Are Consequentialism and Deontology a Spectrum? Well, I think I may have some unusual views here that are reflected in how I think about this. This is my unusual view: I don't differentiate between actions and situations, between objects and states of affairs, between things that "are" and things that "happen." Because really, what is an event if not a four-dimensional object? You can specify a point on a sphere using three coordinates, and you can specify a point on the event, "The sphere sits on a plane for a thousand years" using four coordinates. I don't think that adding another coordinate creates a qualitative difference.
This isn't just a wacky ad hoc means of getting around you, by the way. I am, in fact, very grateful for your objection, because it made me realize why people looked at me funny - they don't share my weird views about time.
One minor point: I don't think that I was framing this as short term consequences vs. long term consequences. If a deontologist could guarantee that some good thing would be done in ten years,
without doing anything wrong right now, they would, if they were rational and consistent, do so. What the deontologist would
not do is cause some kind of harm, justifying it as paying dividends down the line. Not short vs. long term consequences, but willingness to trade bad for good.