• Ukraine Crisis
    I don't use RUTUBE myself; these folk have some unflattering comments:

    Outrage in Russia after Putin's speech. Just look at these commentsre Valdai 2023 Oct 5
    — MCZ · essanews · Oct 6, 2023

    It's a farce in Russia. They showed maps and everything came to lightre Sep 30 Russia enlargement
    — PAB · essanews · Oct 5, 2023

    A takeaway is the crackdowns.

    Moldova switches supplier, which might have some economic implications:

    Moldova will no longer buy gas from Russia's Gazprom -RIA cites energy minister
    — Louise Heavens · Reuters via Nasdaq · Oct 2, 2023
  • Ukraine Crisis
    If Ukraine's neutral status were threatened in some other way, we might expect the very same behavior from the Kremlin, especially if no meaningful dialogue takes place.Tzeentch

    Regardless of NATO (and the US)

    I never said the Maidan coup was "just a US thing", so I'm not sure what misrepresentation you're talking about.Tzeentch

    A move to democracy against corruption etc

    :up: (un-difficult)
  • Ukraine Crisis
    , it's not difficult to understand. (+ cross-links included, not hard to find)

    What might we then have expected from the Kremlin? (two cases now) ← fairly specific
    What's up with the repeated misrepresentation anyways?

    Not particularly difficult to understand, but could be difficult to respond to, depending... No matter, if you can't or don't want to. :up:
  • Ukraine Crisis
    I didn't really see much response to the inquiries posed, , . Reads like responding to something else. :/

    As to the former, now suppose that Ukraine had entered a defense agreement with, say, France, the UK, Luxembourg, Australia, South Korea, Japan, whoever, so that Ukraine had a multinational force (+ gear) present, and those countries had Ukrainian forces present. What might we then have expected from the Kremlin? (Say, anything significantly different from what we're seeing today?)

    As to the latter ...
    A "coup"? :chin:Oct 6, 2023
    Repeatedly calling 2014 just a US thing, ignoring the Ukrainians — like the Putinistas — is repeated misrepresentation.Oct 6, 2023
  • Ukraine Crisis


    The protests were sparked by President Viktor Yanukovych's sudden decision not to sign the European Union–Ukraine Association Agreement, instead choosing closer ties to Russia and the Eurasian Economic Union. Ukraine's parliament had overwhelmingly approved of finalizing the Agreement with the EU, but Russia had put pressure on Ukraine to reject it. The scope of the protests widened, with calls for the resignation of Yanukovych and the Azarov government. Protesters opposed what they saw as widespread government corruption, abuse of power, human rights violations, and the influence of oligarchs. Transparency International named Yanukovych as the top example of corruption in the world. The violent dispersal of protesters on 30 November caused further anger. Euromaidan led to the 2014 Revolution of Dignity.Euromaidan

    By the way, that's not the "US–Ukraine Association Agreement", but the EU–Ukraine Association Agreement.

    A "coup"? :chin: If so, then it's the right kind for good reasons, unlike various forceful army takeovers just by would-be dictators with guns, or this, or Jan 6 for that matter. They're now actively seeking to fulfill requirements for EU membership despite being in the middle of a war.

    Indeed, notice that "the amount of money that was spent" wasn't a secret or anything, good point. The Ukrainians (and the UN) said "No" to the Kremlin (repeatedly), which invaded + grabbed land, accused Ukraine of being ruled by a Nazi regime, what-have-you. The Kremlin sort of moves toward a Cold War II, except now having learned from 1991.

    There have been quality elections in Ukraine since 2014, and they might have been hard to digest for the Kremlin.Oct 5, 2023

    But there's nothing new in the above. Repeatedly calling 2014 just a US thing, ignoring the Ukrainians — like the Putinistas — is repeated misrepresentation.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Meeting of the Valdai Discussion Club · Oct 5, 2023

    Notice the old alternate world type stuff again?

    We have to respond to the constantly growing military-political pressure. I have said more than once that we did not start the so-called “war in Ukraine.” On the contrary, we are trying to finish it. It was not we who organized the coup d’etat in Kyiv in 2014 – a coup d’etat, bloody, unconstitutional. Wherever it happens, we always immediately hear all the world media [mass media], subordinate, first of all, of course, to the Anglo-Saxon world: this is impossible, it is impossible, it is anti-democratic. But here you can. They even named the money, the amount of money that was spent on this coup. Everything is possible.
    [...]
    The war started by the Kyiv regime with the active, direct support of the West is now in its tenth year, and a special military operation is aimed at stopping it. And it reminds us that unilateral steps, no matter who takes them, will inevitably be met with retaliatory actions. Action, as we know, gives rise to reaction. This is what any responsible state, a sovereign, independent and self-respecting country does.
    [...]
    Look, you started with Ukraine and asked me whether it is fair that we publicly declare that we are striving for the denazification of the Ukrainian political system. But now we were just discussing the situation that developed in the Canadian parliament, when the President of Ukraine stood and applauded the Nazi who killed Jews, Russians and Poles.
    Putin

