Thank you for responding.
Flamboyance can be attempted by academics to their fellows, but assuming it's in a relatively formal setting it's not likely to function as a way of passing off nonsense. — MindForged
By "flamboyance", I was not meaning anything outrageous. I meant very simply common wording, as well as general organization of ideas. A theory with little evidence that is organized and worded in a pleasing manner may very well get more attention than a theory with better evidence but poor organization. A theory that sparks the imagination, makes people really wonder, can be completely false yet nevertheless garner significant support. There are many aspects of the presentation that subtly influence how you view the theory: is it a man, or a woman who is speaking? What ethnicity are they? That metaphor used three paragraphs back was quite astute: but what about the theory as a whole? Sometimes it seems like these things are peppered around, like icing on the cake, to make the theory look more appetizing than it would without.
Consider: the two sentences mean the same thing:
"In 1492 Columbus sailed across the Atlantic Ocean."
"In the year 1492, Columbus braved the vast, blue expanse: the Atlantic Ocean."
Both mean the same thing, but the second one is more vibrant, alive, poetic.
Similarly, we can say the following:
"Bed bugs reproduce via traumatic insemination."
or
"Male bed bugs pin a female bed bug down and forcibly jab a sharp syringe into the female's abdomen in order to reproduce."
Once again, they mean the same thing, but the presentation is different. The first one is seen as preferable because the second one harbors uncomfortable notions of rape. Supposedly, the natural world is amoral and so the further away we keep scientific inquiry from morality, the better (or so it goes).
I think you're confusing accepting a theory because it's most rational theory with the unilateral assertion of its truth. Much of the time when pressed, it's the former that's being communicated. The latter is generally reserved for very well evidenced theories. — MindForged
Right. But "most rational" theory may still be give too much credence to the theory. This can happen, I think, in historical fields (but also any field, conceivably). The evidence for things can be sparse. As a kid growing up I loved history (and still do). As I started to read more academic literature, I started to realize just how tentative historical theories can be. Often theories are taken as true because they cohere well to other theories, and ultimately cohere with a naturalistic picture of the world. But the evidence going for it is still not very strong. One almost thinks that sometimes researchers are motivated to create a theory in order to fill the gap of its absence. It doesn't matter how poorly supported it actually is - as long as it's the "most rational" theory (i.e. the best-of-the-worst).
Theorists are doing the best they can, though. We've come a long way even in the past 200 years or so, the standards are much higher and rigorous than before. Which is good.
Whereas the possibility you're representing is both unevidenced and extremely unlikely. Reality could be all sorts of ways, but what you're basically saying is this. "Oh yeah, those beliefs are useful and allow you to,.by believing them, correctly predict and plan for reality to be such and such a way. However, in fact it just seems like it." You might as well have said "No" for all you gave us to chew on for that view. If Newtonian dynamics tells me some object will move in some way in certain conditions, and it does under continued testing, it's just useful. It's (the theory) is either true or near enough that anything else is probably irrelevant to most tasks. — MindForged
In
Outlines of Skepticism, Sextus Empiricus describes the skeptical attitude as one of an ongoing inquiry. It is, in contemporary terms, agnosticism about anything but impressions. Neither dogmatic statement for or against a proposition is taken to be true, because there exists always the possibility that a proposition in the future will contradict the accepted belief. For Sextus, then, belief is akin to a disease of sorts - the less beliefs you have, the better off you are. The more you can navigate the world based on impressions alone, the better.
This skepticism (and other forms of global skepticism) are not popular because they get in the way of "progress" and the achievement of projects. To my eyes, pragmatism never was and never will be an ideal solution to this epistemic dilemma. If we could get around skepticism Descartes-style, we would, but we can't. And we're too impatient and affirmative to be skeptical. This is not an argument against skepticism though. It just goes to show how little the real world actually matters, I think.
To this day I do not think ideas like solipsism, relativism, or even "nihilism" have ever been "refuted". Most theorists have moved on - literally. They have "better things to do", since they assume to be true that which skepticism puts into doubt. Similar to how gung-ho moralists are so often vehemently against "relativism" to the point of using it as a derogatory term. Why are they like this? Because relativism threatens the moral project. Under relativism, they can't argue for absolute moral truths. Why do religious fundamentalists hate atheists? Because atheism threatens the central pillar of Judeo-Christian-Islamic religious belief. As such theory in general is threatened by skepticism. Yet skepticism is ignored, treated as "childish". Why?