Comments

  • An eye for an eye morality
    Always is a big word I probably shouldn't have used. I've never come across an instance where unethical behavior couldn't be explained through the suffering of the perpetrator.

    There is "unethical" behavior that results from ignorance, but the nature of ignorance is such that, in my opinion, it requires a different label, different from unethical or immoral.

    I've found (parts of) these ideas in Jungian psychology, Buddhism, Hermetic philosophy, Platonism, and probably a slew of other sources.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    While I agree with the idea that big business likely fits into this picture somewhere, it must also be noted that in the modern age of globalization it is almost unavoidable that the markets of opposing nations end up supplying each other. I think a fair part of that is completely unintentional.

    The real "conspiracy" is probably found in the various lobby groups that influence US policy through means which are perfectly legitimate within the American system. And the same likely happens in Russia, but I suppose we know less about Russia's lobby groups.
  • An eye for an eye morality
    "Eye for an eye morality" is an oxymoron.

    Morality is a set of rules we bind ourselves by - a limit we voluntarily impose upon our actions and behaviors.

    "An eye for an eye" implies no such limit exists (and thus it doesn't convey a meaningful definition of morality), since any action can be "justified" (but not really). It literally states that if one has their eye carved out, thus is physically tortured / maimed, one may "justly" physically torture and maim their assailant.

    It is essentially a debasement of one's own values - to stoop down to the level of whatever one recognizes as deplorable and thus becoming that which one detests.

    If one believes physical torture and maiming is immoral, one should not allow themselves to participate in such acts under any circumstance, period.


    Forgiveness is of course the real virtue, but it is a much more complicated concept than it is often given credit for.

    True and genuine forgiveness requires a deep understanding of human psychology. Most importantly it requires one to understand that unethical behavior always comes from a place of suffering. Once we recognize the suffering in the wrongdoer, and their actions were a foolhardy attempt at alleviating their suffering, we take a step towards humanity rather than away from it.


    Whether it is possible to create a system of crime and punishment that does not contain retributive "justice" is another question altogether, and not a moral one, since systems are not moral agents.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Say, is Russia doomed to destruction, can't go on, without Crimea being a part of Russia?jorndoe

    Russia as a great power would cease to exist for the foreseeable future if (parts of) Ukraine were to become militarized by an anti-Russian military alliance.

    I've gone over the reasons for this several times, but most importantly Crimea and southern Ukraine is what connects Russia to its strategic allies like Iran and Syria, and they're also what connects the Russian heartland via rivers to the oceans through the Sea of Azov (Volga / Volga-Don Canal / Don / Sea of Azov).
  • Ukraine Crisis
    How is my comment an example of the strawman argument?Paine

    I never referred to the Ukrainians as "soulless" - that's a misrepresentation of my argument and a tasteless one at that, aimed specifically at framing me as anti-Ukrainian.

    You say that neither possibility involve choices they are making for themselves.Paine

    I stated specifically that the Ukrainians have a choice between fighting or surrendering.

    It doesn't get more imperial than that.Paine

    It's the reality. Sugarcoating won't do the Ukrainians any good.

    I am still curious if you have a particular objection to Lough's actual argument.Paine

    His point is that no formal promises were made, and Russia isn't the USSR.

    I've already given you my objection to that sentiment.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Your version of them as soulless puppets...Paine

    If you want people to take you seriously here, you'll need to take the strawmanning down several notches.

    ... is as dismissive of their agency as any version of colonial right you charge being exerted by other states upon them.Paine

    It's not a matter of agency. It's a matter of power, which they have comparatively little. It's unfortunate, but that's the way the world works.

    At this point Ukraine is turning into the next Vietnam. You may make of that what you will.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Everything between Washington and Moscow becomes flyover country.Paine

    That's because it is.

    Besides Washington and Moscow, the only thing that matters is the performance of the Ukrainian military. There isn't any other actor worth mentioning. The Ukrainian people have been given a choice - fight or surrender. That's all the influence they have in this war.

    That doesn't stop other actors from trying to appear important, though. The European Union has certainly elevated that into an art, tanking their own economy with sanctions that are apparently not even hurting Russia.

    He also raises the question of how promises made to the USSR relate to one of the nations that appeared after it dissolved.Paine

    Kind of hard to imagine a serious scholar making that argument, but alas there it is.

    Russia and the USSR occupy roughly the same land mass. They share roughly the same core strategic interests.