    Which makes this stuff ironic:

    Unfortunately, we have to admit that our counterparties in the West have lost their sense of reality and have crossed all possible boundaries. In vain.Putin

    Shift the blame, claim they're doing what you're doing. It's like when Lavrov says "The West" is genocide'ing the Ukrainians, yet it's his military bombing the Ukrainians (ongoingly). Old. The Kremlin ordered the invasion of Ukraine and before that we already know that Russian (military) actors were running some things behind the scenes in Donbas. It's an MO seen elsewhere. There have been quality elections in Ukraine since 2014, and they might have been hard to digest for the Kremlin.

    Listen, everyone here is informed, literate people. It’s a good idea, excuse the bad manners, to fool the minds of millions of people who perceive reality from the media.Putin

    Incidentally, a mantra of echo-chamber-maids, yet there are lots of people who check what comes out of freedom-deprived societies, Valdai, and whatever else.

    Reports like this have been trickling in for a long time by now from various sources:

    Ombudsman: Russia to open military camp for youth in occupied Crimea
    — Nate Ostiller · The Kyiv Independent via Yahoo · Oct 4, 2023

    Not particularly peace-bound (except for the kind that comes after strife/killing). Gross. Some say it violates international humanitarian law. Would parents want the trajectory for upcoming generations these systematic efforts set out?

    'They're just meat': Russia deploys punishment battalions in echo of Stalin
    — Polina Nikolskaya, Maria Tsvetkova, Christian Lowe, Pravin Char · Reuters · Oct 3, 2023

    Storm-Z Shtrafbats? Wagner mercs are in it for the money; these folks are apparently addicts, riffraff, mentally challenged, ..., "undesirables".
  • Who owns the land?
    Country borders may be artificial in a sense, like money or whatever conventions.
    Yet, what side of a border you live on can matter.
    North and South Korea comes to mind, also Finland and Russia, and maybe the recent Mexico → US migrant stories.
    Arbitrary or not, there can be stark differences, and they matter to the affected people.

    That being said, in a different sense ...
    We have not merely been given the world from our parents, we are also borrowing it from our children. — some African proverb I think
    Ownership is as fleeting as the lifetime of an owner.

    Owning a piece of land won't matter to the owner once they're gone, if you will.
    How the living treats each other is more pertinent, and country borders can mark a difference, which can be fairly important if one such country declares ownership of another.
    UN resolutions aren't binding I think, however, they can indicate some principled decisions that one can look to.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    There seems to be some confusion about trivialities.
    Sometimes crayons can help with geography, attached. :)

    dx8ex2zlb8mf6eh4.jpg
    Attachment
    map_of_not_russia (205K)
  • Ukraine Crisis
    After the Serb attack on Kosovo police, Stradner wrote:

    Putin is opening up a new front against the West
    — Ivana Stradner · The Telegraph · Sep 30, 2023
    In the face of mounting tensions, Vladimir Putin’s overarching strategic objective is now clear: to dismantle Nato and expose the alliance’s vulnerabilities.
    This plan accomplishes three goals: distract the West from Ukraine, strengthen Moscow’s regional standing, and give Putin leverage over Western powers if they want to keep conflict in the region from escalating.

    We have repeatedly said before that, according to our forecasts, there will be fatigue in this conflict, growing fatigue in various countries from this completely absurd sponsorship of the Kiev regime, including in the United States. This fatigue will lead to a fragmentation of the political leadership and growth of contradictions.Dmitry Peskov · Reuters · Oct 2, 2023

    I'm noticing some familiar rhetoric coming from Aleksandar Vučić. Hopefully the Balkans won't catch fire, wild- or otherwise. Anyway, the divide and conquer strategy seems evident. Works better if home can be glued together by the likes of strong nationalism, or perhaps an empire-mindset. Is Stradner on point?

    Dmitry Medvedev threatens to strike German missile manufacturing plants
    — Roman Petrenko · Ukrainska Pravda · Oct 1, 2023

    I suppose some would say that the Kremlin and whatever has become "legitimate targets". Who would want to, though? For that matter, ordinarily, why would anyone want to invade Russia? What has Russia in the crosshairs is more like democracy, better transparency, less regression, less oppression, whatever it all is. Maybe that's what's to the (current) Kremlin's disliking? A resolute "rebellion" against a more progressive, open, free, non-irredentist, diverse Russian society?

