Doesn't then being a member of the United Nations mean a lack of sovereignty?No, giving up one's sovereignty voluntarily or at gunpoint results in exactly the same situation: a lack of sovereignty. — Tzeentch
When I listed to some interviews that Mr Ritter made just now, going through all the Russian propaganda talking points (of how hard it will be for the Russians to denazify Russia), this question came into my mind.No one with any thoughts on Scott Ritter's interviews?
I linked this interview a few days ago and I'm curious what the forum thinks of this man. — Tzeentch
Seriously: joining voluntarily and being attacked is the same thing?It exactly doesn't make it different. — Tzeentch
But it's telling about the whole effort. A war that came as a surprise to many in the administration. A mobilization that has mobilized more young men to leave Russia than were put into the army to be stop-gap cannon fodder. A war that sometimes resembles WW1 fought with drones.Though to be expected I guess, I'd find the re-culturation/indoctrination attempts a bit ... embarrassing when exposed. — jorndoe
Just keep supporting Ukraine as they did in spring. Keep on track, stay focused.It's more doubtful what they can effectively do, though.
What could they do?
(Limit Putin's vacation spots some?) — jorndoe
When Bush invaded Iraq, many NATO countries starting with France and Germany didn't participate.They are not. When the US says jump, they jump. They have no choice. — Tzeentch
Then obviously you have an incorrect idea of what is to be a sovereign state. There's an interconnected web of international laws, agreements and international cooperation that limits the sovereignty of the individual state. That simply is the reality in the modern World. And as clearly seen with Brexit, EU has it's advantages just why so many countries have chosen to stick together.I never said they were similar. I said one shouldn't harbor illusions about Ukraine being a sovereign, independent state if it enters the EU or NATO, like none of the member states of those institutions are. — Tzeentch
You can utilize what kind of discourse of vassalization whatever about the EU or being in NATO, but it totally falls to be similar with the case of an autocratic dictatorship where speaking of a war as a war can get one long prison sentences... and a country which has either gone to war or created frozen conflicts with three of it's neighbors.he US controls NATO. NATO countries are vassals of the US, because they rely completely on the US to keep them safe.
The EU demands an even greater sacrifice of autonomy, because it also gets legislative power inside EU countries. It's purpose is/was to become a "United States of Europe", essentially, of course still completely dependent on the United States for protection.
So lets not harbor illusions about countries in NATO or the EU being sovereign. — Tzeentch
The choice has been between Russia or the United States to control Ukraine. — Tzeentch
Why ought Russia have the right to take it from a sovereign state, whose territories it has accepted on several occasions? Why ought violence, aggression and straightforward imperialism justified?Why ought Ukraine have control over Crimea/Donbas? There's no god-given right to any piece of land, there's no racial-biological link to Ukraine, there's no harm-reduction principle... There's no grounds at all been offered as to why they ought have that land. — Isaac
A recent investigation by BBC News Russian showed that, over the last eight years, military courts have issued more than 550 sentences for theft of clothing from army stocks. In total, during the same period, court data revealed that more than 12,000 corruption cases were opened involving the theft of military gear and equipment, with some cases occurring even after Russia invaded Ukraine.
That is where nuclear weapons work: deterrence. If this would be a non-nuclear armed country attacking Ukraine, it is likely that a no-fly zone would have been enforced.And why is the West's policy to not go into Ukraine, no no-fly-zone, as well as severely limit weapons systems to Ukraine?
Resulting in this situation where Russia has no particular need to use nuclear weapons. — boethius
Wrong.China may have zero problem with Russia nuking NATO troops in Ukraine — boethius
“The international community should … jointly oppose the use or threats to use nuclear weapons, advocate that nuclear weapons must not be used and nuclear wars must not be fought, in order to prevent a nuclear crisis in Eurasia,” Xi said.
China has warned Russia against threatening to use nuclear weapons in the conflict in Ukraine, in a rare departure from its usual tacit support for Moscow’s positions.
The warning came during talks on Friday between Chinese leader Xi Jinping and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz in Beijing, according to Mr. Scholz and the Chinese state news agency Xinhua.
