Article: In Defense of Progress The relationship among "progress", "economic growth", and "increased consumption" needs to be clarified. If growth means more material consumption (more coal, more steel, more plastic, more tchotchkes and rubbish, then no. If "economic growth" means more services provided socially and more efficiently, then yes. More cars, no. More railcars, yes. More 1 use throwaways, no. More multiple use and recycling, yes. More built-to-last, yes, built for 25 years then landfill, no.
Extreme global warming may render the whole discussion irrelevant. But assuming we can and actually do reduce CO2, methane, and other greenhouse gases to the point where worst-case scenarios don't kick in, there remains the problem of population growth. 12 billion people isn't going to work very well either, and this isn't just a Third World problem. 500,000,000 Americans are too many as well.
Shrinking population without the aid of horrendous epidemics, mass starvation, or nuclear war is really quite difficult to plan. Most population control schemes tend to lead to mushroom shaped age distributions which are quite problematic: Too many old people and way too few young people. Forced birth and death schemes (1 child policy for young people, suicide at 75 for old people) are not generally well received. Now, it may be that epidemics and mass starvation will save us the trouble of having to manage birth and death so that we get a sustainable population. But Mother Nature's approaches are not very pleasant either. And Mother Nature may opt to kill you! and me! rather than our stupid, avaricious, wasteful, bourgeois neighbors.
If by "progress" we mean an upward leveling off, so that everyone lives like upper-middle class people (meaning, professional/technical education, family incomes in the +/- $200,000 range, spacious home, cabin on the lake, 2 luxury cars, world travel, frequent fine restaurant meals, excellent sport and recreational equipment, and so on), then NO.
If by "progress" we mean an upward leveling off where cultural goods (esp. an over-all high literacy rate, solid education in technical, liberal arts, or professional trades, excellent enriched child care, etc.) and opportunities to use one's skills and intelligence for the common good are plentiful (rather than material accumulation--a la entrepreneurial culture), without the expectation of high levels of material consumption, then YES.
I'm not suggesting that highly literate, educated people should contribute to the over-all well being of society but then live in a box under a bridge (albeit with a high speed broadband connection and a tablet computer). Rather, I'm suggesting that the quality of cultural participation level up and the quantity of material consumption level down.
For poor countries, there has to be a leveling up of basic goods: housing, health care, education, communication. For rich countries, there has to be a leveling down of material consumption.
"Socialism" and "Planning" go together like sunshine and orange juice, but successful planning is very difficult.