if it the biggest "party" makes a "clear" statement of dissatisfaction, hence if only those sleepers would vote!They will make choices that will be of benefit to them, and discard choices that make them worse off. Therefore, over time, they themselves will be able to steer society to a point where the common good has been maximized, if – and only if- they have the power.
NOTA provides that power.
How?
The NOTA option becomes a powerful voting bloc encompassing voters from all political stripes. It serves to unite all those who are dissatisfied, and ensures only a candidate with the consent of the majority can enter parliament. — romanv
Yes, you understand the vast the scope of the NOTA option immediately. I disagree that they don't know why NOTA was chosen. Local party activists will know exactly why NOTA was chosen, and in fact its very presence will ensure parties begin to start taking mitigating measures to prevent voters choosing NOTA. — romanv
Even if a bit off the topic, thanks for writing about reality about ranching in Arizona and the increasing urbanization. At least that ought to work wonders on the price of the land.My forecast? When our wells go dry, as they likely will, regardless of the last 30 yrs of never having it lose pressure let alone go dry, those with older animals will likely pay for the bottled water, which they never budgeted for or relocate. The horse owners who were boarding their horses with no water charge will give up the hobby because of the expense and once again our desert will be disgraced with people who let their pets go into the wild to fend for themselves or another 'feeder farm' will appear and stain our animal loving community. — ArguingWAristotleTiff
Well, at least the Mexicans are North American. Their culture (and basically culture in Latin America) is a lot closer to American than European. Far easier to make a Mexican to be a gringo than someone from another continent.Now what? We cannot expect those who arrive with nothing to know the language, know our customs or know our laws, can we? — ArguingWAristotleTiff
Yep. Increase in population is the most natural reason for an economy to grow. One really has to ruin the economy or simply not have a functioning economy for population growth to be inherently a problem.The "economic boom" that Idaho would experience would be based on what? Need? — ArguingWAristotleTiff
If one thinks that people need help and assistance, then there indeed is no bottom.How deep does that assistance go? Well if we are in living in a Utopian world, there would be no bottom of the well of assistance. — ArguingWAristotleTiff
In classical physics, an effect cannot occur before its cause. In Einstein's theory of special relativity, causality means that an effect can not occur from a cause that is not in the back (past) light cone of that event. Similarly, a cause cannot have an effect outside its front (future) light cone. These restrictions are consistent with the grounded belief (or assumption) that causal influences cannot travel faster than the speed of light and/or backwards in time.
Hardly know where to start on the totally false statements here. Like the F-15 is a land based aircraft used by the USAF, not the USN. And that 450 number is gotten likely from the life-extension program for the old 1906's era B61 bomb that Pentagon has asked for during the Obama years. (Why the US would use the full arsenal on NK I have the faintest idea)Currently, it seems impossible to stop a nuclear war by the end of 2020.
Trump is likely to drop about 450 50-kiloton nuclear bunker busters from naval F-15 'Sea Eagles' launched from an aircraft carrier on N Korea, to ensure he wins the next election, but if impeachment efforts appear successful, he could press the button sooner. — ernestm
Why on Earth would you call this German historian a Victorian man? German thinkers are typically quite positive about things German (that is, before certain Adolf H).John Gould, is it not obvious to you that Spengler wrote his books from the standpoint of a Victorian man who is watching how the British Empire is declining? — DiegoT
Spengler sponsored, in “Prussianism and Socialism,” a brand of socialism which was anti-Marxian, anti-republican, anti-proletarian, nationalistic, bellicose, capitalistic, and aristocratic. Germans were not revolutionaries, he maintained. The sadistic French, yes. The Frenchman is not satisfied without human heads on pikes, aristocrats hanging from lamp posts, priests massacred by women. As for Marx—Marx belongs to England.
Here, of course, Spengler, who from 1914 to 1918 was occupied with the first volume of the “Decline,” was doing his bit after the armistice, but he went on to explain that the Prussian socialist ethic says, “Do your duty, work,” while the English capitalist ethic says, “Get rich, then you don’t have to work any more”
My bad, yazata.You conveniently left out the next words that I wrote: "It probably remains as an Islamist insurgency, but the locals need to be the ones to tackle that. We don't need to become another participant in Syria's all-against-all civil war." — yazata
"We're on track now over the coming months to defeat what used to be the physical space that ISIS controlled," McGurk told CNBC's Hadley Gamble. "That will not be the end of ISIS." "Nobody is naive," McGurk said less than a week before Trump's decision. "The small clandestine cells, the individual terrorist attacks, will remain a threat for some time. That is why we have to remain together as a global coalition to keep the pressure on."
