• A question for panpsychists (and others too)
    The conscious state "high" and/or "buzzed" certainly is causal for a lot of people. Myself included.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)
    I'll stipulate that Trump said what the Reuter's piece says. Not a good look, I agree. It doesn't detract from my point. Obama put kids in cages till the optics got bad. Trump put kids in cages till the optics got bad. Biden just let everyone in and is running a massive trafficking operation. He'll be out of office before people come to find out what he's done.fishfry

    Motives matter. Separating families for the good of the kids is one thing. A zero tolerance policy separating all families to deter would-be immigrants is evil, unprecedented, and was quickly stopped when the public found out what was going on. And yes, Biden's record on the border is awful. We're not doing people any favors when we make it easy for them to come here illegally and then live in the shadows and be exploited.
  • Probability Question
    Ah, that's an actual statistics question. The answer is it's a chance that is infinitely close to zero.LuckyR

    Is infinitely close to zero = zero? Like .999...=1?
  • Probability Question
    I get that you're trying to explore statistics, but if one drills down into the OP, as written, it devolves into an exploration of the limits of machines to choose "randomly" among an infinite number of choices. Which is to say: wholly inadequate. Thus the answer is: not zero.LuckyR

    What about the second party of the question, where I let the universe decide which world Alice teleports to?
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)
    What are and were the substantial policy differences between other GOP candidates and Trump? What exactly was the choice there?Benkei

    It was a Republican primary. They were all Republicans. Therefore, they all had pretty much the same political views. America runs a primary election before the general election so the people can vote for which candidate will represent their party.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)
    So what do you do to avoid turning children over to traffickers? You separate the kids from the adults until you can contact the authorities in their claimed home country, and find out who they are. If they are a legit family, you reunite them and send them on their way. If not, you just stopped a trafficker and saved a child.fishfry

    The Trump admin separated kids from families as a deterrent. All families were separated. It wasn't for the good of the kids. The policy ended a short time later when the public found out.
    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-immigration-trump/trump-says-family-separations-deter-illegal-immigration-idUSKCN1MO00C/
    https://www.texastribune.org/2019/12/16/trump-administration-knew-family-separations-harm-migrant-children/

    It sounds like you're getting your information from places like Townhall, TheFederalist, Breitbart, and Redstate. Am I correct on that?
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)
    I think being married to a president would give you a fairly good idea of what the job is like. My wife certainly has a good idea of what my teaching job is like. Obviously, not as a good idea as someone who is a teacher or is president.
  • Probability Question
    They call this the measure problem. This is not to be confused with the measurement problem of quantum physics, the question of what is a measurement that makes the wave function collapse.fishfry

    In an infinite multiverse, there would be an infinite number of Boltzmann Brain universes, so what are the odds you're in one? 50-50?
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)
    Honestly I still don't see the obsession people have with her, especially since she doesn't seem to have any political ambitions or policies of her own. Like is it purely because people miss Barack Obama that much?Mr Bee

    She comes across as a smart, nice, honest person. Since she was First Lady, she's intimately familiar with the job. She's been the in the public eye for a long time and not even a whiff of a scandal. If her politics is somewhat moderate, she would wipe the floor with Trump. And Barack would be back in the White House. It's a wonderful fantasy, but that's all it is. Although the betting odds have her at 7%...
  • Probability Question
    The set would have to countable, wouldn't it? You could count the worlds. There's a one-to-one correspondence with each parallel world and the natural numbers. How could the multiverse be uncountably infinite?
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)
    Ike, Nixon, Ford, Reagan, Bush 41, Bush 43, Trump. Feel free to explain to me what these folks did that was authoritarian.fishfry