    The war caused the US/German/Turkish/Australian/other military-industrial complex to make a big buck, not vice versa, the US/German/Turkish/Australian/other military-industrial complex didn't cause the war. The Kremlin continues generous bombing throughout (condemned by the UN and the good baker Jones of upper Negombo, Sri Lanka). As far as I know, that military-industrial complex isn't supplying Russia — supply and demand misaligned — but could be wrong. China, Iran, maybe North Korea, on the other hand...

    That being said, one might easily enough argue that weapons manufacturing is morally questionable, unless for defense. If only all manufacturing of weaponry made for homicide could be intentionally ended, then we (humans) would have made significant (moral) progress, but it only takes one. Defense depends existentially on offense, and they say that "the best defense is a good offense".

    Long sad story. Won't cease or decrease by concessions to land-snacking authoritarians, that systematically indoctrinate a country's children for stark nationalism and war. Crapping on those that aren't cowards or stand up against this crap might be getting a bit too close to complicity for comfort. (Note, Kim Jong Un is taking notes.)
  • Ukraine Crisis
    :D Nice photoshop there. Pink, too. Message?
  • Ukraine Crisis
    An embarrassing moment for Trudeau and the Canadian government. Trudeau, Zelensky, and the Ministers of parliament gave a standing ovation to a Ukrainian WW2 veteran in the House of Commons. It turns out he was an actual Nazi, fought for the SS in Ukraine and everything. You can’t make this stuff up.NOS4A2

    Embarrassing!

    Actually, embarrassment is a good word here, because everyone already knows that Canada isn't ruled by a Nazi regime (or fascist or authoritarian). That won't deter certain parties from using the event as diversion, or to sow mistrust or division, though.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Switzerland and Sweden have a tradition of neutrality, or at least had. Moldova has a constitutional neutrality clause, though sort of impaired by Transnistria. The Baltics have their own stories (2023Jul8).

    Similar to what's come up before (2022Mar13, 2022Jul21, 2022Oct8, 2022Nov9), suppose that Ukraine had ... declared neutrality with respect to international military alliance memberships, formally on paper / constitutionally (2022Mar8, 2022Mar9, 2022Mar11); retained right to self-defense, e.g. from invaders (shouldn't be controversial), including foreign training and/or weaponry as the case may be; explicitly stated that others respect sovereignty, self-determination, freedom to seek own path (shouldn't be controversial); actively pursued EU membership, and perhaps sought other such cooperation ... Something along those lines.

    The question is what might we then have expected from the Kremlin. Seems like they covered their bases, but what might have transpired then?
  • Climate change denial
    Would be great:

    US aims to create nuclear fusion facility within 10 years, Energy chief Granholm says
    — Stephanie Liechtenstein, Matthew Daly · AP · Sep 25, 2023
    Our goal is to get the cost of clean hydrogen down to 1 dollar per kilogram within one decade.Jennifer Granholm

    Ambitious.
  • Climate change denial
    Some US government officials want to leave climate to God:

    Congressman Tim Walberg, as per Time · May 31, 2017
    Former president spokeswoman Sarah Sanders, as per Raw Story · Jan 22, 2019

    Climate change denial in the Trump cabinet: where do his nominees stand?
    — Mazin Sidahmed · The Guardian · Dec 15, 2016

    Maybe the US needs better voters.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Vyacheslav Volodin dishes out ultimatum:

    "Ukraine will accept Moscow's conditions or cease to exist." The Kremlin sends threats (google translate)
    — Mikołaj Pietraszewski · Wiadomości Radio ZET · Sep 25, 2023

    I don't think there's much new about this, though.
  • Feature requests
    Tags inside link text terminate the link:

    [url=https://thephilosophyforum.com/]a link with [i]formatted[/i] text like so[/url]
    

    a link with formatted text like so

    Room for improvement. :)
  • "Why I don't believe in God" —Greta Christina
    A nonsequitur is [...]Bob Ross
    ... negation of "follow". (¬(pq))

    However, there are plenty of sophisticated theological arguments (which are formal) for these religions, such as ChristianityBob Ross
    As already mentioned (except, incidentally point 2 above, again):
    (be it simple complex sophisticated renditions)jorndoe

    The kalam cosmological argument is not supposed to prove the Christian God as existingBob Ross
    Whether supposed to or not, it can't, hence mentioned gap (+ admission). (Aquinas, notes) There's been threads on the (kalam) cosmological argument before. The veracity/relevance thereof might be a topic in its own right. Feel free to fire one up, if you have something worthwhile.

