Comments

  • Who Perceives What?
    In Searle’s list, object becomes tree at #3, and in the picture it can be a tree only after Searle’s #3, but without that condition, which is not even implied by the picture, it is the case that it should have been object on the left, at instance of perception, and never a tree. Nevertheless, the picture correctly represents the initial conditions for visual experience, demonstrating the presentation of an object directly to the system, according to physical law.Mww

    Absolutely. Part of the process of 'seeing' we can be fairly sure about now is that it involves what's termed 'construction'. We take all those patterns of light we sampled, put them into a prediction engine together with a ton of previous assumptions about what we expect to sample, and come up with a set of instructions for what to do about that sample. The vast majority of those instructions are geared toward getting a better sample, reducing our uncertainty about the data. Some instructions are even ways to manipulate the data so it more closely matches what we expect (prune the tree so it's branches match what we expect them to be).

    Nowhere in that whole process is there a tree. Nowhere is there even a model of a tree. There's just a load of chemicals and electrical signals.

    The 'tree' is an aspect of our language and commonly it refers to the external world. the thing that's 'out there'. It seems something of an odd pastime of philosophers to start fiddling with that.

    are you and your colleagues appalled at the extent to which humans can’t find agreement among themselves on the most fundamental human considerations?Mww

    Ha! My research would have come to a very ignominious end had humans turned out to have agreed with each other about the most fundamental human considerations. Mostly, we're grateful.
  • Who Perceives What?
    As an Indirect Realist, I believe that I directly see a model or a representation of a tree in my mind.RussellA

    What is 'seeing' as a process for you? clearly it doesn't involve eyes (since you don't use your eyes to 'see' the model). It also doesn't involve external objects, since you 'see' the model. It doesn't even involve your visual cortex (that's involved in the modelling, and yet what you 'see' is somehow the finished model)

    So what is it to 'see' something? My dictionary simply has...
    see
    verb
    uk
    /siː/ us
    /siː/
    present participle seeing | past tense saw | past participle seen
    see verb (USE EYES)
    A1 [ I or T ]
    to be conscious of what is around you by using your eyes:
    https://dictionary.cambridge.org/dictionary/english/see

    I'm intrigued by what makes you want to alter that definition.

    When I perceive a tree, I don't question that I am perceiving a treeRussellA

    You just said...

    I directly see a model or a representation of a tree in my mind.RussellA

    ...so are you seeing two things? One, the tree(indirectly) and two, the model (directly).

    I do question that what I am perceiving as a tree exists in the world as a tree.RussellA

    What would it mean to exist 'as a tree'? As opposed to what?

    I can treat the something I perceive as a tree as a tree in the world, act towards it as tree, and follow the consequences of my actions.RussellA

    I don't see how you would know what 'treating it like a tree' would entail if no-one has any veridical experience of trees.

    I agree when you say that "all the while that interacting with it as if it were a tree yields the results you'd expect of it if it were a tree", but don't agree that your conclusion would logically follow "So we can conclude that virtually all the time we know what we see is the tree"RussellA

    It just logically follows. If to 'know' something is to have sufficient warrant for believing it', and if 'sufficient warrant' is 'having something respond as expected when treating it as if it were what you believe it to be' - then is simply follows, by substitution, that you 'know' you see a tree all the while you treat it as if it were a tree and it responds accordingly.

    If you disagree you need to supply an alternative definition for 'I know', because with the one you previously agreed to you, you must 'know' you're seeing a tree. all I've done is directly substitute 'know' for your definition of 'know'.
  • Who Perceives What?
    I agree with that. This is the position of the Indirect Realist, a pragmatic approach to the world.RussellA

    We've heard talk from self-described indirect realists that contradicts this, including from yourself.

    You questioned whether we know what we see is the tree.

    If...

    You have sufficient warrant to believe the tree you see is, in fact, a tree, all the while that interacting with it as if it were a tree yields the results you'd expect of it if it were a tree.Isaac

    ...and...

    'know' [is] simply having sufficient warrantIsaac

    ...then we 'know' what we see is the tree all the while that interacting with it as if it were a tree yields the results you'd expect of it if it were a tree.

    Which, for simple objects like a tree, is virtually all the time.

    So we can conclude that virtually all the time we know what we see is the tree. It's not a mystery.

    Other oddities from indirect realists here have been claims that, for example, we don't 'really' see the tree, we see light, but not the tree, we see a model of the tree, we don't see the 'tree as it is'...etc.

