Ukraine Crisis On Tuesday, a slew of videos posted on social media provided clues to what happened at the Saky naval aviation base on Crimea's southern coast. Witnesses began filming the events after what is believed to have been an initial explosion. A long column of black smoke rises diagonally into the azure blue sky as two huge near-simultaneous explosions occur at least one hundred meters apart. Two fireballs rise rapidly in a typical mushroom shape. This quasi-concomitance evokes the strikes of missiles fired in salvo.
However, the Saky base is about 210 km from the nearest area under Ukrainian control. Very few weapons in the Ukrainian arsenal allow strikes so far and above all so precise. The Ukrainian Neptune anti-ship missile can cover the distance and reach a land target, but kyiv has only a very small number of them, intended in principle to protect the coasts in the Odessa region from a landing. Furthermore, it is a subsonic missile, therefore vulnerable to Russian surface-to-air defenses.
What is obvious is the extent of the material damage. Many civilian buildings were badly damaged and dozens of cars parked several hundred meters from the airfield were burnt out. A brief video, filmed inside the airfield, shows an almost unrecognizable Su-24 fighter jet with its wings missing. In a satellite image taken a few hours before the explosions, thirty-seven fighter planes and six helicopters were visible on the tarmac.
Other videos broadcast from the beach, a few kilometers away, show holidaymakers flabbergasted by the violence of the explosions and hastily leaving the premises.
The incident would have caused the departure of very many summer visitors, until a long traffic jam was formed at the level of the Crimean bridge, in the direction of returns to Russia.
" It's only a beginning "
The Russian authorities immediately sought to minimize the scope of the event, speaking of "spontaneous detonation of ammunition" , and dismissing the hypothesis of a successful Ukrainian attack. “No trace of a Ukrainian missile has been found ,” repeat the officials. The death toll from the explosions was one dead and fifteen injured, according to the local health ministry. "It is reminiscent of the sinking of the cruiser Moskva , " said Russian political scientist Andrei Kolesnikov.Ukraine should by no means be shown as effective in the Russian narrative. Only the Russian military is capable of carrying out surgical strikes. Russian tourists must continue to believe that Crimea is untouchable and that Russian soldiers are infallible. The Moskva , flagship of the Russian Black Sea Fleet, sank on April 14 after being hit by two Ukrainian Neptune missiles, but Moscow has always maintained its version that an accidental fire was the cause of the sinking.
(Le Monde)