To some degree, that has always been the case. ... — Vera Mont
But the present question concerns power over dead bodies, ... — Vera Mont
1 - Europe is still far from turning into its own great power: existing military deficiencies and “strategic cacophony” inside Europe (also between France and Germany too) remain an obstacle to reach strategic autonomy
2 - EU with its large market (which included East Europe) is not Germany (nor Germany and France)
3 - The new developing economies (in South Asia, South America and Africa) are expected to become more relevant in next decades while EU is becoming less and less competitive
4 - Russia is supposed to be a mafia state and declining power so whatever they will be able to achieve by stretching further West their hegemony won’t be an evident challenge to the US military and economy
5 - The greatest challenge to American hegemony comes from China so the Americans might think to take Russia on their side to fight against China. — neomac
So no, at the moment, it’s not evident that the US must intervene or engage more than it does in Ukraine... — neomac
If there was virtually no military threat from Russia why the NATO expansion then? — neomac
Putin (after the annexation in Crimea and still at war in Donbas) didn’t seem too much worried about the US until Trump was there, right? — neomac
And why would Putin worry about NATO expansion if it’s just American soft-power and American military presence was declining? — neomac
Besides under Putin Russian military budget increased significantly, power consolidation in domestic affairs and over rebel peripheries turned authoritarian, nationalist, and aggressive (see war in Chechnya and Georgia), Russian military projection overseas increased (in the Mediterranean Sea, Middle East and Africa), governmental cyberwarfare activities and “soft power” (by lobbying populist and anti-American info-war) in the West increased as well, ... — neomac
Even Putin’s concerns for NATO enlargement were just words until they weren’t. — neomac
And until the military special operations French and Germans didn’t seem much compelled by the US soft-power to change their attitude toward Russia, ... — neomac
( 10 ) A violation of bodily autonomy would only occur if a person's articulated preferences were neglected. — fdrake
( 2 ) Opt out organ harvesting is ethical. — fdrake
Why would the US care to protect the EU against a potential aggression from Russia? — neomac
Indeed, the US military presence in Europe has been declining for 30 years (which doesn’t fit well into the NATO expansion narrative). — neomac
Trump wanted to pull out the US from NATO. And Sarkozy declared NATO braindead. — neomac
Yet you cited Mearsheimer (along with Sachs and Chomsky) to support the idea that the US has provoked this war, didn’t you? And you did that to imply what exactly?
Whatever Russia claims to be “provocation” doesn’t mean that Russia had a right to invade Ukraine in international law terms.
Nor it can possibly mean that the US (or the West in general) should put Russia security concerns above or at the same level of the US (or the West in general) security concerns, if you want to talk about geopolitical strategy.
Nor it can possibly mean that different political administrations are morally bound to follow the same path/commitments toward third countries that previous administrations followed without considering geopolitical strategy (and third countries’ administrations!).
So what else does it mean exactly? — neomac
Can you spell it out? — neomac
Concerning the logic of your argument, if the EU is more demilitarised than Russia, then EU is more military vulnerable to Russia. — neomac
I don’t see it that way. “Provocation” sounds weird in competitive games (even more dumb if one champions Mearsheimer’s “offensive realism”). — neomac
Russia de-militarised prior to this conflict breaking loose?
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1203160/military-expenditure-russia/ — neomac
“Peace talking” is always derailing your reasoning outside the power game “rules” you are trying to understand. — neomac
So this might be a possible deterrent for Russia to engage in the eastern front. — neomac
Even if Crimea is the core in Russian geostrategic calculations, its annexation wouldn’t guarantee its security as it would if Ukraine was under Russian control (or at least, demilitarised). So the threat for Russia may still be serious enough to work as a deterrent. — neomac
First, the Europeans are realising how delegating their own security to the US can be costly and risky as they never could before... — neomac
Second, Europeans can profit from the weakening of Russian military capacity, ... — neomac
Obviously as a general principle this is true to the point of being a truism, ... — Isaac
... it's not even clear that this war is in the US's interests (as a geopolitical unit). It seems more likely that it is very specific key sectors in America, and Europe, whose interests are served by a protracted Ukrainian war - namely arms manufacturing, reconstruction, finance, and gas/energy companies. The rest of the US seems just as prone to the economic downturn and shift to China that the war seems likely to bring, and all are at the same risk from escalation. — Isaac
I don't think it's true to say that Ukraine are being 'rationally' used as a pawn of the US government. If there's a rational self-interest explanation, it would be that they are being 'rationally' used as a pawn of major industrial investment holders with the US government being merely a tool.