Messrs. Xi and Scholz agreed to oppose the use or threat of use of nuclear weapons, according to Mr. Scholz and a report by Xinhua, which normally echoes Beijing’s official positions.
... Like Belarus and Kazakstan and Georgia? — boethius
Not the Soviet Union, just Russia. With Putin you have the closest to a Russian Czar, actually. Only that he doesn't have a son waiting in the sidelines to become the next President.What is the next step of this "rebuild the Soviet Union" plan? — boethius

Minsk I (not Mink I) came only after Ukraine had fought the insurgents to a standstill (and the Russian army did have to save their asses a few times).What Putin did next was negotiate Mink I — boethius
Which both sides didn't respect.which Ukraine didn't respect — boethius
After Russia first declared the puppet regimes independent (in a choreographed meeting which an intelligence chief fumbled and got mixed with the next chapter, annexation) and then annexed not only them, but also more areas of Ukraine (parts of it which Russian forces don't even occupy), the Minsk procedures have been long dead and buried. Conveniently you are forgetting all the annexations that Russia has done.However, the more important question remains what we can do about it. — boethius
Why wouldn't you use a smart bomb, enough conventional missiles or artillery to destroy the bridge? Absolutely no threat of NATO getting involved. Good if the media even would pick it up, but it wouldn't cause any outrage. This is where the stupidity lies in using nuclear weapons. If you really think that it's "naive" not to use nuclear weapons, then just why aren't people using them?Let's say Ukrainians form a bridge head over an important river and need to pour in significant resources to consolidate that bridge head ... drop a nuke on said bridge head and not only all those forces are gone, but it become clear that there is basically no way to ford the river in peace.
The idea Nuclear weapons have no military use is just insanely naive. — boethius
There are escalatory ladders. But basically yes, there is a "cost of doing business" with nuclear weapons. Russia cannot dismiss the West's response of a conventional attack as a bluff. Of course, it could be a bluff, but I don't think they want to find out.It seems, if what you say is true, Russia can suffer some acceptable losses for the privilege of nuking Ukraine.
There would be a "cost of doing business" is what you are saying? — boethius
As I said, there are two reasons why Ukraine isn't getting everything it wants:Again, maybe just explains why the US and NATO aren't actually escalating to "help Ukraine win" which is why Ukraine has so far not won and suffering immensely for the honour of representing Western interests, in some vague way. — boethius
Oh yes, the Ukrainians as the "proxies" of the evil West. How typical, the victim is the proxy.The key question of the recent dialogue is "at what cost to Ukraine?" and is this cost reasonable to ask a proxy to pay.
You and all the other Zelenskyites simply keep dodging the question. — boethius
Notice the difference with rhetoric and actions on the Russian side too. Russians have basically made the argument that they already are fighting NATO... when they are fighting Ukrainians armed with Western weapons and support.This is the central absurdity of the West's position. It argues right up to its policy line with extreme rhetoric, standing up to Putin, Churchillian "never surrender" type stuff, Putin's a war criminal and the Russians are literally terrorists, and the entire world order is at risk, and basically the greatest moral imperatives you can think of etc. But when it comes to the question of "well, why not do more then, send modern tanks and fighter jets or then go in with our own planes and troops" the exact opposite direction of appeasement is argued that "of course the nukes". Well ... which one is it? Are we "doing what it takes" and fighting on the fields and beaches and and in the air and seas and so on, or are we actually tiptoeing around any actual risk to the Kremlins core goals and making clear we are appeasing with respect to those core goals so no need for any desperate measures? — boethius
Simple: to continue to undo "the greatest tragedy of the 2oth Century". Russia to claim dominance over it's "near abroad".Encourage Putin to do what exactly? — boethius

