The ‘important stuff’ I see Trump doing is undermining democratic norms, attacking science, public education, public health and public broadcasting. — Wayfarer
The US economy usually grows at around 1.3% in the first half of the year. It makes up for that in the last half. But yes, we're waiting for the full effect of the tariffs. So far, it's not as expected. It's actually a lot closer to what Trump predicted.We will have to wait and see. — Banno
The tariffs are curious because they are somewhat novel and unpredictable. Estimates put the reduction of US GDP at about 6%, and it is this slow down of the US economy that will have the greater effect on Australia, rather than a 10% tariff on our exports to the US. If everyone else ends up paying 10% or more, then that makes little difference to our competitiveness in the US market. — Banno
remember that it is the US customer, not Australia, who pays the 10%. — Banno
Yesterday. I read the Kyiv Post maybe once or twice a week. — Banno
The highest tariffs in almost a century haven’t caused inflation to surge. The phenomenon has puzzled economists, some of whom suspect that companies have so far simply been reluctant to pass along the extra costs to their customers.
But another argument for the limited impact is gaining traction: that tariffs being paid by importers are lower than advertised.
In a new study, Barclays economists went through census data to see what tariffs importers actually paid in May. They found that the weighted-average tariff rate—the average of all tariffs, adjusted for import volume from each country—that month was around 9%. That number is well below the 12% rate that they had previously estimated based on White House announcements, and far less than what some others have estimated.
The reason is that more than half of U.S. imports were duty-free, the Barclays study says, and because many U.S. companies and consumers bought less from countries with higher levies, particularly China.
“The real surprise in the U.S. economy’s resilience lies not in its reaction to tariffs but that the rise in the effective tariff rate has been more modest than commonly thought,” the Barclays report says. — WSJ
JPMorgan economists argue that actual tariff rates in June were lower than headline averages suggest because importers switched to countries with lower tariffs or to domestic producers.
These lower effective tariff rates could help explain why consumer prices haven’t risen as rapidly as some analysts feared. The impact of tariffs has been a charged topic. Trump this week asserted that tariffs haven’t caused inflation and called on Goldman Sachs to replace an economist who had predicted price increases.
The new tariffs raised $58.5 billion in revenue between January and June, according to the Penn Wharton Budget Model. And inflation has crept up in recent months, with prices of imported goods such as furniture ticking higher. The latest inflation readings remain well above the Federal Reserve’s benchmark of 2% year over year. In July, wholesale prices rose at the sharpest monthly rate in three years and well above economists’ forecasts.
But the overall inflation picture in the first six months of the year hasn’t been as ugly as many feared it would be in the wake of President Trump’s tariff hikes. — WSJ
Politics suggest we may not get the best of all possible worlds. Sure, tariffs turned out less bad than feared. Even if the most extreme claims of Democrats that democracy is dying turned out to be right, investors have long been able to make good returns from stocks in autocracies, so long as the autocrat doesn’t fall foul of more-powerful countries.
But the president’s firing of the BLS head and attacks on the Federal Reserve mean the U.S. is less likely to get decent data on its most important statistics or nonpolitical interest-rate — WSJ
but the question of why it is more plausible seems to lie in the ability to equivocate on the way in which water, ice, and steam "are" H2O — Count Timothy von Icarus
Sorry, but I don't really get the relevance of being an abstract object to rigid designation. — Ludwig V
Yes, but don't see how it applies in the planets case. — Ludwig V
I'm afraid I don't know or can't recall exactly what the identity elimination schema. Do you mind just outlining what it is? — Ludwig V
A little more formally, the rule of inference =E can be stated as:
Identity Elimination Schema
Major: t1 = t2
Minor: ϕ(t1)
Conclusion: ϕ(t2)
Here t1 and t2 are expressions which refer to entities (for example, proper names of people or cities). ϕ(t1) is a sentence containing at least one occurrence of t1, and ϕ(t2) is a sentence that results from replacing at least one occurrence of t1 in ϕ(t1) with an occurrence of t2, eliminating the “=” of t1 = t2. Recurring ti presumes that ti is univocal throughout, and recurring ϕ presumes that the sentential context ϕ is not altered, syntactically or semantically, by the replacement. If these uniformity conditions are not met, then the inference scheme is being misapplied, and it is no wonder that false conclusions are derivable. For example, in the inference “The man behind Fred = the man in front of Bill; the man behind Fred saw him leave; therefore, the man in front of Bill saw him leave,” the context “saw him leave” is not uniform, since substitution of “the man behind Fred” by “the man in front of Bill” changes the reference of “him” (Fine 1989:222–3; Linsky 1967:104).
In discussing the problem with apparent substitution-failure by using =E, many examples will be drawn from the fictional story of Superman, treated as if it were true. In the story, a child from the planet Krypton, Kal-El, is sent to Earth, where physical conditions cause him to acquire superpowers. Wearing specific clothing (red cape, blue jumpsuit), Kal-El prevents disasters, rescues endangered innocents, and foils would-be perpetrators of crimes, such as Lex Luthor. People call Kal-El “Superman” when talking about Kal-El’s actions of this kind.