After all, all that lobbying money and share buybacks are not offered out of charity. — Isaac
Since the United States cannot have been surprised by the Russian invasion and also does not seem overly committed to a Ukrainian victory, I am entertaining the hypothesis that the United States intentionally sought to provoke long-lasting conflict between Europe and Russia.
Europe and Russia were cozying up to each other too much, while it is in America's best interest to keep the Heartland divided.
With China and Russia in an alliance that was futher strengthened by the American push for Ukrainian incorporation into NATO, the Eurasian continent was basically already 2/3's united. There was an actual threat of the Heartland uniting completely - with Europe becoming apathetic towards the United States and fairly neutral towards Russia and China, and with Russia and China being markedly anti-American.
The war in Ukraine attempts to establish Europe as a committed American ally, and a counterbalance against Russia in case a large-scale security competition breaks out between the United States and Russia and China.
Far-fetched? Sober big-picture thinking? You be the judge.
My point is that Ukraine may play a key role in the Western security system for future challenges, ... — neomac
Ukraine may offer plausible triggers to bend the NATO defensive alliance logic into an offensive operation, if needed. For the same reason, having Ukraine outside NATO has its risks for Russia too because it may keep re-militarised Europeans outside a direct confrontation (not military aid though) but it may also lead to some n-lateral military pact with Ukraine that is less than "defensive". — neomac
I do not see any soft way to come out from this game. So either Europeans learn to be and act as a great power (a bit late for that) or they must suffer the great power initiative. — neomac
My understanding: Ukraine must be part of the West security system (inside or outside NATO may have pros/cons for Russia too!). Russia gave the West the justification on a golden plate. Ukraine (which is far more reliable then Turkey in containing Russia in that area) will be important later on, as soon as the military clash between the US and China materializes. To keep Russia out of it. — neomac
Would it be worthwhile differentiating? (intentionally omitted "shoot on sight!") — jorndoe
— Mearsheimer (paraphrased): Everyone should have known that Putin would have Russia attack Ukraine
— Others: Ukraine's defense and political dealings with the West ain't up to Putin to decide, and, besides, Ukrainian NATO membership wouldn't doom Russia to destruction (Feb24, Mar18, Apr26, May7, Jun10, Oct27), let alone a Russia without Crimea
— Cynic: Bah, it's all just rhetoric, entitlement, propaganda, manipulation by everyone — jorndoe
- Zbigniew Brzezinski, The Grand Chessboard (1997). p.30 - 31.For America, the chief geopolitical prize is Eurasia... America's global primacy is directly dependent on how long and how effectively its preponderance on the Eurasian continent is sustained.
About 75% of the world's people live in Eurasia, and most of the world's physical wealth is there as well, both in its enterprises and underneath its soil. Eurasia accounts for three-fourths of the world's energy resources.
- Ibid. p. 41 - 42.Geopolitical pivots are the states whose importance is derived not from their power and motivation but rather from their sensitive location and from the consequences of their potentially vulnerable condition for the behavior of geostrategic players.
[...]
Ukraine, Azerbaijan, South Korea, Turkey, and Iran play the role of critically important geopolitical pivots, though both Turkey and Iran are to some extent -- within their more limited capabilities -- also geostrategically active.
- Ibid. p. 46.Ukraine, a new and important space on the Eurasian chessboard, is a geopolitical pivot because its very existence as an independent country helps to transform Russia. Without Ukraine, Russia ceases to be a Eurasian empire. Russia without Ukraine can still strive for
imperial status, but it would then become a predominantly Asian imperial state, more likely to be drawn into debilitating conflicts with aroused Central Asians, who would then be resentful of the loss of their recent independence and would be supported by their fellow Islamic states to the south.
- Ibid, p. 50 - 51.Given the growing consensus regarding the desirability of admitting the nations
of Central Europe into both the EU and NATO, the practical meaning of this question focuses attention on the future status of the Baltic republics and perhaps also that of Ukraine.