Perhaps because it's not exactly fascism.". Perhaps, the person that knows this the best; but, hasn't even used this word is Noam Chomsky. — Wallows
That I think is the correct term to describe it: a semi-civil (war) discourse.You may be right, it may be civil war in a kind of semi-civil discourse — tim wood
Especially those people who come from the US, Canada, Australia, the U and New Zealand. Others not so.(1) When we people refer to Western civilization today, do you think it is fair to say that they typically have in mind Anglosphere countries like the United States, Canada, Australia, the UK, New Zealand. — johnGould
As unenlightened commented earlier, the French likely don't think this way. But the Anglophones surely see themselves as being what is left of the West.Do you think what we currently call "The West" is best represented by this group of Anglophone countries?
I would be interested to hear what people's views are on these two questions. — johnGould
And whom was the leader of ISIS? Wasn't it Abu Bakr Al-Baghdadi? Formerly known as the leader of the Al Qaeda in Iraq? You see The Islamic State of Iraq (ISI) was also known as al-Qaeda in Iraq (AQI), was the Iraqi division of al-Qaeda. And that ISI became ISIS. Yeah, perhaps ISIS and Ayman al-Zawahiri aren't now in speaking terms, but they surely come from the same root.Al Qaeda and ISIS aren't even allied, much less the same thing. Less racism, please. — frank
The roots of ISIS trace back to 2004, when the organization known as “al Qaeda in Iraq” formed. Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, who was originally part of Osama bin Laden’s al Qaeda Network, founded this militant group.
The U.S. invasion of Iraq began in 2003, and the aim of al Qaeda in Iraq was to remove Western occupation and replace it with a Sunni Islamist regime.
When Zarqawi was killed during a U.S. airstrike in 2006, Egyptian Abu Ayyub al-Masri became the new leader and renamed the group “ISI,” which stood for “Islamic State of Iraq.” In 2010, Masri died in a US-Iraqi operation, and Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi took power.
Send all the newcomers to Montana and Wyoming. There are only two persons per square kilometer in those states, hence a lot empty area for people to fit there. And basically there are so few people now in those states that their objections don't matter (as elections go). And the foreigners wanting to come to the US will think twice before coming to Montana and Wyoming (as New York and California are off limits). And if people Still want to come, well, the two states are in for an economic boom as they have to basically build new cities for the newcomers.If you could entertain this idea for me, it might show representatively, what I believe is "too much".
If we think of a stable base of a community as a dried out sponge, we are capable of absorbing many, many drops of water without reaching the sponges capacity. Once the sponge has reached it's capacity to absorb even one more drop of water, when one droplet hits the sponge it sends off hundreds of little droplets in every direction of the saturated sponge. The only way for the sponge to absorb more water is to wring it out and then and only then, can the sponge begin the absorption process again.
So to answer your question, how much is too much for my community, my state? It is when one more droplet of water sends of thousands of little droplets out in ever direction with no plan on how to wring it out. — ArguingWAristotleTiff
Doesn't matter. As they are far more whites than blacks, povetry in general is a good statistic. Hence if your income is lower than mine, then you are more likely to commit crimes. And if you are younger than me (and also a male), those statistics also puts the probability higher. Perhaps Drek's friend should be worried about coming across you in a dark alley.Even amongst poor people, violent crime is disproportionately commited by black youths. — DingoJones
Poor men make more thefts, burglaries and violent crimes than rich men (or women). Hence your friend should be against low income men. They obviously should be locked up to make the World a better Place.Thoughts? — Drek
According to the World Bank, a simple measure of inequality predicts about half of the variance in murder rates between American states and between countries around the world. When inequality is high and strips large numbers of men of the usual markers of status – like a good job and the ability to support a family – matters of respect and disrespect loom disproportionately.
Inequality predicts homicide rates “better than any other variable”, says Martin Daly, professor emeritus of psychology and neuroscience at McMaster University in Ontario.
According to the FBI, just over half of murders in which the precipitating circumstances were known were set off by what is called the “other argument” – not a robbery, a love triangle, drugs, domestic violence or money, but simply the sense that someone had been dissed.