    Those promises were made to the USSR to acknowledge their legitime security concerns and thereby promote peace and stability. The way they relate to Russia today depends on how eager we are for conflict and war with Russia.

    Lough is putting the cart before the horse here in a way that is almost child-like.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    I don't share your view that the incidents being reported are only propaganda.Paine

    That's not my view.

    Objective reporting is fine. Framing is propaganda.

    It's the difference between speaking of displaced civilians or of genocides and deportations.

    I hope and assume you're smart enough to tell the difference.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    The purpose isn't even to have a discussion, the purpose is just to repeat the position, however delirious it is, again and again. In hope that genuine participants would leave.ssu

    A fine bit of projection. :ok:
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Is not the matter to attend to is whether these events are happening or not?Paine

    Sure.

    How does pre-emptively framing Russia's actions as genocide help in figuring out what is happening?

    It doesn't, of course, and that's not what this is about. It's about demonizing Russia, and I expect better from the people on this forum.

    The Russians are employing the language of "not-so-subtle historical parallels." Are you promoting a nihilism where nobody is talking about anything?Paine

    You would be the one promoting a cynical nihilism if your argument for why you should spread your propaganda is because the other side is doing it too.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    But seems like the UN or Amnesty International, as SophistiCat mentioned, seem to be just promoting fictional anti-Russian propaganda.ssu

    It is turned into anti-Russian propaganda when people start referring to "deportations" and "genocides", trying to draw not-so-subtle historical parallels.
  • Positive characteristics of Females
    The argument is no and that is why it is unpaid work.Andrew4Handel

    I don't think the amount of money something costs or yields is necessarily reflective of its actual value. Happiness cannot be bought, yet you can spend fortunes on things that will make one profoundly unhappy.

    To say societies don't value parenthood comes across as a bit disconnected, and if anything it shows that using wages as a measure of value is insufficient.

    I would wager that most people that watch super hero films are adults and that they have some cultural influence.Andrew4Handel

    Even if that's true, you believe adults take their life lessons from those movies? I'd like to think adults are little more sensible than that, and that is reinforced by the fact I see very few adults trying to conduct themselves like super heroes.

    How come there is not the female equivalent to Incels?Andrew4Handel

    How should I know, and why is it relevant? Also, aren't radical feminists basically the female equivalent to incels? :yum:
  • Positive characteristics of Females
    Popular culture.Andrew4Handel

    What's that and why would it be reflective of society's values at large?

    What evidence do you have that society values female traits (considering the pay for jobs dominated by women)Andrew4Handel

    Why would pay be considered an indicator of how much a society values certain traits?

    Isn't parenthood greatly valued in any society? Guess how much that pays.

    How many super heroes are female.

    How come heroes have to be aggressive and strong and vengeful and not caring and nurturing and reasonable?
    Andrew4Handel

    Super heroes are for children.
  • Positive characteristics of Females
    It seems to me that male traits are seen in a more positive light than female ones still and that traits like nurturing, caring and kindness and forgiveness are seen as weaknesses.Andrew4Handel

    By whom? I can't think of anyone I know that doesn't value those traits highly.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Russia bad
  • Stoicism is an underappreciated philosophical treasure
    I don't think you're missing anything.

    It's a very level-headed way of living life, sticking to living in the moment rather than worrying about all the things that might be. Very Buddhist-like indeed. The two may have even influenced each other. (Especially the Greeks being influenced by traveling eastern sages)
  • Ukraine Crisis
    I see where you're coming from. There's one accepted narrative and anything that remotely questions it is attacked as "pro-Russian". I agree it has things in common with cancel culture.

    The narrative is so fragile that it cannot stand up to any kind of scrutiny, so the goal becomes to silence criticism. It's used in the domain of public discourse and in the political arena to silence political opposition.

    However, I suspect for the "people in the know" as you put it, narratives are just a tool to influence the public, and they don't believe in them as fanatically.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    I'm not sure about cancel culture. That seems to be something that mostly threatens public figures, whereas the people who cook up geopolitical strategy that remains constant throughout several presidencies are almost certainly not public figures ("deep state" / elite, in the US also known as "the Blob" or the foreign policy establishment).

    In parallel to cancel culture essentially suppress any critical analysis, at the bare minimum within, political institutions to arrive at coherent policies, there is also the essentially pure game theory problem, when everyone believes the other parties policies are an irrational bluff.boethius

    I don't think the Americans' actions suggest they believed the Russians were bluffing, especially after 2014. They took the threat serious enough to intensify security cooperation with Ukraine.