Tell that to people. (I have to remember to quote you later.) And btw radiation on the site where a tactical nuke has been used, it is a problem.Radiation isn't all that big a concern when it comes to tactical nuclear weapons. — boethius
Again you have no idea what you are talking about. In the age of drones and instant fire-missions that can rain down in few minutes, artillery poses a threat at any time to any concentration of force. That's why you don't see columns of Ukrainian tanks... or nowdays of Russian armour moving along in long columns also. The unit size is smaller than before (Soviet doctrine was to operate with fronts and armies). This is obvious from the fact that the Russian forces, already before the war started, were deployed as Battalion-combat-teams. You don't operate with larger formation, brigades, divisions as in WW2 or as during the Cold War.The utility of nuclear weapons would be in the scenario where Ukraine is actually advancing a sizeable concentration of force. Dispersed forces are a defensive measure and not an offensive measure. — boethius
I think it's obvious from what has been leaked even to the public. A conventional attack on Russian forces in Ukraine and Naval ships operating in the Black Sea. Hence notice the level of escalation: Russian sites in Russia aren't attacked. Then again Russia has an option to escalate: does it enlarge the battlefield to outside Ukraine and the Black Sea.Definitely. However, the question is what escalation the West would do that would be responded to with Nuclear weapons by Russia ... that the West would then not respond with nuclear weapons. — boethius
Countable, right. Thanks for the correction.Showing a well ordering of the set of rational numbers is not adequate for showing that the set of rational numbers is countable. — TonesInDeepFreeze
This is simply irrational.The argument being made is that Russia getting its way would be bad, but Russia not getting its way would be bad too (nuclear escalation). Therefore some negotiated compromise between the two positions is the best course of action. — Isaac
Cantor proved that you cannot make a bijection between the natural number to the reals, hence the reals aren't aleph_0 like for example rational numbers.The continuum hypothesis is that the cardinality of the set of reals is aleph_1. That is equivalent to saying that there is no uncountable subset of the set of reals that is not 1-1 with the set of reals. Of course, no matter the continuum hypothesis, there are cardinals greater than aleph_1. — TonesInDeepFreeze
When you first assume that there is a bijection between the natural numbers and reals, then show that there is a real that cannot be in this bijection, that is a reductio ad absurdum.The diagonal argument given by Cantor was not a reductio ad absurdum. — TonesInDeepFreeze
Maybe Monty Python took residence at Zhitnaya Street 14. — jorndoe
Cantor's proof was not by reductio ad absurdum — TonesInDeepFreeze
Ukraine does not have allies. Ukraine has arms suppliers.
There's a big difference. Allies would be in Ukraine right now fighting on behalf of their ally. — boethius
aleph_1 is the next aleph after aleph_0
is not the continuum hypothesis. — TonesInDeepFreeze
The cardinality of the set of real numbers is aleph_1
is the continuum hypothesis. — TonesInDeepFreeze
Well, it's about what can be put into one-to-one correspondence with the set of natural numbers and the reductio ad absurdum proof that this cannot be done with the set of reals. Here 'countable' has it's problems, when ordinarily everything that we can map into one-to-one correspondence is countable (a+b=c).As to the other poster, the current question of the continuum hypothesis does not stem from the definition of 'countable'. — TonesInDeepFreeze
Putin's only alliance could crumble after special summit shows Russian despot isolated
— Alessandra Scotto di Santolo · Express · Nov 24, 2022 — jorndoe
Even if they would be the same, Isaac would interpret them totally differently. As he has done.Your experts do not need to be the same as mine. — Olivier5
This seems to have had an effect on the discussion about using nuclear weapons in Ukraine. Likely the costs of any "Escalation to de-escalation" would be far too big.BEIJING, Nov 15 (Reuters) - Chinese President Xi Jinping, discussing Ukraine with U.S. President Joe Biden during their meeting on Monday in Indonesia, said nuclear weapons cannot be used and nuclear wars cannot be fought, according to a statement by the Chinese foreign minister.