But Kal-El also takes a day job as a reporter, using the name “Clark Kent.” A coworker, Lois Lane, treats him with indifference in the office, but has a pronounced crush on, as she would put it, Superman, unaware they are the same individual.
The problematic examples discussed below involve ascriptions of mental states to Lois (or occasionally Lex), arrived at by applying the rule =E to the major premise “Superman is Clark” and a carefully chosen minor premise. Lois has a crush on Superman (minor premise), so, by =E, Lois has a crush on Clark. But this latter seems false, and would certainly be rejected by Lois herself. Also, Lois believes that Superman can fly, but does not seem to believe that Clark can; she hopes to see Superman again soon, but seems not much to care when she next sees Clark; she would like a date with Superman, but apparently has no interest in one with Clark; and so on — IEP
a. Istanbul is Constantinople.
b. “Istanbul” has eight letters.
c. ∴ “Constantinople” has eight letters.
— IEP
In this case, the problem is coming from the use of Tarskian quotation, which means the quoted part is a word, not a city.
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a. Giorgione is Barbarelli.
b. Giorgione is so-called because of his size.
c. ∴ Barbarelli is so-called because of his size.
— IEP
The flaw here is equivocation. The "so-called because of his size" can't skip from one name to the next.
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a. The number of planets = 3 squared
b. It is contingent that the number of planets = 9
c. ∴ It is contingent that 3 squared = 9.
— IEP — frank
Really, you believe that she was describing the collapse of Western civilization's reliance upon a foundational diety and challenge of finding a suitable replacement for the avoidance of existential crisis. — Hanover
Do you think that responsive to my post? — Hanover
God is dead. God remains dead. And we have killed him. How shall we comfort ourselves, the murderers of all murderers? What was holiest and mightiest of all that the world has yet owned has bled to death under our knives: who will wipe this blood off us? What water is there for us to clean ourselves? What festivals of atonement, what sacred games shall we have to invent? Is not the greatness of this deed too great for us? Must we ourselves not become gods simply to appear worthy of it? — Nietzsche
The problem is that your post is just a trauma dump, leaving the only appropriate response to be "sorry you went through that," and then maybe sharing similar stories we've had in order to validate your feelings.
Consider that done.
Now describe the lie (the intentional misrepresentation) of the truth by the Church, not just how the people in your life disappointed you. That way we might be able to respond philosophically, as opposed to just offering you personal encouragement. — Hanover
Yep. We might even go a step further and ask if the idea of essences is worth keeping. — Banno
Also, the East tends to be a bit "looser" and more focused on "praxis," which I think is helpful. — Count Timothy von Icarus
Davidson is happy to say that people have beliefs, and to use beliefs to explain actions, and says that such explanations are causal.
So not behaviourist.
Anscombe - and by association, Wittgenstein - also accepts that actions are explained by beliefs. Neither is behaviourist. — Banno
Personally, I find the Catholic nature/supernature, natural reason/revelation dichotomies somewhat unhelpful, and they are a later development. Eastern Christianity tends to make no such distinction here on the ground that Adam's natural state was "little less than a god," — Count Timothy von Icarus
Not really, or at least not without many important caveats. The Trinity appears in Origen and others (although not in its mature Capaddocian formulation) but Origen is an older contemporary of Plotinus in Alexandria. — Count Timothy von Icarus
Origen begins his treatise On First Principles by establishing, in typical Platonic fashion, a divine hierarchical triad; but instead of calling these principles by typical Platonic terms like monad, dyad, and world-soul, he calls them “Father,” “Christ,” and “Holy Spirit,” though he does describe these principles using Platonic language. The first of these principles, the Father, is a perfect unity, complete unto Himself, and without body – a purely spiritual mind. Since God the Father is, for Origen, “personal and active,” it follows that there existed with Him, always, an entity upon which to exercise His intellectual activity. This entity is Christ the Son, the Logos, or Wisdom (Sophia), of God, the first emanation of the Father, corresponding to Numenius’ “second god,” as we have seen above (section 2). The third and last principle of the divine triad is the Holy Spirit, who “proceeds from the Son and is related to Him as the Son is related to the Father” — IEP
Sounds not unlike Dissociative identity disorder. — Banno
As a matter of fact, ‘person’ was derived from ‘personae’, the masks worn by actors in Greek drama — Wayfarer
Regardless, surely Christians of any school or sect must recognize the distinction between persons and things must they not? — Wayfarer
But surely describing the persons of the Trinity as ‘things’ is even greater error than was mine. — Wayfarer
So Jesus is one of the things that is god, and the holy spirit is another, and the father, another. THree different things that are all god. — Banno
So two men both 'participate' in the form 'man' even though they are numerically different men. — Wayfarer
So when you've got nothing substantial to add, you'll try condescending or sarcasm or ad homs, right? Rather than actually trying to engage in a conversation? It does make me wonder if I should bother interacting with you. — Wayfarer
But I think what I've said in the above posts acknowledges all of that. I said:
So two men both 'participate' in the form 'man' even though they are numerically different men. — Wayfarer
I'm not Catholic, but I am trying to portray what I think they would say. The Count has been scarce the last few days but I acknowledge that he has far greater knowledge of this than I do. — Wayfarer