    I just think this “idealized” vs. “elaborate” distinction doesn’t really hold very well.Bob Ross
    So far, it's just an observation (not an argument as such) that you've not really given much reason to dismiss.

    If one holds that the representations they have are of mentality and that alive beings are immaterial minds; then the only manner of maintaining an ‘objective’ reality, which has many explanatory benefits, is to posit a universal mind, of which can be labelled as ‘God’. Thusly, God and reality become one. I find this compelling only insofar as I find objective idealism compelling, which, in turn, is predicated off of philosophy of mind (and, more specifically, giving an account of conscious experience).Bob Ross
    You define ‘God’ = "a universal mind" due to Levine's explanatory gap / Chalmers' mind conundrum...? :brow: Either way, I suggest you make a realism versus idealism case in a thread of its own; it's not specifically related to theism. Seems like some comments in the thread are going that way.

    Oh, got it. Well, I just didn’t find them convincing for the reasons already stated.Bob Ross
    You find "supernatural magic" a fine explanation...? :confused:
    On the Sacred Disease is a work of the Hippocratic Corpus, written about 400 B.C. Its authorship cannot be confirmed, so is regarded as dubious. The treatise is thought to contain one of the first recorded observations of epilepsy in humans. The author explains these phenomena by the flux of the phlegm flowing from the brain into the veins rather than assigning them a divine origin. This turn from a supernatural to a naturalistic explanation is considered a major breakthrough in the history of medicine.On the Sacred Disease (Wikipedia)

    Yep, Christina did bring some good evidence/points to the table.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    , it was following up on your chat with , that's the context, focus.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    @neomac, in addition to Sergei Poletaev, Putin, Slutsky, Medvedev, Aksyonov, Zakharova, Gurulyov, Zhuravlyov, Zatulin, and some others, have spoken of demilitarization of Ukraine (not just a fifth thereof). Similarly, whoever has spoken of deNazification of Ukraine, change or control of Ukrainian government / Kyiv, and whoever has gone further. (Kremlin-approved officials.) Also Mordvichev.

    If Putin's Russia were to assimilate a fifth of Ukraine, then their NATO-phobic argument would continue to apply to the remaining four-fifths of Ukraine just the same. If Putin's Russia was to assimilate all of Ukraine, then Putin's logic could equally be raised vice versa by Moldova Poland Romania Hungary Slovakia (Oct 13, 2022; Nov 26, 2022), and hence the EU. Open-ended, perpetual.Sep 17, 2023

    @Tzeentch, what does that...stuff suggest? (in terms of the future?)


    Full text: Putin’s declaration of war on Ukraine
    Russia’s Eliminationist Rhetoric Against Ukraine: A Collection
  • Ukraine Crisis
    , so you accuse others of sharing your own sentiment? Odd. :D Oh well.

    There is no tiptoeing, there's a very clear objective to weaken Europe [...]boethius

    You changed the subject.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    incidentally good news for the KremlinSep 19, 2023

    Russia says it sees growing friction between Ukraine and Poland, West
    — Peter Graff · Reuters · Sep 22, 2023
    We see that there are frictions between Warsaw and Kyiv. We predict that these frictions will increase. As for Poland's weapons, being neighbours with Poland is not the most comfortable for our Belarusian comrades. The country is quite aggressive, does not shun subversive activity and interferes in internal affairs. But we and our Belarusian friends and allies are on alert against the background of potential threats that may come from Poland.Pesky

    I hadn't really expected the Kremlin to target Poland this way, whatever the tactic they're running with. Then again, insidious conspiracy theories come out of those people ← the top official at that.

    if Ukrainian former lands is so important, why not send NATO boots on the ground to defend it?boethius

    That's not within NATO's mandate, is it? Others may not have such a charter, though. But, hey, maybe you're right, end the tiptoeing.

    can't escalate are you crazy, Russia has nukesboethius

    ... seems to often enough be put forth by those saying that Ukraine should capitulate.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    He'd be wrong. It was an offensive. Not a counteroffensive, since there was no Russian offensive to counter; that had already ceased months prior.Tzeentch

    Uhm... I guess you don't call the invasion an offensive? It's the offense, what the Ukrainians are working to counter. :D In Putin's words, too.

    It's just a buzzword now. It sounds flashy, and flashy sounding language might goad people into supporting senseless waste of human lives.Tzeentch

    Uhm... "counteroffensive" is a flashy-sounding buzzword...? :brow: Weird.

