Paley, Hume, and the teleological argument The Fine-Tuning arguments are based on the prime principle of confirmation which favours the hypothesis under which the observation has the highest probability. However, Michael Huemer provides "the doomsday argument" where he provides two alternative hypothesis
(1)
hypothesis 1: the human species will not last long into the future
(2)
hypothesis 2: the human species will last long into the future
(3)
evidence: you find yourself living in this primitive time with a relatively small population
(4)
prime principle states: if some evidence is not improbable on
hypothesis 1 but very improbable on
hypothesis 2, then the evidence provides strong proof for hypothesis 1
(5) we observe
strong evidence that the human species will not last long into the future. (1,2,3,4, HS)
Because Michael Huemer believes that we should view our existence surprisingly in the current time as a primitive time because humans will evolve into a more advanced future with the high population. But we believe that we live in advanced time with a high population compared to what was before, so according to Huemer the human species will not last long into the future.
Thus, Huemer provides the argument against the prime principle of confirmation, so this is the argument against that we should consider that someone aimed the dart because it seems to the most probable outcome.