    Generally, I am reluctant to accept explanations that rely on the big players on the world stage making irrational or ignorant decisions. I think more likely the opposite is true - that they know more than we do, and I tend to try and make sense of their actions through that lens.



    Notice how many things were absent from was all the military cooperation going around then, and earlier in Central Asia even with CSTO members. The basic fact is that US and NATO has had a lot of military cooperation even with other CSTO members.ssu

    You implied that during the Obama administration there was a reversal in regards to the United States' Ukraine policy.

    This is untrue, as is evidenced by the intensifying security cooperation between the US and Ukraine during this period:

    From the NATO Chicago Summit in 2012:

    Recalling our decisions in relation to Ukraine and our Open Door policy stated at the Bucharest and Lisbon Summits, NATO is ready to continue to develop its cooperation with Ukraine and assist with the implementation of reforms in the framework of the NATO-Ukraine Commission and the Annual National Programme (ANP).

    From the NATO Secretary General's Annual Report 2013:

    In 2013, the Alliance updated its Political-Military Framework which ensures that partners can participate more effectively in Allied assessments, planning, and decision-making on current and potential operations. [...] Through these experiences, NATO and its operational partners improved their political consultations and gained higher levels of interoperability. To secure these gains, NATO's partners will be more systematically integrated into NATO's regular training and exercise programmes.

    As part of these efforts, NATO is fostering partner participation in the NATO Response Force (NRF), NATO's rapid-reaction force. In 2013, Sweden joined the NRF alongside Finland and Ukraine, while Georgia pledged to make forces available to the NRF in 2015. In the autumn, four partners participated in the Alliance's largest exercise of the last seven years, Steadfast Jazz, which served to certify the NRF rotation for 2014.

    I could go on and on. This is only the tip of the iceberg when it comes to publicly available documentation on NATO-Ukraine cooperation.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Notice how the matter of Ukraine was conspicuously absent from all of what you quoted, and military cooperation between Ukraine and NATO did not cease, but intensified.

    Cabinet approves action plan for annual national plan of cooperation with NATO in 2010

    As reported, in December 2008, NATO invited Ukraine to a new format of relations as part of the so-called annual national program on preparations for joining the alliance. Since then, Ukraine, along with NATO experts, has drawn up and implemented such a document for a second consecutive year.

    LOL.ssu
  • Ukraine Crisis
    I'm open to the possibility, but I fail to see a coherent plan behind letting Russia conquer (parts of) Ukraine.

    For one, Ukraine isn't Afghanistan, Ukrainians aren't Afghanis, etc. I don't think it goes without saying that the preconditions for a similar kind of insurgency are in place in Ukraine as they were in Afghanistan or other parts of the Middle-East.

    Second, the Russians also realize what happens to nations who try to conquer too much at once. They've suffered through their failure in Afghanistan and then saw the Americans try and fail in much the same way.

    There's a good chance that what we're seeing today in Ukraine is already a part of this new approach: conquer a piece of land and pacify it while keeping the conflict hot.

    Thirdly, both Crimea and Donbass were annexed without any type of insurgency taking shape. It's possible that that is still to come, but again I don't think it goes without saying that it will.

    Lastly, the American elite (the Bidens, for example) are deeply invested in Ukraine, and during the 2013 Maidan revolution they were already getting busy constructing a new Ukrainian government. I don't see how that fits into a picture where the United States is content to let Russia conquer Ukraine.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    There's been 4 US administrations since 2008, and I'd be willing to accept the idea the US more-or-less stumbled into this conflict without really a military plan if Russia did a full scale invasion (they may have been satisfied with Russia conquering Ukraine, having a big headache to deal with trying to manage it, and slapping tons of sanctions on Russia).boethius

    The remarkable thing is that during those four administrations the United States policy has been constant, unchanged. That is no coincidence.

    Additionally, the United States must have expected full-scale war because that's what they sought to prepare Ukraine for for years, through all kinds of military aid, from training, equipment, to joint military exercises, etc.

    A "wir haben es nicht gewußt" from the United States I won't buy.


    I agree what the Americans are doing isn't illogical from a realpolitik point of view.

    Russia was weak after the Cold War, scarcely a great power. The Americans, seeing new great power competition on the horizon with China likely sought to end Russia as a great power permanently to avoid having to contend with two potential peer competitors in the future.