    This is mumbo jumbo to me.Tzeentch

    Really? It's really quite easy to understand. :shrug:

    Where do you get this stuff?
  • Donald Trump (All General Trump Conversations Here)
    , there's likely always a bit of vote fraud. No material evidence of what the conspiracy theorists claimed, though.

    These candidates lost badly, but now are claiming fraud
    — Stephen Fowler · NPR · Jul 2, 2022
    My vote to just remain a no isn't based on any evidence. It's not based on any facts, it's only based on my gut feeling and my own intuition, and that's all I need.Couy Griffin
  • Donald Trump (All General Trump Conversations Here)
    I've often heard people claim that Trump won the 2020 election or that the election was rigged against him, but I never hear any of the details that convince people why they believe these things.GRWelsh

    They went by, or still go by, the likes of (ordered by timestamp) ...

    Despite election results showing Biden win, Pompeo said he expects 'transition to a second Trump administration' (Deirdre Shesgreen · USA TODAY · Nov 10, 2020) — expectations

    Press Conference: Election Whistleblowers Come Forward (Amistad Project via PRNewswire · Dec 1, 2020)

    Peter Navarro releases 36-page report alleging election fraud 'more than sufficient' to swing victory to Trump (Andrew Mark Miller · Washington Examiner · Dec 17, 2020)

    What’s the real evidence for 2020 Election Fraud? (John Berea · winteryknight.com · Jan 18, 2021)

    Tucker Carlson Addresses 2020 Election Issues In Fulton County, Georgia (DEEP STATE [2] · Jul 14, 2021 · 6m:59s)

    'I Personally Witnessed It': Witness Describes Seeing Voter Fraud To Alex Padilla (Forbes · Jun 9, 2023 · 4m:59s)

    Georgia poll workers accused in Trump-backed conspiracy theories cleared of election fraud allegations (Lucien Bruggeman · ABC · Jun 20, 2023) — exonerated

    Fish Tank Paradox; a simple explanation of how our elections are rigged using arithmetic. (Edward Solomon · Aug 14, 2023 · 1h:37m:56s)

    Some of this stuff is lengthy, tedious, confusing, ambiguous, ... Venture down Alice's proverbial rabbit hole at your own risk.

    There has been responses to much of this of course (e.g. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10), but conspiracy theorists dismiss fact-checkers and whatever else, yet express certainty that the Clown won.

    EDIT: my underworld informants slipped me another few sources :)

    New "hybrid" voting system can change paper ballot after it's been cast (Salon · Mar 28, 2019)
    An Election Security Disaster - Hybrid Voting Machines (Part 1: Dominion vs. The Experts) (Shugah Works · Apr 27, 2019 · 5m:21s)
    An Election Security Disaster - Hybrid Voting Machines (Part 2: What's Behind This Deal?) (Shugah Works · Jun 2, 2019 · 6m:55s)
    Exclusive: Philadelphia's new voting machines under scrutiny in Tuesday's elections (Reuters · Jun 1, 2020)
    Georgia Havoc Raises New Doubts on Pricey Voting Machines (New York Times · Jun 11, 2020)
    Laptop, USB drives stolen from Philly election-staging site (AP · Oct 1, 2020)

    The sorts of things they went by or still go by
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Whatever happened to that offensive, though?Tzeentch

    Tripping minefields?

    ↪ssu Define what 'Ukraine winning' looks like, and then explain how wasting thousands of lives on ill-advised offensives brings us closer to that end state.Tzeentch

    With a bit of luck, we're not talking an "end state", more like regress or progress, authoritarianism or democracy, etc. Ukraine and the UN have repeatedly said "No" to Putin's regressive Russia, to the bulging-by-land-grab of Putin's authoritarian Russia, etc. Can't have missed it.

    Ukraine, Russia and the tense UN encounter that almost happened — but didn’t (Jennifer Peltz · AP · Sep 20, 2023)
    You stop the war, and President Zelenskyy will not take the floor.Edi Rama

    (As an aside, Putin admits to Ukraine conducting a COUNTERoffensive, i.e. a response to the invasion by the Kremlin. Different from prior rhetoric, aside from the excuse.)

    I'm vaguely reminded of ...

    "If Russia stops fighting, the war ends. If Ukraine stops fighting, Ukraine ends." (C-SPAN · Sep 22, 2022 · 11m:21s)
    Planned walkouts from Russia’s speech and the elephant in the room: Inside the UN General Assembly (Emin Pasha · The Independent · Sep 22, 2022)

    Nothing new though. Also, North Korea is worrisome, but maybe there's a bit of (unofficial) tension with the Kremlin?
  • "Why I don't believe in God" —Greta Christina
    non sequiturs [...] follow [...] thereforeBob Ross

    ... are examples of deduction.