    None of these odd expressions have anything to do with pragmatism. They are claims of certainty about what is the case. They're just wrong.
  • Who Perceives What?
    concerned with ... how to know whether one's visual experience is an hallucination or a veridical visual experienceRussellA

    This just misuses the word 'know'. In no other case is 'know' used other than simply having sufficient warrant (putting aside for now arguments about post hoc judgements of truth). You have sufficient warrant to believe the tree you see is, in fact, a tree, all the while that interacting with it as if it were a tree yields the results you'd expect of it if it were a tree.
  • Ukraine Crisis


    Tragic, and inhumane. What do you propose we do about it?
  • Who Perceives What?
    He does take this distinction as granted, as well as that the folk he is addressing can, at least for the most part, tell the difference. But I suppose that RussellA and @schopenhauer1 cannot tell if they are hallucinating gives us an explanation for why there is not much hope of "penetrating the darkness here".Banno

    I'm beginning to wonder if it's something about trees, some type of Agnosia (I'm going to here coin the term Arbagnosia).

    The thing is, I recognise many of the names here from other discussions (particularly the political ones) - @hypericin and @Wayfarer spring to mind most - wherein they find themselves absolutely certain of some state of affairs in the world (widely acknowledged to be extremely complex) like the geopolitical goals and strategies of major world powers (Ukraine War), or the net benefits and risks of public health strategies (Covid). Yet neither of these people, despite such certainty about the state of extremely complex events, seem to find any way in which they can be certain about the tree in their back garden.

    It is apparently easy enough to be sure about world events that one can quite hysterically object to alternative interpretations of them, and yet strangely, they can never be sure they're really seeing the tree as it is.

    Likewise, here all are professing with some certainty the way the brain processes sense data (a very complex and as yet undecided model), yet still unsure about the tree. I find, among my colleagues, the majority are quite uncertain about how perception actually works despite being at the coalface of discovering new facts about it; yet none seem to have trouble with the tree in the courtyard. Here we have the exact reverse of that.

    What is it about trees, for these people, that is so impenetrable, I wonder?
  • Who Perceives What?
    he doesn't explain how one knows whether one's visual experience is an hallucination or a veridical visual experienceRussellA

    If you need that explaining you may want to seek professional help.

    when seeing a broken window on one's walk to work, it is impossible to know just from the broken window what caused it to break, just by having the perception of a green tree in one's mind it is impossible to know what caused that perception.RussellA

    But there's nothing causal here. Not knowing whether A caused B has no bearing on the plausibility of an hypothesis that A causes B.
  • Who Perceives What?
    The contact between perceiver and perceived is direct, therefor his perception of the perceived is direct.NOS4A2

    It's this kind of wording that doesn't help the 'direct' account. there clearly are barriers and intermediaries. None of these change the object of the process (we perceive 'a tree'), but claiming there's nothing interfering along the route is the sort of ultra-veridical claim that makes this 'extremist' wing of direct realism look ridiculous.

    You can perceive a tree in front of you in full colour despite the fact that there's a massive gap in the middle which you can't possible see (because your fovea is in the way) and the light values are constantly changing because of the effect of continual saccades. The periphery is of far lower granularity than the centre, the ambient light changes the colours throughout the day (yet you still know the leaves are green). And much more...

    You literally make up what goes in the gaps, you make up much of the colour (by interpreting and making guesses about the effect of ambient light) and you make up edges that can't be seen as your saccades move about the scene. All of this is amply demonstrated in the literature. You make up a very large proportion of that to which you eventually respond.

    The important point (which your naive version misses) is that this 'making up' is part of the process of perceiving the tree and is predictive of the tree. It's not an indication that we perceive something other than the tree because if that were the case, there'd be no inference, no modelling, no testing and improving of models because there's be no access to an external uncertain state against which to test the model.

    We perceive the tree, not the model. But we do not have some kind of direct (as in unfettered) access to the tree, we make inferences within the constraints of the data we have. That's what 'seeing a tree' is, a continual process of inferring the external causes of sense data.

    If you take away the inference part (as you seem to want to do), you're simply ignoring unequivocal facts about how perception works.

    If you take away the external part (as the most vocal 'indirect realists' seem to want to do), you're left with a very big gap in explaining how inference equations are so very similar to Bayesian model selection equations when there's no source of Gaussian uncertainty.
  • Who Perceives What?
    Then its over to you to explain the link between the two. How a decision moves a hand, and a bottle of plonk changes a decision. — Banno


    A decision moves a hand intentionally, as we are capable of intentional action, and intoxication affects your judgement and also your motor skills.
    Wayfarer

    You were asked to explain how it does. Not repeat the claim that it does.
  • Who Perceives What?
    The Philosophy of Perception and the Bad Argument.Banno

    A really nice article. This in particular stood out...