    Instead, what it achieved is the exact situation it tried to avoid - Russia and China being united in their opposition towards United States hegemony.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    That simply isn't "an instrument of US / NATO policy".ssu

    The Americans have purposefully steered towards this conflict since at least 2008.

    Now they have their conflict, and they spin a yarn about Ukrainian sovereignty.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Russia won't be more dangerous after the war, it will be defanged and humbled.Olivier5

    How do you envision this "defanging" and "humbling" taking place?
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Naturally countries tried to do have good relations and hope for the best, ...ssu

    By ignoring the Russians for fifteen years when they proclaimed Ukraine in NATO was a dire security concern and a red line?

    Now, you're right that most countries tried to have good relations, and in that they succeeded for the most part up until 2013.

    That's when 'the most important country' - the United States of America, doubled down on intentionally provoking conflict with the Russians, likely because they thought the Russians were weak and would allow it, just like they had allowed all the other NATO expansion prior.

    The US can be defined in such away in the Middle East and Central America or the Caribbean.ssu

    I think the term "hostile militant aggressor" objectively fits US foreign policy a lot better than it does the Russian.

    You seem to be at a point where you're able to accept that the world isn't black and white, and that at the level of great power politics there are no good guys or bad guys.

    Perhaps then it's also time for you to take a more balanced stance towards this conflict.

    What should be obvious (which seems not to be for some) is that you can agree with some issues and disagree with other issues what an individual expert says.ssu

    The issue is not that you disagree. The issue is that you dismiss Mearsheimer's views entirely when they don't fit your ideas, and treat people who agree with his ideas as Kremlin propagandists.

    So yes, I find it very weird how you can quote Mearsheimer in one context as an expert and dismiss his ideas as nonsense in the next. And how odd too that these instances seem to coincide with whehter they support your personal fancies or not.

    How did the US force Russia to annex Ukraine, to see Crimea as a historical and essential part of Russia? How did the US make Putin to see Ukraine as an artificial state?

    How did US ambitions make Sweden to through away it's neutral stance after few hundred years? How did US ambitious makes us apply for NATO with more support than when we joined the EU?
    ssu

    There have been several NATO tranches before 2014, if you'll remember. All of which directly violated agreements made at the end of the Cold War that NATO would not expand eastward.

    But I guess we'll just pretend those are the result of Russia's "hostile militant aggression", and when after decades of NATO expansionism and warnings from the Russians the Russians finally lash out, you go "SEE! I told you they were a hostile militant aggressor!"

    You fell hook, line and sinker for the western narrative.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    None of those are calling Russia a "hostile militant aggressor."

    They are simply aware of the geopolitical issues that exist, and assume conflict will break out at one point or another. That's the realist view.

    If discussions about geopolitical issues that a country is involved in brands them as a "hostile militant aggressor" then I suppose the United States more than fits that bill, but that seems to be a hard pill for you to swallow.

    And since you're keen on quoting Mearsheimer, I assume you take his analysis of the current state of affairs very seriously then? Or do you only quote him when you believe it suits your argument?

    NATO expansion is a consequence of Russia's ambitionsssu

    Nonsense. After the Cold War ended the subsequent NATO tranches have been a result of American ambitions, seeking to take advantage of Russia's weakness. Mearsheimer makes that point aswell, but I forgot his opinion only matters when it suits your views.

    It is simply absurd after all the annexations to insist that Russia is acting defensively and NATO would be here the culprit and aggressor in this war.ssu

    That after 400+ pages of discussion you're still clinging to this strawman is the real absurdity.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    You may want to double-check who was the aggressor in that war.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Nope, this view is based on an alternative reality where causes and effects have changed places: that NATO is the hostile aggressor, not that countries next to Russia have frantically tried to protect themselves from a hostile militant nation that by force tries to conquer it's lost Empire.ssu

    You won't find a credible source portraying Russia as a "hostile militant aggressor" before 2014.

    That's where your entire argument falls apart - before 2014 Russia was seen as a mostly normal state, and Putin was widely regarded as a reasonable leader with whom the West could do business. Cold War rivalries were put aside, things were looking good and you can find plenty of sources lauding the Russians during this period. That's why there was even talk of Russia joining NATO and the EU.

    Your attempt at creating a larger context of Russian aggression has no leg to stand on, since this narrative only started after the conflict in Ukraine went hot.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    And what have they been doing? Winning and having huge victories?ssu

    As I've said before, considering the amount of troops they deployed at the start of the war it is likely that taking the Donbas and establishing a landbridge to Crimea were the Russians' primary military objectives. I don't view them as losing - definitely not to a degree that would make them consider nuclear weapons, especially since they can escalate conventionally.