    What did Trump do that was authoritarian? Seriously? He tried to pressure the Republican Georgia secretary of state to "find" exactly the number of votes he needed to win. He tried to pressure his own VP to not certify the election (Pence had to call Dan Qualye, of all people, for moral guidance), and he spread and continues to spread lie after lie about the election he lost. You should listen to Bill Barr's testimony about the aftermath of the election. Total banana republic stuff. We dodged a serious bullet. Had Pence not certified, or had Raffensperger gone along with the attempt to steal the election (he says he felt threatened by Trump), it could have gotten a lot uglier than it was. And then there's the fake elector scheme, and of course Jan 6th.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)
    You could argue that the elites foisted Biden on Democrats, but Republicans had no shortage of options when it came time to pick Trump, both in 2015 and 2023. That was a purely democratic exercise and the GOP voters got exactly what they wanted.
  • Probability Question
    But isn't it theoretically possible for Bob to guess right?
    ETA: Bob makes a guess as far as the machine is concerned, but in the second scenario, Bob is at the mercy of the universe, so would it be possible for the universe to send Bob to the same parallel Earth it sent Alice to?
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)
    People told pollsters that, yeah, but did anyone put pressure on elected dems or the DNC? Did the liberal talking heads demand a primary? Did the NYTimes editorial board say anything about it? The Democrats sleepwalked into this mess.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)
    The voters made it very clear that they didn't want Joe to run again due to his age, and they ran him again.Mr Bee

    I don't agree with this. There was no appetite for replacing Biden. He sailed through the primaries and his one credible challenger got almost no votes.
  • A question for panpsychists (and others too)
    But if there's the assertion that physical matter exists, and minds and consciousness emerge from it, there has to be an explanation for how that happens. The Ai's are approaching human-level. Science is going to have to say something about whether they're conscious or not, isn't it?
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)
    They hid the guy all during the 2020 campaign....You and all the other Dems who are shocked, shocked that Biden's suffering the age-related cognitive impairment that was apparent in 2019.fishfry

    There were three pivotal one-on-one debates Biden was in and he won all three. One against Bernie and two against Trump.
    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-biden-debate-poll/
    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-sanders-debate-poll/
    https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/23/poll-final-presidential-debate-biden-trump-432052

    I watched all three of those debates (and the numerous primary debates) and thought Biden did fine. If he was in bad shape, as you claim, he wouldn't have won any of them.
  • A question for panpsychists (and others too)
    That's a good question. Perhaps a dream like this allows to experience a whole lot of things we normally wouldn't be able to in our "natural state" of oneness with the cosmic mind. A dream where reality seems materialistic and we seem to be a bunch of individuals in a materialistic world (and of course we decide to forget we made the decision to dream all this up) seems like an excellent way to separate from the godhead and try out some unique experiences. What's it like to be in a concentration camp? What's it like to be a concentration camp guard? A celebrity? A nobody? A king? A peasant? And so on.

    I have no way of knowing if that's what's going on, but it doesn't seem incoherent or contradictory. Just unknowable. The materialistic explanations for consciousness, otoh, are completely bonkers, at least imo.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)
    538 still has the race a toss-up. Betting odds on Trump are about 55%. They could probably run Biden Weekend-at-Bernies style and still have a 1-in-3 chance to win. It would actually be kind of fun to beat Trump with a braindead Biden.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)
    Biden's rolling the dice. If he wins, even by a narrow margin, the GOP will suffer the worst trouncing a political party has ever had in American politics. How could anyone lose to this guy??? The GOP would immediately go into circular firing squad mode. If Biden loses, Democrats will hate him and his family and his inner circle with the intensity of a thousand white hot suns. There's no middle ground here. It's either glory or infamy.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)
    Some of the founders wanted the presidency to be a committee job. I figure when I vote for president, I'm voting for a team, not just one person. So I have no problem voting for a vegetable over Trump. The executive would still function. It's not an ideal situation, but doable.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)
    The business establishment wants Trump. They hate environmental regulations.
  • Hidden authoritarianism in the Western society
    You will likely be fine even if this is more than is widely considered healthy by the literature.Tom Storm

    Yes, I figure I'm losing a couple years off my life expectancy. I'm not terribly worried about it. Ironically, it was a gaming addiction that nearly cost me my marriage.
  • A question for panpsychists (and others too)
    Mind coming from matter is indeed miraculous, and also embarrassing to scientists recently.
    https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/a-25-year-old-bet-about-consciousness-has-finally-been-settled/

    I predict more scientists losing more bets to philosophers. Ditch the whole "matter" thing entirely. There is no matter. It's all mental stuff.
  • Is multiculturalism compatible with democracy?
    Why not talk about ideas and criticize those, instead of talking about oneself and invite a flurry of ad hominems?Tarskian

