?Yeah, no, this is just straight racism. No thanks. — StreetlightX
I think that there's actually many countries that want to keep a distance to the US. Like China and also India. Remember the BRIC countries? Yet Brazil, India or China haven't attacked for some time their neighbors.The 'basic problem' is that Russia is attempting not to be nothing but another vassal-state to a US governed world economic order, and this is a big no-no and cannot be tolerated. — StreetlightX
It hasn't popped out of nowhere., but to think that Russian nationalism is a problem that popped out of nowhere rather than a response to global conditions set almost entirely by the West is a farce. — StreetlightX
..from strategic nuclear weapons.The general public does not differentiate between 'tactical' nuclear weapons or 'low yield' nuclear weapons. — FreeEmotion
North Korea would be more respectable than Russia then. Just changing persons likely isn't enough.President Putin did put in a successor before - Medvedev, so it need not involve high drama. It would be a good tactical move. "Putin did it - he is now powerless, deal with me" — FreeEmotion
I'm not so sure about that. Likely the West would put sanctions on those countries that carry on as if nothing had happened. The big issue is what China would do. So you can end up with basically a divided World and the end of globalization.Every nation will condemn it and then turn around and continue to do business with Russia except for the West. — Benkei
Conscription happens normally every year in Russia. With martial law you can call the reserves, those that have already done their conscription service. So basically your pool for potential soldiers jumps to the millions.Maybe but not sure what the advantage would be. Allowing conscription? — Olivier5
I think the sinking of the Moskva and the alleged attacks on Russian towns can result that Putin finally admits this is a war. And he can declare a martial law.The fact that Russian propaganda is feeding this narrative and blowing it out of any sensible proportion is precisely the reason we are talking about it right now. Otherwise, what relevance is there to the idea that Bush once made promises he couldn't keep? It's long been water under the bridge. — Olivier5
If Russia uses one tactical nuclear weapon, that actually isn't an existential threat. Then an Ukrainian unit or part of a city is destroyed. If it would be tens or hundreds of tactical nukes, that would be different, and then even the Russians would be nervous about the radiation effects. The Ukrainian army is so large and dispersed in a large country that one nuke doesn't matter so much. It's impact is far more political and psychological as then the Pandora's box has been opened. Never underestimate what kind of issue the media would make of it.What are their alternatives? — frank
More interesting question is what the Ukrainians will do.What do you think the US will do if Putin uses nukes? — frank
And what do you see as the benefit of questioning that 'delusion'? — Isaac
Because it really questions this delusional idea that war could have been avoided ...if only NATO wouldn't have enlarged itself.Why? Give me an example of the use 'remembering' these facts can be put to. — Isaac

That Russia has these imperial aspirations to dominate other former Soviet states is obvious. NATO has nothing to do with it.This seems more like a poorly thought out plan to reestablish Russian dominance in these satalites, not to deal with NATO. — Count Timothy von Icarus
Worth remembering that Ukraine was indeed led to believe that Russia would respect Ukrainian independence and sovereignty in the existing borders it had.Worth remembering that Russia was indeed led to believe that NATO wouldn't advance beyond 1990 borders.
Doesn't excuse Putin's war crimes. But if we're serious, we have to look at relevant antecedents. — Xtrix
The propaganda push will basically be naturally to the Russians themselves. But yes, there's also a crowd in the West that is willing to such lies as truth.Some experts are already pointing out that we are being compared to a Hitler alliance in Russian media. It's laughable really. — Christoffer
I can ascribe to incompetence or that leaders have these utopian visions of grandeur that can sometimes backfire. Or simply failed regional policy of making malinvestments.Don't ascribe to conspiracy what can adequately be explained by incompetence. — Banno
It is absurd.The more I learn, the more absurd that seems. — frank
I think he (Putin) will portray this as he has been correct all along. See how treacherous Finland and Sweden have been? The West is out to get fortress Russia all along! That's the official line in Moscow. Old puny enemies are gathering up. So likely we will be portrayed as nazis too who discriminate ethnic Russians and are the worst scum on Earth. It's totally in a different reality. Of course the Western media isn't where it was in 2014, so that the good thing here.All while if we join Nato, the pressure from the north will make Putin sweat even more while they default on payments and crash the economy even more. — Christoffer
Now here is the ACTUAL mistake that NATO did.And now I don't understand why Ukraine didn't join earlier. — frank
Yet the people aren't actually as materialist as they even think they are. Put them into a tight spot and actually those old values that everybody thought nobody cared are important.It's now a fully materialist world, in which one measures quality of life only by the amount of stuff folks can accumulate. — Olivier5
Yes. Basically we have simply lied to ourselves that we can have NATO membership as an option and also have good ties to Russia. Well, Putin doesn't care about having good relations.Yes, there's that too, I guess: an opportunity to seize now -- when the Russians cannot do much about it, busy as they are elsewhere, can't even argue credibly against Finland's need for protection, and when the Finnish people support it -- or perhaps never. — Olivier5
Bravo. :100: :cheer:Such self-flagellation by affluent yet guilt-ridden westerners would be entertaining and even occasionally rightful, if it wasn't also worrying in terms of collective security. — Olivier5
Likely they will ask to join.I remember that earlier discussion. For Finland and Sweden, the benefit of joining NATO is deterrence. So will they join now? — frank
When the Russian army is getting is ass kicked in Ukraine and has massed it's troops there, what better time to join NATO?As I said, ssu would be in a better position to answer this question. I would guess they are now more scared of a possible invasion than they were before the war in Ukraine. — Olivier5
Could you rephrase this, I'm not following. — Manuel
I asked for a source. It's not rocket science. You find the article from which you got that assessment and you paste the web address (or paste the quote). — Isaac
I would put it in a different way:All I'm saying, is something that I think should not be controversial: no big power would want a hostile military nation on its border. — Manuel
California to Oregon used to be Mexican, besides Texas. Of course much of California was like the Baja California then and not many people besides native Americans lived their.They're not Mexican, either. Lol — Changeling
If the US states that they are artificial countries, they belong to the US and wouldWhat?