- Ibid. p. 96.In brief, Russia, until recently the forger of a great territorial empire and the leader of an ideological bloc of satellite states extending into the very heart of Europe and at one point to the South China Sea, had become a troubled national state, without easy geographic access to the outside world and potentially vulnerable to debilitating conflicts with its neighbors on its western, southern, and eastern flanks. Only the uninhabitable and inaccessible northern spaces, almost permanently frozen, seemed geopolitically secure.
- Ibid. p. 194 - 195.How the United States both manipulates and accommodates the principal geostrategic players on the Eurasian chessboard and how it manages Eurasia's key geopolitical pivots will be critical to the longevity and stability of America's global primacy.
- Ibid. p. 203.It follows that political and economic support for the key newly independent states is an integral part of a broader strategy for Eurasia. The consolidation of a sovereign Ukraine, which in the meantime redefines itself as a Central European state and engages in closer integration with Central Europe, is a critically important component of such a policy,
Certainly. I am morally opposed to any system that is based on the use and threat of violence. — Tzeentch
Apart from mercenaries, sociopaths, dictators, ..., I'd think most share the sentiment. — jorndoe
What does that translate to, though, in real life, social life? — jorndoe
Isn't this more of an objection to most political/societal systems, except anarchy (maybe)? — jorndoe
So imagine someone is bombing the neighborhood where your family and friends live (some die a horrible death, others are severely injured or maimed), they lost where to live and all basic services in the neighborhood, some even jobs if working in the neighborhood, does anybody (you included) morally ought to do anything about it? — neomac
Besides, you keep talking about “enormous cost” without giving any moral criteria to understand the moral relevance of such “enormous cost”. For example: exactly how many Ukrainian casualties count as morally relevant “enormous cost”? If Ukrainian casualties were 0.000001% of the population would it be an “enormous cost” in moral terms? How about 0.00001%, or 0.0001%, or 0.001%, or 0.01%, or 0.1%? On what moral grounds you choose that number? — neomac
Somebody has to sit down, pore through the data, analyze it, and present to us their findings. Racism is a serious charge... — Agent Smith
Since there are more poor blacks than poor any-other-race [blame falls squarely on the shoulders of historical racism (slavery)], ... — Agent Smith
But perhaps you are the type who either puts someone on a pedestal and agrees everything what they say and damns them others the lowest hell and avoids everything they say as the plague. At least that I'm getting from you... — ssu
And your view is largely irrelevant, as people understand that this war started from the annexation of Crimea and the separatism in the Donbas area in 2014. — ssu
I think we a had already this discussion 11 months ago. And then (and now) nothing else is given, but the Nuland tapes and articles from that time as "proof" of this conspiracy theory of a "US coup". — ssu
It seems that some modicum of the burden of proof here should be on those claiming the change was caused by the U.S. instead of developments in Ukrainian society in relation to Russian influence. How was that manipulation actually carried out? — Paine
Otherwise, the notion is as vague and binary as the theory on Color Revolutions developed by the Kremlin ... — Paine
Since the violence wielded by the Yanukovych regime was a decisive factor in the growth of the revolution, your planners would have had to have been behind that as well. Pretty crafty. — Paine
The coup speculators... — Paine
Not something planned and controlled from other countries, ... — ssu
The wikipedia article was to make you appreciate the remarkable breath of evidences one can find about the poor status of human rights in Russia (especially under Putin). — neomac
In reality, not everyone can be a winner. — niki wonoto
Anyone that knows the archival record knows that it wasn't just a loose verbiage, but it was a decided policy of Germany and the United States to promise to Gorbachev: No NATO enlargement to the East - and not just East to the GDR. To the East.
You really don't see the annexations of territory done through force as imperialism, really? — ssu
You have to first tell just why, if this all was an American provocation, why did Putin be provoked? — ssu
there is [no] geographic obstacle that would give a natural border for Russia...other than the goddam Pacific ocean. — ssu
The error you seem to think is that somehow the Russian security goals and imperialism couldn't coexist. — ssu
Even just in the Russian Federation there are 35 regional semi-official languages and about 100 minority languages. There is something like 199 ethnic groups in the country. It's not actually something that you would call a clear nation state. — ssu