    OK, what is your idea about what is good in life? How does money, power, and status factor in?
  • Is multiculturalism compatible with democracy?
    What is this??? You're going to roll in with all this Chad swagger about nobility and sex and marriage and then fold when someone asks you about what is good in life? Come on. You have interesting things to say. I don't agree with any of them, but it's interesting.
  • Is multiculturalism compatible with democracy?
    I prefer to identify with the nobles than with the peasants.Tarskian

    All things considered, it's better to have money than not, but do you think being rich will make you happy? Or is a necessary condition for happiness?
  • Is multiculturalism compatible with democracy?
    Well, that's why I changed it to "priorities", but I think we have vastly different worldviews too. I'm an idealist. I think this is all a dream. I'm guessing you're a materialist.
  • Is multiculturalism compatible with democracy?
    We have very different worldviews priorities!
  • Is multiculturalism compatible with democracy?
    At that point, you don't even know the person. In that case, how can you be in love already?Tarskian

    Most people date for awhile. My wife and I lived together for about six months before we got married.

    So, what you can see at first glance, is that she is young, pretty, and eminently suitable to provide you with sexual-tension relief.Tarskian

    I actually met my wife trolling on AOL 25 years ago. It was awhile before we exchanged pics and agreed to meet.
    Seriously, it is not about "love". It is always about the interests at stake. Only people who have nothing and own nothing can afford to randomly copulate like the animals.Tarskian

    Most people aren't rich or nobility so the only real concerns are, do I like this person enough to marry, are their hangups relationship-ending, and will they be a good parent?
  • Is multiculturalism compatible with democracy?
    That is why I would never "date" western again -- which is simply a pile of bullshit -- because in the end it is never about "love".Tarskian

    This is overly cynical. If you're not in love with the person, why bother marrying them? What's the point? I would never have married my wife if I had no feelings for her, and vice-versa. It's fun to experience life together, watch movies, go on vacations, etc.
  • Is multiculturalism compatible with democracy?
    Thailand sounds all right, but the Khmer Rouge wasn't all that long ago. Aren't you worried something like that might happen again and you might get caught up in it?
  • Is multiculturalism compatible with democracy?
    Isn't the proof always in the pudding?Tarskian

    People are breaking down the door to get into America.
  • US Election 2024 (All general discussion)
    This country is not going to elect a black woman, much less a politically incompetent black woman like Harris. Michelle Obama is the exception to that rule and probably the only person in the country who could rescue the Democrats, but that's not going to happen. Trump is up 3 points in the polling average. 538 has the race as even. Biden is not going to drop out under those conditions, nor should he. The Democrats still have a powerful message: white male vegetable>election stealing prolife felon.
  • Is multiculturalism compatible with democracy?
    In my opinion, the best places to live, are the ones where the government simply does not have the means to micromanage people's lives.Tarskian

    What are some places in the world that fit this bill?
  • Hidden authoritarianism in the Western society
    You're certainly less productive.Philosophim

    This was particularly amusing considering two years ago I was nominated for teacher of the year at my site for the first time. Didn't win, but I'm at a point in my career where I'm doing the best teaching I've ever done. My evaluations and administrator feedback back this up. Either I'm doing horrible in life and everyone around me is gaslighting me, or your predictions are wildly off mark.

    And yes, everyone I know is addicted to something: booze, food, painkillers, porn, weed, Facebook, smoking, sex, gambling, shopping, etc. Your views on addiction sound like something from the temperance movement and Reefer Madness.
  • Hidden authoritarianism in the Western society
    I keep it at four drinks a day. My body seems to have handled that pretty well over the decades. Vital signs were good at last checkup. If I was really becoming as self-centered as you claim, I think it would have bled into my marriage or career, but those are going well too. A lot of people are addicted to something (maybe everyone), and most people have enough self-discipline to keep it from impacting their lives too negatively. My wife, for example, is a food addict, but is not morbidly obese.
  • Hidden authoritarianism in the Western society
    I agree with all that except the alcoholic part. I've been an alcoholic for 30 years, but I'm not (I don't think) a slave to my emotions.
  • Hidden authoritarianism in the Western society
    I agree we're in an oligarchy in practice, but that's what the voters want. Every two years, we have the option of throwing all the bums out in the House, but we never do. Even in "wave" years, the vast majority of House members are reelected. The tools are there to radically change the system, and if young people ever get politically active and turn out en masse... but that's a pipe dream.