Oh, then let Russia put a base in Mexico in Canada, no problem. — Manuel
Tightlipped? If I remember correctly (I may remember incorrectly), you are the one making accusations of me keeping here a blog and putting links and that I should go and see a therapist. :roll:'Seems' to whom? I've pressed frank, @ssu and @Count Timothy von Icarus for some expert opinion on which they're basing their assessment, but all are being suspiciously tight-lipped. — Isaac
It's likely true.Word is that many of the FSB officers from the 5th Division, the office responsible for Ukraine intelligence, have been fired and may be facing prosecution. If true, this would likely be the biggest purge in the security services since Stalin. The head of the office has been charged with embezzlement and premeditated disinformation. On some level this is encouraging: at least this shows that Putin is aware that he was massively misinformed before the invasion. — SophistiCat
Russia may dip into the vast reserves of those that have served their military service. But that would take a month to bring them up to speed. And popularity of the war might dramatically change with that. Not publicly, but through hearsay and kitchen talk, as usually it is in a totalitarian system.I haven't heard about such things in Russia proper though. — SophistiCat
If the bombings of civilians and the killings have forced people to became refugees, then the strategy has worked for Putin.It's hard to imagine that the atrocities that the Russians are already committing could be made worse, but I fear that chemical weapons could take them to a new level. — SophistiCat
And if the Syrian example tells us something, it is that many will believe the arguments that it's the Ukrainians using the chemical weapons on their citizens. :vomit:As we have seen in Syria, these heavier than air gases are terrifyingly efficient at killing large numbers of civilians sheltering underground in cities. — SophistiCat
Yep. Russian logistical support is confined to railways. This actually had been known earlier.Might want to rethink that. They couldn't support their advances more than 40 miles from their border. — Count Timothy von Icarus
Somehow we have forgotten how extensively during the Cold War both sides supported their allies. In fact the Soviet Union had a long histrory of deploying Soviet manned crews to help their allies. Peculiarly they did always wear civilian clothes.Also, it'd still be a good deal less than what Russia did in Vietnam to counter the US, or what China did in Korea. — Count Timothy von Icarus

The primary assault was done on the assumption that Ukrainians wouldn't fight, that it would be somehow a repeat of 2014. Now that's out of the question. And the total withdrawal from the Kyiv area shows that Putin understands that it didn't work.Their inability to get across the Southern Bug back when they had fresh forces, the heavy casualties and counter attacks they faced there, and the fact that the Neptunes in Odessa make using an amphibious assault likely a suicide mission that will result in an unambiguous mass fatality event. — Count Timothy von Icarus
That low intensity war with Ukraine since 2014 wasn't cheap. And the about 13 000 casualties before this invasion tells that there obviously was a war.They weren't in a costly war for 8 years. — Benkei
I don't think Putin views this war from a cost / benefit stance were costs and benefits would be economic or monetary. Because then it really doesn't make any sense. No, I think he views this conflict like how he talks about it. This is his legacy, this is what is what the position of Russia. And in he can go after any opposition because it is undeclared wartime.In any case, at some point the costs don't outweigh the (potential) benefits any more. I would suspect that if Mariopol falls and control over the Donbass region would be obtained, that that too would count as a victory to him and would have him move to the negotiation table. — Benkei
At least he has had no troubles of doing that partly for 8 years. So why take some more?Putin will have to come to the table at some point, he can't occupy Ukraine and large areas are vehemently opposed to the Russians. — Benkei
Other than calling Putin names, the US hasn't helped Ukraine either except making money off the militarization of Ukrainian society. We do know that when negotiations need to happen, France (and Germany and Italy) are the only countries that haven't disqualified themselves as negotiation partners. — Benkei
French President Emmanuel Macron has moved to extend €300 million ($337 million) of aid and military equipment to Ukraine, according to French daily Le Monde.
According to the report, which came on the second day of Russia's military intervention in Ukraine, France will also freeze Russian officials' assets within the country.
President Emmanuel Macron on Friday announced at the country’s national assembly the delivery of additional €300 million in aid, along with military equipment, to Ukraine and pledged to undertake steps in the NATO framework "to protect the soil of our Baltic and Romanian allies."
In a message sent to lawmakers explaining France’s response to the Ukrainian invasion, Macron said "nothing will be neglected in matters of aid" to Kyiv.
I keep wishing he'd post more about Tbilisi cos I'm thinking of going. — jamalrob
Most important part?The US, Europe and NATO are instrumental parts of what's happening in Ukraine. Not only that, but they're the parts toward which we bear some responsibility. That makes them not only part of what's happening, but the most important part. — Isaac
:up: :100:The exact opposite is happening. We are here to talk about Ukraine and you guys try to make it about your anti-american obsession. — Olivier5
I think that in a thread about the war in Ukraine you should dare to talk about what is happening in Ukraine. Why are you so defensive about talking about Russia and what is has done in Ukraine?Is that not enough? They've been instrumental in causing the war, perpetuating the war, and lying about the war...and you're seriously attempting some faux surprise about what they're doing in a thread about the war? — Isaac
A thread about the war in Ukraine is about the war in Ukraine.As I said, it's futile virtue signalling which draws attention away from the malpractice of those powers which we both can and ought hold to account. — Isaac