    Anyone with a shred of sense can see the hollowness of the "everything is America's fault" argument.ssu

    I'm not making that argument.

    This is just the knee-jerk deflection for anyone who doesn't like to think about the obvious role the US and the EU have played in provoking this conflict.

    If after 400 pages of thread you still haven't moved beyond a World War I-esque propaganda depiction of the Russians as the imperialist bad guys then I don't know what to tell you. Geopolitics might not be for you.

    That too, Russia wanting create Novorossiya again, must be the fault of the Americans.ssu

    As Mearsheimer points out, there is zero evidence for that.

    However there are bags of evidence, 15 years worth of evidence if not more, that Russia viewed Ukraine in NATO as a security threat.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    China has said that they are against the use of nuclear weapons being used in Ukraine.ssu

    Isn't everybody, including the Russians, against the use of nuclear weapons in Ukraine?

    That doesn't mean that it won't happen.

    But then you aren't highly in doubt that the Russian leader and military will want to escalate the war and face a possible conventional NATO attack when they have experienced severe losses in Ukraine?ssu

    My expectation is that they will escalate if they start to lose, and they won't shy away from using tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine, possibly even on NATO troops should they choose to intervene.


    You seemed to be on the verge of recognizing those aforementioned crises are real ones and then you say: "European stake in this conflict is mostly the ego of its deluded leaders." It sounds like you are saying that the leaders could solve those problems if Russia wins or not. You will have to explain what the former scenario would look like. The latter has already been established as the basis for policy decisions.Paine

    Anyone with a shred of sense can see that the Americans purposefully pissed off the Russians in Ukraine, in Europe's backyard, as it always does - stirring up shit far away from their island so other people can bear the cost of war and conflict.

    I've always argued that the European leaders should not have played America's lapdogs, and not let Europe become a pawn in America's game, as it is now.

    Things were looking great between Europe and Russia. Even after 2008 and 2014 (both crises caused directly by the Americans), things were mendable. Perhaps things were looking a little too great for the Americans' taste - heartland theory and all that, divide et impera.

    Had the European leaders cared about their countries, they would have given a clear 'no, and never' to Ukrainian membership to NATO and EU. Merkel did this in 2008 for Ukrainian NATO membership.

    The part I quoted was taken from an interview she gave in June of this year.

    I didn't agree on much with Merkel, but at least she was level-headed. It seems nowadays European leaders are desperate to prove something. That Europe is strong perhaps, to keep the dream of a United States of Europe alive. But being completely dependent on America and lacking any military strength (or intellectual, for that matter) they were always destined to become Washington stooges in the process.

    To "teach Russia a lesson" - what a joke, but I don't know whether to laugh or cry.

    Such rhetoric belongs in the children's playground - not in the real world where "teaching lessons" means thousands of people will die and countries get destroyed.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    For all her faults, Angela Merkel actually understood this. She recently went on record saying that what the Americans and Europeans intended to do with Ukraine would be interpreted by the Russians as a declaration of war, and she was spot on.

    That's why she sought to stop Ukraine from entering NATO.

    Asked about whether she regretted opposing the US-led membership action plan for Ukraine and Georgia in 2008, Merkel said: “Ukraine was not the country that we know now. It was a Ukraine that was very split … even the reformist forces [Yulia] Tymoshenko and [Viktor] Yushchenko were very at odds. That means it was not a country whose democracy was inwardly strengthened.” She said Ukraine at the time was “ruled by oligarchs”.

    From the Russian president’s perspective, “it was a declaration of war”. While she didn’t share Putin’s perspective, Merkel said she “knew how he thought” and “didn’t want to provoke it further”.

    She claimed to have blocked Ukraine’s route to membership of the military alliance with the country’s best interests at heart. “You cannot become a member of Nato from one day to the next,” Merkel said. “It’s a process, and during this process I knew Putin would have done something to Ukraine that would not have been good for it.”
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Other nations have more than a rhetorical interest in the outcome. The security crisis in Europe is real. The economic crisis is real. The refugee crisis is real.Paine

    You'd think then that the Europeans would have been a bit more reprehensive about letting the Americans stir up shit in their backyard, because they helped create all of those crises.

    Or perhaps that now they would be interested in ending the conflict instead of "teaching the Russians a lesson", which is a recipe for protracted, possibly nuclear war.