    By “elaborate”, it seems (from your OP) that you are referring to laymen’s beliefs about God.Bob Ross

    Not exactly, no. We're talking what the Pope, priests, gurus, imams, pujas, etc promote (be it simple complex sophisticated renditions), the Avestan Ahura Mazda, the Vedic Shiva, the Biblical Yahweh, the Quranic Allah, etc, the currently prevalent, elaborate religious faiths, often mutually incompatible (as mentioned), what people out there actually believe and sometimes practise:

    (typically involving lengthy stories, religious texts, divine intervention/participation, personal/divine revelations, personal deities, rituals, commands/rules, fate designations)jorndoe

    By “idealized”, it seems to me that you are referring to formal theological arguments for God, is that correct?Bob Ross

    Maybe. I'd call them definitions, e.g. G is defined as a supposed 1st cause (like Aquinas did), or "super-designer", or ... As to the mentioned gap, the kalam/cosmological argument, for example, does not derive the Biblical Yahweh, cannot particularly differentiate those "historicized" deities or "the unknown" for that matter (incidentally admitted by one of the foremost promoters of that argument). I suppose that's a characteristic of the "idealized" category, though "definitions" is a better word. (How would one go about practising religious faith in a supposed 1st cause or "super-designer" anyway? Those apologetics don't derive the 10 commandments or Sun-prayer or much of anything.)

    predicated off of idealism.Bob Ross

    There's been realism versus idealism threads before. Maybe it's time for another. Hit it, if you have something good, it's one of those things the forum is about. Roughly 4/5 contemporary philosophers go with realism. 2009, 2020 A topic in its own right, all the way back to Plato ... (Descartes) ... Berkeley ...

    they are personifying God, which obviously makes no sense.Bob Ross

    I guess your take is more or less at odds with the entire elaborate category above? If my bare guess holds up, you'd have something in common with a few atheists:

    I'm guessing atheism primarily is concerned with the former (elaborate), and agnosticism more found in the context of the latter (idealized) — both of which could be held by one person, and thus need clarification.jorndoe

    Sort of. Bad arguments for God, or simply ill-thought out metaphysical explanations of the world [...]Bob Ross

    Those mentioned above aren't arguments, just poor explanations. Some reasons were listed.
  • Climate change denial
    Hurricane Sally roamed about in Sep 2020.

    3 years after Hurricane Sally, Pensacola is still struggling to rebuild
    — Julia Jacobo, David Miller · ABC · Sep 18, 2023
    Now, even run-of-the-mill rainstorms are causing regular flooding in the city.
    Residents are striving to stay in their water-damaged homes, while community planners are tasked with fortifying the city from future flooding -- not just from powerful hurricanes, but from everyday rainstorms that are now causing more nuisance flooding than in years past.
    But the damage from Hurricane Sally, and the flooding that continues with the regular rainstorms in the years that have followed, threaten to throw her out of the historic home where she has lived since 2016.

    More frequent hurricanes wreaking havoc is one thing, increasing flooding + water levels another.
    I guess it depends on tides, the Moon, ocean currents, what-have-you — with more liquid water in circulation, some areas will see more flooding.
  • Donald Trump (All General Trump Conversations Here)
    Some may find this a worthwhile read ...

    Inside the Next Republican Revolution
    — Michael Hirsh · POLITICO · Sep 19, 2023

    This land is your land, this federal government is your federal government. It’s not just the sole province of people in the metro D.C. area. Within 350 million Americans we can find genuine, intelligent, straightforward politicians to move things forward. — corrected Paul Dans quote
  • "Why I don't believe in God" —Greta Christina
    (2) This just simply doesn’t entail that God doesn’t exist: it entails, if granted as true, that ‘world religions’ are false. Seems like a non sequitur to me.Bob Ross
    (5) Again, this doesn’t entail God doesn’t exist. If someone were to argue that God exists because they were taught that traditionally by their family, then that is a bad argument for God’s existence.Bob Ross

    I didn't read those as deductive, but as evidence in support of the case. Though, I could of course have misread Christina.