    The crucial step in the argument from illusion as stated is step 4. The step that says you do see something even in the hallucinatory case. But that is a mistake. In the ordinary sense of ‘see’ in which I now see the tree, in the hallucinatory case I do not see anything. That is what makes it a hallucination. The visual experience in the two cases can be exactly the same, by stipulation. But in one case some-thing is seen and in the second case nothing is seen. But surely one might say you did see something. It was after all a visual experience.I think we can introduce a sense of ‘see’ to describe our visual experiences but that sense of ‘see’ is quite different from the ordinary sense because the truth of the statement does not imply that there really is an independently existing object seen. Indeed, I want to make a strong claim now. Though the visual experience definitely exists, it is not and cannot itself be seen. When you consciously see something you have a visual experience but you do not see it. This is not because it is invisible but because in the veridical case it is the seeing of the object. And the seeing cannot itself be seen. In the hallucinatory case the experience, by stipulation, is exactly the same, but it is not a seeing but a seeming to see. Because it is a hallucination nothing is seen. In the hallucinatory case, there is no independently existing object causing the experience. — Searle

    It ties in really well with the understanding of perception I use (largely a Bayesian inference model). That model relies on an external (external to the system) world which the system is predicting. It relies on it because the prediction models are based on the Gaussian distribution of entropic forces external to a known system. If perception were based on internal states, then there would be no Gaussian distribution, no 'prediction', states would simply be transferred from node to node by linear functions.

    It frustrates me when people use arguments from hallucination, or Bayesian modelling to promote any kind of idealism or disconnect from the external world when these theories imply the exact opposite. Mathematically, the 'free-energy' model, for example doesn't even work unless it is modelling an external state, the whole gradient climbing Lagrange equations the model is based on need an assumed Gaussian distribution of entropic variables - ie external data.

    Anyway, rant over. The article sets out the error of such think really nicely, but I don't hold out much hope of it's penetrating the darkness here.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    From https://news.antiwar.com/2023/02/14/zelensky-signs-agreement-with-jp-morgan-on-ukraines-reconstruction/

    What a surprise. A massive American corporation stands to benefit from the destruction wreaked by the war we now know their government was pushing to prolong.

    But I'm sure that's all just another one of those massive coincidences we so frequently accept.

    Certainly this had nothing whatsoever to do with it... JPMorgan Chase Spent $8 Million On Lobbying Last Year, More Than Any Other Bank
  • Ukraine Crisis
    And recent revelations about the peace negotiations that took place weeks into the conflict might actually support that view. The Russians were willing to make major concessions when they negotiated for Ukrainian neutrality, and it might only be after the negotiations failed that the Russian strategy changed to annexing parts of Ukraine.Tzeentch

    Yep. Axios reported in March 2022...

    According to Israeli officials, Putin’s proposal is difficult for Zelensky to accept but not as extreme as they anticipated. They said the proposal doesn’t include regime change in Kyiv and allows Ukraine to keep its sovereignty.https://www.axios.com/2022/03/08/israel-russia-ukraine-ceasefire-critical-point

    But, let's not let the actual facts get in the way of a good story. I'm sure @ssu can dredge up for us some speech Putin made in high school where he mentioned Rome - proving all along his imperialist ambitions.
  • Ukraine Crisis


    Article in Sheerpost on the media blackout...

    The entirety of the corporate media’s attention given to the story consisted of:

    A 166-word mini report in Bloomberg;
    One five-minute segment on “Tucker Carlson Tonight” (Fox News);
    One 600-word round up in The New York Post;
    A shrill Business Insider attack article, whose headline labels Hersh a “discredited journalist” that has given a “gift to Putin”.

    The 20 outlets studied are, in alphabetical order:

    ABC News; Bloomberg News; Business Insider; BuzzFeed; CBS News; CNBC; CNN; Forbes; Fox News; The Huffington Post; MSNBC; NBC News; The New York Post; The New York Times; NPR; People Magazine; Politico; USA Today, The Wall Street Journal and The Washington Post.

    Reuters, for example, has published 14 separate reports on the topic since Thursday. Every large media outlet in America (and many medium-sized and even small ones) subscribes to Reuters, republishing content from their newswires.

    One of the main tasks of a newsroom editor is to follow the newswire and follow up on Reuters’ content. This means that editors around the country have been bombarded with this story every day since it broke, and virtually every single one of them has passed on it – 14 consecutive times.

    I particularly like Snope's
    Fact-checking website Snopes also sprung into action, calling Hersh’s claim a “conspiracy” that rested on a single “omnipotent anonymous source.”

    Notice that they had absolutely nothing to say when random people were saying Russia blew their own pipeline.

    Let's have a little reminder of the claims Snopes didn't bother examining...