How typical of the arrogant and ignorant hubris that is so usual. Let's see, how many times have Americans stated (and believed) that Al Qaeda/ISIS has been successfully erased and "mission accomplished"? I count three times at least.We were in Syria to help defeat ISIS, and now that ISIS no longer holds any territory and its "caliphate" has been erased from the map, that's been successfully accomplished. — yazata
So I guess you hate that election votes are anonymous? That it would be better that the government/political parties/your employer/everyone would know just who have you voted in all elections.I struggle to find examples in which anonymity is strictly a positive force — Tzeentch
Notice that this isn't the only way to read. With English, a foreign language to me, I do the same, but with text written in my own mother tongue I don't have to do this as I can read faster than the writing can be spoken. It's basically just excersize.Every time I read a book or anything in language I have a voice in my head reading it aloud to me. There's a technical term for it in psychology or cognitive science which I can't find at the moment. Sometimes I engage in a dialogue in my own head when doing philosophy. — Wallows
Wrong, you simply have to take into account all of the expenses. Just as Tzeentch above comments.Your position was that an American charitable giving evaluation had to account for the selfish withholding of money from public healthcare. — Hanover
And here there are no tuitions for universities. Hence, and hopefully you would get my point, to compare the the two systems you have to look at how much more taxes then I pay than you. So if you give to voluntary charities there, you do have to take into account similar aid is given otherwise through taxes.I pay $4,000 total tuition per year for 2 kids both at major research universities (that's $1,000 per semester for each child) — Hanover
Indeed. I've myself pointed out that basically in research and the volume of scientific papers just one single Ivy League university, MIT, is equivalent in scale to all universities and R&D sector here. Btw, in MIT nine months’ tuition and fees for 2017–2018 are $49,892. (Should be added that a third of the students attend tuition-free and half have scholarships. The other half however...)The world fills our universities, they are open to all levels of achievement, and are the envy of the world. — Hanover
Are you sarcastic, Hanover?Your comment about the generosity of Americans being explainable due to their lack of spending on healthcare doesn't follow. Americans are the most personally generous nation and they spend the most per capita on healthcare. — Hanover
Are your universities also free? In fact only the UK is comparable in tuitions to the US.Education in America is free from kindergarten to 12th grade. Pre-kindergarten and college is also free in my state. — Hanover
Polarizing the electorate seems to be the new fad. And I think that the American voters aren't yet so tired of the partisanship and of loathing the other party that they really would want a President who seeks consensus.On the other hand, ideally we want a President who most people feel represents the country as a whole, and not just the nutzo wing of one of the political parties. You know, after the election there is governing, which can be hard to do if the election totally polarizes the country — Jake
Like the communists had done in the Saur-revolution? They surely wanted to "modernize" Afghanistan. What better way to bring "modernization" than to kill the "Islamists" (as we would call them today):propose a post-islamic, civilized (not religious, not tribal) vision for all Afghans. Invent a new national meta-narrative and sell it to the people. — DiegoT
Between April 1978 and the Soviet invasion of December 1979, Afghan communists executed 27,000 political prisoners at the sprawling Pul-i-Charki prison six miles east of Kabul. Many of the victims were village mullahs and headmen who were obstructing the modernization and secularization of the intensely religious Afghan countryside. By Western standards, this was a salutary idea in the abstract. But it was carried out in such a violent way that it alarmed even the Soviets.
This is the typical nonsense that a lot of people have when they think that the human brain functions like a computer and hence humans function like computers. It follows the idea that present scientific understanding answers everything (and not to agree with this you are anti-science!) Hence when the World view was focused on a mechanical Clock-work universe, then some believed that people were truly mechanical, worked like mechanical clocks, as simply the scientific knowledge of that day didn't have other more advanced models. Hence the mechanical man was then the model of the day. Now we have computers, hence human beings have to (for some reason) operate like computers.Claiming that the brain is capable of super-Turing operations is tantamount to attributing a soul to it. — Inis
The answer to the OP is easy.To refer to a machine as being intelligent is a blunder of intelligence. None of the definitions of "intelligence" can be satisfied by machines. Every definition (save the misnomer referring to computers) of intelligence includes terms like capacity to understand, to think, reason, make judgments; and mental capacity. These terms are precisely outside the ambit of what computers can do, so why was such a poor term chosen for computing operations and data processing of a machine ? — Anthony
Some might argue if this is really charity. As there are far more people than cars (1 billion of them), the two car limit doesn't sound as a sacrifice. (Especially if you're single)The greatest act of charity any such society could perform for the world is declare: "We have enough. We are satisfied. I can live with one car instead of two. I do not need luxury toothpaste. Eating meat twice a week, instead of seven, is enough for me." — Tzeentch
Of course one can give donations to charities and even volunteer. Yet wouldn't be giving a job to an unemployed person be even more of a help?There are a whole host of ways to help other people. — Bitter Crank
Actually no. He said he was going to defeat ISIS and basically he is withdrawing well before that has been truly accomplished.isn't he just doing what he said he was going to do? — Blubarb
But guess who was naive? Naturally the stupid bullshitter decided otherwise.(cnbc) Just days before submitting his resignation, U.S. special envoy Brett McGurk, who heads the global coalition to defeat the Islamic State, said in an exclusive interview that putting an end to ISIS will be a long-term, multiyear effort.