    It seems to me the European stake in this conflict is mostly the ego of its deluded leaders.

    But to depict Russia as merely defending itself is to turn a blind eye to what they have been doing and what they are capable of.Paine

    I don't view Russia merely as defending itself, but pointing out the obvious role the Americans and the Europeans had in causing this conflict seems enough to give off that impression to some.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    By only framing it as a matter of a U.S. agenda, you fail to see or hear how much other nations want Russia to lose. They have all said as much and have put their money and resources where their mouth is. Many of the refugees will have no home to return to if Russia keeps all the annexations made so far. The rest will have no place to return to if the country is made uninhabitable. If Russia partitions Ukraine as you propose being all they want, the benefits of aggressive invasion will be established, especially if it leads to the withdrawal of sanctions and the return of business as usual.Paine

    Sending "political signals" to Moscow and other countries about the consequences of aggression is so hypocritical even the most deluded European leaders couldn't sincerely believe that. I don't know if you've noticed, but the United States and European countries have been meddling non-stop in other nations' affairs, invading wherever they pleased, leaving behind chaos and smoking ruins wherever they went.

    Perhaps such rhetoric is aimed at propaganda-fed domestic populations.

    If all of this is about sending messages, how many dead do you suppose it is worth to get that message across?

    Lastly, what message do you suppose is being sent? "It is only ok when we do it"?

    You know what message that is? "Might makes right" - and it seems Russia took it to heart.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Talks of nuke use are rhetorical.Olivier5

    So far, yes.

    If Russia were to start losing the war, I believe they no longer would be.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Given that the Russians likely achieved their primary strategic objectives during the opening stages of the war (Donbas and landbridge to Crimea - limited objectives that correlate to the low number of troops the Russians deployed) it is highly unlikely that initiating a nuclear attack has even seriously been considered, but if you want to believe that I suppose I can't stop you.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    That's not what I mean. The United States has been pursuing NATO membership for Ukraine for over a decade, to expand its sphere of influence and to limit Russia's.

    That's great power politics.

    Other NATO/EU nations have no such interests. Whether they win or lose in Ukraine, it doesn't matter. Only to the United States it matters, and the Ukrainians of course.

    If Russia uses nukes in Ukraine, the whole Russian army in Ukraine and in the Black Sea will be annihilated by NATO strikes, thus ending the war quickly and neatly.Olivier5

    If NATO could end this war "quickly and neatly" they would have already done so.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    So you think then Russians or Putin will just ignore warnings as fake?ssu

    The Americans ignored Russian warnings as fake for 15 years.

    It's entirely possible they will ignore warnings if A: the stakes are high enough and B: they expect the Americans are bluffing.

    What if you then after using tactical nukes the Ukrainians won't budge, China gets angry and suddenly the rest of your Black Seas fleet gets attacked and sunk?ssu

    Who knows?

    It's unlikely the Chinese will alter their stance towards Russia much, regardless of what happens in Ukraine. Their shared rivalry with the United States is likely what will determine their relations for the coming decades, and by provoking conflict in Eastern Europe the Americans pushed the Russians into the arms of the Chinese even further.

    Also, it is not "my" Black Sea fleet. Don't start again with trying to frame me as partisan.

    A response to Russia using nukes is something that the Western leaders and NATO have had to think now.ssu

    I highly doubt that Western leaders are willing to enter a protracted land war in Eastern Europe and/or nuclear conflict just to save face for the Americans after they overplayed their hand in Ukraine.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    I think that Ukraine turning into a nuclear conflict would make NATO involvement a lot less likely, actually. And Mearsheimer has made that point aswell.

    The only country in NATO that is invested in Ukraine is the United States, and even they aren't invested to such a degree that they're willing to risk a protracted land war or even a nuclear conflict.
  • Atheism and Lack of belief
    The core of belief is that we cannot be certain. We can't be certain that there is such a thing as God, nor can we be certain that there isn't.

    If we choose to believe either despite our ignorance, it begs the question why. And the answer is usually that we believe to fool ourselves into thinking we are certain, because we prefer to feign certainty than to accept uncertainty.

    Agnosticism or apathy is a more logical and honest way of approaching things we cannot be certain of.

    - I don't know, so I choose not to believe either.
    - I don't know, and it doesn't affect me, so I choose not to form opinions. (I choose "not to care")
  • Ukraine Crisis
    See how nice?frank

    How is not having stuff nice?
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Then who would make your stuff? It's all made in countries that pollute and have bad working conditions.