    ...Anything Snopes? No? Every news 'journalist' in the country reports "without the evidence" that Russia did it and not a whisper. Someone with evidence (albeit anonymous) claims that the US did it and it's all hands on deck to make sure the claim is ripped to shreds.

    As opposed to, say, investigated.

    The most incredible thing about the backlash against Hersh’s article on the U.S. blowing up the Nord Stream pipelines is the fact that it’s clear no establishment media outlet has any intention of carrying out the basic journalism needed to confirm or refute what he’s reported, — Jonathan Cook
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Debates that make sense to me should be principled and computationally affordable ways to assess people's arguments and evidencesneomac

    Yeah. The idea that political arguments can be weighed by some kind of objective metric is something most if us left behind in college. It's retained only by adolescents who think an A-level in maths gives them some superheroic insight into truth.
  • Chinese Balloon and Assorted Incidents


    And yet...

    https://fair.org/home/media-spy-balloon-obsession-a-gift-to-china-hawks/

    Despite this uncertainty, US media overwhelmingly interpreted the Pentagon’s conjecture as fact. The New York Times (2/2/23) reported that “the United States has detected what it says is a Chinese surveillance balloon,” only to call the device “the spy balloon”—without attributive language—within the same article. Similar evolution happened at CNBC, where the description shifted from “suspected Chinese spy balloon” (2/6/23) to simply “Chinese spy balloon” (2/6/23). The Guardian once bothered to place “spy balloon” in quotation marks (2/5/23), but soon abandoned that punctuation (2/6/23).

    Given that media had no proof of either explanation, it might stand to reason that outlets would give each possibility—spy balloon vs. weather balloon—equal attention. Yet media were far more interested in lending credence to the US’s official narrative than to that of China.
    NYT: A Brief History of Spying With Balloons

    Of course, governments have also been using balloons to track weather for more than a century—but that didn’t merit a New York Times article (2/3/23).

    In coverage following the initial reports, media devoted much more time to speculating on the possibility of espionage than of scientific research. The New York Times (2/3/23), for instance, educated readers about the centuries-long wartime uses of surveillance balloons. Similar pieces ran at The Hill (2/3/23), Reuters (2/2/23) and the Guardian (2/3/23). Curiously, none of these outlets sought to provide an equivalent exploration of the history of weather balloons after the Chinese Foreign Affairs statement, despite the common and well-established use of balloons for meteorological purposes.

    Even information that could discredit the “spy balloon” theory was used to bolster it. Citing the Pentagon, outlets almost universally acknowledged that any surveillance capacity of the balloon would be limited. This fact apparently didn’t merit reconsideration of the “spy balloon” theory; instead, it was treated as evidence that China was an espionage amateur. As NPR’s Geoff Brumfiel (2/3/23) stated:

    The Pentagon says it believes this spy balloon doesn’t significantly improve China’s ability to gather intelligence with its satellites.

    One of Brumfiel’s guests, a US professor of international studies, called the balloon a “floating intelligence failure,” adding that China would only learn, in Brumfiel’s words, at most “a little bit” from the balloon. That this might make it less likely to be a spy balloon and more likely, as China said, a weather balloon did not seem to occur to NPR.

    Reuters (2/4/23), meanwhile, called the use of the balloon “a bold but clumsy espionage tactic.” Among its uncritically quoted “security expert” sources: former White House national security adviser and inveterate hawk John Bolton, who scoffed at the balloon for its ostensibly low-tech capabilities.

    Funny. It's almost as if the US media are trying to promote conflict. But surely that couldn't be the case...

    Let's just hope they don't turn their conflict-biased warmongering attention to Ukraine any time soon! What with that being a completely one-sided conflict in which the US are acting out of nothing but honourable intent, the last thing we need is a compliant media stoking the flames. Thankfully though media reporting has so far been completely accurate and only coincidentally supports the US government entirely just because they happen to be right. Phew!
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Relevant mostly to @neomac's style of nonsense, but many other US fanboys here. In a recent essay, Andrew Bacevich asks "How is it that this particular conflict puts civilization itself at risk?"

    Why should rescuing Ukraine take priority over rescuing Haiti or Sudan? Why should fears of genocide in Ukraine matter more than the ongoing genocide targeting the Rohingya in Myanmar? Why should supplying Ukraine with modern arms qualify as a national priority, while equipping El Paso, Texas, to deal with a flood of undocumented migrants figures as an afterthought? Why do Ukrainians killed by Russia generate headlines, while deaths attributable to Mexican drug cartels — 100,000 Americans from drug overdoses annually – are treated as mere statistics?

    Of the various possible answers to such questions, three stand out and merit reflection.