Do they have a moral right to some piece of geography? — Isaac
It's not about duty. It's simply a very rational response. When you can defend and protect yourself from a hostile attack, do so. Russians aren't control of Kyiv as they wanted. They failed to capture it and put a puppet regime in place... and get that Novorossiya, that they have dreamed about.I can clearly see a moral allowance for fighting back. If someone comes to take what's your by force, it seems fair use equal force to retain it. But I can't see how you're getting from a moral allowance to a moral duty - that they actually ought to fight back, not merely that they could. — Isaac
- an unsettled question. — TonesInDeepFreeze
Question: What's the Nmax for our universe? — Agent Smith
They naturally ought to fight, and that fight has been proven very successful. An invader that thinks your sovereign state is artificial, that ought to be part of Russia (because of history) and you ought to be Russian and you don't deserve to have your own country, as we have seen from what kind of actions implemented on the occupied territory, is the worst kind of occupier.It's a simple question. Ought the Ukrainians fight this imperial aggressor to regain their lost territory? Not "will they?", "ought they?" — Isaac
When you in your ignorance (or living in your alternative reality) think there is no difference between Ukraine and Russia...Is the chance of Ukraine regaining their lost territories worth the cost? It's a simple question. How many lives is that region's choice of governance worth? — Isaac
Ukraine and Russia, however, have quite similar governments, particularly in the East where Ukraine were fighting the pro-Russian breakaway factions. Similar in levels of corruption, similar in human rights, similar in press freedoms, similar in approach to ethnic and national minorities within their territory. — Isaac
It's simple
Option 1 - Long drawn out war, thousands dead, crippled by debt, economy run by the IMF, regime run by corrupt politicians in the pocket of lobbyists benefiting the corporations and immiserating the poor. Blue and yellow flag over the parliament.
Option 2 - Less long war, fewer dead, less crippled by debt, less in thrall to the IMF, regime run by corrupt politicians in the pocket of oligarchs benefiting the corporations and immiserating the poor. Blue, red and white flag over the parliament.
Option 2 has fewer dead. — Isaac
It's interesting that those neonazis don't get the focus of those seeing neonazis in Ukraine as Putin sees. But Putin's far-right views are in line with the imperialist idea of Russia being the third and final Rome... and everything good coming from Holy Russia and everything bad coming from the decadent immoral West.Putin's Russia has been and is in a (dehumanizing) systematic process of creating a Ukraine of more hate, which, in time, I'm sure they would/will use to justify more (given the chance), perhaps with the help of some questionable friends. — jorndoe
Let’s answer some very simple questions for ourselves. I now want to return to what I said, I want to address all the citizens of the country – not only to those colleagues who are in the hall – to all the citizens of Russia: do we want to have, here, in our country, in Russia, parent number one, number two, number three instead of mom and dad – have they gone made out there? Do we really want perversions that lead to degradation and extinction to be imposed on children in our schools from the primary grades? To be drummed into them that there are various supposed genders besides women and men, and to be offered a sex change operation? Do we want all this for our country and our children? For us, all this is unacceptable, we have a different future, our own future
I repeat, the dictatorship of the Western elites is directed against all societies, including the peoples of the Western countries themselves. This is a challenge for everyone. Such a complete denial of man, the overthrow of faith and traditional values, the suppression of freedom acquiring the features of a “reverse religion” [the opposite of what the religion is] – outright Satanism. In the Sermon on the Mount, Jesus Christ, denouncing the false prophets, says: By their fruits you shall know them. And these poisonous fruits are already obvious to people – not only in our country, in all countries, including many people in the West itself.
But Kherson and Kharkiv, physically, geographically, are relatively small compared to the whole, so that that -- the military task of militarily kicking the Russians physically out of Ukraine is a very difficult task. And it's not going to happen in the next couple of weeks unless the Russian army completely collapses, which is unlikely.
(Milley) So, in terms of probability, the probability of a Ukrainian military victory defined as kicking the Russians out of all of Ukraine to include what they define or what the claim is Crimea, the probability of that happening anytime soon is not high, militarily. Politically, there may be a political solution where, politically, the Russians withdraw, that's possible. You want to negotiate from a position of strength. Russia right now is on its back.
The Russian military is suffering tremendously. Leaders have been, you know, their leadership is really hurting bad. They've lost a lot of causalities, killed and wounded. They've lost -- I won't go over exact numbers because they're classified, but they've lost a tremendous amount of their tanks and their infantry fighting vehicles. They've lost a lot of their fourth and fifth-generation fighters and helicopters and so on and so forth.
The Russian military is really hurting bad. So, you want to negotiate at a time when you're at your strength and your opponent is at weakness. And it's possible, maybe that there'll be a political solution. All I'm -- all I'm saying is there's a possibility for it. That's all I'm saying.