    That being said, these observations (evidence) can draw attention to the point in the opening post regarding elaborate versus idealized. God/god and religious faith can mean any number of things (link, link, link, IEP, SEP), with varying responses. Regarding the elaborate, prevalent category:

    It becomes difficult to see the point of a proof of God's existence when it is construed as a proof of an individual's existence. Does one use arguments to become acquainted with an individual? Either that individual exists or it doesn't, and experience alone can tell us which. The project of a proof of God's existence thus ironically comes to appear meaningless to contemporary philosophers of religion.Theism and Atheism: Opposing Arguments In Philosophy (2019), Joseph Koterski, Graham Oppy

    (1) I find that these terms are regularly deployed in vague and superficial manners, where either can be used to consistently and coherently explain reality: it just depends on how loose or precise the definitions are of them.Bob Ross

    I find "supernatural magic" and "G did it" to be non-explanations (previously ... Nov 9, 2022 ... Jun 4, 2022). They could (literally) be raised to explain anything, and therefore explain nothing. When did such an explanation ever do away with ignorance/errors? Not themselves explicable, cannot readily be exemplified (verified), do not derive anything differentiable in particular, ... Replacing with "don't know" does not incur informative loss; not replacing is a termination along such lines of inquiry, a proliferation of ignorance.
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Difficulties for Ukraine, division, incidentally good news for the Kremlin:

    'Just can't sell': Ukraine harvests sunflowers as war blocks ports
    — France 24 / AFP · Sep 18, 2023
    Ukraine says it will sue Poland, Hungary and Slovakia over food import bans
    — Tom Balmforth, Pavel Polityuk, Anna Wlodarczuk-Semczuk, Anna Pruchnicka, Timothy Heritage · Reuters · Sep 18, 2023
    Farmers across Bulgaria protest against Ukrainian grain as EU divide grows
    — Valentina Petrova, Stephen McGrath · AP · Sep 18, 2023

    Meanwhile, the regress continues in Russia:

    Human rights in Russia have 'significantly deteriorated' since war - UN expert
    — Emma Farge, Gabrielle Tétrault-Farber, Rachel More, Gareth Jones · Reuters · Sep 18, 2023
    Human rights in Russia have ‘significantly’ worsened since Ukraine war began, UN-backed expert says
    — AP · Sep 18, 2023

    :chin: well, not unheard of, part of a modus operandi ...

    A sneaky move at a Kremlin meeting may show why Putin took his time in eliminating Prigozhin
    — Paul Iddon · Business Insider · Sep 17, 2023
  • Climate change denial
    , maybe you didn't read it quite right, shuffling some words.

    Activism (and possibly alarmism) can be a bona fides reaction, with scientific justification, and moral guts.

    (As an aside, you may entertain whatever view you like; around here you'll have to justify them unless you just want to talk about yourself.)
  • Climate change denial
    , climate activism (even alarmism perhaps) can be bona fides scientifically justified. Morally likewise. What of denialism/contrarianism then?
  • Coronavirus
    , well, in democracy, government is part of voters (or in voters' employ if you like). For that matter, voters could run for government, make a good enough case to "do the right thing" to get enough votes, or otherwise vote for someone who has done so.

    FYI, Haugaard was in the Danish government 1994-1998:

    Among his pointedly absurd campaign promises were: 8 hours of free time, 8 hours of rest and 8 hours of sleep; more tailwind on bicycle paths; promises of better weather; right to impotency; Nutella in field rations (which was actually implemented); and shorter queues in supermarketsJacob Haugaard (Wikipedia)

    (Incidentally, brought up Sortition, which seems a neat idea, sort of.)
  • Ukraine Crisis
    , as to a Putinian future trajectory, we can add their propaganda indoctrination oppression efforts (has come up before), which all taken together looks kind of Cold War'ish, not peace-friendly — regress.

    Putin says Russia developing weapons based on ‘new physical principles’
    — Tuqa Khalid · Al Arabiya · Sep 12, 2023

    John Brennan opines (re Trump) ...

    Putin wants to salvage Ukraine loss by electing Trump: former CIA director
    — Sarah K Burris · Raw Story · Sep 12, 2023

    Ekaterina Schulmann opines ...

    Russian analyst predicts controversial decision by Putin post-election
    — Henrik R · dagens.com · Sep 16, 2023
  • Ukraine Crisis
    Russian forces near Norway at '20% or less' than before Ukraine war, Norway's armed-forces chief says
    — Gwladys Fouche, Sabine Siebold, Nick Macfie · Reuters · Sep 16, 2023
    On our border, on the Russian border, there is maybe 20% or less (Russian) forces left than it used to be before Feb. 24, 2022. If he believed that we were threatening Russia, he couldn't have moved on his troops to Ukraine to fight the war there. Russia knows NATO is not a threat because we are not intending to attack them. Otherwise they would have responded completely different to the accession of Finland. They have talked about it, but they haven't in physical terms.Eirik Kristoffersen

    Has come up before.