    The first is that “civilization,” as the term is commonly employed in American political discourse, doesn’t encompass places like Haiti or Sudan. Civilization derives from Europe and remains centered in Europe. Civilization implies Western culture and values. ...

    What makes Russian aggression so heinous, therefore, is that it victimizes Europeans, whose lives are deemed to possess greater value than the lives of those who reside in implicitly less important regions of the world. That there is a racialist dimension to such a valuation goes without saying, however much U.S. officials may deny that fact. Bluntly, the lives of white Ukrainians matter more than the lives of the non-whites who populate Africa, Asia, or Latin America.

    The second answer is that casting the Ukraine War as a struggle to defend civilization creates a perfect opportunity for the United States to reclaim its place at the forefront of that very civilization. ...

    One final factor may contribute to this eagerness to see civilization itself under deadly siege in Ukraine. Demonizing Russia provides a convenient excuse for postponing or avoiding altogether a critical reckoning with the present American version of that civilization. Classifying Russia as a de facto enemy of the civilized world has effectively diminished the urgency of examining our own culture and values.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    So should know one way or the other if the Germans are in control of the investigation, which I think they're not. It's Denmark and Sweden right? The Germans are politically independent enough not to be influenced by the USA.Benkei

    It's a joint German, Swedish, Danish investigation with no evidence yet of it being Russia https://www.wsj.com/articles/nord-stream-blasts-were-likely-result-of-sabotage-german-probe-finds-11666016047

    Reports, according to Finnish foreign minister Pekka Haavisto conclude “We know that this amount of explosives has to be a state-level actor,"

    According to FirstPost "Russia will ask the UN Security Council for an investigation into Nord Stream gas pipelines explosions"

    So, what we have so far is a state-level actor, with no evidence that it's Russia, and with Russia being one of the countries pushing hardest for a UNSC investigation.

    As to...

    The Germans are politically independent enough not to be influenced by the USABenkei

    I don't really see how. If anyone wants to keep open the theory that Russia did it, then they also have to explain the lack of evidence (despite investigations "working under the assumption that Russia was behind the blasts"). So it must be possible for state-level actors to sufficiently cover their tracks to fool three independent nation's investigations (especially with Russia pushing for a UN investigation). If that's possible, then the independence of Germany is irrelevant.

    But all this speculation is irrelevant because it's a matter for experts with far more access to resources than we have. The interesting point is the way otherwise progressive voices are falling over themselves to exculpate the US from any wrongdoing. As if the US needed any help cementing its global hegemony.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Interview with Seymour Hersh in the Jacobin.

    https://jacobin.com/2023/02/seymour-hersh-interview-nord-stream-pipeline/

    I’ve written many stories based on unnamed sources. If I named somebody, they’d be fired, or, worse, jailed. The law is so strict. I’ve never had anybody exposed, and of course when I write I say, as I did in this article, it’s a source, period. And over the years, the stories I’ve written have always been accepted. I have used for this story the same caliber of skilled fact-checkers as had worked with me at the New Yorker magazine. Of course, there are many ways to verify obscure information told to me. — Hersh
  • Ukraine Crisis
    either G. Friedman actually believed that the Maidan Revolution was "the most overt coup d'état in history" and later he retracted his own claims, or G.Friedman never thought the Maidan Revolution was "the most overt coup d'état in history" but he expressed his own belief though irony (G.Fridman's conditional is maybe supposed to clarify why he expressed himself in Russian own terms).neomac

    Exactly.

    It shouldn't need to be repeated this often, but it appears I've got to say it again...

    We're not the ones claiming your narrative is unreasonable. Speaking for myself, I'm perfectly happy with the notion that Friedman didn't mean what he said. It's a perfectly rational theory with good evidence.

    You (collectively) are the ones trying to claim our alternative theories are unreasonable.

    To prove that claim, it's not sufficient to show your theory is possible. No one disagreed it was possible. You have to show that the alternative is impossible. Not merely that one of the possibilities is that Friedman didn't mean what he said, but rather that it is the only possibility.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Whose accuracy has been questioned by George Friedman himself.neomac

    No. In the article you cited, Friedman questioned Sputnik's selective quoting from the interview.

    I cited the actual interview from here https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/2636177

    Friedman says nothing about the accuracy or otherwise of that transcript.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    I love these sorts of interviews and talks that were given before the full gravity of the situation in Ukraine became apparent. Less self-censorship, politicization and hindsight. Mostly just honest conversation.Tzeentch

    Yeah, and the level of 'history rewriting' afterwards is shocking. I cited earlier the BBC's chief political correspondent talking in the same vein about the Nuland tape, but now we've got to pretend no-one ever thought that way to maintain this narrative that alternative interpretations are all insane.

