My view is simply that the Russian invasion of Ukraine is unjustifiable, unwarranted and fundamentally criminal. It has resulted in thousands of deaths already, massive destruction of cities and homes, and the displacement of millions of people. That is not 'western propaganda' ... — Wayfarer
I agree. I'd guess that Street and Benkei pretty much agree too (though they may have something to say about "criminal"), but their focus and priorities are different.
nor is the war a consequence of western foreign policy meddling - it came about solely because of Putin's resentment at the demise of the USSR and his vain attempts to restore elements of it into a greater Russia. — Wayfarer
The idea that the war happened "
solely because of Putin's resentment" is unconvincing and I won't address it. What I'd like to look at is the oft-repeated idea that Putin mourns the end of the USSR. My point in a nutshell is that he probably mourns the loss of his country's power, but that he neither aims to recreate the USSR nor has any commitment to communism or socialism.
It mostly stems from this quotation: "Above all, we should acknowledge that the collapse of the Soviet Union was the major geopolitical disaster of the century."
How many of those who make conclusions based on this snippet have read the whole speech or know when this speech was made? Very few, probably, even on this forum.
I think it's worth looking at the speech to put the quotation in context.
The full speech, made in 2005, is in English on the Kremlin website:
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/transcripts/22931
I consider the development of Russia as a free and democratic state to be our main political and ideological goal. We use these words fairly frequently, but rarely care to reveal how the deeper meaning of such values as freedom and democracy, justice and legality is translated into life.
[...]
Above all, we should acknowledge that the collapse of the Soviet Union was a major geopolitical disaster of the century. As for the Russian nation, it became a genuine drama. Tens of millions of our co-citizens and compatriots found themselves outside Russian territory. Moreover, the epidemic of disintegration infected Russia itself.
Individual savings were depreciated, and old ideals destroyed. Many institutions were disbanded or reformed carelessly. Terrorist intervention and the Khasavyurt capitulation that followed damaged the country's integrity. Oligarchic groups – possessing absolute control over information channels – served exclusively their own corporate interests. Mass poverty began to be seen as the norm. And all this was happening against the backdrop of a dramatic economic downturn, unstable finances, and the paralysis of the social sphere.
[...]
In those difficult years, the people of Russia had to both uphold their state sovereignty and make an unerring choice in selecting a new vector of development in the thousand years of their history. They had to accomplish the most difficult task: how to safeguard their own values, not to squander undeniable achievements, and confirm the viability of Russian democracy. We had to find our own path in order to build a democratic, free and just society and state.
When speaking of justice, I am not of course referring to the notorious "take away and divide by all" formula, but extensive and equal opportunities for everybody to develop. Success for everyone. A better life for all.
In the ultimate analysis, by affirming these principles, we should become a free society of free people. But in this context it would be appropriate to remember how Russian society formed an aspiration for freedom and justice, how this aspiration matured in the public mind.
Above all else Russia was, is and will, of course, be a major European power. Achieved through much suffering by European culture, the ideals of freedom, human rights, justice and democracy have for many centuries been our society's determining values. — Putin
NOTE: This is the Kremlin's official English translation and it has "the collapse of the Soviet Union was
a major geopolitical disaster of the century", whereas most English renderings I've seen have "
the major geopolitical disaster". Since Russian has no articles (no
the or
a) I don't know how the different senses in English are conveyed in Russian. My feeling is that the better translation is "the", because "the collapse of the Soviet Union was
a major geopolitical disaster of the century" is subtly not conventional English. We might say, "the collapse of the Soviet Union was
one of the major geopolitical disasters of the century", but that's not what he said.
From the same speech:
In my opinion a third important task is to pursue vigorous policy in promoting liberalization in private enterprise.
[...]
Stability of the right to private property is the alpha and omega of any business. The rules to which the state adheres in this sphere should be clear to everyone, and, importantly, these rules should be stable. This enables people developing their business to plan normally both this business and their own lives. This allows citizens to feel comfortable and conclude, without any apprehensions, contracts on such vital issues as the acquisition of housing or its privatization, which has already been almost completed in our country. In general, this encourages people to buy property and expand production.
[...]
And finally, one more crucial problem: Russia is extremely interested in a major inflow of private, including foreign, investment. This is our strategic choice and strategic approach.
[...]
I also wanted to raise another, very specific, issue here today, namely, what must be done to ensure that national television fully takes into account Russian civil society’s most relevant needs and protects its interests. We need to establish guarantees that will ensure that state television and radio broadcasting are as objective as possible, free from the influence of any particular groups, and that they reflect the whole spectrum of public and political forces in the country.
The speech is interesting in many ways. What's most striking is how his views have changed, and how absurd it is now to see his celebration of democracy, press freedom, and so on. It's also important to see how focused the speech is on Russia alone, not some possible union of formerly Soviet nationalities, which are barely mentioned, and never mentioned by name. And there is no accompanying claim of hegemony or pre-eminence over the Soviet republics, which, taken at face value, indicates that his regret about how the USSR fell apart is not at the same time a desire for its recreation.
To a Russian audience, the quoted line is simply an acknowledgement that the USSR fell apart chaotically and did a lot of damage to Russia. Gorbachev, a committed Leninist, is very unpopular in Russia for this reason.
But the central point I want to make is that if one takes the "geopolitical disaster" quote to mean that Putin was expressing a desire to return to the Soviet Union in a speech that sets out a plan for the consolidation of Russian capitalism and liberal democracy, one is taking it out of context and thus distorting its meaning, to put it mildly.
If one thinks he was serious about liberal democracy and capitalism, the "geopolitical disaster" quote couldn't have expressed a desire to bring back the USSR, but if one thinks he was lying, just telling people what they wanted to hear or justifying the enrichment and power of the elite, why then would one take seriously the bit about the "geopolitical disaster"?
I happen to think it was a bit of both, but mostly the former.
When the Soviet Union was dissolved, most of us didn't even have the feeling that the country was falling apart. We thought we would continue with our lives as in the past, but as good neighbors. Of course, we also believed that the West loved us and would help us, and that we'd be living like the Europeans in ten years. But everything turned out to be more complicated — Vladislav Surkov, former personal advisor to Vladimir Putin, in 2005
https://www.academia.edu/26869581/A_matter_of_honor_Russias_reaction_to_Western_sanctions
On the other hand, those who say that Putin wants to rebuild the USSR might mean only that he wants to re-create an empire, not that he's any kind of communist. But even this is doubtful, and pretty much dismissed as an impossibility by all sides within Russia, even the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, I think. A sphere of influence is not the same thing as an empire.
There is more to say, so it's just possible that I'll follow up this post with a part 2, but I probably won't.