    Russia threatens ‘military and political consequences’ if Finland, Sweden try joining NATO (Feb 25, 2022) → Russian Official Warns Finland, Sweden Against Joining NATO (Mar 12, 2022) → Ukraine War: Russia warns Sweden and Finland against Nato membership (Apr 11, 2022) → Russia warns of nuclear deployment if Sweden, Finland join NATO (Apr 14, 2022) → Russia threatens ‘retaliatory steps’ if Finland joins NATO (May 12, 2022) → Putin sees no threat from NATO expansion, warns against military build-up (May 16, 2022) → Putin says Finland and Sweden can 'go ahead' and join NATO but warned the countries against hosting the alliance's 'military contingents and infrastructure' (Jun 30, 2022).

    Ukrainian NATO membership would primarily mean limiting Putin's Russia's military to do whatever, including land-grab (Jul 3, 2022; Oct 19, 2022).

    Russia’s Stripped Its Western Borders to Feed the Fight in Ukraine (Robbie Gramer, Jack Detsch · Foreign Policy · Sep 28, 2022). Russia’s Reindeer Brigade Is Fighting For Its Survival In Southern Ukraine (David Axe · Forbes · Oct 7, 2022). (Is the Kremlin neglecting the CSTO (Jan 11, 2023)? Armenia (Gabriel Gavin · POLITICO · Sep 13, 2023)?)

    If Putin's Russia were to assimilate a fifth of Ukraine, then their NATO-phobic argument would continue to apply to the remaining four-fifths of Ukraine just the same. If Putin's Russia was to assimilate all of Ukraine, then Putin's logic could equally be raised vice versa by Moldova Poland Romania Hungary Slovakia (Oct 13, 2022; Nov 26, 2022), and hence the EU. Open-ended, perpetual.

    As mentioned before, NATO isn't that dire existential threat to the world's largest country. Buying into that verges a bit on gullibility. Conversely, grabbing that fifth of Ukraine could well make a difference to the Kremlin's geo-political-military power (and perhaps satisfy Putin (Sep 2016; May 2020)).
  • Coronavirus
    Peripherally (measles, not sars) ... London, UK ...

    Unvaccinated pupils face 21-day isolation as measles cases rise
    — Daniel Keane · Yahoo · Sep 15, 2023
    Unvaccinated children face 21 days in isolation after rapid rise in measles
    — Sara Odeen-Isbister · various via MSN · Sep 15, 2023
  • Climate change denial
    There is a definite religious zealotry to it all. Makes me all the more justified in rejecting it.Merkwurdichliebe

    Isn't that a genetic fallacy? No, not quite. Maybe ad odium? Or an association fallacy.
  • Climate change denial
    One explanation for the abundance of scientists who support for the official narrative is because there is not much of a career left for them if they go rogue. [...]Merkwurdichliebe
    Notice how the quote, or something similar, could be raised on any topic with a general consensus, to pseudo-level an unlevel world. Casting it as a truth-independent or conspiracy'esque game instead, has become trendy I guess.jorndoe

    Cool, here's an even more generic argument:

    Scientists are not infallible, they are human like everyone else. [...]Merkwurdichliebe

    Science begone, the lot. Nothing to see here. Sort of p0m0'ish, too.

    By the way, I already differentiated the people and the evidence they point at:

    Alternatively, there's sufficient/overwhelming evidence of anthropogenic climate change. After all, scientists point at available evidence, not at "narratives" or "whatever people's opinions".jorndoe
    In my case, my conspiracy theory is called skepticismMerkwurdichliebe

    There are also round-Earth skeptics, E=mc² skeptics, germ skeptics, Moon landing skeptics, biological evolution skeptics, you name it. (skepticism ≠ denial ∧ skepticism ≠ post-truth)
  • Climate change denial
    One explanation for the abundance of scientists who support for the official narrative is because there is not much of a career left for them if they go rogue. [...]Merkwurdichliebe

    Alternatively, there's sufficient/overwhelming evidence of anthropogenic climate change. After all, scientists point at available evidence, not at "narratives" or "whatever people's opinions".

    Notice how the quote, or something similar, could be raised on any topic with a general consensus, to pseudo-level an unlevel world. Casting it as a truth-independent or conspiracy'esque game instead, has become trendy I guess.

    also mentioned biodiversity impairment, which is related — humans all over the place, population growth, deforestation, pollution, nature/wildlife displacement, extinctions, renewability, ...