    I find it truly frightening how easily people just go along with this.
  • Ukraine Crisis


    @Xanatos

    https://newcoldwar.org/stratfor-chiefs-most-blatant-coup-in-history-interview-from-dec-2014/

    The full interview so you can make up your own mind without "well, that now looks inconvenient" bias.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    He's wrong if one believes that what distinguishes revolutions from coups is massive popular participation.Xanatos

    And if one doesn't?

    why exactly can't Ukraine tell them: "We think that this is the best deal that we are capable of getting at the moment?"Xanatos

    Because without their billions of dollars in aid, reconstruction loans, military support, political support and propaganda, Ukraine will be bankrupt within a week. Ukraine has to do exactly what it's financial sponsors say or risk destitution.

    You do need to keep in mind that the West did not want this war in the first place; Russia did.Xanatos

    Why? I don't believe that to be the case, so it would seem somewhat capricious to keep it in mind.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Referring to the events of 2014 in Ukraine as a coup is rather misguidedXanatos

    ...

    the most blatant coup in history — George Friedman, director of Stratfor, U.S. intelligence strategic advisory institute
  • Ukraine Crisis
    The US (and the rest of the West) can offer Ukraine adviceXanatos

    Seriously?

    The US and EU have supplied Ukraine with over €100 billion in aid. The country is entirely dependant on foreign military, financial, intelligence and political support. They are over €200 billion below what they need just to survive.

    And you're seriously suggesting that they're free to choose and all we offer is advice? Just how naive are you?
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Almost complete silence on Hersh' article in Europe by the way. Nothing in the main newspapers. You'd think the Graun would jump at the opportunity.Benkei

    Yeah what an absolute mystery!

    1. Run 12 months of US war propaganda painting everything Russia does as the embodiment of evil and the US as the knight in shining armour coming to rescue of the brave but beleaguered Ukrainians.

    2. Consider whether a story exculpating Russia and blaming a US/corporate alliance would go down well with your recently en-frenzied readership and corporate sponsors.

    Yes. I can't for the life of me think why it isn't splashed all over the front pages.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Few outlets reported the recent revelations by former Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett about the ceasefire negotiations between Russia and Ukraine in Turkey that he helped to mediate in March 2022. Bennett said explicitly that the West "blocked" or "stopped" (depending on the translation) the negotiations.

    Bennett confirmed what has been reported by other sources since April 21, 2022, when Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu, one of the other mediators, told CNN Turk after a NATO foreign ministers’ meeting, "There are countries within NATO who want the war to continue… They want Russia to become weaker."

    Advisers to Prime Minister Zelensky provided the details of Boris Johnson’s April 9 visit to Kyiv that were published in Ukrayinska Pravda on May 5th. They said Johnson delivered two messages. The first was that Putin and Russia "should be pressured, not negotiated with." The second was that, even if Ukraine completed an agreement with Russia, the "collective West," who Johnson claimed to represent, would take no part in it.

    The Western corporate media has generally only weighed in on these early negotiations to cast doubt on this story or smear any who repeat it as Putin apologists, despite multiple-source confirmation by Ukrainian officials, Turkish diplomats and now the former Israeli prime minister.
    https://original.antiwar.com/mbenjamin/2023/02/13/how-spin-and-lies-fuel-a-bloody-war-of-attrition-in-ukraine/
  • Ukraine Crisis
    without an overall political and strategic concept, arms deliveries are pure militarism...
    We have a militarily operational stalemate, which we cannot solve militarily. Incidentally, this is also the opinion of the American Chief of Staff Mark Milley. He said that Ukraine's military victory is not to be expected and that negotiations are the only possible way. Anything else is a senseless waste of human life.
    Erich Vad. From 2006 to 2013 Chancellor Angela Merkel's military policy advisor
  • Ukraine Crisis
    As historian Geoffrey Roberts has argued, President "Putin went to war to prevent Ukraine from becoming an ever-stronger and threatening NATO bridgehead on Russia’s borders.” The war was not the Ukrainians’ first choice either. When Zelensky, whom Ukrainians elected as a "peace candidate," flirted with the idea of reconciliation with Russia in 2019, Ukraine’s notorious far-right supported by the West, torpedoed it.

    Even in April 2022, after a month of hostilities, Russia and Ukraine tentatively agreed to end the war. But that decision was undermined by former British Prime Minister Boris Johnson. His Ukraine visit was designed to stop the talks, which were not acceptable to the US and some of its allies. Today, in Pentagon, Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin sees the escalation as "a window of opportunity here, between now and the spring."

