Your premise is that a viral load will only infect one person… — Tobias
Not so - you (and others) are reading WAY TOO MUCH into this very simple analogy.
We can have as many bullets/mosquitos/viral particles as we want. The math does not change. I only used the 1 mosquito (or 1 bullet) to make the math (in calculating Risk Assessment)
super simple for everyone to plainly see.
Here is the Simple Math:
Total Risk divided by Number of People Sharing that Risk = Individual Risk
For Example:
1. If the total risk is 4 bullets and there are 8 people in the room then the individual risk = 0.5X (4/8).
2. If the total risk is 2 mosquitos and there are 20 people in the room then the individual risk = 0.1X (2/20)
3. If the total risk is 1000 viral particles floating around in this room (and 1000 particles = 1 infection) and there is 1 person in the room, then the individual risk = 1X (1/1).
The inability to understand simple basic RISK ASSESSMENT is causing us to act irrationally; causing more harm than good; causing us to make "hasty generalizations" (a logical fallacy).
Examples of this irrational behavior:
1. Intentionally preventing ambulances from responding to emergencies for fear the ambulance itself may get into an accident and kill some one. --- this causes more harm (deaths) than good (non-deaths).
2. Intentionally preventing lifeguards from saving a drowning swimmer for fear the lifeguard might drown while saving the person. --- this causes more harm (deaths) than good (non-deaths).
3.
Intentionally masking and social distancing healthy people for fear that they might infect and kill a vulnerable person. --- this causes more harm (deaths) than good (non-deaths).
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We have been so brainwashed to believe that masking and social distancing healthy people is a good thing, that we passionately and blindly defend it against people like me. If only we could temporarily suspend our emotion and passion for a minute and take an honest logical look at the situation, we would then realize the foolishness of our actions.
And if we can't suspend our emotion/passion to look at this issue from a logical perspective, then we will continue being part of the cancel-culture mob of insulting anyone that disagrees with our viewpoint. God help us.
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People get infected by being in contaminated environments. Period. — Roger Gregoire
So clean the environment. It's quite simple. SARS‑CoV‑2 is killed quite easily, most anti-bacterial wipes will do it, soap and water, just time with UV light, opening a window will clear many airborne particles… — Isaac
Yes, agreed. All this helps. So, how's that working for us so far?
Until we allow our healthy population to unmask (and fully socialize), covid will stick around, and continually breed and mutate into more contagious variants (as evidenced by empirical evidence).
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Or give the vulnerable woman a vaccine so she can do the virus-killing herself. — Isaac
If the woman is truly vulnerable, then a vaccine won't protect her (as evidenced by empirical evidence). Ultimately vaccines are useless if we don't allow our healthy people to protect our vulnerable people.
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You still haven't answered my question as to why you're even discussing such a massively inefficient and risky strategy… — Isaac
There is nothing "inefficient or risky" about it. This has been Mother-Natures way of protecting mankind for eons. The healthy protect the vulnerable.
Somehow, we have allowed a good scientist, but logically illiterate person (Fauci), to convince us into inadvertently destroying ourselves. And the cancel-culture mob (the passionate blind followers) to shut down anyone that disagrees with his dangerous irrationality. There are many tens of thousands of experts/scientists that see the logical flaw in Dr. Fauci's advice/opinion, but they are shut down by the cancel-culture mob who instead of having logical debate/discussion, prefer to insult and destroy the lives/careers of those that disagree.
Don't be part of the mob. Look at this issue logically; rationally. Our lives depend on it.
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Using a naked man will certainly attract a mosquito. I hope he bites his ass. Viruses won't feel attracted to the man... — AgentTangerine
LOL Agent. The point of the "naked" man was to illustrate the amount of "risk exposure''. Mosquitoes are attracted to skin. The more skin exposed, the greater the disproportionate risk between the two people in the room.
If we mask the vulnerable lady and unmask the healthy man, then a very large disproportionate share of the risk shifts over to the man, thereby making the vulnerable lady
significantly safer.
People really need to learn and understand Risk Assessment 101 before blindly following some of our political leaders dangerously irrational advice.