"We're on track now over the coming months to defeat what used to be the physical space that ISIS controlled," McGurk told CNBC's Hadley Gamble. "That will not be the end of ISIS."
"Nobody is naive," McGurk said less than a week before Trump's decision. "The small clandestine cells, the individual terrorist attacks, will remain a threat for some time. That is why we have to remain together as a global coalition to keep the pressure on."
Sometimes, if you back the winning side of the war. Of course it's a delicate thing to handle as people in the intervened country can have a long memory.Hasn't it been demonstrated ad infinitum that this is simply the wrong strategy to implement in trying to accomplish a goal? Or is it a sound and successful strategy? — Wallows
Not only capitalism and a free economy. Also you need strong institutions, political stability, a rule of law and a justice state, which are necessary for a well functioning economy. Otherwise capitalism will bring you corruption and at worst, a cleptrocracy where those in power will steal the wealth of your country and leave the population poor. The possibility of social upward mobility is also important: that even if you come from a poor background, you can rise to a more affluent class. Wealth distribution is important, which comes from things like that ordinary people can find decent jobs and can get affordable loans to buy a home for themselves, which the next generation can inherit. Hence wealth distribution doesn't only mean that you take from the rich and give to the poor through taxation, but that the labour force gets it share through better wages and has the ability to get loans just like the rich can. Hence povetry isn't eradicated by the wealthy giving alms to the poor, it's eradicated by the poor having the ability to improve their lives themselves.Then what has been the deciding factor in reducing absolute poverty? Economics? — Wallows
There is nothing escalatory or basically different as those views do not differ from past administrations. It's you that is in denial here or simply ignorant about US foreign policy, of both Democratic and Republican administrations. Just look at the following quote:They risk escalating tensions, as I said. You seem to be in denial here. — S
We share the concerns expressed by many of our friends in the Middle East, including Israel and the Gulf States, about Iran’s support for terrorism and its use of proxies to destabilize the region. Meanwhile, we will maintain our own sanctions related to Iran’s support for terrorism, its ballistic missile program, and its human rights violations. We will continue our unprecedented efforts to strengthen Israel’s security — efforts that go beyond what any American administration has done before.
Except that he, just like the military leaders in your country, think that attacking Iran is a really bad move. And "jumping" on the other two countries is the last thing the US military wants to do. First of all, is it so difficult to understand deterrence? That you have a firm stance and that decreases the chance of escalation? And having a firm stance doesn't mean you want war. Si vis pacem, para bellumI would be concerned about someone like Mattis jumping on a situation in the Middle East, especially to get at Iran, or in the South China Sea regarding disputed islands, or with Russia — S
And what on Earth is wrong with those views? First of all, He's the secretary of defence of the Trump administration. It's his job to talk about possible security threats.Did you read the Wikipedia page? Look at his political views regarding Iran and Middle Eastern allies, Japan, Russia, and China. — S
Do you? Or is it just because there are over 300 million of you?America stands as perhaps the only nation that devotes astronomical sums of money to charity and foreign affairs? — Wallows
Well, is caring through charity the real response?People (myself included), often become depressed when confronted with the misery of the world. Their powerlessness becomes a source of supreme frustration. The caring aspect of oneself turns on itself due to internalizing these issues and one becomes stuck in their own poop. Therefore what's the solution? To start caring even more? How? — Wallows
Why? I don't.I would be very concerned about his foreign policy. I can envisage escalated tensions between the US and countries such as Russia, China, and Iran. — S
Not just these two countries.It's interesting how parallels can be drawn to what happened in Syria fairly recently compared to Afghanistan. — Wallows
On the contrary. Have you noticed that fertility rates globally have gone down?No, with about 8000,000,000 of us on the planet today, and we have done nothing to slow the rate at which that becomes 9000,000,000, and 10,000,000,000 of us soon after that, there can/will be no future for our species, sustainable or otherwise. — Pattern-chaser