    Only a year ago, Ukraine, under Zelensky’s leadership, was still positioned to embrace neutrality, opt out from military alignments and serve as a bridge between Eastern and Western Europe, due to its position in China’s Bridge and Belt Initiative. Had that future prevailed, Ukraine might today be peaceful. Its GDP would be a third bigger. Young men would alive and well and have good jobs. Ukrainian refugees would be returning for new opportunities at home. Children wouldn’t suffer from traumatic nightmares.

    Today, all those dreams are in ashes. The proxy war is aimed against Russia. The Ukrainians’ role is to die in it. The puppet masters are the primary beneficiaries.
    https://worldfinancialreview.com/the-unwarranted-ukraine-proxy-war-a-year-later/
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Not only do these global military contractors arm Ukraine, but they stand to benefit from the re-militarization of Western Europe, Japan, and the new NATO members.

    ... President Volodymyr Zelensky delivered an emotional wartime appeal to a joint meeting of US Congress pleading for more military assistance from the lawmakers, who were about to approve $45 billion in additional aid. It was necessary for "eventual victory."

    Yet, there was a huge disconnect between the triumphant declaration and the realities. Earlier in the month, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen had acknowledged Ukraine’s losses in the war amounted to 100,000 soldiers and 20,000 civilians, though her tweet was quickly deleted and a new one was released without the true death count.

    ... even as international media was touting the mirage of Ukraine’s military triumph, the country’s real GDP declined over 35 percent on an annual basis in the third quarter of 2022; that is, before Russia’s massive infrastructure attack.

    Starting on October 10, Russia’s waves of missile and drone attacks opened a new phase of the war. The direct physical damage to infrastructure soared to $127 billion already in September; that’s over 60 percent of Ukraine’s pre-war GDP. The impact on the productive capacity of key sectors, due to damage or occupation, is substantial and long-lasting.

    The population share with income below the national poverty line in Ukraine may more than triple reaching nearly 60 percent in 2022. Poverty will increase from 5.5 percent in 2021 to 25 percent in 2022, with major downside risks if the war and energy security situations worsen. As casualties continue to mount, over a third of the population has been displaced and over half of all Ukrainian children have been forced to leave their homes. The nine months of war have caused massive population displacement. As of October 2022, the number of Ukrainian refugees recorded in Europe was over 7.8 million, and the number of internally displaced people was 6.5 million.

    Ukraine is "absolutely a weapons lab in every sense because none of this equipment has ever actually been used in a war between two industrially developed nations," said one source familiar with Western intelligence to CNN. "This is real-world battle testing."
    https://original.antiwar.com/dan_steinbock/2023/02/14/us-big-defense-the-only-winner-of-the-ukraine-proxy-war/
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Many Western politicians seem to be prioritizing signalling their political virtue in fighting what is seen as tyranny and promoting Western liberal democracy over realistic assessments of the costs and benefits of their actions.

    ... if we continue to ignore the idea that other state actors might have legitimate concerns — that are backed up by significant military power — we risk careering toward a global conflict that can only end badly.

    ... No matter how hard some might wish, Russia’s war in Ukraine is unlikely to lead to any sort of crushing Russian defeat on the battlefield, and sooner or later negotiations will have to take place. If future negotiations are to be meaningful, both sides will have to give ground and make some attempt to see something of the other side’s point of view.
    https://responsiblestatecraft.org/2023/02/14/we-dont-have-to-engage-in-hysterical-crusades-against-russia-and-china/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=we-dont-have-to-engage-in-hysterical-crusades-against-russia-and-china
  • Ukraine Crisis
    The intent to take territories from Ukraine and to dominate Ukraine is obvious there to see.ssu

    As I said before, if the limit if your tolerance for alternative perspectives stops at what 'seems obvious to you' then I think that explains a lot.

    I've been through this already. The recent catastrophic erosion of our ability to deal with disagreement is exemplified in your posts.

    The fact that you're unyielding even with it directly brought to your attention is a new low, but not entirely unexpected.
  • Ukraine Crisis


    The original claim...

    Russia wanted...ssu

    No one is denying what Russia did. So you can stop wasting everyone's time pretending that was the claim.
  • Who Perceives What?
    I must take exception to the "just". The tree remains a tree, and even if it is a construct of our neural nets and shared grammar it is more than a mere "theory".Banno

    My clumsy wording there.

    Its important to recognize that this is not an ontological theory, its not claiming that there are really things called external states (or worse, that thereby trees and cars are not really real). It's a theory about process. It's answering the question of how we come to detect the world around us. What the method is - and how that method affects the end result - behaviour.

    'External states' in this theory are data points, so nothing with any material existence. It's simply saying that if we conceive of a 'tree' as a series of points of data, how is it we come to perceive the tree from those data points. That's why I referred to external states as 'theoretical', because they're not yet accepted as part of our external world in the same way trees are. A bit like atomic theory before it was confirmed.

    So yes, the tree is real. Has to be, or else nothing is. But we don't yet have a full picture of how it is we come to know there's a tree there, and that's what this model of perception is describing.

    The slightly anti-realist angle to the theory (which some take much further than I do), is that if the model is correct and this is, indeed, how we know of the external 'tree', then we have to accept a good deal less consistency than we perhaps naively expected there to be. That if the model is correct, then our expectations (cultural and personal) play a larger part than we previously thought in what we do (speech, interaction, conception) with the signals we're getting from outside of ourselves.

    For me, when modelling, there's no 'tree'. I don't even have a step in the process where there's a thing I could call a tree. It's just about signals and responses. One of those responses might be to form the word 'tree', or to act in such a way I'd personally recognise as responding to a tree, but in the model, there's no tree. It's just data>>response.

    That's why I'm so enamoured of the anomalous monism idea you introduced me to. I think it really helps to make sense of the work I do (used to do), insofar as I don't need to ever find 'the tree' in the neurological process. It's not there. It's in our day-to-day world.
  • Who Perceives What?
    Perception is either mediated by the perceiver, and thus direct, or it is mediated by something else, thus indirect.NOS4A2

    You've still not described what your 'direct' perception would look like. Looking at a tree, the light from it might be mediated by the atmospheric conditions, other light sources, partially blocking objects... is that now an 'indirect' observation? Because if so, then most observations are (being as we live in a crowded world). You seem to be wanting to ask simply "Does anything get in the way of light?" and make a philosophical question out of it.

    When I see a photo of a tree, I indirectly perceive the tree, but directly perceive the photo, for example.NOS4A2

    Again, if that's your definition of 'indirect' then I cannot for the life of me think why you're asking the question. You're asking if we're really looking at trees or at photos of them? You're asking if the world is a hologram of some other 'real' world?

    If you're asking "is there something like a photo in the process of perception?", then yes. We could possibly say any of the stages in visual processing were 'like a photo' depending on how alike you'd need them to be to qualify. Just as the photons from the actual tree form a pattern on the photographic paper, the photons in perception form a pattern of excitement in the ganglia of the retina which the visual cortex then 'reads'. But then you've dismissed anything happening inside the body as not the object of your questions.

    If you're saying "is there something like the photo, but outside of the human body?" then obviously not. It's a daft question, you can see that for yourself.

    You seem to trying to make something out of nothing in the fact that the process of perception is stepwise, and then ignore the only interesting part of that discovery - which is the extent to which our expectations bias how we perceive.
  • Who Perceives What?
    Do you believe that from this position there is a 'reality as it is in itself' or do you consider such a term incoherent - 'reality' being a constructivist process, dependent on a point of view for its meaning?Tom Storm

    The latter. I think what we call 'reality', or 'the world' is the construction. The external states are just a theorised cause of that reality, a model of how it might have come about.

    I think it's a kind of category error to call the theorised external states 'reality'. After all, they themselves can, by this very theory, only be a prediction.
  • Who Perceives What?
    Anything internal is me, though. What else mediates it?NOS4A2

    Depends what you mean by 'mediate'. Again, if you don't want to make a distinction between conscious mediation and subconscious mediation then the distinction between direct realism and indirect realism will be irrelevant. The distinction is very much about such a distinction.
  • Who Perceives What?
    In my mind the “internal stages” are a part of the perceiver and thus mediated by him.NOS4A2

    Well, that's just wrong. If I hit your knee your lower leg will rise. The process is entirely internal. You don't 'mediate' it in any way whatsoever. It's happening in an exactly predictable and consistent manner no matter what you think of it.
  • Who Perceives What?
    The latter would be idealism, wouldn't it?Tom Storm

    I think so. Not my wheelhouse.

    It seems that the issue is where do we draw the line between indirect and the idea that 'materialism' is an illusion created by perception?Tom Storm

    Yes, that's right. I subscribe to a version of perception which is a kind of collaborative process of continual interaction between a system and the data points which lie outside that system. In one direction, the system tries to predict the external causes of its boundary states, in the other it tries to act upon those states to make them more closely match those predictions.

    Such a model is predicated on there being actual external states, but not on them being of any fixed form.
  • Who Perceives What?
    Yeah I assumed sense-data, ideas, representations, or whatever else is posited as a perceptual intermediary exists within the perceiver for the simple reason they cannot be found anywhere else.NOS4A2

    Well there is your stepwise route. Perception is not a direct process. Whatever data is gathered from the external system is passed through several internal stages at each of which data other than from the (current) external state is allowed to modify the prediction of the external state used in, for example, speech about it, or interaction with it.

    The process is not direct.